2010 Top 3 RB (1 Viewer)

[Brutis]

Steven JacksonWillis McGaheeMB IIISleeper: LaDainian Tomlinson. People seem to think he's winding down (he's not on any lists I saw in this thread) but I think, with Lorenzo Neal healthy and playing (?) LT will have a very storng showing in 2008.

I have the 1.3 pick in a initial dynasty draft coming up and I have a feeling I will be choosing between LT and addai. Right now I would go with LT, I think he has atleast 3 good years left. Right now my list for 2010 would be:APSJAXLT

 

[Brewzers]

Steven JacksonWillis McGaheeMB IIISleeper: LaDainian Tomlinson. People seem to think he's winding down (he's not on any lists I saw in this thread) but I think, with Lorenzo Neal healthy and playing (?) LT will have a very storng showing in 2008.

I have the 1.3 pick in a initial dynasty draft coming up and I have a feeling I will be choosing between LT and addai. Right now I would go with LT, I think he has atleast 3 good years left. Right now my list for 2010 would be:APSJAXLT

I don't think LT will be there (3) years from now. I looked back at the top 3 RBs over the past 10 years (total group of 30) and 2/3 of the top 3 RBs fell into the 25 - 28 year old category. Outside of that prime 25 - 28 year old category, odds were better than 2:1 the last spot was younger than 25 versus older than 28. I would bet on ADP being in the top three in 2010. The others will likely emerge from the following who are entering their prime production years....Addai, Gore, Barber or Jackson. Most likely a rookie such as DMC or Stewart (it depends on situation) will emerge as well. I wouldn't be so confident to spend my 1.03 pick on LT if you have a three year horizon.

 

[cstu]

Steven JacksonWillis McGaheeMB IIISleeper: LaDainian Tomlinson. People seem to think he's winding down (he's not on any lists I saw in this thread) but I think, with Lorenzo Neal healthy and playing (?) LT will have a very storng showing in 2008.

I have the 1.3 pick in a initial dynasty draft coming up and I have a feeling I will be choosing between LT and addai. Right now I would go with LT, I think he has atleast 3 good years left. Right now my list for 2010 would be:APSJAXLT

I don't think LT will be there (3) years from now. I looked back at the top 3 RBs over the past 10 years (total group of 30) and 2/3 of the top 3 RBs fell into the 25 - 28 year old category. Outside of that prime 25 - 28 year old category, odds were better than 2:1 the last spot was younger than 25 versus older than 28. I would bet on ADP being in the top three in 2010. The others will likely emerge from the following who are entering their prime production years....Addai, Gore, Barber or Jackson. Most likely a rookie such as DMC or Stewart (it depends on situation) will emerge as well. I wouldn't be so confident to spend my 1.03 pick on LT if you have a three year horizon.

The way I look at it is LT has the track record that very few RB's have. In the last 4 years there have been 3 RB's aged 30+ who finished in the top 3 in rushing yards - Curtis Martin, Corey Dillon and Tiki Barber. If those guys can do it then I don't think LT is any more of a long shot to do it than anyone else.

 

[Brewzers]

Steven JacksonWillis McGaheeMB IIISleeper: LaDainian Tomlinson. People seem to think he's winding down (he's not on any lists I saw in this thread) but I think, with Lorenzo Neal healthy and playing (?) LT will have a very storng showing in 2008.

I have the 1.3 pick in a initial dynasty draft coming up and I have a feeling I will be choosing between LT and addai. Right now I would go with LT, I think he has atleast 3 good years left. Right now my list for 2010 would be:APSJAXLT

I don't think LT will be there (3) years from now. I looked back at the top 3 RBs over the past 10 years (total group of 30) and 2/3 of the top 3 RBs fell into the 25 - 28 year old category. Outside of that prime 25 - 28 year old category, odds were better than 2:1 the last spot was younger than 25 versus older than 28. I would bet on ADP being in the top three in 2010. The others will likely emerge from the following who are entering their prime production years....Addai, Gore, Barber or Jackson. Most likely a rookie such as DMC or Stewart (it depends on situation) will emerge as well. I wouldn't be so confident to spend my 1.03 pick on LT if you have a three year horizon.

The way I look at it is LT has the track record that very few RB's have. In the last 4 years there have been 3 RB's aged 30+ who finished in the top 3 in rushing yards - Curtis Martin, Corey Dillon and Tiki Barber. If those guys can do it then I don't think LT is any more of a long shot to do it than anyone else.

I was looking at FF points. In the last 10 years, there were 3 instances of an RB older than 28 to crack the top 3. Priest Holmes did it at 29 & 30, Tiki Barber did it at 29. I'm not saying LT can't produce top 10 numbers at ages 29 -31. I am saying the odds are against him being a top 3 producer in 2010 at age 31. I wouldn't count on that.

 

[brednbuddah]

I already have seen my list a few times, so no need to post, but hasn't anyone mentioned Len Dale yet?

Generally top-3 lists are reserved for RBs with talent... or in the case of PPR top-3 lists, RBs that are either talented or catch a lot of balls. LenDale fails to qualify on both counts.Edit: Look at the list of RBs who were still producing in 2007 after being productive in 2004. It's short, and generally reserved for the HoFers or, at the very least, the HoVGers- the real elite talents, the Tomlinsons, Taylors, and Edgerrin Jameses of the world. Do you really think that LenDale White and his 3.7 career ypc are that caliber of player?

I see your point, but the guy did have over 300 carries in a season where he split time. had 7 games with 20+ carries and two were 30+. that's a lot of trust for a second year back guys a work horse. I think he\s atleast worth consideration.

