TheDirtyWord
Footballguy
Consider these things about Woodhead's 2010 season:
- He didn't join the Patriots until the 3rd game of 2010.
- Immediately made a mark by rushing for 42 yards on 3 carries and a TD, even though he only played 7 snaps. From that point forward up until the final game of the regular season he averaged 32.8 snaps/game. Talk about picking up an offense and a team quickly.
- When we get to the proration of his 2010 season, he had 1024 yards from scrimmage, if you include his playoff game with 6 TD's in 15 games. But in two of those games, he totaled 10 total snaps (7 in his aforementioned first game as a Patriot and 3 in the regular season finale. So instead of 15 games, that number is closer to 13.5. Prorated over a 16 game schedule, that's 1214 YFS & 7 TD's.
- When I look at his FF Calc ADP, he is RB45.
So, it it appears that Woodhead is suffering from a couple of things.
1) People don't believe in his ability.
2) The propsect of the Patriots drafting two RB's in this years draft is scaring people away from all RB's on the Patriots.
As far as Ridley & Vereen are concerned, here is what I would point out. Beside the Lawfirm & Woodhead, here are the players, their ages and # of carries they logged/were in 2010.
Fred Taylor (34) - 43 carries
Sammy Morris (33) - 20 carries
Kevin Faulk (34) - 8 carries
Thomas Clayton (26) - 7 carries
Now Clayton is gone, but what the above players show is that the Patriots depth at RB was absolutely ancient last year. And combined, they tallied...
78 carries, 273 yards, 15 receptions, 145 receiving yards 0 TD.s.
Now truth be told, that's not an insignificant workload and while Morris/Faulk are in camp, they are a year older and there is a decent chance this is the end of the line for them. So there is an opportunity for either Vereen/Ridley to fill that production void. But with that said, it simply made sense for the Patriots to draft both RB's given how thin their backfield had become. Does that mean that we should be inserting them in the starting lineup? Not quite yet considering how well BJGE & Woodhead performed.
But no RB had a better YPR than Woodhead last year, and I can't help but think that privately, Belichick loves the fact that he got Woodhead from the Jets while they futz around with Joe McKnight. Truth be told, Chrebet's career arc reminds me of one of the most beloved Jets of all time - Wayne Chrebet. No one thought much of him until he proved he was one of the better players in the league.
Right now, Woodhead seems to have 11th round value, but here's a list of guys who are going more than 2 rounds before him via FF Calculator:
C.J. Spiller
LaDainian Tomlinson
James Starks
Reggie Bush
...all of these guys are in either clear #2, or at least a complimentary role for their respective teams and unproven/untested in those roles.
IMO, Woodhead is an ideal RB3 who you can wait to draft. I don't think there is any threat to his role on that team...if anything as he continues to prove himself from an ability and durability stanspoint, he could be in line for an increased (albeit slight) workload.
- He didn't join the Patriots until the 3rd game of 2010.
- Immediately made a mark by rushing for 42 yards on 3 carries and a TD, even though he only played 7 snaps. From that point forward up until the final game of the regular season he averaged 32.8 snaps/game. Talk about picking up an offense and a team quickly.
- When we get to the proration of his 2010 season, he had 1024 yards from scrimmage, if you include his playoff game with 6 TD's in 15 games. But in two of those games, he totaled 10 total snaps (7 in his aforementioned first game as a Patriot and 3 in the regular season finale. So instead of 15 games, that number is closer to 13.5. Prorated over a 16 game schedule, that's 1214 YFS & 7 TD's.
- When I look at his FF Calc ADP, he is RB45.

So, it it appears that Woodhead is suffering from a couple of things.
1) People don't believe in his ability.
2) The propsect of the Patriots drafting two RB's in this years draft is scaring people away from all RB's on the Patriots.
As far as Ridley & Vereen are concerned, here is what I would point out. Beside the Lawfirm & Woodhead, here are the players, their ages and # of carries they logged/were in 2010.
Fred Taylor (34) - 43 carries
Sammy Morris (33) - 20 carries
Kevin Faulk (34) - 8 carries
Thomas Clayton (26) - 7 carries
Now Clayton is gone, but what the above players show is that the Patriots depth at RB was absolutely ancient last year. And combined, they tallied...
78 carries, 273 yards, 15 receptions, 145 receiving yards 0 TD.s.
Now truth be told, that's not an insignificant workload and while Morris/Faulk are in camp, they are a year older and there is a decent chance this is the end of the line for them. So there is an opportunity for either Vereen/Ridley to fill that production void. But with that said, it simply made sense for the Patriots to draft both RB's given how thin their backfield had become. Does that mean that we should be inserting them in the starting lineup? Not quite yet considering how well BJGE & Woodhead performed.
But no RB had a better YPR than Woodhead last year, and I can't help but think that privately, Belichick loves the fact that he got Woodhead from the Jets while they futz around with Joe McKnight. Truth be told, Chrebet's career arc reminds me of one of the most beloved Jets of all time - Wayne Chrebet. No one thought much of him until he proved he was one of the better players in the league.
Right now, Woodhead seems to have 11th round value, but here's a list of guys who are going more than 2 rounds before him via FF Calculator:
C.J. Spiller
LaDainian Tomlinson
James Starks
Reggie Bush
...all of these guys are in either clear #2, or at least a complimentary role for their respective teams and unproven/untested in those roles.
IMO, Woodhead is an ideal RB3 who you can wait to draft. I don't think there is any threat to his role on that team...if anything as he continues to prove himself from an ability and durability stanspoint, he could be in line for an increased (albeit slight) workload.