Andy Dufresne
Footballguy
Round 1
1. Miami - Chris Long, DE - Virginia
Yes. I know they should "trade down for more picks". But I can't see any teams in the top ten giving up much to move into the #1 spot.
So, the choice is either of the Long's or Dorsey. Dorsey is the default pick, but I think it would be tough to spend #1 overall money on a DT.
And it seems every year that a DT is talked about in the top 5 but then falters. Chris Long is a stud and will be a cornerstone for the 'Fins no matter if they run the 3-4 and 4-3.
2. St. Louis - Jake Long, OT - Michigan
Jake has been overanalyzed. He's near the same level as Joe Thomas and that pick worked out tremendously for the Browns. Orlando Pace can't stay healthy and the Rams have to do something to protect their investment in Bulger and Jackson. The combo of Long and Barron will go a long ways in improving the Rams offense.
3. Atlanta - Glenn Dorsey, DT - LSU
Why not a QB? Because none of them are good enough to go at the #3 spot. And there are rumors that Ryan said he didn't want to play for the Falcons.
Dorsey will do for Atlanta what Okoye did for Houston - get them more out of their previous year's #1 pick.
4. Oakland - Sedrick Ellis, DT - USC
A lot of people like him MORE than Dorsey. With Sapp retiring and the Raiders on the verge of having a dominant defense this seems like a no-brainer, even with McFadden on the board. If they can get more out of their d-line, they could have a top 10 defense next year. And in the AFC West, you have to stop the run.
56 tackles/12.5 for loss, 8.5 sacks, 6 deflections, 2 fumble recoveries and 1 forced = STUD.
5. Kansas City - Ryan Clady, OT - Boise St.
It's obvious that what was a strength is now a weakness for the Chiefs. Much like Levi Brown (who actually turned out pretty well for the Cards), Clady gets to move up the boards to a team that has an extreme need at the position. Clady is an excellent run blocker.
6. New York Jets - Darren McFadden, RB - Arkansas
The second biggest question of the draft (who does Miami take being number one) is "where does DMac go?" Much like the Vikings with Chester Taylor, the Jets have an above average back in Thomas Jones. But also like the Vikings, rolling with Jones meant that there were yards left on the table. I personally don't believe McFadden is in AP's league, but he's still an electric player that could really help whoever ends up playing QB for the Jets.
7. New England - Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB - Ohio St.
I know that the Pats don't take linebackers early. And I know that they don't take "insert position here" either. But their backers are getting up there in age and, really, what DO they need? Gholston is a physical specimen and a terrific pass rusher.
8. Baltimore - Matt Ryan, QB - Boston College
McNair is done. Boller hasn't shown anything and at this stage he isn't likely to. Ryan has a gunslinger mentality and can get reckless with the ball, but his leadership skills seem highly developed. Guys love playing with him and BC wouldn't have gotten far without him. A new regime would likely want to start fresh at the position and I think Ryan, for all his question marks, seems like the QB that can win the soonest and has great upside.
9. Cincinnati - Calais Campbell, DE - Miami
I'm not a fan of Campbell, but I seem to be in the minority. After a monstrous sophomore year, he was very quiet this year. Whether or not that's due to the talent around him is a good question.
He's worth the risk to the poor Bengals defense if he can play like he did a year ago.
10. New Orleans - James Laurinaitis, ILB - Ohio St.
They only got 70 tackles from Simoneau this year. That's ridiculously low. Laurinaitis is a leader the Saints can build their defense around. I'm expecting the Saints to be one of the big players in the CB free agent market (Clements or Trufant would be expensive but phenominal) since one or two moves on defense puts them right "there" in the NFC.
11. Buffalo - Malcolm Jenkins, CB - Ohio St.
They missed Clements a lot more than I thought they would. In a division with the Patriots, you need guys that can cover. They do still need a #2 receiver, but the young guys are up and coming. What a remarkable job the Bills staff did considering all the injuries they had.
12. Denver - Kenny Phillips, S - Miami
Where to start? The Broncos defense has holes all over the place. Since the safety spot is a both a glaring weakness and in limited supply, Denver would be wise to go this direction first. Seems better to me to go S/LB than LB/S with their first two picks.
