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TE Luke Musgrave, GB (1 Viewer)

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Packers selected Oregon State TE Luke Musgrave with the No. 42 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.​

Musgrave (6’7/255) is as much of a black box prospect as you will find in this draft class. He didn’t do much until his third season in Corvallis, where he put a 22-304-1 receiving line in the books. Then, in 2022, he caught 11 passes for 169 yards in two games before suffering a season-ending knee injury. Musrgave’s story would have been that of a late-round, what-if prospect, but he was back to full strength for the Combine and put on a show. He blazed a 4.61 40, which featured an equally impressive 1.58-second 10-yard split. Musgrave also crushed the vertical and broad jumps en route to a 9.71 RAS. The limited sample on Musgrave makes him a wild gamble for the Packers, but his highlights on tape and elite athleticism make him an interesting bet, to say the least. The Pack have badly needed renewed play-making ability up the seam.
Apr 28, 2023, 7:58 PM ET
 
Next Gen Stats @NextGenStats
RD 2 | PK 42 - Packers: Luke Musgrave TE, Oregon State

Musgrave has an explosive athletic profile — his 1.54-second 10-yard split and 10-foot-5 broad jump rank in the top 5% of all tight end prospects since 2003.


Next Gen Stats @NextGenStats
Despite missing the majority of his final season at Oregon State due to injury, Luke Musgrave has a 16% chance of making the Pro Bowl in his first three seasons.

That trails only Kyle Pitts (22%) among tight ends over the last five draft classes.
 
At least we have some logical landing spots at TE and WR
Bijan made sense too.

Atlanta had too many other problems
Sure, but they got a potentially generational player. Top 5 player in the draft, who can help as a receiver - which was a pretty big need.

They had a ton of holes. But you can’t not take Bijan there. Just too good a player.

Mostly I’m defending it because I love his FF upside there. lol
 

The Athletic's Matt Schneidman believes Packers TE Luke Musgrave "should get a chance right away to be the No. 1 tight end."​

The enormous Musgrave, taken with the 42nd pick in the 2023 draft out of Oregon State, caught 11 passes for 169 yards in two games last season before suffering a season-ending knee injury. With a relative athletic score of 9.71, Musgrave, 22, profiles as Green Bay's top pass-catching tight end alongside blocking specialist and hybrid fullback Josiah Deguara. If Musgrave gets a solid number of pass routes, he could be a sneaky late-round tight end option in a Packers offense without Robert Tonyan, who signed with the Bears this offseason.
RELATED:
SOURCE: The Athletic
May 5, 2023, 11:54 AM ET
 

The Athletic's Matt Schneidman believes Packers TE Luke Musgrave "should get a chance right away to be the No. 1 tight end."​

The enormous Musgrave, taken with the 42nd pick in the 2023 draft out of Oregon State, caught 11 passes for 169 yards in two games last season before suffering a season-ending knee injury. With a relative athletic score of 9.71, Musgrave, 22, profiles as Green Bay's top pass-catching tight end alongside blocking specialist and hybrid fullback Josiah Deguara. If Musgrave gets a solid number of pass routes, he could be a sneaky late-round tight end option in a Packers offense without Robert Tonyan, who signed with the Bears this offseason.
RELATED:
SOURCE: The Athletic
May 5, 2023, 11:54 AM ET
I have my doubts about that. Tucker Kraft may be a better TE. You can't ignore the lack of data for Musgrave. I'm not saying that Musgrave won't be "The Guy" eventually, but I'm not sure he will.
 
It’s been a few months since I watched the tape on him, but I wasn’t impressed at the time and didn’t understand the big fuss I’d heard. Yes, he is tall and athletic but my feeling at the time was his hands weren’t great and he looked quite physically weak for a TE and seemed to easily go down after making a catch. We’ll see. Maybe I need to review again
 
I feel like everyone is sleeping on Musgrave. His college tape is insane, he's a beast. He's 6'6 and runs like a deer. If GB is smart (they're not) they'd line him up everywhere possible. He's a very good run blocker but does need to work on consistent route running. I think we're looking at an upper end TE in 2-3 years, be patient and be happy.
 
