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[Dynasty] 2020 NFL Draft Class (2 Viewers)

Athlon Sports' Steven Lassan named Alabama junior RB Najee Harris as his pick for breakout player in the SEC.

Harris (6'2/227) has patiently waited his turn behind Damien Harris and Joshua Jacobs over the past two years. It will largely be his show this coming season. Even working in a complementary role, the former five-star recruit has impressed during his time in Tuscaloosa. Last season, he rushed for 783 yards (6.7 YPC) and four touchdowns on just 117 carries while leading all returning SEC backs in missed tackles forced per touch (per PFF). His chances for a Heisman campaign are going to be complicated by the elite talent Alabama boasts in the passing game -- he won't have full run of the house like Derrick Henry did back in 2015 -- but we won't discount those chances completely.

SOURCE: Athlon Sports

Jun 5, 2019, 7:52 PM ET
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Among returning SEC wide receivers, Vanderbilt senior Kalija Lipscomb recorded the highest PFF grade on third and fourth downs last season.

Lipscomb (6'1/200) recorded a grade of 83.8 in such situations, better than Alabama's Jerry Jeudy (79.8), Kentucky's Lynn Bowden (78.2), Tennessee's Marquez Callaway (74.3) and South Carolina's Shi Smith (72.5). Breaking the situational numbers down further, the senior caught six of his nine touchdowns on third or fourth down, hauling in 74% of his targets with 10 contested catches (he had 19 total contested catches for the campaign) in those key spots. In total for the past campaign, Lipscomb logged a 94-916-9 receiving line. He is going to be transfer QB Riley Neal's best friend this coming season.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 5, 2019, 6:45 PM ET
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Last season, Minnesota senior WR Tyler Johnson logged 29 plays of 15 or more yards, the best mark among returning Big Ten wideouts.

Hat tip to Pro Football Focus on the big-play metrics, here. Johnson was followed up by Ohio State's K.J. Hill (24), Purdue's Rondale Moore (22), Gophs teammate Rashod Bateman (20) and Penn State's KJ Hamler (19). For the overall 2018 campaign, the 6-foot-2, 200-pound Johnson rocked a 78-1169-12 receiving line. Back in May, NFL.com senior analyst Gil Brandt ranked the future NFL-er as his No. 3 senior wideout for next spring's draft.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 5, 2019, 4:19 PM ET
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Athlon analysts Steven Lassan, Mitch Light and Mark Ross all named Wisconsin junior RB Jonathan Taylor their preseason pick for Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year.

Kind of a chalky pick, but we won't argue. For all the young hype Adrian Martinez has been drawing this offseason, the upside that UM OC Josh Gattis might be able to unlock in Shea Patterson and the excitement around Justin Fields' transfer to OSU, Taylor stands out as the conference's most obvious offensive star. The 5-foot-11, 219-pound junior rolled his way to 2,194 yards (7.1 YPC) and 16 touchdowns last season, and that was with a down Wisconsin team that offered him little help. Something worth watching in August camp that could play a major part in whether Taylor can repeat as a 2,000-yard rusher -- the Badgers have to replace four-of-five starters on the offensive line upcoming.

SOURCE: Athlon Sports

Jun 5, 2019, 3:56 PM ET
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Appalachian State redshirt junior WR Corey Sutton led in passer rating when targeted in 2018 among returning Sun Belt receivers.

Sutton (6'3/205) was a needed playmaker for the Mountaineers to balance out their run-first offense. The redshirt junior will continue to be an electric deep threat (17.6 YPR) and he should improve upon last year's 44 receptions now that he's established as the top receiver on the team. The offensive gameplan will probably keep Sutton from reaching 1,000 yards, but he's easily one of the best receivers in the conference.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 5, 2019, 2:30 PM ET
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How many RBs will be 1st-round picks in 2020 NFL Draft?

The 2020 NFL Draft will be overflowing with talent at running back.

