So I had a huge post written up with notes on plays from the Vikings game through the end of the 3rd, but somehow managed to lose it going back and forth between the film and the board in the browser. Serves me right for not typing it in Word and pasting it in I guess. Here's what I remember.
The Vikings played man coverage (either tight or off depending on distance/situation) with a single high safety almost the whole game. They kept the 2nd S in the box as the 7th man. This seems to be the number that will drive them away from the run. At times in the 3rd quarter they split the TE a few yards outside to take another guy out of the box.
Both Peters and Johnson had trouble with the DEs, Peters got beat cleanly at least 3 times, Johnson struggled consistently to get into his vertical set fast enough to stop Robison collapsing if not turning the corner. The interior 3 were pretty good, apart from a couple of misses on Heremanns.
The run blocking was inconsistent as well, Heremanns and Ertz had a few misses that I noticed and overall they seemed to have less success this game with the 2 double teams at the point with guys then slipping off to attack the LBs on the Inside Zone runs. For whatever reason they weren't getting off those initial blocks and to the 2nd level and the LBs were making plays. 28 of Shady's yards came on two plays, one a nicely executed outside zone, the other what looked like a broken play where either Foles or Shady went the wrong way. Outside that there wasn't a lot of space.
They key to this offense beating this kind of defensive game plan is to take the plays that are there in the passing game, and we consistently didn't see them or didn't execute. Some examples:
- They play where Polk dropped the ball in the right flat, Cooper had 2 steps on his man down the left sideline with the S stuck between the hashes. Potential TD there.
- There was a play in the 3rd where Foles hit Ertz for 5 yds or so, but missed Shady breaking open on a wheel route covered by a S, another potential TD.
- There was a play where Foles scrambled for about 5 in the 2nd Q, don't think he had his eyes downfield on that because a few yards before he crossed the LoS, Cooper broke his route towards the sideline, with his man trailing and no other defender around, another potential TD.
- Foles badly overthrew a wide open Avant on 3rd and 16 near the right sideline, would have been a 1st.
- Foles led Cooper out of bounds on what should have been a TD pass. A better player might make the circus catch and keep his feet in bounds, but the throw was off target.
Looking at the INT live, I thought he'd thrown up a 50/50 ball and got stung for the gamble, in reality it was much worse. Jackson crossed the formation in motion, nobody came with him, which should have told Foles this was zone coverage. He was under center for this play, and turned his back for the PA fake, which may have something to do with the results. Jackson was uncovered completely off the line, Prater was actually covering Cooper until he passed him to the middle S. He kind of half trailed in no mans land (probably had deep third responsibility) and Foles just launched the ball right to him, like he didn't see him. Jackson may not have seen him either, because he was so open he'd been running with his head turned back to the ball for about 20 yards. Just a complete head scratcher.
If you look at Foles on the balls which are not thrown well, a lot of the time it seems due to sloppy footwork. When he has his feet set and gets hip rotation and back foot to front weight transfer the ball comes out with decent velocity, a nice spiral and good accuracy. At times he'll plant his front foot wide to the left or not do much with his feet at all (sometimes due to the pocket collapsing), that's when the ball seems to be off target much more often. Some of these throws do work, but at least in that game there's a clear difference in how the ball comes out based on the footwork. We already knew he's not a guy like Favre or Jeff George who can throw just with his arm, if this difference is consistent he's going to need to be conscious of being consistent with throwing off a proper platform. I'm going to watch this much more closely in the last two games to see if it's just a once off or if there's something to it.