And John Kitna had 596 pass attempts in 2006. That's a lot of trust for a QB, and he has a history of high-attempt seasons (he has played 16 games 4 times, and has ranked 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 7th in attempts in those 4 seasons). Is he worth consideration for top-3 QBs three years from now? And Chris Chambers gets an INSANE amount of targets- just think how much trust that shows! He should be strongly considered for any top-3 WR polls of this nature, right?It's not about how many attempts you get, it's about what you do with those attempts when you get them, and LenDale (like Kitna and Chambers) is, to put it bluntly, TERRIBLE with the attempts that he's given. Even more than that, the NFL is a league where talent always wins out. LenDale has yet to show any major talent, which leads me to question whether he'll even still be in the league three years from now.Like I said, look at the list of RBs who start for more than 3 consecutive seasons. Looking at this year's top 20 fantasy producers, the only guys who were also in the top 20 in 2004 are Tomlinson, Westbrook, Portis, McGahee, Edgerrin James, and Fred Taylor. That's the complete list. Do you really think that LenDale White is in the same stratosphere, talent-wise, as those notables?

ok, attempts doesn't mean a guy has talent. I gotcha there.I don't think 1,124 total yards, 3.7ypc and 7TDs is terrible from a fantasy perspective for a guy who is only entering his 3rd year in the league. To answer your question, as of now, no. Len Dale hasn't performed to the level of the guys you mentioned, but that doesn't mean he can't. I do think he could be a sleeper for the top three if he's able keep the fumbles to a minimum.

 

[Sheriff66]

It took 32 post for M. Turner to pop up, but all this love for Bradshaw ?

 

[Rev]

1. AD

2. SJax

3. Addai

Sleeper: Kenny Irons

I don't see any of the 2008 rookies turning into a top 3 prospect in a year or two, but it could definitely happen.

 

[geoff8695]

1. ADP

2. MJD

3. SJAX

Sleeper: Michael "the burner" Turner

 

[SSOG]

I already have seen my list a few times, so no need to post, but hasn't anyone mentioned Len Dale yet?

Generally top-3 lists are reserved for RBs with talent... or in the case of PPR top-3 lists, RBs that are either talented or catch a lot of balls. LenDale fails to qualify on both counts.Edit: Look at the list of RBs who were still producing in 2007 after being productive in 2004. It's short, and generally reserved for the HoFers or, at the very least, the HoVGers- the real elite talents, the Tomlinsons, Taylors, and Edgerrin Jameses of the world. Do you really think that LenDale White and his 3.7 career ypc are that caliber of player?

I see your point, but the guy did have over 300 carries in a season where he split time. had 7 games with 20+ carries and two were 30+. that's a lot of trust for a second year back guys a work horse. I think he\s atleast worth consideration.

And John Kitna had 596 pass attempts in 2006. That's a lot of trust for a QB, and he has a history of high-attempt seasons (he has played 16 games 4 times, and has ranked 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 7th in attempts in those 4 seasons). Is he worth consideration for top-3 QBs three years from now? And Chris Chambers gets an INSANE amount of targets- just think how much trust that shows! He should be strongly considered for any top-3 WR polls of this nature, right?It's not about how many attempts you get, it's about what you do with those attempts when you get them, and LenDale (like Kitna and Chambers) is, to put it bluntly, TERRIBLE with the attempts that he's given. Even more than that, the NFL is a league where talent always wins out. LenDale has yet to show any major talent, which leads me to question whether he'll even still be in the league three years from now.Like I said, look at the list of RBs who start for more than 3 consecutive seasons. Looking at this year's top 20 fantasy producers, the only guys who were also in the top 20 in 2004 are Tomlinson, Westbrook, Portis, McGahee, Edgerrin James, and Fred Taylor. That's the complete list. Do you really think that LenDale White is in the same stratosphere, talent-wise, as those notables?

ok, attempts doesn't mean a guy has talent. I gotcha there.I don't think 1,124 total yards, 3.7ypc and 7TDs is terrible from a fantasy perspective for a guy who is only entering his 3rd year in the league. To answer your question, as of now, no. Len Dale hasn't performed to the level of the guys you mentioned, but that doesn't mean he can't. I do think he could be a sleeper for the top three if he's able keep the fumbles to a minimum.

It's not terrible from a fantasy perspective, but in order to remain a productive fantasy player, a guy must remain a productive NFL player. Someone might get a ton of attempts despite sucking one year, but he's not going to do it year after year after year (see Droughns, Reuben). As a result, it doesn't matter that he had a decent enough fantasy season, what matters is that he had a TERRIBLE real season. His 3.65 ypc ranked 39th in the league among RBs with at least 100 carries. Among RBs with at least 200 carries, he only beat out Thomas Jones, Deshaun Foster, Shaun Alexander, and Warrick Dunn- making LenDale the 5th horseman of the apocalypse.Thomas Jones had 300 carries this season, too, but that doesn't mean he's a potential top-3 fantasy RB next year. LenDale's season was essentially identical to Jones'. And, oh yeah, by the way, his backup averaged 4.6 yards per carry.I know I'm sort of belaboring the point, but I just really believe that LenDale isn't just a mediocre RB, he's an honest-to-goodness BAD RB, and out-and-out bad RBs don't last long in the league.

 

[comfortably numb]

1. Addai

2. Sjax

3. Lucky

4. Maroney

 

[pinda]

1. Addai

2. Sjax

3. Lucky

4. Maroney

:X :X