Can the Chargers run the regular season table? (1 Viewer)

[Gr00vus]

The Chargers can guarantee best record in the AFC if they win out, and lock up home field advantage for the AFC playoffs in the process. Can they do it?

Their remaining schedule is:

KC - the toughest game left I think

@SEA - they look average at best

AZ - not much to be said

I think they will win these 3, and will be playing pretty much full tilt to close out the season, unless the Ravens or Colts lose another one.

If you're giving them a loss (perfectly reasonable), please detail to whom and why.

 

[commisholio]

I think they will likely win out, but if they lose one, it will be an inexplicable head-scratcher to AZ in week 17.

Rationale - let down against a crappy opponent (but with some talent on offense who are playing better lately than their overall reputation), Marty gets conservative at exactly the wrong time, Phillip Rivers picks a bad time to throw a bad pick, and Leinart wins it in the last seconds.

Like I said, I don't really expect it to happen, but if they lose, it'll be that game IMO.

 

[Gr00vus]

I think they will likely win out, but if they lose one, it will be an inexplicable head-scratcher to AZ in week 17. Rationale - let down against a crappy opponent (but with some talent on offense who are playing better lately than their overall reputation), Marty gets conservative at exactly the wrong time, Phillip Rivers picks a bad time to throw a bad pick, and Leinart wins it in the last seconds.Like I said, I don't really expect it to happen, but if they lose, it'll be that game IMO.

It's also a good selection because if the Ravens and Colts both lose another prior to that game and the Chargers don't they might take the AZ game off.

 

[Chase Stuart]

I'd give the Chargers an 81% chance of beating the Chiefs, 70% chance of beating the Seahawks and 88% chance of beating the Cardinals. That gives them a 49% chance of winning all three games, so I suppose I'd vote no, I don't think they'll win all three.

 

[talongrey]

Chargers win 1, Ravens win 3

 

[Gr00vus]

70% chance of beating the Seahawks

I think this is your problem. I know it's in Seattle (where the Seahawks just got embarassed by the 49ers), but right now that one looks like the easiest game left for the Chargers.

 

[Chase Stuart]

70% chance of beating the Seahawks

I think this is your problem. I know it's in Seattle (where the Seahawks just got embarassed by the 49ers), but right now that one looks like the easiest game left for the Chargers.

I said a week ago that I thought the Seahawks were the most overrated team in the NFL. Now that they've lost two straight, that statement sounds a lot better. The Chargers are a very good team and the Seahawks aren't very good. But there's a lot of variability in an NFL game. Underdogs this year have won 41% of games. Road favorites are 24-43-3 against the spread. I don't think giving San Diego a 70% chance to win the game is unfair.

 

[MagicMan]

KC beats them

 

[Gr00vus]

Seahawks... aren't very good.... Underdogs this year have won 41% of games. Road favorites are 24-43-3 against the spread. I don't think giving San Diego a 70% chance to win the game is unfair.

It's not unfair, but I still think in relation to the games remaining it would be the one I'd give them the highest percentage of winning at this time. So maybe your other estimates are too high?

 

[Chase Stuart]

Seahawks... aren't very good.... Underdogs this year have won 41% of games. Road favorites are 24-43-3 against the spread. I don't think giving San Diego a 70% chance to win the game is unfair.

It's not unfair, but I still think in relation to the games remaining it would be the one I'd give them the highest percentage of winning at this time. So maybe your other estimates are too high?

I'd imagine the money line will be most favorable to the Chargers in the Seahawks game.

 

[Assani Fisher]

I'd give the Chargers an 81% chance of beating the Chiefs, 70% chance of beating the Seahawks and 88% chance of beating the Cardinals. That gives them a 49% chance of winning all three games, so I suppose I'd vote no, I don't think they'll win all three.

I'd be surprised if they are favored that game. Seattle is upset, at home, and is still a pretty good team. And now they need to win a game to make the playoffs. Maybe it'll be close to pick 'em or SD will be a slight favorite, but I really don't see them as 70-30 favorites.

