Bracie Smathers
Footballguy
Nice draft article cram packed with information that would interest any draft aficianado.
We get too few of these sorts of articles where the writer does the homework looking at past drafts and figuring out which players fail/succeed.
Draw your own conclusions but this is what Steve Doerschuk of the Canton Rep came up with when looking at 2nd round wideouts. He covers the Browns and is probably trying to figure out whether or not the Browns should take WR A.J. Green with the sixth pick of the draft even though he doesn't mention first round drafted wide receivers in this article.
This is what Steve came up with. Steve explains how he categorized the play of the wide receivers.
Snipped lots so go check out the full article and share your conclusions from this data.
My link
---------------------------------------------------------------
By Steve Doerschuk
CantonRep.com staff writer
Posted Feb 22, 2011 @ 12:02 AM
... Here is one view of how wide receivers drafted in their range from 1999-2008 have shaken out:
• Thirty-one wideouts were picked in the 35-55 range from 1999-2008. We analyzed their careers and assigned them to one of five categories.
ELITE (4) DeSean Jackson, No. 49, Eagles, 2008; Greg Jennings, No. 52, Packers, 2006; Anquan Boldin, No. 54, Cardinals, 2003; Chad Ochocinco, No. 36, Bengals, 2001
• All four of the “elites,” Jackson, Greg Jennings, Anquan Boldin and Chad Ochocinco, revealed themselves as such early on. That is, each produced 900 or more receiving yards in one of his first two seasons.
KEEPERS (5) Steve Smith, No. 51, Giants, 2007; Sidney Rice, No. 44, Vikings, 2007; Jordy Nelson, No. 36, Packers, 2008; Eddie Royal, No. 42, Broncos, 2008; Chris Chambers, No. 52, Dolphins, 2001
SERVICEABLE (10) Jerome Simpson, No. 46, Bengals, 2008; Reggie Brown, No. 35, 2005; Devery Henderson, No. 50, Saints, 2004; Josh Reed, No. 36, Bills, 2002; André Davis, No. 47, Browns, 2002; Reche Caldwell, No. 48, Chargers, 2002; Robert Ferguson, No. 41, Packers; 2001; Todd Pinkston, No. 36, Eagles, 2000; Jerry Porter, No. 47, Raiders, 2000; Peerless Price, No. 53, Bills, 1999.
• Roughly half of the picks land in the “keepers” or “serviceable” categories. The conclusion: One might get lucky and land a No. 1 wideout in the 35-55 range, but the reasonable hope is to find good No. 2 and No. 3 receivers there
FRINGE (5) Malcolm Kelly, No. 51, Redskins, 2008; Limas Sweed, No. 53, Steelers, 2008; Roscoe Parrish, No. 55, Bills, 2005; Mark Bradley, No. 39, Bears, 2005; Tim Carter, No. 46, Giants, 2002
• One should be careful about giving up on a player too soon. In his first 45 games with the Bengals, Jerome Simpson (No. 46 overall, 2008) seldom played, and when he did, he caught just one pass for 2 yards. In the final three games of his third season, starting with a game against Cleveland, Simpson caught 20 passes for 277 yards and three touchdowns.
• Neither should one assume decent production early is a sign of greater things to come.
Josh Reed, a No. 36 overall pick in 2002, teased the Bills with 509 and 588 yards in his first two seasons. He fell below those levels the next three years, approximated them again in his sixth and seventh seasons, then fell back again a year later. He was out of the league in 2010.
BUSTS (7) James Hardy, No. 41, Bills, 2008; Dwayne Jarrett, No. 45, Panthers, 2007; Sinorice Moss, No. 44, Giants, 2006; Chad Jackson, No. 36, Patriots, 2006; Darius Watts, No. 54, Broncos, 2004; Taylor Jacobs, No. 44, Redskins, 2003; Bethel Johnson, Patriots, No. 45, 2003.
---------------------------------------------------------------
-- What I get from this information.
4 out of 36 WRs can be classified as elite WRs so if a team is in need of an 'elite' WR the second round doesn't look like the best spot to roll the dice. I'm hoping he has a follow-up article looking at first round wideouts because this looks like a decent breakdown of second round wide receivers.