Their d-line still needs help, but hopefully for them Moss can come back from injury and contribute and Dumerville can continue to develop.
13. Carolina - Sam Baker, OT - USC
Injury concerns abound, but there's no disputing that Baker started for a powerhouse program for four years. He should fit well with the ZBS scheme in Carolina.
14. Chicago - Jeff Otah, OT - Pitt
This season shows what happens when a team gets old fast. Their o-line is in line for major turnover in the next couple years.
15. Detroit - Mike Jenkins, CB - USF
Too bad the Lions didn't take my advice and reach for Patrick Willis at #2 last year. This year, the needs on defense are still there with corner being the foremost concern. Jenkins plays both the pass and the run very well.
16. Arizona - Quentin Groves, DE - Aubrun
I expect that the Cards will continue trending toward the 3-4 and Groves has just the right size and explosiveness to fit the pass rushing OLB that they need.
17. Minnesota - Derrick Harvey, DE - Florida
After all the draft picks - Udeze, James, Robison, Edwards - the Vikings STILL don't have a pass rush. Harvey isn't my favorite player, but probably the best option at this point for the position. I'd prefer DeSean Jackson but I doubt the Vikes go WR in the first.
18. Houston - Rashard Mendenhall, RB - Illinois
Mendenhall or Stewart? Coin flip goes Mendenhall. He just seems more like the "one cut" style of back that the Texans run.
19. Philadelphia - Fred Davis, TE - USC
Too early for a TE, but if they wait until the 2nd, they might not get him. LJ Smith will be gone and the TE position is very important to the Eagle offense.
20. Tampa Bay - Keith Rivers, OLB - USC
Derrick Brooks can't play forever. Returning to school was a good move for Rivers and he could go much higher than this.
21. Washington - Kentwan Balmer, DT - UNC
They got better play from the position as the year progressed, but depth would be helpful especially in a division that runs the ball as much as the NFC East does.
22. Dallas - Aqib Talib - CB, Kansas
Really made a name for himself this year and came through with a stellar bowl performance. Can contribute on special teams.
23. Seattle - Jonathan Stewart, RB - Oregon
The en vogue pick that really does make a lot of sense. Alexander seems to be wearing down and Stewart fits the role perfectly.
24. Pittsburgh - Chris Williams, OT - Vanderbilt
The Steelers offensive line will likely implode this offseason. Williams has played well, if a bit up and down, and could really improve the LT spot.
25. Tennessee - Malcolm Kelly, WR - Oklahoma
They cannot continue with the lack of talent at the WR spot. Young isn't the greatest passer, but his WR corps isn't doing him any favors either. Kelly could use another year in school and will likely take it.
26. New York Giants - Dan Connor, OLB - Penn St.
Converting DE's to LB's is never a good sign. Connor might be better than Posluszny, who was looking terrific until he got hurt.
27. San Diego - Gosder Cherilus, OT - Boston College
Cherilus played very well at RT his first three years but struggled a bit this year playing on the left side. With McNeill playing LT, Cherilus will be a major upgrade to Olivea on the right.
28. Jacksonville - DeSean Jackson, WR - California
Another first round WR for the Jags? So be it since the guys they've drafted haven't exactly panned out. Jackson is just the type of guy they need to open up the offense vertically and give Drew and Taylor better opportunities.
29. Green Bay - Antoine Cason, CB - Arizona
A potential first rounder last year, Cason showed flashes of brilliance this year. He started all 46 games of his career and is a good understudy for the aging Harris and Woodson.
30. San Francisco - Andre Caldwell, WR - Florida
San Francisco's offense ranks dead last in several offensive categories. Caldwell is speedier than guys like Limas Sweed and Early Doucet and gets the nod from me since those guys remind me a lot of Dwayne Jarrett.
31. Dallas - Adarius Bowman, WR - Oklahoma St.
Crayton is resigned, but Glenn and Owens aren't going to be around forever. Bowman is a big, super productive target that missed three games but still caught 57 balls this year.
