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2011 Baseball Props (1 Viewer)

The Ref

The Ref

Footballguy
<P>Sorry guys - I cant paste the file here without it being a huge mess. I'll try and format and post.</P>

 
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ETA GONNA ETA here shortly, ha.

ICHIRO SUZUKI

Mar 31 22301 I SUZUKI TOTAL RS HITS o197½-125

1:00 PM 22302 I SUZUKI TOTAL RS HITS u197½-105

NICK MARKAKIS

Mar 31 22305 N MARKAKIS TOTAL RS HITS o176½-115

1:00 PM 22306 N MARKAKIS TOTAL RS HITS u176½-115

JOE MAUER

Mar 31 22307 J MAUER TOTAL RS HITS o164½-130

1:00 PM 22308 J MAUER TOTAL RS HITS u164½EV

ROBINSON CANO

Mar 31 22309 R CANO TOTAL RS HITS o185½-130

1:00 PM 22310 R CANO TOTAL RS HITS u185½EV

MARTIN PRADO

Mar 31 22311 M PRADO TOTAL RS HITS o175½-115

1:00 PM 22312 M PRADO TOTAL RS HITS u175½-115

CARLOS GONZALEZ

Mar 31 22313 C GONZALEZ TOTAL RS HITS o184½EV

1:00 PM 22314 C GONZALEZ TOTAL RS HITS u184½-130

DUSTIN PEDROIA

Mar 31 22315 D PEDROIA TOTAL RS HITS o175½-115

1:00 PM 22316 D PEDROIA TOTAL RS HITS u175½-115

ALBERT PUJOLS

Mar 31 22317 A PUJOLS TOTAL RS HITS o177½-115

1:00 PM 22318 A PUJOLS TOTAL RS HITS u177½-115

SHIN-SOO CHOO

Mar 31 22319 SHIN-SOO-CHOO TOTAL RS HITS o157½-115

1:00 PM 22320 SHIN-SOO-CHOO TOTAL RS HITS u157½-115

HUNTER PENCE

Mar 31 22321 H PENCE TOTAL RS HITS o167½-115

1:00 PM 22322 H PENCE TOTAL RS HITS u167½-115

CARL CRAWFORD

Mar 31 22323 C CRAWFORD TOTAL RS HITS o180½-115

1:00 PM 22324 C CRAWFORD TOTAL RS HITS u180½-115

AUSTIN JACKSON

Mar 31 22325 A JACKSON TOTAL RS HITS o172½-105

1:00 PM 22326 A JACKSON TOTAL RS HITS u172½-125

ANDREW MCCUTCHEN

Mar 31 22327 A MCCUTCHEN TOTAL RS HITS o168½-115

1:00 PM 22328 A MCCUTCHEN TOTAL RS HITS u168½-115

RYAN HOWARD

Mar 31 22329 R HOWARD RS HOME RUNS o37½-120

1:00 PM 22330 R HOWARD RS HOME RUNS u37½-110

PRINCE FIELDER

Mar 31 22331 P FIELDER RS HOME RUNS o37½-115

1:00 PM 22332 P FIELDER RS HOME RUNS u37½-115

ALBERT PUJOLS

Mar 31 22335 A PUJOLS RS HOME RUNS o39-115

1:00 PM 22336 A PUJOLS RS HOME RUNS u39-115

RYAN BRAUN

Mar 31 22337 R BRAUN RS HOME RUNS o30½-115

1:00 PM 22338 R BRAUN RS HOME RUNS u30½-115

JOSE BAUTISTA

Mar 31 22339 J BAUTISTA RS HOME RUNS o29-125

1:00 PM 22340 J BAUTISTA RS HOME RUNS u29-105

MIGUEL CABRERA

Mar 31 22341 M CABRERA RS HOME RUNS o35-115

1:00 PM 22342 M CABRERA RS HOME RUNS u35-115

TROY TULOWITZKI

Mar 31 22343 T TULOWITZKI RS HOME RUNS o28½-115

1:00 PM 22344 T TULOWITZKI RS HOME RUNS u28½-115

CARLOS PENA

Mar 31 22345 C PENA RS HOME RUNS o27½-115

1:00 PM 22346 C PENA RS HOME RUNS u27½-115

ANDRE ETHIER

Mar 31 22347 A ETHIER RS HOME RUNS o23½-115

1:00 PM 22348 A ETHIER RS HOME RUNS u23½-115

ADRIAN GONZALEZ

Mar 31 22349 AD GONZALEZ RS HOME RUNS o37-115

1:00 PM 22350 AD GONZALEZ RS HOME RUNS u37-115

DAVID WRIGHT

