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Draftkings week 3 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter need2know
- Start date
I don't like it.
This is for a 50/50 so you are hurting yourself by stacking Rodgers and Cobb. That really raises your variance. RB and WR from the same team usually hurts you more than it helps.
You can do better than Escobar.
need2know
Footballguy
I don't mind the stack in cash(I've stacked Ryan/Julio some both weeks so far) if Im very high on both players but personally there are guys I prefer to Cobb. Like the above poster I cant see Escobar as a cash game option maybe a GPP low owned shot in the dark but not cash. I will probably be looking at a cheaper RB and then a high priced WR. Starks is a great option if Lacy doesn't play hopefully we know the answer in time to make a good decision since that game is Monday night. Stewart or Lewis are other possible cheap RBs although I typically avoid NE Rbs in cash.
Caesar
Footballguy
For the second week in a row, I essentially broke even. I am on vacation this week, so it is going to be hard to get the same kind of action, but I am still trying to get about the same amount in play as last week.
As I analyze this, I know that I should play more double ups and triple ups and less GPP if I really want to make some money (cashed in 9 of 14 triple ups, was one position out of the money on 3 more, 2 positions out on the fourth, and 5 positions out on the 5th), that is what saved my week right there and pretty much paid for all my other games. I still find the excitement of having a chance at higher money to be more valuable to me at this time.
What it also tells me is that I am making pretty good cash lineups, but my GPP lineups suck. I have cashed (very low amounts) in about 20% of the ones I have played, but sometimes that barely covers the entry fee.
So, this week I am looking to improve my GPP lineups. I had Manziel/Benjamin stack in my very last GPP stack I was putting in Sunday before the games started, and when I clicked the enter button, the contest had filled, so I think I missed out on a really nice cash if I had gotten in sooner.
So, in an effort to really stand out this week, I am looking at a couple guys I feel have super high upside, like Benjamin last week. Here is my current short list. Anybody have any more they like?
Norwood (DEN) $3000... Detroit is a wreck, but they still have Calvin. The game is in Detroit, so I think the Denver D falters a little. I have the game plan to be a little bit of a shootout and Norwood has overtaken Latimer as the #3. Peyton is NOT dead. As a long shot GPP option, I can see taking a chance on him. I would be lying to say I would use him in any GPP that costs over $5 to enter, though. ETA: I might rethink this knowing that Stafford is a no-go this week. Maybe move to Hillman as a low RB option because i don't think Detroit has a prayer with Orlovsky throwing it.
Douglas (TEN) $3000... Yeah, he only has 3 catches for 33 yards this year, but he has been targeted 10 times in two games. He has a TD catch in the red zone, and it seems like every time redzone channel switches to the TEN games, they take a shot for douglas downfield. All they need to do is connect on one of those long passes for a TD and he exceeds his value. I will also consider him as part of a week three stack with Mariota. Indy did OK to keeping an injured #1 in check last week (Hilton), but the #3 receiver went off. Kendall Wright in for a long day and maybe Douglas is the beneficiary. Its a short week on the road for the Colts... need I go on? I like this play and will likely enter the stack in the 7MM millionaire maker this week.
Lee (JAX) $3400... Moved comfortably into the #3 spot this week with an injury to Greene who had SEVENTEEN targets in two weeks. 17!!! Lee is more talented (at rolling a joint.. HA) but those targets are going somewhere, and JAX still doesn't have a target to a TE this season. I don't see that changing much until Thomas is back, and that won't be this week. I don't think NE defense is that strong, and that #3 receiver (Lee) is going to create some serious matchup problems for them. I think JAX is passing all day to try and get back in the game, so I like this play and am even considering a cheap stack with Bortles, who has looked respectable so far. (side note, if you have the money, I still think Robinson is a great play at only $5200.. double stack?)
Heyward Bey (PIT) $3500... This should be obvious. PIT has a high powered offense and they are throwing to Wheaton (for the record is only $3700) and DHB at about the same rate. Until Bryant returns, I think that is going to continue. That is a good price for a guy who has 8 catches for 135 yards and a TD in two weeks. 3 catches 20+ yards is a good indicator they will use him downfield as well. StL showed last week that any offense can score on them, (Washington? really?)
Benjamin (CLE) $4200... price went up, and i think people will chase the points against a bad Oakland Defense, but he is still playable IMO. Not a ridiculous price, and I can see reasons not to play him, but he might find one or two of my lineups just in case he goes off again. He is always a return threat, even if he doesn't get the receptions.
All the time I have for now. Any feedback appreciated. I will try to get some RBs out there later, but I'm having a hard time finding real value this week at that position so far. I haven't looked too deep, as of yet.