Round 2
2.01. Miami - Brian Brohm, QB - Louisville
2.02. St. Louis - Ali Highsmith, OLB - LSU
2.03. Oakland - Marcus Griffin, S - Texas
2.04. Kansas City - Tracy Porter, CB - Indiana
2.05. Atlanta - Andre Woodson, QB - Kentucky
2.06. New York Jets - Frank Okam, DT - Texas
2.07. Baltimore - Terrell Thomas, CB - USC
2.08. San Francisco - Early Doucet, WR - LSU
2.09. New Orleans - DeJaun Tribble, CB - Boston College
2.10. Buffalo - Limas Sweed, WR - Texas
2.11. Denver - Red Bryant, DT - Texas A&M
2.12. Carolina - Lawrence Jackson, DE - USC
2.13. Chicago - Harry Douglas, WR - Louisville
2.14. Detroit - Chris Ellis, DE - Virginia Tech
2.15. Cincinnati - Philip Wheeler, OLB - Georgia Tech
2.16. Minnesota - Mario Manningham, WR - Michigan
2.17. Atlanta - Ray Rice, RB - Rutgers
2.18. Philadelphia - Charles Godfrey, CB - Iowa
2.19. Arizona - Jamaal Charles, RB - Texas
2.20. Washington - D.J. Hall, WR - Alabama
2.21. Tampa Bay - DeMario Pressley, DT - NCSt.
2.22. Seattle - John Carlson, TE - Notre Dame
2.23. Pittsburgh - Roy Schuening, OG - Oregon St.
2.24. Tennessee - Chevis Jackson, CB - LSU
2.25. New York Giants - Beau Bell, OLB - UNLV
2.26. Cleveland - Dre Moore, DE - Maryland
2.27. Jacksonville - Tavares Gooden, OLB - Miami (FL)
2.28. Miami - Earl Bennett, WR - Vanderbilt
2.29. Indianapolis - Xavier Adibi, OLB - Virginia Tech
2.30. Dallas - Chris Johnson, RB - ECU
2.31. Green Bay - Tashard Choice, RB - Georgia Tech
2.32. New England - Jonathan Goff, ILB - Vanderbilt
1. Miami - Chris Long, DE - Virginia
Yes. I know they should "trade down for more picks". But I can't see any teams in the top ten giving up much to move into the #1 spot.
So, the choice is either of the Long's or Dorsey. Dorsey is the default pick, but I think it would be tough to spend #1 overall money on a DT.
And it seems every year that a DT is talked about in the top 5 but then falters. Chris Long is a stud and will be a cornerstone for the 'Fins no matter if they run the 3-4 and 4-3.
2. St. Louis - Jake Long, OT - Michigan
Jake has been overanalyzed. He's near the same level as Joe Thomas and that pick worked out tremendously for the Browns. Orlando Pace can't stay healthy and the Rams have to do something to protect their investment in Bulger and Jackson. The combo of Long and Barron will go a long ways in improving the Rams offense.
3. Atlanta - Glenn Dorsey, DT - LSU
Why not a QB? Because none of them are good enough to go at the #3 spot. And there are rumors that Ryan said he didn't want to play for the Falcons.
Dorsey will do for Atlanta what Okoye did for Houston - get them more out of their previous year's #1 pick.
4. Oakland - Sedrick Ellis, DT - USC
A lot of people like him MORE than Dorsey. With Sapp retiring and the Raiders on the verge of having a dominant defense this seems like a no-brainer, even with McFadden on the board. If they can get more out of their d-line, they could have a top 10 defense next year. And in the AFC West, you have to stop the run.
56 tackles/12.5 for loss, 8.5 sacks, 6 deflections, 2 fumble recoveries and 1 forced = STUD.
5. Kansas City - Ryan Clady, OT - Boise St.
It's obvious that what was a strength is now a weakness for the Chiefs. Much like Levi Brown (who actually turned out pretty well for the Cards), Clady gets to move up the boards to a team that has an extreme need at the position. Clady is an excellent run blocker.
6. New York Jets - Darren McFadden, RB - Arkansas
The second biggest question of the draft (who does Miami take being number one) is "where does DMac go?" Much like the Vikings with Chester Taylor, the Jets have an above average back in Thomas Jones. But also like the Vikings, rolling with Jones meant that there were yards left on the table. I personally don't believe McFadden is in AP's league, but he's still an electric player that could really help whoever ends up playing QB for the Jets.
