I didn't write the post that you are responding to, but I might as well have because I agree with all of the points, so I'll reply. Keep in mind that I play exclusively ppr, so that may taint my views slightly.
He is gold for your style of drafting? Late round value picks?
Yes. You'll be able to get Driver as a WR3 next year because of all the uncertainty surrounding the loss of Favre. He is currently ranked behind such studs as Santana Moss , DJ Hackett, Bernard Berrian, and Javon Walker by some of the FBG dynasty rankers. I understand that dynasty reduces his value, but I think you'll see a lot of similar rankins by some people in redrafts next year also.
Uh, you realize DD was WR 8-15 on most people's boards. He's had 80+ catches 1,000+ yards for the last 4 years.
Do YOU realize that he's had 80+ catches 1,000 + yards for the last 4 years? He's a talent and I see no signs of him slowing down. He had an abnormally small # of TDs this year, but it wasn' for lack of opportunity. He had a good deal more red zone targets than anyone else on the team. Do you realize that if he had caught 5 more TDs this year, he'd have been WR16? That would have given him 7, which is his average over the previous 5 seasons. This year was an outlier.
Sharks live? Sharks avoid guys like 08 Driver. Because fish will remember his glory days, pencil him in for another 80/1,000 and take him in the 5th round as their WR2. Driver is still a big name, and fish will still grab him when they run out of names they recognize.
So sharks aren't aware of Brett Favre retiring? Hell, my 6 year old cousin knows Favre retired. This presents an opportunity for VALUE. You're overreacting.
He's falling for a reason. "Hey, he is still donald driver", doesn't pay the rent. I remember you now. You're the "Hey, it's still Curtis Martin!". Hey it's still Darrell Jackson! Hey it's still Ahman Green! Cmoonnnn, it's still Joe Horn! Sharks don't get left holding the bag. Sharks don't get attached to names or players.
You're right, they get attached to stats, which Driver has consistently put up for the last 4 years. Even this year, in what was widely considered a horrible year, he was still a legit WR3 in non-ppr, and a legit WR2 in ppr. No, that's not quite what we were expecting, but there are worse things that can happen than having a guy you expected to be a WR1 turn into a WR2. When his TDs bounce back to normal, he'll be back where he's been.
Avoid unknowns. By taking Driver you're assuming Rodgers pans out, and Driver maintains his WR1 over the JJs. And he reverses his downtrend. And he gets back his RZ TDs he lost to Jennings.
Please understand that he still out-targeted Jennings by a wide margin.And who are the JJs... James Jones and J-reg Jennings?
So why are we going to assume all these negative points will work themselves out?Oh, because HE IS STILL DONALD DRIVER. Touche.
That's precisely why.