The Jets have a legitimate shot at 9 wins, which is something the Bills and Dolphins can't say. With a good deal of luck, New York can reach 10.
But I don't see any way the Patriots lose the division, unless they:
1) Lose to the Jets @ Foxboro
2) Lose to Indianapolis
3) Lose @ Miami
4) Lose to Chicago
5) Lose @ Buffalo
6) Lose @ Jacksonville
Five of those need to happen for NE to "only" get 10 wins. For the Jets to get 10 wins, assuming they beat NE (no way the Jets can win the division without beating the Pats), they'd need six other wins: Mia, Buf, Det, Cle, Oak, Hou, GB, Min.
In other words, the Patriots can basically clinch the division by winning two of their next four games (Buf, Ind, NYJ).
If the Jets can run these next two games though, (Det and Cle), and be at 5-3 heading into the break, I think they'll definitely challenge for 10 wins. This is a team that should be better in the second half than the first, and has an easier schedule then to boot.