Positional value is always a debate had by draft analysts in the months leading up to the NFL Draft, and running back is often ranked as a position group unworthy of first-round consideration.

And while it’s true that good starting running backs can be found in the second and third round (and even Day 3), it doesn’t mean truly elite prospects at the position won’t be valued as early first-round players.

The 2020 NFL Draft will be a great example of talent trumping positional value.

There are two legitimate first-round running backs in this class in Clemson’s Travis Etienne and Georgia’s D’Andre Swift. Both players offer elite upside as full-time starters (three-down backs) in the NFL and, barring injury, will be top-20 prospects (if not higher).

Etienne is a true home-run hitter with next-level speed. And by next level, I mean he’s more explosive than just about every current starter in the NFL.

Swift, who has great speed in his own right, is physical, runs with great pad level, lateral agility and deceptive elusiveness.

But they aren’t the only two players who will challenge for top-32 consideration. Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor, Ohio State’s J.K. Dobbins and Florida State’s Cam Akers have phenomenal upside.

Taylor, specifically, will be a fantastic player to scout this season. He’s coming off of back-to-back 2,000-yard seasons, but with that incredible level of production also comes less tread remaining on his tires. NFL teams will knock him for that, but in today’s game where running backs don’t always get a second contract from their first team, it may not matter all that much.

Akers, the former five-star recruit, has been victimized by a poor supporting cast. But if he rises above his surroundings in 2019, he could be a surprise candidate to challenge as one of the first running backs off the board.

Bottom line? If you’re an NFL team that needs a running back, the 2020 NFL draft will be the gift that keeps on giving.
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Dynasty 2020 rookie ranking (n=6).  For the average and SD, subtracted max and min.  Order based on count, then average.  Overall low variance on opinions thus far.

Code: 
Player			Pos	School		Count	Avg	SD
D'Andre Swift		RB	Georgia		6	1.25	0.50
Jerry Jeudy		WR	Alabama		6	2.25	0.50
Travis Etienne		RB	Clemson		6	2.50	0.58
Laviska Shenault	WR	Colorado	6	5.25	0.96
Cam Akers		RB	Florida St	6	5.50	1.00
Jonathan Taylor		RB	Wisconsin	6	5.75	0.96
Eno Benjamin		RB	Arizona St	6	8.25	0.96
J.K. Dobbins		RB	Ohio St		6	8.25	0.50
CeeDee Lamb		WR	Oklahoma	6	9.50	0.58
Tee Higgins		WR	Clemson		6	10.00	2.16
Bryan Edwards		WR	South Carolina	6	11.50	1.00
Tyler Johnson		WR	Minnesota	6	12.00	2.16
Jalen Reagor		WR	TCU		6	13.75	2.87
A.J. Dillon		RB	Boston College	6	14.75	0.96
Najee Harris		RB	Alabama		6	15.00	1.83
Kylin Hill		RB	Mississippi St	6	17.25	1.50
Henry Ruggs III		WR	Alabama		6	17.50	1.29
Tylan Wallace		WR	Oklahoma St	6	17.50	1.91
Tua Tagovailoa		QB	Alabama		6	19.25	0.96
Trey Sermon		RB	Oklahoma	6	19.75	2.22
Chuba Hubbard		RB	Oklahoma St	6	20.50	1.91
Collin Johnson		WR	Texas		6	23.75	2.99
Justin Herbert		QB	Oregon		6	24.25	2.06
Tamorrion Terry		WR	Florida St	6	26.00	4.97
D. Peoples-Jones	WR	Michigan	6	26.25	0.96
Albert Okwuegbunam	TE	Missouri	6	29.50	3.00
Ke'Shawn Vaughn		RB	Vanderbilt	5	28.67	4.51
Tarik Black		WR	Michigan	5	28.67	0.58
Tyler Vaughns		WR	USC		4	29.50	0.71
Jhamon Ausbon		WR	Texas A&M	4	30.00	2.83
JaTarvious Whitlow	RB	Auburn		4	33.00	0.00
Anthony McFarland	RB	Maryland	3	24.00	#DIV/0!
Jake Fromm		QB	Georgia		3	31.00	#DIV/0!
Kennedy Brooks		RB	Oklahoma	3	33.00	#DIV/0!
Stephen Carr		RB	USC		3	35.00	#DIV/0!
Denzel Mims		WR	Baylor		3	36.00	#DIV/0!
 
