Atlanta plus 3... (1 Viewer)

[eoMMan]

 

[SacramentoBob]

Empty the retirement accounts?

 

[In The Zone]

Hell, I'm in.

 

[urbanhack]

Gonna need the hook or I'm out. 

 

[James Daulton]

Is this a jinx or reverse jinx, I can't keep them straight. 

 

[jon_mx]

The lock of the night.  

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Pats 35 , Falcons 24

 

[otb_lifer]

27-23 Pats - play the under, instead 

 

[jon_mx]

Is this a jinx or reverse jinx, I can't keep them straight. 

In a slight breech of etiquette, he skipped the doube reverse jinx and went for the triple reverse jinx.  

 

[eoMMan]

Is this a jinx or reverse jinx, I can't keep them straight. 

No, this is 4 realz. 

 

[PlasmaDogPlasma]

If I were going to gamble, the under is what I would take as well.

 

[RandyDB]

NE -5

 

[ChiefD]

Falcons 7, Patriots 1

 

[jon_mx]

Falcons 7, Patriots 1

OK chad.  

 

[eoMMan]

Chamutha#######ching!  

 

[McGarnicle]

RISE UP!!!!     

(hate the Falcons, but who doesn't love a parade?)

 

[urbanhack]

Gonna need the hook or I'm out. 

Or not

 

[jon_mx]

So far so good, but this game is far from over.  

 

[Hawks64]

So far so good, but this game is far from over.  

 

[jon_mx]

Down to under three scores with over a quarter to go.  You watch football much? 

 

[Hawks64]

Down to under three scores with over a quarter to go.  You watch football much? 

You must be watching a different game than I am.

 

[Long Ball Larry]

this game sucks.  reminds me of my childhood.

 

[Long Ball Larry]

Down to under three scores with over a quarter to go.  You watch football much? 

under three scores?

 

[GROOT]

The NFL is down...because it's unwatchable

 

[jon_mx]

under three scores?

Three TD's is 21 points.  They are down 19.  This is not pizza  math here. 

 

[NotSmart]

:mansion:

 

[Long Ball Larry]

Down to under three scores with over a quarter to go.  You watch football much? 

NE's win probability is?

 

[Long Ball Larry]

Three TD's is 21 points.  They are down 19.  This is not pizza  math here. 

seemed like an odd phraseology

 

[Hawks64]

under three scores?

19 points...the assumption is the Pats score 3 straight TDs and the Falcons go 3 and out every time they have the ball. Since the birds have been soooo bad tonight.

 

[jon_mx]

NE's win probability is?

South of 10 percent. 

 

[NotSmart]

Down to under three scores with over a quarter to go.  You watch football much? 

The Patriots are already going for it on 4th down and trying onside kicks. The fat lady is warming up

 

[Long Ball Larry]

South of 10 percent. 

probably south of 1, so yeah...

 

[jon_mx]

19 points...the assumption is the Pats score 3 straight TDs and the Falcons go 3 and out every time they have the ball. Since the birds have been soooo bad tonight.

not even close to what has to happen.  One turn over and it is a new game.  I watched the Lions play from behind all year and they won more games than they lost.  Teams soften up on D and get conservative on offense and lets teams back in.  Happens every week. 

 

[jon_mx]

probably south of 1, so yeah...

Not even close.  I would put it north of 5. 

 

[Long Ball Larry]

not even close to what has to happen.  One turn over and it is a new game.  I watched the Lions play from behind all year and they won more games than they lost.  Teams soften up on D and get conservative on offense and lets teams back in.  Happens every week. 

it happens every week that a team comes back from 19 points with 17 minutes to go?

 

[Hawks64]

not even close to what has to happen.  One turn over and it is a new game.  I watched the Lions play from behind all year and they won more games than they lost.  Teams soften up on D and get conservative on offense and lets teams back in.  Happens every week. 

But you haven't watched this Falcons team. 3 TDs in the 4th qtr against this Falcons D in the Super Bowl isn't going to happen.

 

[jon_mx]

it happens every week that a team comes back from 19 points with 17 minutes to go?

If New England scores on this drive, the game is very winnable.  Not saying they will, but it is far from over. 

 

[NotSmart]

Not even close.  I would put it north of 5. 

Sounds like a 6 to 9 percent chance then.

 

[shadyridr]

Three TD's is 21 points.  They are down 19.  This is not pizza  math here. 

19 is still 3 scores

 

[Long Ball Larry]

Sounds like a 6 to 9 percent chance then.

1.1 says ESPN calculator.  I do think there are flaws in those calculations, though.

 

[Hawks64]

1.1 says ESPN calculator.  I do think there are flaws in those calculations, though.

Eye test says 0%

 

[jon_mx]

1.1 says ESPN calculator.  I do think there are flaws in those calculations, though.

I give a Brady/Belichick team much greater odds than the average. 

 

[Long Ball Larry]

vegas has pats as 12 to 1 dogs now, so that would suggest about 8%.

 

[SacramentoBob]

The Patriots are already going for it on 4th down and trying onside kicks. The fat lady is warming up

So it's a sweaty fat lady?

 

[jon_mx]

But you haven't watched this Falcons team. 3 TDs in the 4th qtr against this Falcons D in the Super Bowl isn't going to happen.

Looks like they are marching down the field again on this Falcon D.   

 

[Hawks64]

Looks like they are marching down the field again on this Falcon D.   

Not enough time even if the Falcons go 3 and out each time,

 

[Hawks64]

FG

 

[jon_mx]

Not enough time even if the Falcons go 3 and out each time,

There is almost a full quarter.  There is plenty of time.  But they needed the TD there.  FG is not going to be enough. 

 

[Hawks64]

There is almost a full quarter.  There is plenty of time.  But they needed the TD there.  FG is not going to be enough. 

 

[NotSmart]

There is almost a full quarter.  There is plenty of time.  But they needed the TD there.  FG is not going to be enough. 

they needed three scores, they just got one. I don't see where that should douse your optimism