As I analyze this, I know that I should play more double ups and triple ups and less GPP if I really want to make some money (cashed in 9 of 14 triple ups, was one position out of the money on 3 more, 2 positions out on the fourth, and 5 positions out on the 5th), that is what saved my week right there and pretty much paid for all my other games. I still find the excitement of having a chance at higher money to be more valuable to me at this time.
What it also tells me is that I am making pretty good cash lineups, but my GPP lineups suck. I have cashed (very low amounts) in about 20% of the ones I have played, but sometimes that barely covers the entry fee.
So, this week I am looking to improve my GPP lineups. I had Manziel/Benjamin stack in my very last GPP stack I was putting in Sunday before the games started, and when I clicked the enter button, the contest had filled, so I think I missed out on a really nice cash if I had gotten in sooner.
So, in an effort to really stand out this week, I am looking at a couple guys I feel have super high upside, like Benjamin last week. Here is my current short list. Anybody have any more they like?
Norwood (DEN) $3000... Detroit is a wreck, but they still have Calvin. The game is in Detroit, so I think the Denver D falters a little. I have the game plan to be a little bit of a shootout and Norwood has overtaken Latimer as the #3. Peyton is NOT dead. As a long shot GPP option, I can see taking a chance on him. I would be lying to say I would use him in any GPP that costs over $5 to enter, though. ETA: I might rethink this knowing that Stafford is a no-go this week. Maybe move to Hillman as a low RB option because i don't think Detroit has a prayer with Orlovsky throwing it.
Douglas (TEN) $3000... Yeah, he only has 3 catches for 33 yards this year, but he has been targeted 10 times in two games. He has a TD catch in the red zone, and it seems like every time redzone channel switches to the TEN games, they take a shot for douglas downfield. All they need to do is connect on one of those long passes for a TD and he exceeds his value. I will also consider him as part of a week three stack with Mariota. Indy did OK to keeping an injured #1 in check last week (Hilton), but the #3 receiver went off. Kendall Wright in for a long day and maybe Douglas is the beneficiary. Its a short week on the road for the Colts... need I go on? I like this play and will likely enter the stack in the 7MM millionaire maker this week.
Lee (JAX) $3400... Moved comfortably into the #3 spot this week with an injury to Greene who had SEVENTEEN targets in two weeks. 17!!! Lee is more talented (at rolling a joint.. HA) but those targets are going somewhere, and JAX still doesn't have a target to a TE this season. I don't see that changing much until Thomas is back, and that won't be this week. I don't think NE defense is that strong, and that #3 receiver (Lee) is going to create some serious matchup problems for them. I think JAX is passing all day to try and get back in the game, so I like this play and am even considering a cheap stack with Bortles, who has looked respectable so far. (side note, if you have the money, I still think Robinson is a great play at only $5200.. double stack?)
Heyward Bey (PIT) $3500... This should be obvious. PIT has a high powered offense and they are throwing to Wheaton (for the record is only $3700) and DHB at about the same rate. Until Bryant returns, I think that is going to continue. That is a good price for a guy who has 8 catches for 135 yards and a TD in two weeks. 3 catches 20+ yards is a good indicator they will use him downfield as well. StL showed last week that any offense can score on them, (Washington? really?)
Benjamin (CLE) $4200... price went up, and i think people will chase the points against a bad Oakland Defense, but he is still playable IMO. Not a ridiculous price, and I can see reasons not to play him, but he might find one or two of my lineups just in case he goes off again. He is always a return threat, even if he doesn't get the receptions.
All the time I have for now. Any feedback appreciated. I will try to get some RBs out there later, but I'm having a hard time finding real value this week at that position so far. I haven't looked too deep, as of yet.
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Fantasysports1
Footballguy
A cash lineup I made
Palmer 6600
Crowell 4500
Woodhead 4400
Brown 8900
Steve Johnson 4300
Landry 6400
Gronk 7400
Dion Lewis 4200
Def 3100
If you use both Brown and Gronk, it becomes difficult to get another stud player in.
Palmer 6600
Crowell 4500
Woodhead 4400
Brown 8900
Steve Johnson 4300
Landry 6400
Gronk 7400
Dion Lewis 4200
Def 3100
If you use both Brown and Gronk, it becomes difficult to get another stud player in.
need2know
Footballguy
Alright Mr variance
I entered another with this
Rodgers
Lynch
Woodhead
A. Brown
Moncrief
S. Johnson
Kelce
D. Lewis
Jets def
17seconds
root of all aliai
How about this one for cash? Gives a 165 in the value chart which is the highest I've been able to come up with so far. I think this is damn strong if Lacy doesn't go.