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FMIA Guest: PFF On How Data Is Changing NFL’s Present And Future

Excerpt:

What the data says about the 2020 draft

By Mike Renner, Lead Draft Analyst 

When it comes to draft evaluations, prospects such as Quinnen Williams are an anomaly. For the most part, the sure-fire top-10 talents in any draft class have been dominating college football for multiple seasons before they declare for the draft. The 2020 class already has a handful of players doing just that. With elite PFF grades and exceptional athleticism, here are the names you can pencil into your top 10 for next April in Las Vegas:

Tua Tagovailoa, QB, Alabama: NFL offensive coordinators have been willing to build around mobile quarterbacks more and more in recent years, as they’ve realized how much pressure such passers can put on opposing defenses. Tagovailoa pairs exceptional athleticism and pocket presence with one of the most accurate arms in the country. He had the highest percentage of passes charted with perfect ball placement of any Power 5 quarterback last season and had the seventh-lowest percentage of passes deemed uncatchable. He also added four touchdowns with his legs on designed runs. That combination is going to give NFL defensive coordinators headaches.

Jerry Jeudy, WR, Alabama: The Alabama offense is utterly stacked once again with Jeudy being the next big thing in the lineage of ‘Bama wide receivers, and he has a good chance to go higher than either Julio Jones (No. 6 overall in 2011) or Amari Cooper (No. 4 in 2015). That’s because there isn’t much the Biletnikoff award winner can’t do. Last season, he broke 17 tackles on only 68 catches, dropped a mere four passes, converted 7-of-11 contested opportunities and scored 14 times. Those are video game-like numbers as a true sophomore.

A.J. Epenesa, DE, Iowa: I’ll forgive you if you don’t recognize Epenesa’s name. Heck, he didn’t even start for Iowa last season. But if you go back and watch their games closely, you’ll see why he made this list. Listed at 6-6, 280 pounds, Epenesa moves like a man four inches shorter and 40 pounds lighter. On only 243 pass-rushing snaps last season, Epenesa recorded 10 sacks, 10 hits, and 26 hurries. That’s good enough for a 90.4 pass-rushing grade—the second highest of any returning Power-5 edge player in the nation.

Chase Young, DE, Ohio State: Young is the only guy Epenesa trailed in terms of pass-rushing grades for returning Power-5 edge rushers, and he seamlessly replaced Nick Bosa’s production along the Ohio State defensive line after the future second overall pick went down with core injury early in the season. Now it’s Young’s turn to be a top-5 pick in 2020. The sophomore led the nation with 75 pressures in 2019, and he rarely came off the field, seeing more snaps (783) than Bosa did in any single season of his college career. Listed at 6-5, 265 pounds, Young checks the size, athleticism, and production boxes in a big way.

Bryce Hall, CB, Virginia: It was a major upset when Hall decided he was returning for his senior season in Charlottesville. There’s a good chance the 6-1, 200-pound cornerback would have been the first defensive back off the board had he declared, because with Hall’s length, athleticism and ball production, he fits the mold of a modern NFL cornerback. Last season he notched an absurd 23 forced incompletions to lead the country. Maybe the biggest reason Hall decided to return though is because he’s capable of some jaw-dropping interception totals, underachieving last season in that department. He picked off only two passes in 2018, but led the nation with six dropped interceptions, two more than any other player in the FBS.
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miqws said:
Dynasty 2020 rookie ranking (n=6).  For the average and SD, subtracted max and min.  Order based on count, then average.  Overall low variance on opinions thus far.

