Maybe I need a nap, or somebody else can clarify the point.
When I looked at the comments about groovus' proposal having a major increase in the prison population, IMO the only way that happens if people who normally aren't prone to breaking the law decide to start doing so because of non-compliance with that ban.
The people who are already breaking the law and having a higher % of landing in prison right now for whatever reason - drug trafficking, assault, guns, whatever, will have similar likelihood of landing there after the ban right? So the ban wouldn't effect that subgroup of the population much at all besides adding length to their sentence if they are in possession of an illegal firearm after the ban. So I am trying to parse out if whoever thinks there would be a jump up of the prison #s, is that because of that second group and adding on more years to their sentence would congest the system a lot more, or do they think that the first case will be true as well and a big number of gun owners would choose not to comply with the ban and risk getting caught?
You don't need a nap, you need to wake up.
I could draw a picture. But, I don't think that will help. Your mind is closed to right now.
Someone that is carrying a half ounce of weed is not getting arrested.
They are breaking the law, but not getting sent to jail. = Prison population is 0
Currently, someone that is carrying a half ounce of weed and a legal handgun is
still breaking the law, but not getting sent to jail = Prison population is still 0.
After the ban, someone is carrying a half ounce of weed and an illegal handgun, are now going to be sent to jail
for the handgun charges = Prison population 1.
Meanwhile, the guy that
never was breaking the law (myself included) has given up his guns. I wasn't a criminal before, I'm not a criminal now. I was never going to be part of the prison population.
We've talked about the gun deaths, the suicide rate, the number of hunters, etc. We know that roughly 20% of the gun deaths are due to gang related violence. Do you believe that a gang member is going to turn in his guns? Some of them have already lost their legal right to own a handgun, yet they still find a way to carry them.