MAC_32 said:
I'd plan on a RB at 1.1...and I would pool all of my resources to try and get another pick sometime in the middle of the 2nd round. Pick Young at 2.1, get in on the WR goodness in the middle of the 2nd, then figure the rest out after that is accomplished. While I mentioned wanting to pick a LB at 3.1 above (it comes with risk) but I think there's a reasonable possibility you'd be able to acquire a LB from that same tier 5-12 picks later.
These are all great thoughts above. I can't stress how blown away I am by you, northern exposure, Flying Elvis, the whole lot of you guys taking time to help me.
So let's get down to feedback on the feedback. Burgess and the wasted auction bucks (6 out of 304). He got replaced by the Raven after I chased him. Until then, he was competing for ILB with Cashman, and came so cheaply. I went for it. I have one quibble: Williamson is likely a cut or restructure candidate. You know I follow the Jets. That's what I've been reading. That's the best I can suss out. As for LVR, Morrow is out the barn, as it were. You're right. I went by the projections given by Fantasy Sharks. He didn't cost more than six bucks, either. I've been playing catch-up with knowing the defensive side of the ball for the league. I'm going to slip. Sean Lee cost a buck, though. The slips haven't killed me. I overpaid for McKinney. I think I went to $110 at auction. That's a lot. Mea culpa on getting into a bidding war.
As for the draft, I was going to scrap the idea of spending a top 15 on defense. I've been doing mocks where I keep my original position and draft 1.01 and onward. Then I do mocks where I trade down and out of 1.01 and 2.01, pick up picks 1.06, 1.07, 2.04 and 2.06 from one owner in my league, and I've ascertained what will be there when I pick. I like the spot that trading down gives me. I'm going to pursue it after the draft with vigor. I'm not counting on agreement for trading down, though. I've certainly done my diligence on the 1.01. It's likely Swift depending on his landing spot. That's who I think is the best pure player in the draft outside of Ruggs III. Ruggs III and Swift will flip flop in my head. I get images of Ruggs III streaking downfield. I'm a sucker for speed at WR. You'll see me in other threads loving T. Hill, W. Fuller, greatly overvaluing K. Stills, etc. It's not going away, this need for the game stretcher that I have. T. Hill looks like a joystick controls him. Enough.
I was going 3.1 at LB, but you seem not to agree with that. I thought, after the auctions, my DL would generally be passable this upcoming year, if old. The only guys that average way above what I figure to be getting are Tier I guys. Clowney, Pierre-Paul, Houston, Ford, and Richardson all average Tier II years when healthy. Paul actually average Tier I. Tier One guys (guys in the top twelve) average 10.1 PPG the past two years in our system, the Tier II guys (the next twelve) average about 9 PPG. That's something that I looked into. The top five guys overall average 12.2 PPG, and that's where the disparity comes in. Playing a Bosa or Garrett or their ilk with a Clowney. (As Eminem would say, that's like comparing Dre to a Dupri.)
Regarding this last quoted one, I have no idea what resources to pull together to swing a mid 2nd that'd be worth it, though. I have very little on the defensive side of the ball. On offense, think thin. My quick thought is to work a trade amenable to me and the other owner: I could try and deal Melvin Gordon for someone I covet plus a second-rounder. Perfect example: Kareem Hunt and a mid-2nd, which holds a trade calculator value that is nearly even to Gordon's, but then that particular owner doesn't have a second. I could try and deal Gordon for a piece and a second, but that's going to be tough. Gordon's value slides every day. It's going to take game scores to bump him back up at the age of twenty-seven. It seems easy to say "pick up a second rounder." It's like the old refrain about baseball and that "second starter" that SABR guys began to debunk in the mid-90s. If it were a toss-off, all teams would do it.
But your feedback is wonderfully appreciated. Truly. Thanks for taking the time, MAC_32. You're a mensch for looking at someone's roster and really thinking about it. Bravo.
Peace,
RA