Player Pos School Count Avg SD
D'Andre Swift RB Georgia 6 1.25 0.50
Jerry Jeudy WR Alabama 6 2.25 0.50
Travis Etienne RB Clemson 6 2.50 0.58
Laviska Shenault WR Colorado 6 5.25 0.96
Cam Akers RB Florida St 6 5.50 1.00
Jonathan Taylor RB Wisconsin 6 5.75 0.96
Eno Benjamin RB Arizona St 6 8.25 0.96
J.K. Dobbins RB Ohio St 6 8.25 0.50
CeeDee Lamb WR Oklahoma 6 9.50 0.58
Tee Higgins WR Clemson 6 10.00 2.16
Bryan Edwards WR South Carolina 6 11.50 1.00
Tyler Johnson WR Minnesota 6 12.00 2.16
Jalen Reagor WR TCU 6 13.75 2.87
A.J. Dillon RB Boston College 6 14.75 0.96
Najee Harris RB Alabama 6 15.00 1.83
Kylin Hill RB Mississippi St 6 17.25 1.50
Henry Ruggs III WR Alabama 6 17.50 1.29
Tylan Wallace WR Oklahoma St 6 17.50 1.91
Tua Tagovailoa QB Alabama 6 19.25 0.96
Trey Sermon RB Oklahoma 6 19.75 2.22
Chuba Hubbard RB Oklahoma St 6 20.50 1.91
Collin Johnson WR Texas 6 23.75 2.99
Justin Herbert QB Oregon 6 24.25 2.06
Tamorrion Terry WR Florida St 6 26.00 4.97
D. Peoples-Jones WR Michigan 6 26.25 0.96
Albert Okwuegbunam TE Missouri 6 29.50 3.00
Ke'Shawn Vaughn RB Vanderbilt 5 28.67 4.51
Tarik Black WR Michigan 5 28.67 0.58
Tyler Vaughns WR USC 4 29.50 0.71
Jhamon Ausbon WR Texas A&M 4 30.00 2.83
JaTarvious Whitlow RB Auburn 4 33.00 0.00
Anthony McFarland RB Maryland 3 24.00 #DIV/0!
Jake Fromm QB Georgia 3 31.00 #DIV/0!
Kennedy Brooks RB Oklahoma 3 33.00 #DIV/0!
Stephen Carr RB USC 3 35.00 #DIV/0!
Denzel Mims WR Baylor 3 36.00 #DIV/0!
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Given his injury history I'm surprised Black is still this high.  But I get it.  If he stays healthy he's shown enough glimpses to see the breakout anyway.

Of those outside the top 25 I think Vaughn, McFarland, Ausbon, and him have the best chances to get into the top 12 convo.

 
Uncommitted five-star 2020 RB Kendall Milton said that on his official visit to Georgia, the team told him they expect junior RB D'Andre Swift to declare for the 2020 NFL Draft.

"They let me know ... D’Andre Swift is supposed to go into the league after this year," Milton told Rivals. It's not earth-shattering news by any stretch of the imagination, as Swift was always a candidate to declare, but we cannot remember the last time a recruit let out such a large piece of draft intel. Milton is considered a priority target for the Bulldogs. As for Swift's NFL outlook, Bleacher Report's Matt Miller ranks the 5-foot-9, 215-pounder as the No. 3 draft-eligible back for the spring. He could potentially land in the Day 1 mix with a strong evaluating season.

SOURCE: Rivals

Jun 17, 2019, 12:10 PM ET
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Oregon State senior WR Trevon Bradford had the third-highest passer rating when targeted in 2018 among returning Pac-12 receivers.

Bradford (6'0/179) isn't the only Beaver on the PFF top-five list. Isaiah Hodgins sits at No. 2 behind Colorado's Laviska Shenault. Bradford's placement on this passer rating leaderboard comes as a pleasant surprise, but it bodes well for his 2019 projection. With bad game script a lock for Oregon State, expect Bradford and Hodgins to rack up empty calories in the second half of games. It's possible he improves upon last year's 56-649-6 receiving line.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 22, 2019, 8:32 PM ET
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Per Pro Football Focus, the top four returning SEC receivers in terms of passer-rating-when-targeted last season all play for Alabama.

