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Could LT Play Long Enough to Break Emmitt's TD Record? (1 Viewer)

RhymesMcJuice

Footballguy
I know it's a long shot but if he hangs around until he's 35 like Emmitt did and snags an occasional TD I think he could do it. Three more years puts him at 58 games to get 20 TD's. No doubt if he played that long the team he's with would try to get him the record.

 
that would be 7 a season for the next three years? He has 7 in a year and a half with the NYJ.

Anyway, I dont see it, even if he does play 3 more (which he could). I see him maybe getting 10-12 more TDs total in those 3 years.

 
I know it's a long shot but if he hangs around until he's 35 like Emmitt did and snags an occasional TD I think he could do it. Three more years puts him at 58 games to get 20 TD's. No doubt if he played that long the team he's with would try to get him the record.
I'd put the odds at ~ 20:1 right now, though that could change if he got hot and had 5-6 short yardage TDs over the next 6-7 weeks.
 
that would be 7 a season for the next three years? He has 7 in a year and a half with the NYJ.Anyway, I dont see it, even if he does play 3 more (which he could). I see him maybe getting 10-12 more TDs total in those 3 years.
There's still half of this season left so if he even gets 2 the rest of this year he'd need 6 a year for three years to break it. If he played that long and got close he'd almost certainly come a fourth year, which would make him 36, to break it. I think it all depends on how badly he wants it.
 
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I know it's a long shot but if he hangs around until he's 35 like Emmitt did and snags an occasional TD I think he could do it. Three more years puts him at 58 games to get 20 TD's. No doubt if he played that long the team he's with would try to get him the record.
I'd put the odds at ~ 20:1 right now, though that could change if he got hot and had 5-6 short yardage TDs over the next 6-7 weeks.
First of all he need John Conner not to steal any more.
 
that would be 7 a season for the next three years? He has 7 in a year and a half with the NYJ.Anyway, I dont see it, even if he does play 3 more (which he could). I see him maybe getting 10-12 more TDs total in those 3 years.
There's still half of this season left so if he even gets 2 the rest of this year he'd need 6 a year for three years to break it. If he played that long and got close he'd almost certainly come a fourth year, which would make him 36, to break it. I think it all depends on how badly he wants it.
Good point. Do the Jets bring him back? Whats his contract status?
 
that would be 7 a season for the next three years? He has 7 in a year and a half with the NYJ.Anyway, I dont see it, even if he does play 3 more (which he could). I see him maybe getting 10-12 more TDs total in those 3 years.
There's still half of this season left so if he even gets 2 the rest of this year he'd need 6 a year for three years to break it. If he played that long and got close he'd almost certainly come a fourth year, which would make him 36, to break it. I think it all depends on how badly he wants it.
Good point. Do the Jets bring him back? Whats his contract status?
He's a free agent but his willingness to take a pay cut ($1.125M) this year will ensure that he signs somewhere if he wants to keep playing.
 
I thought he was retiring after this year. No idea where that thought came from. Is he?

Sure do think he can hack it for three more years, don't think he will though. He's had a strong desire to win that I love. Whether he retires might be indicated by the quality of the team he's on.

 
that would be 7 a season for the next three years? He has 7 in a year and a half with the NYJ.Anyway, I dont see it, even if he does play 3 more (which he could). I see him maybe getting 10-12 more TDs total in those 3 years.
There's still half of this season left so if he even gets 2 the rest of this year he'd need 6 a year for three years to break it. If he played that long and got close he'd almost certainly come a fourth year, which would make him 36, to break it. I think it all depends on how badly he wants it.
well if he gets close, the team is likely to use him a tad more so he can get the record. I don't think you can nickel and dime this-although some decent projections above
 
IMHO Not a chance. This year should be it for LT. I could ask the same question of any back in the league - if so-and-so plays 30 years and the moon was made of green cheese.....

Just not going to happen. He has had an amazing career.

 
LT has averaged .304 rushing TD per game as a member of the Jets. Assuming he produces and does not slow down any in terms of production (which is unlikely), it would take 66 games for him to pass Smith. That would mean he would need to play 4 years past this season (and not miss any time). Unless things change (like becoming a goal line back with lots of opportunities), I don't see it happening.

 
I know it's a long shot but if he hangs around until he's 35 like Emmitt did and snags an occasional TD I think he could do it. Three more years puts him at 58 games to get 20 TD's. No doubt if he played that long the team he's with would try to get him the record.
937/9 at age 35 isn't really "hanging around."
 
He would have to switch teams IMO, which is possible and go to a team who needs a goaline back and then prove to be that guy.

As most said, it's certainly possible but just not probable, I wouldn't bet my life against it though.

 
I think it's much more likely that he retires after this year.

He's not going to get the necessary touches unless he ends up on a running back-starved team, and even then there's only a small chance imo.

 
'LargeMouthBass said:
Another note, there's probably an old thread about this... I know Emmitt has the most TD's but is he a top 5 RB of all times?
Of course he is, unless you don't like the Cowboys or the fact that he played on a good team. This will end bad if we get off topic.
 
