Hey, Jeff.
12-team, keep-5 league. 1QB, 1Superflex, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1K, 1D lineup. Standard performance scoring with 4 PaTD and 1 per first down reception (~1/3 PPR for RB, 1/2 for TE, 2/3 for WR). $260 total for 18 roster spots. Salaries escalate after 2 years based on performance, so I tend to only look 2-3 years out.
My potential keepers: Vick ($47), Big Ben ($43), Ingram ($34 - I drank the Koolaid), D. Williams ($34), J. Stewart ($7), Scott ($6), Jacquizz Rodgers ($1), Gates ($17), Nicks ($25), S. Holmes ($11)
There are three very strong teams this year (including one with McFadden for $8 and Murray for $1), so my chances of winning the league are low without a bit of luck. I'm not giving up on the season, but I'm definitely focusing more on next year's value than I typically do.
With that in mind, I'm thinking of only keeping four players: Vick ($47, will be $57 next year), Stewart ($7, next year: $12 or $35-40 if he cracks RB20 this year), Rodgers ($1, next year: $6 or $30-35 if RB1-20) and Nicks ($25, $30 next year). Vick won't be a bargain next year, but he'll help keep my team competitive this year and provide potential trade bait if he does well but the rest of my team does not. I'll drop Roethlisberger as he won't be worth his $50+ salary next year and because nearly all the top-20 QB's will be available in this year's auction. Nicks is questionable, but if he's a top-5 WR in 2013, he'll be worth the $30 price tag. Stewart and Rodgers are cheap and may have good situations next year. I'm on the fence with Scott as his value for next year is likely lower than this year, but I'm leaning towards not keeping him at this point.
Do you agree with the keeper choices? Also, strategy-wise, would you personally prefer to focus on getting a couple of the better players with lasting value (Richardson, Cruz, Luck, RG3) or scattershot a larger number of lottery tickets (Tannehill, Pead, Wilson, etc.). [Caveat: several teams will be "reseting" this year, especially with such a strong front-runner, so prices may not be as cheap for prospects as in some years.]