Chris Johnson or ADP? (1 Viewer)

[Disposable Hero]

Both players had down years for different reasons but of the two, who do you see being more productive fantasy wise in the next 2-3 years and why?

 

[Sabertooth]

Adrian Peterson for me. But then he will be about spent. Chris Johnson's stats have declined every season since his 2000+ campaign. I don't see him suddenly making a huge reversing trend.

 

[msommer]

Last year LBJ was holding out from the team for a new contract, and he admitted he was not properly prepared for the season. IMHO this year he shows whether the contract was warranted or not. I hope he is succesful as I have him on some teams. But you can't go wrong with ADP I think. But keep an eye out for info from minicamp and OTAs about his progress.

 

[Grahamburn]

CJ or ADP

 

[Sweet Love]

ADP has 150 more touches (not a big difference) and is coming off a major injury. CJ held out and was unprepared for 2011...I'll take CJ going forward.

 

[Coeur de Lion]

Peterson is definitely the better NFL player, but you almost have to completely write off 2012 due to the injury. At this point in Peterson's career, one prime year is likely 1/4 or 1/3 of his remaining value.

Johnson is slightly younger with less injury history, his team is ascending, and due to his playing style he'll likely last longer than Peterson.

I prefer Johnson by a good bit fantasy-wise.

 

[Sabertooth]

Peterson is definitely the better NFL player, but you almost have to completely write off 2012 due to the injury. At this point in Peterson's career, one prime year is likely 1/4 or 1/3 of his remaining value.

Johnson is slightly younger with less injury history, his team is ascending, and due to his playing style he'll likely last longer than Peterson.

I prefer Johnson by a good bit fantasy-wise.

I'm not at all convinced of this part. I have him an Gerhart both and I think I'd rather start either of them over CJ (who burned my ### in multiple leagues last season). If Adrian is even ready by week 10, he'll outproduce CJ in the playoffs where it counts. He's a better player.Another thing to consider with CJ is that Locker is probably going to be Qbing this team come fantasy playoffs. I think he beats out Hass outright in camp. Especially with the young receivers Britt, Williams, Wright, and Cook needing to build rapport with him. And Locker is going to run some short scores in. Over a 16 games season I'd pencil him in for 5 or 6. Couple that with bigger backs like Ringers and Harper and you may not see much action with CJ in the red zone.



Johnson only got 11 fantasy points vs. the Saints last season in Locker's only start (Locker had 6 carries for 36 yards with a score coming on: 1st and 6 from the 6 yard line).

 

[finito]

Adrian Peterson for me. But then he will be about spent. Chris Johnson's stats have declined every season since his 2000+ campaign. I don't see him suddenly making a huge reversing trend.

You're basically saying Chris Johnson will rush for under 1k this year. He had 1047 last year and if you think he's going to decline again you're looking at Shonn Greene type numbers at best. I'm be very surprised if there isn't a decent bounce back from him.

 

[MAC_32]

I would rather have Toby + Adrian, but one vs. one I'd rather have Johnson. I guess it depends on how much Toby costs. Guessing not much because I trade blocked him at the end of last year after All Day's injury and his hot finish and got zero bites. We'll see come August I guess.

 

[Coeur de Lion]

Peterson + Gerhart vs Johnson isn't the topic here.

And Peterson getting back on the field for the end of the season is one thing. Peterson getting a full workload and being recovered enough to be a fantasy RB1 is quite another. Wes Welker had a less severe injury late in the year in 2009; he managed to play the next year, but he was clearly a shadow of his 100% healthy self. I'd imagine the road back will be tougher for a RB.

 

[Sabertooth]

Adrian Peterson for me. But then he will be about spent. Chris Johnson's stats have declined every season since his 2000+ campaign. I don't see him suddenly making a huge reversing trend.

You're basically saying Chris Johnson will rush for under 1k this year. He had 1047 last year and if you think he's going to decline again you're looking at Shonn Greene type numbers at best. I'm be very surprised if there isn't a decent bounce back from him.

I didn't say that he'd continue to decline. But expecting him to approach his earlier career numbers is foolish. He's never going to do that again. I'd be surprised if he ever goes over 1300 again.