I'm not. If the draft is in August, i'll almost certainly take 1.2, but the way i see it, 1.2 right now is either harry, Sanders or Montgomery.
No doubt the draft is deeper with second/third tier talents than true stud prospects at the top. I would imagine your view of this trade also depends on how you feel about the guys in that prospective top tier (Harry, Montgomery, Sanders, maybe a couple others).
Right. Could be metcalf, hock, fant, maybe even Murray. There's a bit of a consensus adp forming, but it's still the wild west right now.
Let's say you get two of AJ brown, Singletary or kyler murray with those 3 picks. That's unlikely, but possible. People seem to be going hard after the rams rookie back and the colts and chiefs receivers plus a couple tight ends so there's a lot of good stuff in that 2.1 range.
AJ was in discussion as one of the top wrs in this year's draft and a lot of people liked him better than harry. Yet he's routinely slipping in these early drafts because of his landing spot. I've seen him as easily as 1.5 and as late as 2.4. But situation shouldn't matter that much here. How much better or worse is the 2021 titans qb than the 2021 Patriots qb?
This is going to seem like a hot take, but I honestly don't see a huge difference between singletary and Sanders/ Montgomery. I understand that other people do, but to me Singletary is the only one with a legit chance to be a true feature back. Montgomery could be a beast if he gets 40 plus receptions but Cohen seems to cap that upside. Sanders might have a chance to change the eagles' rbbc ways, but even if he earns a big role this year, he'll still have to fade next year's draft getting him a backfield mate. Singletary looks like a younger McCoy/Gore, and there's a real chance that he takes over one or both of their jobs this year. He's a record setting touchdown scorer, runs well inside and outside, blocks well and caught the ball well as a sophomore but got targeted less and less and had a couple drops as a senior. He's riskier because of his combine but man he looks good on film. I don't see a huge downgrade.
Murray is another guy who could be a difference maker. He's going to need to move around a lot to get throwing lanes but he's got one of the best receiving backs in the league and a loaded core of young receivers. The cardinals o line sucked last year, but that's at least partially because all 5 of their starters were on IR. With his running ability and those weapons in an offense built for him, there's a very high ceiling.
3.1 might even get one of those guys. But let's say you get Terry Mclaurin instead. Haskins college receiver, runs a 4.35, well known as a hard worker, willing blocker and consistently improving route runner. I like him better than Isabella.
I'm not saying that those guys are the best guys to target. There's a lot of good guys. But i'd gladly take 3 of those guys over one shot at 1.2 this year.
I finished an early draft recently. I tried hard to buy into the second and third rounds. Nobody wanted to move their picks. The guy with 1.2 tried hard to move down. Nobody offered what he thought it was worth. Maybe that's because