Mar 31 22351 D WRIGHT RS HOME RUNS o25½-115

1:00 PM 22352 D WRIGHT RS HOME RUNS u25½-115

RYAN ZIMMERMAN

Mar 31 22353 R ZIMMERMAN RS HOME RUNS o26½-115

1:00 PM 22354 R ZIMMERMAN RS HOME RUNS u26½-115

MATT HOLLIDAY

Mar 31 22355 M HOLLIDAY RS HOME RUNS o24½-120

1:00 PM 22356 M HOLLIDAY RS HOME RUNS u24½-110

CARLOS GONZALEZ

Mar 31 22357 C GONZALEZ RS HOME RUNS o30½-115

1:00 PM 22358 C GONZALEZ RS HOME RUNS u30½-115

ALEX RODRIGUEZ

Mar 31 22359 A RODRIGUEZ RS HOME RUNS o33-120

1:00 PM 22360 A RODRIGUEZ RS HOME RUNS u33-110

ADAM DUNN

Mar 31 22361 A DUNN RS HOME RUNS o36½-115

1:00 PM 22362 A DUNN RS HOME RUNS u36½-115

JOSH HAMILTON

Mar 31 22363 J HAMILTON RS HOME RUNS o28½-115

1:00 PM 22364 J HAMILTON RS HOME RUNS u28½-115

MARK TEIXEIRA

Mar 31 22365 M TEIXEIRA RS HOME RUNS o33½-130

1:00 PM 22366 M TEIXEIRA RS HOME RUNS u33½EV

JASON HEYWARD

Mar 31 22367 J HEYWARD RS HOME RUNS o24½-115

1:00 PM 22368 J HEYWARD RS HOME RUNS u24½-115

EVAN LONGORIA

Mar 31 22369 E LONGORIA RS HOME RUNS o27½-115

1:00 PM 22370 E LONGORIA RS HOME RUNS u27½-115

NELSON CRUZ

Mar 31 22371 N CRUZ RS HOME RUNS o27½-115

1:00 PM 22372 N CRUZ RS HOME RUNS u27½-115

MARK REYNOLDS

Mar 31 22373 M REYNOLDS RS HOME RUNS o30½-115

1:00 PM 22374 M REYNOLDS RS HOME RUNS u30½-115

HANLEY RAMIREZ

Mar 31 22375 H RAMIREZ RS HOME RUNS o23½-115

1:00 PM 22376 H RAMIREZ RS HOME RUNS u23½-115

JAYSON WERTH

Mar 31 22377 J WERTH RS HOME RUNS o21½-115

1:00 PM 22378 J WERTH RS HOME RUNS u21½-115

MIKE STANTON

Mar 31 22379 M STANTON RS HOME RUNS o29½-115

1:00 PM 22380 M STANTON RS HOME RUNS u29½-115

BUSTER POSEY

Mar 31 22381 B POSEY RS HOME RUNS o19½-115

1:00 PM 22382 B POSEY RS HOME RUNS u19½-115

ROBINSON CANO

Mar 31 22383 R CANO RS HOME RUNS o25½-105

1:00 PM 22384 R CANO RS HOME RUNS u25½-125

JAY BRUCE

Mar 31 22385 J BRUCE RS HOME RUNS o29½-125

1:00 PM 22386 J BRUCE RS HOME RUNS u29½-105

JOEY VOTTO

Mar 31 22387 J VOTTO RS HOME RUNS o31½-110

1:00 PM 22388 J VOTTO RS HOME RUNS u31½-120

CHRIS CARPENTER

Mar 31 22389 C CARPENTER TOTAL RS WINS o14½EV

1:00 PM 22390 C CARPENTER TOTAL RS WINS u14½-130

CLAY BUCHHOLZ

Mar 31 22391 C BUCHHOLZ TOTAL RS WINS o14½-120

1:00 PM 22392 C BUCHHOLZ TOTAL RS WINS u14½-110

CJ WILSON

Mar 31 22393 CJ WILSON TOTAL RS WINS o13½-115

1:00 PM 22394 CJ WILSON TOTAL RS WINS u13½-115

CLAYTON KERSHAW

Mar 31 22395 C KERSHAW TOTAL RS WINS o13½-130

1:00 PM 22396 C KERSHAW TOTAL RS WINS u13½EV

DAVID PRICE

Mar 31 22397 D PRICE TOTAL RS WINS o15½+115

1:00 PM 22398 D PRICE TOTAL RS WINS u15½-145

JOSH JOHNSON

Mar 31 22399 J JOHNSON TOTAL RS WINS o13½+110

1:00 PM 22400 J JOHNSON TOTAL RS WINS u13½-140

ZACH GREINKE

Mar 31 22401 Z GREINKE TOTAL RS WINS o13½-105

1:00 PM 22402 Z GREINKE TOTAL RS WINS u13½-125

JON LESTER

Mar 31 22403 J LESTER RS WINS o16-125

1:00 PM 22404 J LESTER RS WINS u16-105

UBALDO JIMENEZ