 

[Assani Fisher]

Chargers win 1, Ravens win 3

Although I think the Ravens only need to make up one game since they beat them earlier this year.

 

[H.K.]

Poll is fla\/\/ed.

There should be a 6-0 option. Nobody is beating my Chargers the rest of the way (despite Gaytes).

 

[-OZ-]

I'd give the Chargers an 81% chance of beating the Chiefs, 70% chance of beating the Seahawks and 88% chance of beating the Cardinals. That gives them a 49% chance of winning all three games, so I suppose I'd vote no, I don't think they'll win all three.

70% is probably fair against the Seahawks, but the Chiefs have a better chance of beating the Chargers. I'd go: 60% chance of beating the Chiefs, 70% chance of beating the Seahawks and 75% chance of beating the Cardinals.

 

[laxiepoo]

3-0 is conceivable, but it's hard to get past a KC team playing with emotion this week, or Seattle looking to prove something at home and light a spark for the playoffs. I don't think the AZ game will matter for the Bolts, so they might mail that one in.

Can they do it? Yes. Will they do it is the better question.

 

[Ghost Rider]

I think Seattle may very well beat them next week, but I think Indy and Baltimore will both stumble once more before the playoffs, so I could see the Chargers still getting home field.

 

[Gr00vus]

0-3 [ 1 ] ** [2.44%]
One down two to go - freezing the one 0-3 vote for posterity.

 

[Gr00vus]

Two down one to go, freezing 1-2 for posterity:

0-3 	 [ 1 ]	  ** [2.22%]1-2 	[ 1 ] 	** [2.22%]2-1 	[ 19 ] 	** [42.22%]3-0 	[ 24 ] 	** [53.33%]

 

[BGP]

This poll is flawed.

The thread title and poll title ask "CAN the Chargers do it?"

The actual poll asks "WILL the Chargers do it?"

Two different questions. The voters will obviously be confused as well.

 

[Gr00vus]

This poll is flawed.The thread title and poll title ask "CAN the Chargers do it?"The actual poll asks "WILL the Chargers do it?"Two different questions. The voters will obviously be confused as well.

Hasn't seemed to be a problem so far. I can't edit the header, so take it whatever way you want - frankly the distinction escapes me for the most part anyway.

 

[BGP]

This poll is flawed.The thread title and poll title ask "CAN the Chargers do it?"The actual poll asks "WILL the Chargers do it?"Two different questions. The voters will obviously be confused as well.

Hasn't seemed to be a problem so far. I can't edit the header, so take it whatever way you want - frankly the distinction escapes me for the most part anyway.

You cannot tell because people can just cast a vote and leave. There is a clear distinction between saying "I think it is possible" and "Yes it will definitely happen". Which phrase was your intent here?

 

[Gr00vus]

This poll is flawed.The thread title and poll title ask "CAN the Chargers do it?"The actual poll asks "WILL the Chargers do it?"Two different questions. The voters will obviously be confused as well.

Hasn't seemed to be a problem so far. I can't edit the header, so take it whatever way you want - frankly the distinction escapes me for the most part anyway.

You cannot tell because people can just cast a vote and leave. There is a clear distinction between saying "I think it is possible" and "Yes it will definitely happen". Which phrase was your intent here?

Well the poll options kind of narrow it down don't you think? You can choose (at this point) one of two options 2-1 or 3-0. So it seems clear to me - either you think they'll go 2-1 or you think they'll go 3-0.

 

[Banger]

bump

 

[Gr00vus]

0-3 [ 1 ] ** [1.96%]1-2 [ 1 ] ** [1.96%]2-1 [ 20 ] ** [39.22%]3-0 [ 29 ] ** [56.86%]
The answer is yes. Now to see about Rivers's foot....

 

[Smeagol]

I think they can.