Devonta Smith led all conference comers with a passer rating of 146.5 when targeted. He was followed up by Henry Ruggs (142.7), Jaylen Waddle (141.7) and Jerry Jeudy (125.1). South Carolina's Shi Smith was the lone non-Alabama wideout to crack the SEC's top five in this metric. Simply a dominant receiving corp in Tuscaloosa.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 26, 2019, 6:29 PM ET
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Per Pro Football Focus, Baylor senior WR Denzel Mims posted a grade of 85.7 on third and fourth downs last season.

Mims (6'3/208) is the top returning Big 12 wide receiver in this metric. Diving further into his key down work, 21 of his 55 catches last season occurred on third or fourth down, with six of those 21 grabs of the contested variety. His PFF grade of 85.7 in these situations was markedly higher than his overall grade of 73.3. By traditional statistics, Mims posted a 55-804-8 receiving line during the fall campaign. Baylor HC Matt Rhule believes that the senior is capable of true dominance with a little more consistency. Mims underwent surgery on his hand in early April but is expected to be a full-go for August camp as the Bears ramp up for the coming season.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 26, 2019, 5:48 PM ET
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According to Pro Football Focus, Alabama junior QB Tua Tagovailoa led the SEC in deep passing adjusted completion percentage last season.

Tagovailoa was tops in the SEC and it wasn't all that close, either. The rising junior finished 2018 with a deep passing adjusted completion percentage of 58.6%, more than ten percentages points better than the second-best signal-caller in the conference (LSU's Joe Burrow; 48.3%). And there was another significant drop from second to third, as South Carolina's Jake Bentley finished the year at 41.7%. Not only is Tagovailoa viewed by many as the early favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, but he's also projected to be the top overall pick in next spring's NFL Draft should he forego his final season of eligibility.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 30, 2019, 4:23 PM ET
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South Carolina senior WR Bryan Edwards contributed the highest passer rating on deep passes among returning SEC wide receivers.

Pro Football Focus with the assist here. Deep passes are considered anything further than 20 yards downfield, and Edwards helped his quarterbacks to a 124.5 deep passer rating. Edwards outpaced Tennessee WR Josh Palmer (124.3), LSU WR Justin Jefferson (124.1), and Missouri WR Jalen Knox (123.2). Edwards posted a 55-848-7 season in 2018 and figures to contend for 1,000 yards in 2019.

SOURCE: Pro Football Focus on Twitter

Jun 30, 2019, 2:14 PM ET
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NFL Media's Bucky Brooks believes the "football world is sleeping" on Texas junior QB Sam Ehlinger.

Brooks explains, Ehlinger "throws it much better than most observers suggest and his footwork/eyes/arm strength in a workout would earn high marks from coaches." Brooks watched Ehlinger play at the Elite 11 workouts and came away impressed. He improved dramatically from his freshman season, increasing his completion percentage by seven while posting 0.7 higher yards per attempt. Ehlinger had a 25/5 TD/INT ratio last season and is expected to take another step forward as a junior in 2019.

SOURCE: Bucky Brooks on Twitter

Jun 30, 2019, 11:17 AM ET
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Running backs J.K. Dobbins (Ohio State) and Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin) were both given 200-to-1 odds of being the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Both are rightfully long-shots to be selected first, especially with Tua Tagovailoa in this class. The reality is running backs aren't valued as highly as they once were, so it's going to be hard for a running back to be the No. 1 pick unless positional value unexpectedly changes. With that said, both Dobbins and Taylor are talented, productive runners, so they should be taken seriously as top-100 prospects even with the devalued nature of the position.