Mar 31 22405 U JIMENEZ TOTAL RS WINS o14½-115

1:00 PM 22406 U JIMENEZ TOTAL RS WINS u14½-115

JUSTIN VERLANDER

Mar 31 22407 J VERLANDER TOTAL RS WINS o15½-115

1:00 PM 22408 J VERLANDER TOTAL RS WINS u15½-115

FELIX HERNANDEZ

Mar 31 22409 F HERNANDEZ TOTAL RS WINS o14½-115

1:00 PM 22410 F HERNANDEZ TOTAL RS WINS u14½-115

CC SABATHIA

Mar 31 22411 CC SABATHIA TOTAL RS WINS o17-135

1:00 PM 22412 CC SABATHIA TOTAL RS WINS u17+105

ROY HALLADAY

Mar 31 22413 R HALLADAY TOTAL RS WINS o18-120

1:00 PM 22414 R HALLADAY TOTAL RS WINS u18-110

TIM LINCECUM

Mar 31 22415 T LINCECUM TOTAL RS WINS o15½-125

1:00 PM 22416 T LINCECUM TOTAL RS WINS u15½-105

MATT CAIN

Mar 31 22417 M CAIN TOTAL RS WINS o13½-105

1:00 PM 22418 M CAIN TOTAL RS WINS u13½-125

ROY OSWALT

Mar 31 22419 R OSWALT TOTAL RS WINS o13½-145

1:00 PM 22420 R OSWALT TOTAL RS WINS u13½+115

CLIFF LEE

Mar 31 22421 C LEE TOTAL RS WINS o15½-135

1:00 PM 22422 C LEE TOTAL RS WINS u15½+105

FRANCISCO LIRIANO

Mar 31 22423 F LIRIANO TOTAL RS WINS o12½-115

1:00 PM 22424 F LIRIANO TOTAL RS WINS u12½-115

TREVOR CAHILL

Mar 31 22425 T CAHILL TOTAL RS WINS o13½+105

1:00 PM 22426 T CAHILL TOTAL RS WINS u13½-135

COLE HAMELS

Mar 31 22427 C HAMELS TOTAL RS WINS o14½EV

1:00 PM 22428 C HAMELS TOTAL RS WINS u14½-130

JERED WEAVER

Mar 31 22429 J WEAVER TOTAL RS WINS o13½-105

1:00 PM 22430 J WEAVER TOTAL RS WINS u13½-125

HUSTON STREET

Mar 31 22431 H STREET TOTAL RS SAVES o28½-115

1:00 PM 22432 H STREET TOTAL RS SAVES u28½-115

JONATHAN PAPELBON

Mar 31 22433 J PAPELBON TOTAL RS SAVES o36½-115

1:00 PM 22434 J PAPELBON TOTAL RS SAVES u36½-115

CARLOS MARMOL

Mar 31 22435 C MARMOL RS SAVES o36½-115

1:00 PM 22436 C MARMOL RS SAVES u36½-115

FRANCISCO CORDERO

Mar 31 22437 F CORDERO TOTAL RS SAVES o32½-115

1:00 PM 22438 F CORDERO TOTAL RS SAVES u32½-115

JOAKIM SORIA

Mar 31 22439 J SORIA TOTAL RS SAVES o34½-115

1:00 PM 22440 J SORIA TOTAL RS SAVES u34½-115

MARIANO RIVERA

Mar 31 22441 M RIVERA TOTAL RS SAVES o34½-115

1:00 PM 22442 M RIVERA TOTAL RS SAVES u34½-115

HEATH BELL

Mar 31 22443 H BELL TOTAL RS SAVES o35½-115

1:00 PM 22444 H BELL TOTAL RS SAVES u35½-115

 
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Usually I like unders on these types of props, but I think these 2 are easy...

Bautista over 29 HRs. He has the everyday job and his new aggressive approach resulted in 50+ homers last year. If you don't think he'll be swinging for the fences this year, you're crazy. His power is legit and not much has changed since last year for him or the team.

Cordero over 32.5 saves. He seems refocused this spring in his contract year, but its really all about his situation. He's on a team that wins a lot of games, plays close games, never gets complete games, has good setup men to get to him, and has a manager that will never give anyone else the ball in the 9th. It matters very little how he pitches, he's getting 40 saves. He got 40 last year despite his highest ERA and WHIP in 10 years.

 