I'm curious what others can cul from this data of if they agree/disagree with how the writer classifies the wide receivers.
We get too few of these sorts of articles where the writer does the homework looking at past drafts and figuring out which players fail/succeed.
Draw your own conclusions but this is what Steve Doerschuk of the Canton Rep came up with when looking at 2nd round wideouts. He covers the Browns and is probably trying to figure out whether or not the Browns should take WR A.J. Green with the sixth pick of the draft even though he doesn't mention first round drafted wide receivers in this article.
This is what Steve came up with. Steve explains how he categorized the play of the wide receivers.
Snipped lots so go check out the full article and share your conclusions from this data.
My link
---------------------------------------------------------------
By Steve Doerschuk
CantonRep.com staff writer
Posted Feb 22, 2011 @ 12:02 AM
... Here is one view of how wide receivers drafted in their range from 1999-2008 have shaken out:
• Thirty-one wideouts were picked in the 35-55 range from 1999-2008. We analyzed their careers and assigned them to one of five categories.
ELITE (4) DeSean Jackson, No. 49, Eagles, 2008; Greg Jennings, No. 52, Packers, 2006; Anquan Boldin, No. 54, Cardinals, 2003; Chad Ochocinco, No. 36, Bengals, 2001
• All four of the “elites,” Jackson, Greg Jennings, Anquan Boldin and Chad Ochocinco, revealed themselves as such early on. That is, each produced 900 or more receiving yards in one of his first two seasons.
KEEPERS (5) Steve Smith, No. 51, Giants, 2007; Sidney Rice, No. 44, Vikings, 2007; Jordy Nelson, No. 36, Packers, 2008; Eddie Royal, No. 42, Broncos, 2008; Chris Chambers, No. 52, Dolphins, 2001
SERVICEABLE (10) Jerome Simpson, No. 46, Bengals, 2008; Reggie Brown, No. 35, 2005; Devery Henderson, No. 50, Saints, 2004; Josh Reed, No. 36, Bills, 2002; André Davis, No. 47, Browns, 2002; Reche Caldwell, No. 48, Chargers, 2002; Robert Ferguson, No. 41, Packers; 2001; Todd Pinkston, No. 36, Eagles, 2000; Jerry Porter, No. 47, Raiders, 2000; Peerless Price, No. 53, Bills, 1999.
• Roughly half of the picks land in the “keepers” or “serviceable” categories. The conclusion: One might get lucky and land a No. 1 wideout in the 35-55 range, but the reasonable hope is to find good No. 2 and No. 3 receivers there
FRINGE (5) Malcolm Kelly, No. 51, Redskins, 2008; Limas Sweed, No. 53, Steelers, 2008; Roscoe Parrish, No. 55, Bills, 2005; Mark Bradley, No. 39, Bears, 2005; Tim Carter, No. 46, Giants, 2002
• One should be careful about giving up on a player too soon. In his first 45 games with the Bengals, Jerome Simpson (No. 46 overall, 2008) seldom played, and when he did, he caught just one pass for 2 yards. In the final three games of his third season, starting with a game against Cleveland, Simpson caught 20 passes for 277 yards and three touchdowns.
• Neither should one assume decent production early is a sign of greater things to come.
Josh Reed, a No. 36 overall pick in 2002, teased the Bills with 509 and 588 yards in his first two seasons. He fell below those levels the next three years, approximated them again in his sixth and seventh seasons, then fell back again a year later. He was out of the league in 2010.
BUSTS (7) James Hardy, No. 41, Bills, 2008; Dwayne Jarrett, No. 45, Panthers, 2007; Sinorice Moss, No. 44, Giants, 2006; Chad Jackson, No. 36, Patriots, 2006; Darius Watts, No. 54, Broncos, 2004; Taylor Jacobs, No. 44, Redskins, 2003; Bethel Johnson, Patriots, No. 45, 2003.
---------------------------------------------------------------
-- What I get from this information.
4 out of 36 WRs can be classified as elite WRs so if a team is in need of an 'elite' WR the second round doesn't look like the best spot to roll the dice. I'm hoping he has a follow-up article looking at first round wideouts because this looks like a decent breakdown of second round wide receivers.
I'm curious what others can cul from this data of if they agree/disagree with how the writer classifies the wide receivers.