7. New England - Vernon Gholston, DE/OLB - Ohio St.
I know that the Pats don't take linebackers early. And I know that they don't take "insert position here" either. But their backers are getting up there in age and, really, what DO they need? Gholston is a physical specimen and a terrific pass rusher.
8. Baltimore - Matt Ryan, QB - Boston College
McNair is done. Boller hasn't shown anything and at this stage he isn't likely to. Ryan has a gunslinger mentality and can get reckless with the ball, but his leadership skills seem highly developed. Guys love playing with him and BC wouldn't have gotten far without him. A new regime would likely want to start fresh at the position and I think Ryan, for all his question marks, seems like the QB that can win the soonest and has great upside.
9. Cincinnati - Calais Campbell, DE - Miami
I'm not a fan of Campbell, but I seem to be in the minority. After a monstrous sophomore year, he was very quiet this year. Whether or not that's due to the talent around him is a good question.
He's worth the risk to the poor Bengals defense if he can play like he did a year ago.
10. New Orleans - James Laurinaitis, ILB - Ohio St.
They only got 70 tackles from Simoneau this year. That's ridiculously low. Laurinaitis is a leader the Saints can build their defense around. I'm expecting the Saints to be one of the big players in the CB free agent market (Clements or Trufant would be expensive but phenominal) since one or two moves on defense puts them right "there" in the NFC.
11. Buffalo - Malcolm Jenkins, CB - Ohio St.
They missed Clements a lot more than I thought they would. In a division with the Patriots, you need guys that can cover. They do still need a #2 receiver, but the young guys are up and coming. What a remarkable job the Bills staff did considering all the injuries they had.
12. Denver - Kenny Phillips, S - Miami
Where to start? The Broncos defense has holes all over the place. Since the safety spot is a both a glaring weakness and in limited supply, Denver would be wise to go this direction first. Seems better to me to go S/LB than LB/S with their first two picks.
Their d-line still needs help, but hopefully for them Moss can come back from injury and contribute and Dumerville can continue to develop.
13. Carolina - Sam Baker, OT - USC
Injury concerns abound, but there's no disputing that Baker started for a powerhouse program for four years. He should fit well with the ZBS scheme in Carolina.
14. Chicago - Jeff Otah, OT - Pitt
This season shows what happens when a team gets old fast. Their o-line is in line for major turnover in the next couple years.
15. Detroit - Mike Jenkins, CB - USF
Too bad the Lions didn't take my advice and reach for Patrick Willis at #2 last year. This year, the needs on defense are still there with corner being the foremost concern. Jenkins plays both the pass and the run very well.
16. Arizona - Quentin Groves, DE - Aubrun
I expect that the Cards will continue trending toward the 3-4 and Groves has just the right size and explosiveness to fit the pass rushing OLB that they need.
17. Minnesota - Derrick Harvey, DE - Florida
After all the draft picks - Udeze, James, Robison, Edwards - the Vikings STILL don't have a pass rush. Harvey isn't my favorite player, but probably the best option at this point for the position. I'd prefer DeSean Jackson but I doubt the Vikes go WR in the first.
18. Houston - Rashard Mendenhall, RB - Illinois
Mendenhall or Stewart? Coin flip goes Mendenhall. He just seems more like the "one cut" style of back that the Texans run.
19. Philadelphia - Fred Davis, TE - USC
Too early for a TE, but if they wait until the 2nd, they might not get him. LJ Smith will be gone and the TE position is very important to the Eagle offense.
20. Tampa Bay - Keith Rivers, OLB - USC
Derrick Brooks can't play forever. Returning to school was a good move for Rivers and he could go much higher than this.
21. Washington - Kentwan Balmer, DT - UNC
They got better play from the position as the year progressed, but depth would be helpful especially in a division that runs the ball as much as the NFC East does.
22. Dallas - Aqib Talib - CB, Kansas
Really made a name for himself this year and came through with a stellar bowl performance. Can contribute on special teams.
23. Seattle - Jonathan Stewart, RB - Oregon
The en vogue pick that really does make a lot of sense. Alexander seems to be wearing down and Stewart fits the role perfectly.
