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Evilgrin 72

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Everything posted by Evilgrin 72

  1. I got a 17 day ban a while back for something I thought would fly before the current restrictions. Didn't post for a couple of months. I came back part time after that and within a day was getting posts deleted that weren't remotely off-color. That was about it. I came back to try to get people to watch my buddy's TV show and because I heard otb_lifer came back to talk Triple Crown. Now that those things are over, I don't really have anything more to do here. The only reason I really used to post here was to try to make people laugh. I derive a lot of joy from thinking that I put a smile on someone's face, especially the great people here. If I can't do that, and I can't seem to under the auspices of the new PG FFA, I have no raison d'etre. I think of amusing posts or anecdotes all the time and where I used to post them, I now swallow them. I'll still pop in from time to time and read, but likely won't post much, if at all. My time here appears to be at an end, at least in the way it once was. I wish everyone here a lifetime of happiness and laughter. I firmly believe this is the finest group of people assembled anywhere on the internet. I love you all.
  2. Keyed Tacitus with Tax, War of Will, Sir Winston, and Intrepid Heart. F'n Joevia. All he had to do was fade like he was supposed to and I would have cashed a pretty nice ticket. On the plus side, it was a great day hanging with my brothers. Got completely hammered and a very slimmed down Yngwie was throwing gas all night. Also threw a guitar pick right into my beer from 20 yards away. I'm pretending he intended to do it.
  3. I will. He definitely beefed up there for a while, but recent photos I've seen indicated he lost a lot of that weight.
  4. I couldn't believe it. At 35-1, that meant (in theory) there was a 97.2% chance she was going to be thanking me afterward for saving her $45. Seeing as I had about $5 to my name, her getting felted would have left us in pretty awkward spot for the next week. I thought I was doing her (and myself) a huge favor and that she'd be lavishing me with praise (via BJs) for my financial prudence, a quality she always possessed. I had never seen this type of "reckless" behavior from her before when it came to finances. Yeah.
  5. I heard he's actually slimmed back down some. We'll see, I know he was toting around a LOT of extra bulk there for a while. Getting plastered for an Yngwie concert is great - if you only remember the first 10 minutes.... you've seen everything you're going to see for the next 90 anyway. Plus, 9th row center orchestra seats were like $20 all in. And there's a sports bar/pool hall right next door that has something like 50 craft beer bottles for $4 each. Good stuff: Ballast Point Sculpin, Bell's Two Hearted, all the heavy hitters of the US craft brew scene - $4 each. PBR is $3.50.
  6. I grew up within walking distance of Freehold Raceway, that's where I cut my teeth as a budding degenerate in the late 80s, betting harness racing based pretty much solely on jockeys. Never saw thoroughbreds live until I went to my first Preakness in 1994. I still remember taking a girlfriend to the track once, she wanted to put the entire $50 she had on a horse at 35-1 based on the name. I talked her out of betting it all - back then $50 was a ton of dough for us as college kids, that kept us eating for days. She revised her bet to $5. Of course, I wouldn't be telling you this if the horse didn't win. Instead of being happy she won $175, she was cursing me for costing her $1,750 which then literally would have been like a $50K score would be for me today. I don't think she ever forgave me for that.
  7. That's what I need to do. It's going to be myself, the Ox and Yams out on the town starting about 3 PM. I can't even remember the last time the three of us were all out together with no one else, this is exceedingly rare these days. Plus, we got tickets to see Yngwie Malmsteen shred a million miles an hour and do fat, sweaty leg kicks at 9:30 PM, so a high level of inebriation is required for that.
  8. It's also dangerous for me to be walking around with the ability to wager at any track on the fly at any given moment. If I do break down, I'll use TVG on your reco - already have an account there. Although, I'm using NYRA right now b/c I have money in the account, the last 4 years I've just been setting up accounts at the start of TC season at all the major sites to take advantage of the dollar match bonuses.
  9. Damn it, I'm laughing so hard.... I gotta figure out my bets today - going to be out bar hopping tomorrow afternoon and I refuse to put any of the betting sites' mobile apps on my phone. WAY too dangerous. So, I have to get my bets down by about 1 PM EDT tomorrow. Time to get to ticket building.
  10. I just went back and watched the Peter Pan. Two observations. 1 - I really liked Sir Winston's late run. He sat well off the pace and looked best coming down the stretch. Obviously at 1 1/2, that race probably is run differently but he likely wins with some more ground. 2 - Not only did Intrepid Heart stumble out of the gate, but it looked like he had a chance to make a similar late run. He and Sir Winston were basically stride for stride heading into the backstretch, but they ran into the 7, who was slowing down. Sir Winston went outside, Intrepid Heart went inside. The 7 drifted in and cut Intrepid Heart off and he was forced to put the brakes on. Now, whether he could have stayed with Sir Winston or not, we don't know, but I'm not ready to say he couldn't have given his pedigree and performances to date. I'm not tossing the 8 by a long shot.
  11. Key w/ 4 other horses w/ the same 4 = $12 on a $1 wager, no? Unless I misunderstood, it was worded ambiguously.
  12. What are your thoughts on Everfast? Was the Preakness an anomaly or did the light go on? Horse was 1-1-1 in 10 lifetime starts going in - that performance made no sense to me other than to say - these are animals and no one knows WTF is going to happen.
  13. Thanks. The MFer link is blocked for me since our IT department decided to block any sites that relate to gambling, tobacco or alcohol.
