The Colts will lose as soon as they are forced to play a physical team that can run the ball on offense and beat the crap out of Manning & Co. on defense.They've had the kind of continuity on offense that most teams can only dream of; couple that with tremendous talent and you have what they have. It's a precision offense with lots of playaction that falters when A) Manning gets confused (typically against 3-4 defenses that are much harder to audible against, e.g. NE, Pit, SD), and B) when Manning, and Harrison, and Wayne, etc., get abused (again, against larger defenses that can play physical and attack the QB).The Colts are productive, and Manning is obviously among the top QBs in the league, but for all his numbers you very rarely see the guy make an actual play (as in, make something out of nothing). He executes better than anyone in the league, but the moment he gets rattled everything goes to hell (and then he blames his O-line after the game). He's like the kid who's brilliant at math because he busts his ### to memorize every last formula, but the moment you ask him to figure something out on his own he's lost (although that 30+ yard pass to Harrison on the first drive of yesterday's game is a notable exception. He got flushed out of the pocket and actually created something out of nothing; I just about crapped myself).They're not easy to beat, but everybody knows how to go about it, and invariably (especially in the AFC), there's always one playoff team that matchs up well enough against them. I agree with the people who say that nothing has changed, although if anything I give them a better shot in January this year simply BECAUSE of all these close games that they've managed to pull out (which shows character and grit and the ability to perform even when things aren't going your way).But that being said, I still say NE or SD knocks them off when it counts.Abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz