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Curious - Why does it seem most "assume" DWill won't res (1 Viewer)

Stewart has a low contract now, but if Deangelo leaves, It wouldn't surprise me if Stewart starts demanding a new deal shortly after. The Panthers should extend Stewart well before Deangelo is gone, during this offseason would be good when there's alot of uncertainty with Deangelo's future.

 
JohnnyU said:
The consensous now is to have two very good RBs. For that reason and the fract that Williams fits their scheme so well, he will resign.
That's all well and good, but what about salary considerations? This is a team with a lot of holes, especially on defense and WR after Steve Smith.
 
Sorry, I'm not understanding. If you are referring to the plow ahead 3-5 yards power runners, they seem to be the ones with the much shorter shelf lives before falling off of a cliff (Eddie George, Stephen Davis, Rudi Johnson, etc.).

I also don't see how Williams isn't a guy that can consistently pound out 3-5 ypc. His career ypc average wouldn't be so impressive if he couldn't. He's capable of big plays and while his milestone season saw many of them, he's not dependant on big play ability.
No, I am referring to guys like Thomas Jones, Curtis Martin, Ricky Williams, etc. Guys who do a little bit of everything, but when their speed hit a wall (or will hit a wall in the case of Ricky) they still had something to fall back on. Those plow ahead guys have a shorter shelf life, I don't think anyone will debate that...at least well anyway.I haven't crunched the numbers from last season, and doubt I will actually because time isn't as available as it used to be here, but a lot of his value from 2008 came from long distance so while his ypc is there he was certainly reliant on the big play. If he's not dialing it in from distance then he really isn't a special back, which wouldn't mean as much if he didn't have a potential monster like J Stew behind him.
You're not really making sense. The bolded above would be a very good description of Williams. He is a good inside runner (stats prove it, so you saying you don't think he is doesn't carry much weight), can break big plays, he's a good goal-line RB, he's a good receiver, and he's a good blocker. I think that would qualify as a "guy who does a little bit of everything."So RBs that fit the description you provided above (which DeAngleo certainly does) tend to have a longer shelf life. How does that indicate that Williams' wheels are soon to fall off? :goodposting:
I didn't say his wheels were about to come off, I said I think he's more likely to fall off before or at 30 than he is to last beyond it. I've never been much of a believer in stats in football, I use my eyes to evaluate players and situations and just use stats to make sure what I'm seeing isn't crazy, the game is subjective in nature so eye test evaluations mean a hell of a lot more than statistical ones. I don't think DeAng is a particularly special receiver, blocker, or inside runner - he's good, just nothing special. I think the numbers make him look like a great inside runner, but think the offensive line has more to do with that than anything else.

When he's 29 going on 30 and probably declining if he is still with the Panthers I don't see them leaning heavy on him when they have a J Stew at a prime age for RB's, 25. It's certainly possible but I wouldn't make that bet.
OK, first you say Williams is likely to fall off sooner rather than later because he's a speed guy.Myself (& several other posters) point out that he's not a "speed guy."

Then, you say I mean that he isn't a good pound it inside type runner.

Myself (& several others) point out that he's very good at running the ball inside.

Then you say, he only has a good YPC because he breaks so many big plays.

I point out that this is just flat-out wrong. If you take out his big plays, he still has a higher YPC than Stewart, AND he'd be a top 12 RB (in YPC), even if you allowed all other RBs to use their big plays.

Then you say you don't believe in stats, and eye test evaluations mean more than statistical evaluations. Well, you'd be hard pressed to find many people who would agre with you that Williams "isn't a special back," whether it be based on eye-test evaluations or statistical evaluations.

I'm curious--what is going to be your next justification for why the Panthers should rely on Stewart to carry the load rather than Williams? You're 0 for 4, so far.

BTW-you said:

I don't think DeAng is a particularly special receiver, blocker, or inside runner - he's good, just nothing special. I think the numbers make him look like a great inside runner, but think the offensive line has more to do with that than anything else.
Well by all accounts, he's better at all 3 of these things than Stewart, AND he runs behind the same offensive line as Stewart. So, if (according to you) Williams isn't special, and he's better in all those areas than Stewart, what does that say about him?
 