  14. What's the story there? Ill, injured, etc? Bummer, especially on Tax, I really thought he had a chance to surprise at a decent price. Reminds me a bit of WoW coming out of Louisiana - if you can see your way clear to toss his Derby run, he looks like a horse that could hit the board.
  15. Here are my brief thoughts on each horse looking at the PPs. Please disabuse me of any fallacious notions I may be holding. 1 - Joevia - struggling to find a reason for capital allocation except for the fact that longshots that I thought had no business anywhere near the money came close in the Derby and scored in the Preakness. Has been in against these before in the Wood and was a complete non-factor. Led that race early and got absolutely gobbled up by Tax and Tacitus as soon as they were asked. I don't think the added distance benefits him at all. Has fared well against lesser, but my feeling is that he's totally outclassed here. 2 - Everfast - so, here's the problem with handicapping off of PPs. There's nothing in his history that suggests he had any business on the podium in Baltimore, so there's nothing there BUT the Preakness that indicates he'll be a factor here. 94 speed figure in that race is as fast as he's ever run. Yet, there he was, gobbling up horses in the homestretch and actually closed the gap on WoW by 2 1/2 lengths down the stretch. Horse has run 11 races lifetime and against really good competition, is it possible he's just now finding his race? He's rated off the pace before against strong comp and been no factor, where did that stretch run come from? Curious case here. Don't think he can be ignored. 3 - Master Fencer. WTF knows? Don't know how you can really handicap the Asian races (at least I can't) - he was an insta-toss for me in the Derby but showed out nicely, picking horses up late and finishing a solid 7th (6th after DQ.) My instinct is to toss him, but I think there's a chance he can get a piece based on his Derby run. 4 - Tax. Oh, Tax - you baffle me. Ran basically the exact same race as Tacitus in the Wood, they were practically joined at the hip all the way around, Tacitus was just a little better. If I like Tacitus to win, surely I'd like Tax to figure. But then... the Derby. WTF? Sat back, as is his wont, but then made no move whatsoever. After three straight triple digit speed figures, he turns in an 85 in the Derby and was a complete non-factor, finishing 15 back. Did Alvarado pull him up a bit realizing there was no shot or did he ask and the horse simply didn't respond? If he can regain his form, could potentially figure here. 5 - Bourbon War - drew a lot of attention going into the Preakness, but I was off of him. Intriguing history of quality fields he's run against but was never quite good enough in any of them. His two career wins are in a maiden and a 75K claimer - every time he's faced quality fields, he's come up short. Took a giant dump at Pimlico despite getting a decent enough trip, have we seen his best? Might use on bottom of tri/super but nothing more. 6 - Spinoff - reminds me a bit of Bourbon War in that he seems to be getting a bit of hype coming into this race as BW did in the Preakness, but there's not a ton of info out there in his PPs to support it. Another horse who's won maiden and claimers but hasn't won against a quality field, despite placing well in the Louisiana Derby. I don't like how By My Standards was able to reel him in in that race, and as a result, was off him for the Derby. Which was a good thing because his Derby run was fecal. Gobbled up early after being placed 5th to start and just continued to fade. Is this a prime spot for a bounce or is he just outclassed? I think he's in the BW category for me, filler underneath. 7 - Sir Winston - another one that hasn't shown the ability to hang with these yet. Hung in in the Withers and the Tampa Bay Derby and finished respectably while gaining late, but then turned in an absolute stinker in the Bluegrass and fell off my radar entirely. Didn't expect to see him here but after a career best 101 in the Peter Pan, I guess his connections figured he was rounding into form, despite only finishing 2nd. If you toss the Bluegrass, recent history suggests he may be capable of snagging a piece with the added distance. Add him to the "use underneath" group. 8 - Intrepid Heart - hmmmm. Lightly raced horse who won his first two starts and then finished 3rd in the aforementioned Peter Pan, right behind Sir Winston. Notes say he stumbled in that race but he was the pre-race favorite and finished 3rd, you have to believe they were pointing him to Belmont all the way. Speed figures have improved with each race. Can he hang with this class of horses? Is he sitting on a big one? So little to work with here, but this feels like the horse that could sneak in and #### up your exotics if you ignore him. Or finish dead last. 9 - War of Will - not sure how much there is to deep dive here. #### the bed at the Louisiana as a big favorite, but with all the talking I've done about horses above spitting the bit in big races, he rebounded nicely and ran well at CD. I liked him coming into the Preakness off the strength of that effort and he didn't disappoint. Clearly one of the two most talented horses in the field, you either have to use him and endure a #### payout if he finishes or take a stand against. 10 - Tacitus - was my biggest key horse going into the Derby. Coming off of three straight wins where his figures not only kept improving (up to a 103 in the Wood) but he showed a real willingness not to be beaten. I love horses that look like they have that Jordan-esque "you're not beating me" edge to them, and Tacitus has it. Did not get a good trip in the Derby and still showed real mettle, closing in the stretch and ending up 3rd after the DQ. I would have hammered him at Pimlico and I will hammer him here. Most likely winner, IMO.
  16. Download any podcast app on your phone and subscribe/download or, if you don't want to listen on your phone, just search Chernobyl podcast rss feed and you can surely find a link to download an mp3.
  17. It's called The Chernobyl Podcast. There's one roughly 45 minute episode to accompany each of the 5 episodes of the show. They go in depth about all the choices made in the creation of the show. Essential listening (IMO) to gain a full appreciation of the program.