You just have to put Antonio in your lineup
I like the Brady-Edelman stack, even for cash
Lynch and Seattle D together. I see them dominating their home opener against the Bears
Even more SEA with Baldwin, but he is a cheap high floor guy
Moncrief and Reed are both producing already
Brady
Starks
Lynch
Edelman
Antonio Brown
Moncrief
Reed
Baldwin
Seahawks
ETA: I've won all of my double-ups first 2 weeks by just plugging in Dodds' and Wood's lineups.
You just have to put Antonio in your lineup
I like the Brady-Edelman stack, even for cash
Lynch and Seattle D together. I see them dominating their home opener against the Bears
Even more SEA with Baldwin, but he is a cheap high floor guy
Moncrief and Reed are both producing already
Brady
Starks
Lynch
Edelman
Antonio Brown
Moncrief
Reed
Baldwin
Seahawks
ETA: I've won all of my double-ups first 2 weeks by just plugging in Dodds' and Wood's lineups.
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Yes, Moncrief has been producing, but because TY Hilton has had some serious coverage to deal with. I think TY will outperform Moncrief this game, but he is still a talented player.
Where do Dodds and Wood post lineups?
17seconds
root of all aliai
DraftKings landing page. They do about 10 FBGs each week. Week 3 is up for 7 of them, but Dodds isn't up yet.
I don't see any I really like so the lineup above is my own concoction from some of the more often selected players in those lineups.
Are you talking about this page? http://subscribers.footballguys.com/2015/15draftkings3.php
I'm not seeing anything with specific lineups made.
bucksoh
Footballguy
Fantasysports1
Footballguy
I used RG lineup builder and got projected 162 points:
Palmer 6600
Stewart 4900
Charles 7400
Brown 8900
Allen Robinson 5200
Brandon Marshall 6200
Ebron 3300
Baldwin 4000
Seattle 3400
I do like Robinson but he might not be that safe but has major upside. Ebron is pretty cheap.
Palmer 6600
Stewart 4900
Charles 7400
Brown 8900
Allen Robinson 5200
Brandon Marshall 6200
Ebron 3300
Baldwin 4000
Seattle 3400
I do like Robinson but he might not be that safe but has major upside. Ebron is pretty cheap.
First time posting here but I've been lerking around the boards for the past couple of weeks. It's been a great two weeks for me. I've won 100% of my 50/50s. I've been basing my picks off 1.) Average Targets Per game (I won't pick someone with a low catch % example: T.Y. Hilton) 2.) Great Rushing / Passing Matchups for the week recommended by football guys and 3.) If I think they will get me the minimum points for me to win my 50/50's (3 points per 1,000 spent)
Here is my line up this week:
Cam Newton (6800)
Latavius Murray (5800)
Danny Woodhead (4400)
Julian Edelman (7,000)
Larry Fitzgerald (5,800)
Brandon Marshall (6,200)
Kyle Rudolph (3,300)
Jarvis Landry (6,400)
Cardinal's Defense (3,100)
I'm still changing things around but looks like I'll take some kind of arrangement from the above. Thoughts?
* I'm also struggling to do anything with Blount, Lewis, Bell or Williams.
Here is my line up this week:
Cam Newton (6800)
Latavius Murray (5800)
Danny Woodhead (4400)
Julian Edelman (7,000)
Larry Fitzgerald (5,800)
Brandon Marshall (6,200)
Kyle Rudolph (3,300)
Jarvis Landry (6,400)
Cardinal's Defense (3,100)
I'm still changing things around but looks like I'll take some kind of arrangement from the above. Thoughts?
* I'm also struggling to do anything with Blount, Lewis, Bell or Williams.
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Fantasysports1
Footballguy
Thoughts on fading Gronk in cash? Using Gronk makes it harder to fit certain players but he will likely be highly owned and if he goes off you want him.
KarmaPolice
Footballguy
This is the line up so far for my cash game. Plugged it in, and has 166.8 projected points:
Brady
Lynch
Woodhead
Marshall
Fitz
Edelman
Eifert
J.Starks
Seattle
Brady
Lynch
Woodhead
Marshall
Fitz
Edelman
Eifert
J.Starks
Seattle
I'm on a lot of the less obvious guys in your lineup. Don't agree with your TY Hilton example. That's recency bias. Why was TY Hilton low last week? Because he was shadowed by Revis. He won't be this week. Whether he is healthy or not is a different story.
I know Eifert has a good projection, but Baltimore has been keeping TE points to a minimum on the road. I think there are better options for less.
I love Starks for the price, and I know he will be super high owned, but for some reason my gut tells me he will be Week 3's Abdullah. I have nothing empirical to back this feeling up.
I'm have Gronk in about 20% of my cash games, my projections said fade him but decided with the huge game possibility I wouldn't fade him completely. Prefer cheaper guy like Cook, Reed, or Olson.
