Tonights draft. 12 team 0.5 PPR. I have 10+ years worth of draft data on this league, so I have a fairly good idea of what baselines and ADP should be.
Bottom line from Rate My Team:
- With great inseason management, we think you have about a 99 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With good inseason management, we think you have about a 90 percent chance of making the playoffs.
- With average inseason management, we think you have a 86 percent chance of making the playoffs.
01.04 RB5 LeSean McCoy
02.09 RB11 Matt Forte
03.09 QB1 Cam Newton
04.09 WR10 Dwayne Bowe
05.04 WR18 Pierre Garcon
06.09 WR19 Cecil Shorts
07.04 RB23 Chris Ivory
08.09 RB25 Rashard Mendenhall
09.04 TE10 Jared Cook
10.09 DEF8 Baltimore
11.04 WR25 Vincent Brown
12.09 PK2 Randy Bullock
13.04 WR37 Michael Floyd
14.09 QB18 Sam Bradford
[SIZE=small]Our 3rd round is flipped, so I actually draft 4,9,9,9,4 rounds 1-5. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=small]First 3 went AP, Martin, Foster. Could have grabbed CJ at #4 or Jamaal Charles, but since I have CJ in one league already, I didn't want two leagues go bad should he go down. I also wanted to take the chance on McCoy who could go nuts in the new Eagles Offense. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=small]Forte in the 2nd was a steal. He was the last of the top RB's but 3 guys grabbed QB's and Graham went as did 4 WR's so that left Forte to me. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=small]I was shocked to see Cam Newton fall to me at the end of the 3rd at pick 33. Vincent Jackson was still there, as was D. Bowe (about equal value) so I took a chance that I could grab a decent WR. Here I referred to Blooms master Plan on WR's - grab quality WR's in the 4,5,6 - and they were there. Was thrilled to get Bowe at the end of the 4th.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=small]7,8 - Value picks. there was a run on QB's going and there were some questionable RB's taken early (Bernard, Tate) so I grabbed two starters who had great value and might be useful off the bench or for trades. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=small]9 - TE. Gates had come up earlier, but he's old and been injured so I referred back to my master plan and found a high ceiling 2nd Tier TE1. Probably could have grabbed Rudolph at 8 and grabbed Mendy on the flip, but it is what it is.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=small]10 and out - value as it came to me.[/SIZE]