I feel like everyone is sleeping on Musgrave. His college tape is insane, he's a beast. He's 6'6 and runs like a deer. If GB is smart (they're not) they'd line him up everywhere possible. He's a very good run blocker but does need to work on consistent route running. I think we're looking at an upper end TE in 2-3 years, be patient and be happy.
Average Draft pick early-mid 3rd?
Low cost, uncertain return due to Love at QB, Rooke Reed drafted WR,
I can see a dart throw 3rd round pick in TE-P
 
I feel like everyone is sleeping on Musgrave. His college tape is insane, he's a beast. He's 6'6 and runs like a deer. If GB is smart (they're not) they'd line him up everywhere possible. He's a very good run blocker but does need to work on consistent route running. I think we're looking at an upper end TE in 2-3 years, be patient and be happy.
Average Draft pick early-mid 3rd?
Low cost, uncertain return due to Love at QB, Rooke Reed drafted WR,
I can see a dart throw 3rd round pick in TE-P
They also drafted another TE
 
I feel like everyone is sleeping on Musgrave. His college tape is insane, he's a beast. He's 6'6 and runs like a deer. If GB is smart (they're not) they'd line him up everywhere possible. He's a very good run blocker but does need to work on consistent route running. I think we're looking at an upper end TE in 2-3 years, be patient and be happy.
Average Draft pick early-mid 3rd?
Low cost, uncertain return due to Love at QB, Rooke Reed drafted WR,
I can see a dart throw 3rd round pick in TE-P
They also drafted another TE
Yeah, I don't know who is more likely to offer value.

Tucker Kraft - 6'5" 255 'b drafted 3rd round Pick 15 (South Dakota State) Rookie ADP = range 32-42 (mid 4th round) TE7-9
Luke Musgrave - 6'6" 250 lb drafted 2nd round Pick 11 (Oregon State) Rookie ADP = range 24-28 (early 3rd) TE5-7

@ZWK 2023 Prospects Ranks Musgrave above Kincaid

I don't know enough currently to pick 1 over the other... with so little info, Musgrave is currently TE1 on the GB depth chart FWIW
 
I feel like everyone is sleeping on Musgrave. His college tape is insane, he's a beast. He's 6'6 and runs like a deer. If GB is smart (they're not) they'd line him up everywhere possible. He's a very good run blocker but does need to work on consistent route running. I think we're looking at an upper end TE in 2-3 years, be patient and be happy.
Average Draft pick early-mid 3rd?
Low cost, uncertain return due to Love at QB, Rooke Reed drafted WR,
I can see a dart throw 3rd round pick in TE-P
They also drafted another TE
Yeah, I don't know who is more likely to offer value.

Tucker Kraft - 6'5" 255 'b drafted 3rd round Pick 15 (South Dakota State) Rookie ADP = range 32-42 (mid 4th round) TE7-9
Luke Musgrave - 6'6" 250 lb drafted 2nd round Pick 11 (Oregon State) Rookie ADP = range 24-28 (early 3rd) TE5-7

@ZWK 2023 Prospects Ranks Musgrave above Kincaid

I don't know enough currently to pick 1 over the other... with so little info, Musgrave is currently TE1 on the GB depth chart FWIW
Oh, you definitely take Musgrave over Kraft because of the perceived upside, but Kraft isn't chop liver from what I read.
 
Was listening to a 3 man podcast discuss him a few months ago and someone posed a question to the other two which was that Musgrave played 4 youth sports and asked them to name the 4 sports. Most anyone got was 2, and one is a gimme. See if off top of your head you can do better.

Football, track, lacrosse, alpine sking


Based on data of 649 FFPC(1.5 TE) rookie drafts I was a little surprised at the disparity between him, Mayer and LaPorta. I personally rank them LaPorta, Mayer and Musgrave so I do have Musgrave last out of the list but I have them in the same tier. All in the top 18 players. Mayer goes 11, Laporta 17th and Musgrave 28th and the difference in players available around rookie 28 is so vast compared to the other two. I did not expect to see that large of a gap.
 
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Ryan Wood @ByRyanWood
Jordan Love with his best throw of the day, rifles it to Luke Musgrave some20 yards over the middle against Tarvarius Moore. Musgrave continues to impress with his size.


Andy Herman @AndyHermanNFL
Love with a gorgeous pass over the middle to Musgrave in stride on the next play with Moore in coverage. Musgrave can make a real difference in the mof.
 
Quick observations from Packers second open OTA practice

Excerpt:

It’s only May, and the pads aren’t on, but goodness, does Luke Musgrave look the part. He is so smooth running downfield and gets down there quickly. He ran a number of routes during team drills either down the seam or on a crosser, where in either instance, he is a matchup problem. As Matt LaFleur said after practice, “he (Musgrave) is different” compared to the Packers’ previous tight ends in the room.
 

Packers beat writer Ryan Wood said TE Luke Musgrave is already earning first-team reps in OTAs.

It's safe to say head coach Matt LaFleur is impressed with Musgrave's early showing in OTAs. LaFleur praised his rookie second-rounder for being a quick learner, adding that he has "an elite trait in that he can fly, and he's a large target." Musgrave was one of two Day 2 tight ends the Packers drafted in April, but it sounds like he has the inside edge for significant playing time this season. At 6-foot-7, 255 pounds, Musgrave has elite size and athleticism and brought a solid production profile with him to the NFL level. A late-round pick in early drafts, Musgrave could have some sneaky fantasy upside at a position that's largely devoid of consistent production.
SOURCE: Ryan Wood on Twitter
May 31, 2023, 8:31 PM ET
 
I drafted a good amount of Musgrave in my rookie drafts and some redrafts so love to hear the good early word. Just got to say the Rotoblurb and/or any talk of him "already" earning first team reps is getting overblown because he really does not have any veteran comp. His comp, other then Kraft who is not participating in OTA's right now, is Deguara who is really more of an H-back and Tyler Davis who has 8 receptions in his 3 year career. There really is no comp on the roster and the only person on this roster that can keep him from being TE1 is Kraft.