Seriously doubt there's any value in any of these at lines that clearly all started at -115. But if you were so inclined, best method would be to go to Fangraphs, pull up the player profile, and see if the Bill James, Marcel and ZiPS projections all agree on one side, and by a semi-decent margin. And then if you have access to PECOTA, those too.

I'm guessing it's not even worth trying for wins and saves. Maybe some of the HR totals, though. I did a search for CarGo under for Home Runs on suspicion that the under was a good bet and that was sort of confirmed- projections of 28, 22 and 27.

 
3 overs

SHIN-SOO CHOO

Mar 31 22319 SHIN-SOO-CHOO TOTAL RS HITS o157½-115

ROBINSON CANO

Mar 31 22383 R CANO RS HOME RUNS o25½-105

ZACH GREINKE

Mar 31 22401 Z GREINKE TOTAL RS WINS o13½-105

3 unders

RYAN HOWARD

1:00 PM 22330 R HOWARD RS HOME RUNS u37½-110

DAVID PRICE

1:00 PM 22398 D PRICE TOTAL RS WINS u15½-145

JOSH JOHNSON

1:00 PM 22400 J JOHNSON TOTAL RS WINS u13½-140

 
Mar 31 22361 A DUNN RS HOME RUNS o36½-115

It's a high total but he's beat it 7 years straight and now he's hitting in the Cell. All he needs to do is stay healthy.

 
M STANTON RS HOME RUNS o29½-115

He had 22 HRs last year in 100 games. Looks like he could be batting behind Hanley and in front of Gabby Sanchez so he should get some pitches to hit.

 
'JaxBill said:
M STANTON RS HOME RUNS o29½-115 He had 22 HRs last year in 100 games. Looks like he could be batting behind Hanley and in front of Gabby Sanchez so he should get some pitches to hit.
Click to expand...
Tempting as this is, and he could hit 40 for all I know, this is exactly the kind of prop that I would avoid. The guy is still a child and has a massive hole in his swing. 30 is a huge number.
 
I bet a ton of them but these are the ones I hit hardest, from Bodog.

Wandy Rodriguez O 11 wins -115

Brett Anderson O 11.5 wins -115

CJ Wilson U 15 wins -115

Manny Ramirez O 15.5 hrs -115

Mark Buehrle O 12.5 wins -115

Vlad Guerrero O 21.5 hrs -115

 
'Limp Ditka said:
3 overs

SHIN-SOO CHOO

Mar 31 22319 SHIN-SOO-CHOO TOTAL RS HITS o157½-115

ROBINSON CANO

Mar 31 22383 R CANO RS HOME RUNS o25½-105

ZACH GREINKE

Mar 31 22401 Z GREINKE TOTAL RS WINS o13½-105

3 unders

RYAN HOWARD

1:00 PM 22330 R HOWARD RS HOME RUNS u37½-110

DAVID PRICE

1:00 PM 22398 D PRICE TOTAL RS WINS u15½-145

JOSH JOHNSON

1:00 PM 22400 J JOHNSON TOTAL RS WINS u13½-140
Click to expand...
I hopped on your Choo-Choo train, LD. COME ON! And I was already down on Price under, cool. Considering Howard, as I kinda like to fade big names like that. However, we are on the other side with Cano and Greinke :boxing: , although my lines on each are a point higher...from a month ago.
 