No way. I don't think he has the ability to suddenly turn into a Jerome Bettis power back OR a Marcus Allen touchdown specialist.

 
Emmitt came out of nowhere to have 9 tds his last season with Arizona, but yea I just don't see it happening.

 
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Emmitt came out of nowhere to have 9 tds his last season with Arizona, but yea I just don't see it happening.
Emmitt was like the natural. He was never a back that relied on speed the way LT did. He was shifty with excellent feet. I have never seen a runner like him. He made people miss in small spaces like no other running back.People talk about how his success was predicated on an offensive line that no other RB had success behind, a QB that struggled if Emmitt missed a game, and a "easy" schedule of opponents that included regular games against Giants, 49ers and Redskins teams that also won the Super Bowl in various years.LT was a great player. But his game was predicated on speed and his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield. LT is not the guy who makes people miss in small spaces anymore or a guy who can bust it through the middle by running over people.LT will be lucky to have another year. I would bet this is it.
 
'LargeMouthBass said:
Another note, there's probably an old thread about this... I know Emmitt has the most TD's but is he a top 5 RB of all times?
Of course he is, unless you don't like the Cowboys or the fact that he played on a good team. This will end bad if we get off topic.
My intention wasn't to get off topic but since it's about Emmitt's TD record, I just wanted to point out that TD records for a RBs don't mean as much as WRs or even QBs. And regardless of breaking the record LT will go into the Hall of Fame. But here are 5 that I can think of that were better RBs that had less TDs, Barry Sanders, Jim Brown, Walter Payton, Marshal Faulk, and OJ Simpson, Doh yeah I said OJ.Another question is will Emmitt's record ever be broken? In this day and age of RBBC and players pulling hammys like there's no tomorrow, he's gotta be a freak to do it. I don't see it ever happening.
 
The question is more if he will play in the NFL again next season. There won't be too many takers for him. The end comes quick and mercilessly for RBs.

 
'Hairy Snowman said:
'El Truth said:
Emmitt came out of nowhere to have 9 tds his last season with Arizona, but yea I just don't see it happening.
Emmitt was like the natural. He was never a back that relied on speed the way LT did. He was shifty with excellent feet. I have never seen a runner like him. He made people miss in small spaces like no other running back.People talk about how his success was predicated on an offensive line that no other RB had success behind, a QB that struggled if Emmitt missed a game, and a "easy" schedule of opponents that included regular games against Giants, 49ers and Redskins teams that also won the Super Bowl in various years.

LT was a great player. But his game was predicated on speed and his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield. LT is not the guy who makes people miss in small spaces anymore or a guy who can bust it through the middle by running over people.

LT will be lucky to have another year. I would bet this is it.
Please watch more football. :barrysanders:
 
'Portis 26 said:
The question is more if he will play in the NFL again next season. There won't be too many takers for him. The end comes quick and mercilessly for RBs.
Most guys quit because their ego is too big to be a backup. Clearly he doesn't have that problem and barring an injury he can hang around as a 3rd down back for quite a while.
 
'Hairy Snowman said:
'El Truth said:
Emmitt came out of nowhere to have 9 tds his last season with Arizona, but yea I just don't see it happening.
Emmitt was like the natural. He was never a back that relied on speed the way LT did. He was shifty with excellent feet. I have never seen a runner like him. He made people miss in small spaces like no other running back.People talk about how his success was predicated on an offensive line that no other RB had success behind, a QB that struggled if Emmitt missed a game, and a "easy" schedule of opponents that included regular games against Giants, 49ers and Redskins teams that also won the Super Bowl in various years.

LT was a great player. But his game was predicated on speed and his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield. LT is not the guy who makes people miss in small spaces anymore or a guy who can bust it through the middle by running over people.

LT will be lucky to have another year. I would bet this is it.
Please watch more football. :barrysanders:
Barry Sanders might have been the most exciting player I ever saw. That didn't make him the best RB.Emmitt was 10x the blocker Sanders was. If I had the ball on the 10 yard line and needed to score, I would want Emmitt. In fact, no one was more consistent at moving the chains when everyone knew he was carrying the ball. If it was at the 2, maybe Walter. But Emmitt would be a close second.

Barry's teams didn't win partly because he was so inconsistent. The offense couldn't stay on the field. Yes, a couple of times a game he would make moves that would just leave your jaw dropping. But the other 18 carries would be for negative yards or under 2.

If I was starting a NFL team, I could list at least 10 other RBs Id rather have. Off the top of my head (in no particular order)- Walter, Emmitt, Allen, Thurman, Campbell, OJ, Sayers, Brown, Faulk, or Bo Jackson. Alot of things don't show up in statistics. Sanders was great. But Emmitt was the natural. The guy will never get the props he deserves.

Just to stay on point: No way Sanders was more consistent at running the ball in small spaces. Great moves. But very inconsistent.

 
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