I've just finished reading the eBook and have a few questions for the staff or anyone else who may know the answers.
Dodds wrote a section on heuristics. Are these built into his projections? For example, does a RB get an additional adjustment for being a home favorite?If not, wouldn't that make the projections better? I realize that by starting with Vegas O/U and implied scores builds a little of that into the projections but it seems like his study was done using his projections, applying those filters after.
Second, are there any plans to add variance to the stats? Having a floor and ceiling based upon historical variance for each player or matchup would seem to be very helpful in construction GPP versus cash games. It could be two more options added to the points, value, and H value options.
Thanks.
Dodds wrote a section on heuristics. Are these built into his projections? For example, does a RB get an additional adjustment for being a home favorite?If not, wouldn't that make the projections better? I realize that by starting with Vegas O/U and implied scores builds a little of that into the projections but it seems like his study was done using his projections, applying those filters after.
Second, are there any plans to add variance to the stats? Having a floor and ceiling based upon historical variance for each player or matchup would seem to be very helpful in construction GPP versus cash games. It could be two more options added to the points, value, and H value options.
Thanks.