I wrapped up 7 TE premium rookie drafts and one of my biggest surprises, relative to where Mayer and Laporta were being drafted, is how low people seemed to be on Musgrave relative to those other two TE's. I thought they were all in the same tier but that was not how people were drafting them. Was it Kraft scaring people off or people just not that high on Musgrave?
 
I drafted a good amount of Musgrave in my rookie drafts and some redrafts so love to hear the good early word. Just got to say the Rotoblurb and/or any talk of him "already" earning first team reps is getting overblown because he really does not have any veteran comp. His comp, other then Kraft who is not participating in OTA's right now, is Deguara who is really more of an H-back and Tyler Davis who has 8 receptions in his 3 year career. There really is no comp on the roster and the only person on this roster that can keep him from being TE1 is Kraft.

I wrapped up 7 TE premium rookie drafts and one of my biggest surprises, relative to where Mayer and Laporta were being drafted, is how low people seemed to be on Musgrave relative to those other two TE's. I thought they were all in the same tier but that was not how people were drafting them. Was it Kraft scaring people off or people just not that high on Musgrave?
Same. I was able to get him and Mayer in 3 of 6 dynasties each. And one league where he didn't even get drafted (I didn't have a 3rd round pick, which is where he was going in rookie drafts, late that is). Felt like a smart guy at the time thinking "ya know the strength of this draft seems to be tight ends and there ain't a whole lot of great ones right now in FF). Wish I had got more shares, he seems like he might make an immediate impact...for rookie tight ends which isn't a big number usually.
 
Andy Herman @AndyHermanNFL
First play of 7 on 7s Musgrave gets outside of Campbell for a nice pickup. He’s going to be such a mismatch piece for this offense.

Jaire with tight coverage on Doubs on a quick comeback but looked like Doubs dropped that one. Would have only gone for a few yards anyway.



Bill Huber @BillHuberNFL
Luke Musgrave is big and fast.


Ryan Wood @ByRyanWood
Jordan Love sounds awfully impressed with rookie TE Luke Musgrave: “He’s going to be a great player. He’s a lot faster than I think anybody thought. He picked up the offense really fast. He’s getting a lot of reps right now, which is great for him. He’s making the most of it.”
 
NFL Beat Writers @32BeatWriters
On if Luke Musgrave will earn the TE1 role:"Yes, I think Musgrave will be TE1 by Week 1. The Packers think he can be the true No. 1 pass-catching tight end that Robert Tonyan was at times but not consistently enough, someone like Jermichael Finley in his prime perhaps. The best-case scenario for the Packers is Musgrave developing into almost a wide receiver, someone who can line up anywhere and make plays all over the field like Travis Kelce, Darren Waller and the other most athletic tight ends in the NFL. He’ll have to prove he can block adequately, though, which the Packers need from the position after Marcedes Lewis’ departure."

 
Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said rookie TE Luke Musgrave has “a lot of potential.”
LaFleur called Musgrave, a Day Two pick in the 2023 draft, “the biggest fast guy I’ve ever seen,” comparing the tight end’s speed to Green Bay’s receivers. Musgrave has run with the first team offense during training camp and looks to be the Packers’ primary pass-catching tight end entering 2023. An elite size-speed freak, Musgrave makes for a fine late-round dart throw for fantasy managers who fade the tight end position.
 
NFL Rookie Watch @NFLRookieWatxh
Luke Musgrave was reportedly the “fastest guy” on offense in MPH in a recent Packers practice.Musgrave clocked in a higher MPH than names like Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs.Musgrave reportedly looks like he’ll be the Packers starting TE “immediately”, as he’s gotten the most first team reps of any TE.Matt LaFleur (Packers HC) called Musgrave the “biggest (6’6”, 253 pounds) fast guy” he’s ever seen.The Packers rookie TE is an athletic FREAK


Peter Bukowski
Tom calls Luke Musgrave, “the biggest fast guy I’ve ever seen,” and LaFleur says there was a day in practice Musgrave was the fastest guy on offense by MPH.
 
Real exciting though I am still skeptical about a rookie TE. Also isn’t durability a worry for him?
Durability has definitely been an issue, and you have that whole rookie TE thing, but Musgrave looks the part. He is definitely worth a late stash if you have a roster spot.
 

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