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JohnnyU said:
The consensous now is to have two very good RBs. For that reason and the fract that Williams fits their scheme so well, he will resign.
This is a team with a lot of holes, especially on defense and WR after Steve Smith.
They addressed their holes at WR with rookies LaFell and Edwards. They both did well at minicamp, so hopefully they will work out.
 
JohnnyU said:
The consensous now is to have two very good RBs. For that reason and the fract that Williams fits their scheme so well, he will resign.
That's all well and good, but what about salary considerations? This is a team with a lot of holes, especially on defense and WR after Steve Smith.
This is a team that used two first round picks on RBs in a three-year span. They value the RB position higher than most teams, their blueprint is built around the running game on offense.The best hope for those that want to see Williams in another uniform next year is that Fox/Hurney are gone, because it is in their interest to at least franchise Williams next year, assuming that kind of option is still available under the new CBA.
 
OK, first you say Williams is likely to fall off sooner rather than later because he's a speed guy.Myself (& several other posters) point out that he's not a "speed guy."Then, you say I mean that he isn't a good pound it inside type runner.Myself (& several others) point out that he's very good at running the ball inside.Then you say, he only has a good YPC because he breaks so many big plays.I point out that this is just flat-out wrong. If you take out his big plays, he still has a higher YPC than Stewart, AND he'd be a top 12 RB (in YPC), even if you allowed all other RBs to use their big plays.Then you say you don't believe in stats, and eye test evaluations mean more than statistical evaluations. Well, you'd be hard pressed to find many people who would agre with you that Williams "isn't a special back," whether it be based on eye-test evaluations or statistical evaluations.I'm curious--what is going to be your next justification for why the Panthers should rely on Stewart to carry the load rather than Williams? You're 0 for 4, so far. BTW-you said:

I don't think DeAng is a particularly special receiver, blocker, or inside runner - he's good, just nothing special. I think the numbers make him look like a great inside runner, but think the offensive line has more to do with that than anything else.
Well by all accounts, he's better at all 3 of these things than Stewart, AND he runs behind the same offensive line as Stewart. So, if (according to you) Williams isn't special, and he's better in all those areas than Stewart, what does that say about him?
Well, in the future I'll be sure to post all of my thoughts about a guy in my first post. If you're real curious you can search through my previous posts and you'll see that I value the eye much more than the stat sheet. Stats lie, especially in football. Maybe he is a better runner than I am giving him credit for, maybe Just Win Baby and I watched different games and saw different things from him, maybe I watched him play when he was nicked up and Just Win Baby did when he had a clean bill of health. Lots of maybe's and what if's in this game. Take the info you think is relevant and make your decision, clearly you and I don't use the same information.By the way, I think DeAng is a tremendous value for this season given where I've seen him going in drafts, I just don't feel confident about him in the future.
 
Well, in the future I'll be sure to post all of my thoughts about a guy in my first post. If you're real curious you can search through my previous posts and you'll see that I value the eye much more than the stat sheet. Stats lie, especially in football. Maybe he is a better runner than I am giving him credit for, maybe Just Win Baby and I watched different games and saw different things from him, maybe I watched him play when he was nicked up and Just Win Baby did when he had a clean bill of health. Lots of maybe's and what if's in this game. Take the info you think is relevant and make your decision, clearly you and I don't use the same information.

By the way, I think DeAng is a tremendous value for this season given where I've seen him going in drafts, I just don't feel confident about him in the future.
We can agree to disagree, but the line bolded above is a bit disingenuous, don't you think? You didn't "forget" to post some thoughts about Williams, you changed your reasoning as to why he was going to tail off sooner rather than later several times.For the record, I believe that "the eye" and stats are important, but that seeing a player is MUCH more important than just seeing his stats. That being said, you can't expect to have any credibility when you make statements like "Williams isn't that special a RB," and your final justification for that statement is "your eye." He has over 5 YPC in the NFL, AND he had a 1500 yard rushing season, with over 5 YPC, and 20 TDs! You can't do those things without being "special."

It seems "your eye" is telling you what your mind (that of a Stewart backer/owner) wants you to see.