24. Pittsburgh - Chris Williams, OT - Vanderbilt
The Steelers offensive line will likely implode this offseason. Williams has played well, if a bit up and down, and could really improve the LT spot.
25. Tennessee - Malcolm Kelly, WR - Oklahoma
They cannot continue with the lack of talent at the WR spot. Young isn't the greatest passer, but his WR corps isn't doing him any favors either. Kelly could use another year in school and will likely take it.
26. New York Giants - Dan Connor, OLB - Penn St.
Converting DE's to LB's is never a good sign. Connor might be better than Posluszny, who was looking terrific until he got hurt.
27. San Diego - Gosder Cherilus, OT - Boston College
Cherilus played very well at RT his first three years but struggled a bit this year playing on the left side. With McNeill playing LT, Cherilus will be a major upgrade to Olivea on the right.
28. Jacksonville - DeSean Jackson, WR - California
Another first round WR for the Jags? So be it since the guys they've drafted haven't exactly panned out. Jackson is just the type of guy they need to open up the offense vertically and give Drew and Taylor better opportunities.
29. Green Bay - Antoine Cason, CB - Arizona
A potential first rounder last year, Cason showed flashes of brilliance this year. He started all 46 games of his career and is a good understudy for the aging Harris and Woodson.
30. San Francisco - Andre Caldwell, WR - Florida
San Francisco's offense ranks dead last in several offensive categories. Caldwell is speedier than guys like Limas Sweed and Early Doucet and gets the nod from me since those guys remind me a lot of Dwayne Jarrett.
31. Dallas - Adarius Bowman, WR - Oklahoma St.
Crayton is resigned, but Glenn and Owens aren't going to be around forever. Bowman is a big, super productive target that missed three games but still caught 57 balls this year.
Round 2
2.01. Miami - Brian Brohm, QB - Louisville
2.02. St. Louis - Ali Highsmith, OLB - LSU
2.03. Oakland - Marcus Griffin, S - Texas
2.04. Kansas City - Tracy Porter, CB - Indiana
2.05. Atlanta - Andre Woodson, QB - Kentucky
2.06. New York Jets - Frank Okam, DT - Texas
2.07. Baltimore - Terrell Thomas, CB - USC
2.08. San Francisco - Early Doucet, WR - LSU
2.09. New Orleans - DeJaun Tribble, CB - Boston College
2.10. Buffalo - Limas Sweed, WR - Texas
2.11. Denver - Red Bryant, DT - Texas A&M
2.12. Carolina - Lawrence Jackson, DE - USC
2.13. Chicago - Harry Douglas, WR - Louisville
2.14. Detroit - Chris Ellis, DE - Virginia Tech
2.15. Cincinnati - Philip Wheeler, OLB - Georgia Tech
2.16. Minnesota - Mario Manningham, WR - Michigan
2.17. Atlanta - Ray Rice, RB - Rutgers
2.18. Philadelphia - Charles Godfrey, CB - Iowa
2.19. Arizona - Jamaal Charles, RB - Texas
2.20. Washington - D.J. Hall, WR - Alabama
2.21. Tampa Bay - DeMario Pressley, DT - NCSt.
2.22. Seattle - John Carlson, TE - Notre Dame
2.23. Pittsburgh - Roy Schuening, OG - Oregon St.
2.24. Tennessee - Chevis Jackson, CB - LSU
2.25. New York Giants - Beau Bell, OLB - UNLV
2.26. Cleveland - Dre Moore, DE - Maryland
2.27. Jacksonville - Tavares Gooden, OLB - Miami (FL)
2.28. Miami - Earl Bennett, WR - Vanderbilt
2.29. Indianapolis - Xavier Adibi, OLB - Virginia Tech
2.30. Dallas - Chris Johnson, RB - ECU
2.31. Green Bay - Tashard Choice, RB - Georgia Tech
2.32. New England - Jonathan Goff, ILB - Vanderbilt
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I don't know why Mendenhall over Stewart. Just call it a hunch.
That sure would be sweet!!!
I think it's a coin flip between he and Stewart and both would be great for the Texans.
I don't know why Mendenhall over Stewart. Just call it a hunch.
