Anonymous Internet User
Footballguy
In auctions, it is almost universally the case that there will be bargains to be had in rounds 10 and higher when people run low on money and become more conservative. I've been thinking about ways to take advantage of this in regards to WHEN you buy your players and I've come up with two options:
1) Nominate the players you want EARLY and OFTEN. Get the big-ticket guys for your squad before round 4, then wait it out for several rounds. You'll already be in the position of forced conservative spending, so you'll be less likely to splurge in the mid-rounds. As an example, you could spend big on Manning, Tomlinson, Fitzgerald, and Gates early on (totalling about 75% of budget for typical setups) and then wait until later to fill slots with value players. This way, you aren't tempted to spend 15-20% of your budget on some of the second tier players, whom I think might have more risk per capita than the steady producers above.
or
2) Don't buy anything at all early on, and nominate either high-$ players you don't want or defenses/kickers. This way, you'll have enough buying power to set the tone for bidding in rounds 6+ when players like Kevin Jones, Reuben Droughns, and Donald Driver tend to slip. This will only work if you have an idea of what kind of players you're bidding against (whether or not they rank players the same way as you do). If everyone targets the same guys that you would, then they'll likely be saving money for when those players are up for bid anyway and so WHEN the player is put up for bid becomes irrelevant.
I am personally strongly leaning towards the first strategy of buy early and often the players you want, then wait it out for value late in the auction to fill the roster.
The idea of buying players at a steady pace all through the auction just seems to be a route to getting mediocre players, at least from my mocks.
Is there anything to this, or am I just imagining trends that don't exist?
1) Nominate the players you want EARLY and OFTEN. Get the big-ticket guys for your squad before round 4, then wait it out for several rounds. You'll already be in the position of forced conservative spending, so you'll be less likely to splurge in the mid-rounds. As an example, you could spend big on Manning, Tomlinson, Fitzgerald, and Gates early on (totalling about 75% of budget for typical setups) and then wait until later to fill slots with value players. This way, you aren't tempted to spend 15-20% of your budget on some of the second tier players, whom I think might have more risk per capita than the steady producers above.
or
2) Don't buy anything at all early on, and nominate either high-$ players you don't want or defenses/kickers. This way, you'll have enough buying power to set the tone for bidding in rounds 6+ when players like Kevin Jones, Reuben Droughns, and Donald Driver tend to slip. This will only work if you have an idea of what kind of players you're bidding against (whether or not they rank players the same way as you do). If everyone targets the same guys that you would, then they'll likely be saving money for when those players are up for bid anyway and so WHEN the player is put up for bid becomes irrelevant.
I am personally strongly leaning towards the first strategy of buy early and often the players you want, then wait it out for value late in the auction to fill the roster.
The idea of buying players at a steady pace all through the auction just seems to be a route to getting mediocre players, at least from my mocks.
Is there anything to this, or am I just imagining trends that don't exist?
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