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:lmao:

Opening day. :banned: All of a sudden feel like adding a prop on every starting player in MLB!

 
My book does not offer player props, so I had to go with a few team wagers. My faves value are ATL & TOR:



ODDS TO WIN 2011 WORLD SERIES

[17002] ATLANTA BRAVES +1700

100 / 1700

ODDS TO WIN NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT

[17046] ATLANTA BRAVES +900

100 / 900

ODDS TO WIN NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT

[17053] MILWAUKEE BREWERS +800

50 / 400

ODDS TO WIN AMERICAN LEAGUE EAST DIVISION

[17065] TORONTO BLUE JAYS +1800

50 / 900

ODDS TO WIN AMERICAN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION

[17067] CLEVELAND INDIANS +1800

50 / 900

ODDS TO WIN 2011 AMERICAN LEAGUE PENNANT

[17031] BALTIMORE ORIOLES +2200

50 / 1100

ODDS TO WIN 2011 AMERICAN LEAGUE PENNANT

[17044] TORONTO BLUE JAYS +2500

70 / 1750

STRAIGHT BET

[53057] TOTAL o77-120

(TORONTO BLUE JAYS RSW vrs TORONTO BLUE JAYS RSW)

240 / 200

ODDS TO WIN 2011 WORLD SERIES

[17028] TORONTO BLUE JAYS +5500

50 / 2750

 
'Limp Ditka said:
3 overs

SHIN-SOO CHOO

Mar 31 22319 SHIN-SOO-CHOO TOTAL RS HITS o157½-115

:tfp:



Still, he's on pace for 140. A nice 2-3 week hot streak could get him right back on pace.

ROBINSON CANO

Mar 31 22383 R CANO RS HOME RUNS o25½-105

:moneybag:

ZACH GREINKE

Mar 31 22401 Z GREINKE TOTAL RS WINS o13½-105



Missed a bunch of time, still on pace for 14 wins. This one should be close when it's all said and done

3 unders

RYAN HOWARD

1:00 PM 22330 R HOWARD RS HOME RUNS u37½-110

On pace for 35. Should be close.

DAVID PRICE

1:00 PM 22398 D PRICE TOTAL RS WINS u15½-145

On pace for 16. Again, should be close

JOSH JOHNSON

1:00 PM 22400 J JOHNSON TOTAL RS WINS u13½-140

:moneybag:



On pace for 7 wins, but he's not due back until after ASB. This should be a lock
Click to expand...
Only real bad bet right now would be the Choo one
 
'Limp Ditka said:
3 overs

SHIN-SOO CHOO

Mar 31 22319 SHIN-SOO-CHOO TOTAL RS HITS o157½-115

He was having a #### year, but I really think injury is the only thing that stopped him

ROBINSON CANO

Mar 31 22383 R CANO RS HOME RUNS o25½-105

On pace for 28

ZACH GREINKE

Mar 31 22401 Z GREINKE TOTAL RS WINS o13½-105

Just won #12 tonight.

3 unders

RYAN HOWARD

1:00 PM 22330 R HOWARD RS HOME RUNS u37½-110

On pace for 34. Needs a late run to hit 38

DAVID PRICE

1:00 PM 22398 D PRICE TOTAL RS WINS u15½-145

On pace for 14. Need to pitch like today to get to 16

JOSH JOHNSON

1:00 PM 22400 J JOHNSON TOTAL RS WINS u13½-140

Winner
Click to expand...
Good chance to hit everything but Choo.
 
'Mr. Pickles said:
'JaxBill said:
M STANTON RS HOME RUNS o29½-115 He had 22 HRs last year in 100 games. Looks like he could be batting behind Hanley and in front of Gabby Sanchez so he should get some pitches to hit.
Click to expand...
Tempting as this is, and he could hit 40 for all I know, this is exactly the kind of prop that I would avoid. The guy is still a child and has a massive hole in his swing. 30 is a huge number.
Click to expand...
One away.
 
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