If Lacy doesn't play I think Starks is a must play. The only question mark is if Lacy is a GTD and does play then being its a Monday night game you are left either playing Starks anyway(probably best) or having very limited options to replace him(Montgomery or R Rodgers)
Keeping a eye on the Ivory situation as Powell makes a nice cheap play if he is out.
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He is averaging 52.4% of his catches right now and that is week 1 and 2. I'd stay away from T.Y. Hilton because of that. I guess the biggest thing is consistency. The people that are consistent right now are fitz, landry, marshall, brown, etc.
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Ginn has only pulled in 6/16 passes which brings him at a whooping 34.7%! If he'd pull in his average 6.5 targets he'd be a beast! I'm digging the line up but what's the 411 with D. Lewis?
Dan Hindery
Moderator
17seconds
root of all aliai
Was surprised to see Jones ownership close to 20% in Thursday contests, lots of people chasing points I guess. My only Thursday play was Reed who did alright could of been great if Cousins was a good QB. Randle clearly would of been a nice play but very few people when there. Thought OBJ ownership would of been a little higher.
Oh, yea true 3x is totally fine for cash. I just meant 4x as a good benchmark in general but more specific to multipliers and gpp
My stats from the first couple weeks would show X3 for your lineup is money in triple ups or less. For quint ups I find X3 is going to put you right around the cutline so X4 is a safer target. For GPP your probably looking for X4 at least because to finish near the top you will likely need even more. This is based on low dollar contests for larger dollar contests I am guessing X3 might typically fall below the cut line for quints and might be close to the cut line for triple ups.
Loved Lynch, but a game time decision in a game that could get ugly...no thanks. Seems to risky. Woodhead scares me a bit too. Gordon is going to start eating up more touches.
I really like Marshall and Edleman this week. Seattle too. Going to be heavily owned for me.
Fantasysports1
Footballguy
This is one of my current cash lineups:
Palmer 6600
Lewis 4200
Woodhead 4400
Brown 8800
Steve Johnson 4300
Moncrief 4800
Gronk 7400
Latavius 5900
Seattle 3400
Another lineup:
Palmer
Stewart 4900
Woodhead
Brown
Marshall 6200
Baldwin 4000
Gronk
Lewis
Seattle
I think playing the cheap RBs help in PPR. In addition Steve Johnson and Moncrief are good values to me. Latavius is a top RB play this week.
RBs
-Stewart 4900 (seems like a strong value given CAR is favorites by around 8pt and NO cannot stop the run)
-Giovanni Bernard 4700 (I like him quite a bit but from he isn't recommended as a cash play in most places so I probably will not use him)
-Peterson 7500 (if you can fit him in)
WRs
-Marshall 6200 (get him in if you can)
-Landry 6400 (probably Marshall over him)
-Fitzgerald 5800 (I like him but there are other WR options)
-Allen Robinson 5200 (seems like a solid value but even at this price might not be the safest cash play)
-Baldwin 4000 (cheap and has been producing but I like the other WRs more than him. Also Seattle may not use him much in a blowout win over Bears)
QBs
-Like Newton but he is $200 more than Palmer. There are other cheaper QBs like Dalton 5700 but I think Palmer or Newton are better cash plays.
Palmer 6600
Lewis 4200
Woodhead 4400
Brown 8800
Steve Johnson 4300
Moncrief 4800
Gronk 7400
Latavius 5900
Seattle 3400
Another lineup:
Palmer
Stewart 4900
Woodhead
Brown
Marshall 6200
Baldwin 4000
Gronk
Lewis
Seattle
I think playing the cheap RBs help in PPR. In addition Steve Johnson and Moncrief are good values to me. Latavius is a top RB play this week.
RBs
-Stewart 4900 (seems like a strong value given CAR is favorites by around 8pt and NO cannot stop the run)
-Giovanni Bernard 4700 (I like him quite a bit but from he isn't recommended as a cash play in most places so I probably will not use him)
-Peterson 7500 (if you can fit him in)
WRs
-Marshall 6200 (get him in if you can)
-Landry 6400 (probably Marshall over him)
-Fitzgerald 5800 (I like him but there are other WR options)
-Allen Robinson 5200 (seems like a solid value but even at this price might not be the safest cash play)
-Baldwin 4000 (cheap and has been producing but I like the other WRs more than him. Also Seattle may not use him much in a blowout win over Bears)
QBs
-Like Newton but he is $200 more than Palmer. There are other cheaper QBs like Dalton 5700 but I think Palmer or Newton are better cash plays.
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dipandglide
Footballguy
Does anyone know if there is a csv of the DK Interactive Value Chart player values?