 
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It seems "your eye" is telling you what your mind (that of a Stewart backer/owner) wants you to see.
I'm actually more heavily invested in DeAng than J Stew.
You didn't "forget" to post some thoughts about Williams, you changed your reasoning as to why he was going to tail off sooner rather than later several times.
No I didn't, I feel he's at risk to tail off for all of the reasons above, and still do.
 
I don't think too many teams will shell out the kind of money I expect Deangelo will command if they have another back who has proven he can do just as well. I could be wrong. But I just don't think that is likely. If anything, they will draft someone in next year's draft in the second or third round to backup Stewart and start the whole cycle over.
Haven't read the thread yet, so this may have been mentioned later... but they could easily decide to tag Williams for one to two years, provided the new CBA allows for that. The Chargers have just done that with Darren Sproles, who obviously isn't close to as good as Williams.Then if the new CBA or the fact that Williams would be 29 entering the 2012 season served to lower his market value, the team could sign him to a new deal or just draft his replacement at that point and let him walk.
I was coming here to post this. If the Tags are available then this makes the most sense from the Panther's POV- they will pay him ~ the same per year as he would get on the open market but essentially get a 1 year deal with a 1 year team option for a 28 year old RB. That is just about perfect (having 2 1 year options would probably be perfect). Worst case scenario is someone gives you 2 1st rounders for him.

 
Well, in the future I'll be sure to post all of my thoughts about a guy in my first post. If you're real curious you can search through my previous posts and you'll see that I value the eye much more than the stat sheet. Stats lie, especially in football. Maybe he is a better runner than I am giving him credit for, maybe Just Win Baby and I watched different games and saw different things from him, maybe I watched him play when he was nicked up and Just Win Baby did when he had a clean bill of health. Lots of maybe's and what if's in this game. Take the info you think is relevant and make your decision, clearly you and I don't use the same information.

By the way, I think DeAng is a tremendous value for this season given where I've seen him going in drafts, I just don't feel confident about him in the future.
We can agree to disagree, but the line bolded above is a bit disingenuous, don't you think? You didn't "forget" to post some thoughts about Williams, you changed your reasoning as to why he was going to tail off sooner rather than later several times.For the record, I believe that "the eye" and stats are important, but that seeing a player is MUCH more important than just seeing his stats. That being said, you can't expect to have any credibility when you make statements like "Williams isn't that special a RB," and your final justification for that statement is "your eye." He has over 5 YPC in the NFL, AND he had a 1500 yard rushing season, with over 5 YPC, and 20 TDs! You can't do those things without being "special."

It seems "your eye" is telling you what your mind (that of a Stewart backer/owner) wants you to see.
While I do not agree with the poster you are referring to, I think the bolded is said way too much in the situation with Williams and Stewart.
 
It seems "your eye" is telling you what your mind (that of a Stewart backer/owner) wants you to see.
I'm actually more heavily invested in DeAng than J Stew.
You didn't "forget" to post some thoughts about Williams, you changed your reasoning as to why he was going to tail off sooner rather than later several times.
No I didn't, I feel he's at risk to tail off for all of the reasons above, and still do.
Your reasons weren't accurate though and they kept changing. You kept backpeddling to make your point each time your point was refuted. All RBs fall off eventually and you may be right that Williams will hit that wall sooner rather than later (I don't agree but you could be right b/c who knows?) - but it's not because he is a "speed" back that will lose his speed, its not because he isn't a guy that can't consistently get 3-4 ypc, it isn't because he isn't a good inside runner, it isn't because he isn't a special talent.This may have some hyperbole involved but Jon Gruden said that he and his coaching staff considered Williams the most talented back in teh NFL while he was still with Tampa. When he was reminded that Adrian Peterson was in the league, he responded "I stand behind my original statement."

 
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While I do not agree with the poster you are referring to, I think the bolded is said way too much in the situation with Williams and Stewart.
That may be true, but in some cases, the statement is appropriate. To believe that Stewart is a better back than Williams isn't, in and of itself, wrong. However, to say, according to the "eye test" that Williams "isn't a special back" reeks of bias. Stewart may end up, one day, being the superior NFL and FF RB to Williams. However, the ability to maintain over a 5.0 YPC, the ability to rush for over 1500 yards, and the ability to score 20 TDs in a single season, let along the ability to do all of these things in a single season indicate that Williams is, indeed, a "special back."
 

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