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I would like to see WR fantasy production versus Bailey going back a year or so. I know someone else started a thread about sitting your #! WR vs Bailey, are there stats?
I would like to see WR fantasy production versus Bailey going back a year or so. I know someone else started a thread about sitting your #! WR vs Bailey, are there stats?
I can't give you fantasy production, since Bailey doesn't always go 1-on-1 with a specific WR. Sometimes he just covers one side of the field, which means he faces several different WRs every play. Sometimes he lines up on TEs. Lots of variables.I can give you some stats for his real-world NFL performance last year, though. He was involved in 13.1% of Denver's defensive plays, which ranks 5th among all DBs in the NFL last year. He did this despite being one of the less targeted CBs in the league, which shows how amazing he is in run support. According to Football Outsiders, only 38% of passes against Bailey are "successful", which means they get 45% of the necessary yards on 1st down, 60% on 2nd down, or 100% on 3rd/4th down (so a 5 yard hitch on 1st-and-10 is a successful play). That 38% ranked 5th in the NFL last year. According to K.C. Joyner, Bailey gave up 4.7 yards per attempt against last year, which wasn't just the best in the NFL, it was the best by any CB in the past 4 years (as long as he's been tracking the stat). To add some perspective, Chris McAllister finished 2nd last year in YPA against... with 7.3. Bailey was targeted 65 times and finished with 10 INTs, which means he picked off 15.4% of the passes against him. Just think- 38% of passes against Bailey were successful and 15% were picked off. And this is just counting passes intercepted- Bailey had 16 passes defensed. And, oh yeah, he didn't give up a single TD all season long (although he did grab 6 INTs inside the 5 yard line). Basically, Champ Bailey had what was possibly the greatest season by any CB in the history of the NFL last year (especially if you consider the environment that he had it in), and he was totally jobbed in DPoY voting.
The position Bailey plays subjects him to minimal risk. His responsibility is simply to be the "last man to beat", a role that's extremely important (every tackle Bailey makes pretty much saves a TD, and he's already made several special teams tackles), and it's a role that Bailey's probably the best in the league at- he has amazing speed and athleticism, supernatural instincts, and is one of the best open-field tacklers in the nation. As bad as Denver's special teams are, it's incredibly comforting knowing he's back there.
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