SOURCE: Las Vegas Review-Journal

Jun 29, 2019, 8:16 PM ET
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Oregon senior QB Justin Herbert has 4-to-1 odds of being the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.

Herbert (6'6/233) is obviously a favorite after opting to return for his senior season after a good junior season. Draft Analyst's Tony Pauline reported that NFL scouts were giving Herbert "one of the highest grades attained by any senior from the past decade" so he'll be in the mix for a top-three selection as long as he plays to expectations during the 2019 college season. However, Tua Tagovailoa, who sits at -200 to be the top pick, is on another level as Herbert statistically.

SOURCE: Las Vegas Review-Journal

Jun 29, 2019, 7:42 PM ET
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Miami junior RB DeeJay Dallas averaged 3.67 yards after contact, according to Pro Football Focus.

That makes Dallas (5'10/220) the No. 4 returning ACC running back. Big and athletic, Dallas is a breakout candidate in 2019 with the expectation being he'll see more than the 109 carries and 10 receptions he saw last year. On those limited carries, Dallas averaged 5.7 yards per carry. If Dallas hits his ceiling, he'll have 1,000 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 29, 2019, 6:50 PM ET
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Wake Forest redshirt senior RB Cade Carney averaged the second-most yards after contact in 2018 among returning ACC running backs.

Travis Etienne obviously averaged the most (4.33), and it wasn't even close. Carney (5'11/215) ended up with 3.75 yards after contact according to Pro Football Focus. He'll enter the 2019 season as the lead back for the Demon Deacons, an offense that's missing its top playmaker from last year with WR Greg Dortch battling in the NFL. Carney should see enough volume to be relevant in #CFF leagues and could even enter the mix as a UDFA with a strong year.

SOURCE: PFF College on Twitter

Jun 29, 2019, 4:52 PM ET
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Per Pro Football Focus, Tulane senior WR Darnell Mooney contributed the highest passer rating on targets among returning AAC receivers.

Mooney (5'11/175) helped his quarterback to an insane 132.2 passer rating on targets last season. He beat out Houston wide receivers Keith Corbin (116.5) and Marquez Stevenson (114.7) for the top spot in this comparison. Mooney also posted the second-highest yards per route run among returning AAC wideouts with 2.96. He has improved in receiving yards, yards per reception, and touchdowns in each season since his freshman year, leaving expectations high for his senior season.

SOURCE: Pro Football Focus

Jun 29, 2019, 1:03 PM ET
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For Former Soldiers and NFL Players, a Place to Heal

Excerpt:

2020 DRAFT LOOKAHEAD

Over the last couple months, the scouting community has started working toward next April. And one tentpole event during this time of year is the National Football Scouting meeting in May, when the groundwork is laid to grade the following year’s seniors.

Those grades have gone out to the teams. And eight seniors received the equivalent of first-round grades in the NFS system. We were able to get the list. You want the list? Here’s the list (in alphabetical order):

Trey Adams, OT, Washington: He’s been on the NFL’s radar forever, and was an All-American as a true sophomore in 2016. Since then, he missed half of one season (2017) and most of another (’18) and got a medical redshirt. If healthy, he’s a big-time left tackle prospect.

Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn: Likely would have been a top-15 pick if he’d declared after last season, and is a disruptive, athletic 318-pounder with potential to go higher than that. This will be his fourth year as a starter.

Raekwon Davis, DL, Alabama: A two-time All-SEC player who, at 6’7” and 300 pounds, might have gone in the first round had he declared in January. He’s said to have some growing up to do, and could help himself by showing more as a pass rusher. But he’s an elite run defender who could have a long NFL career.

Kristian Fulton, CB, LSU: Scouts believe he was a better player than bookend Greedy Williams in 2018. Has a good shot to be a high pick if he can find a way to assuage some off-field concerns that have followed the former blue-chip recruit.

Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon: You know the deal—big, athletic and with a ton of room to grow. Herbert was all-conference on the field and academically in ’18, and will be a two-time captain in the fall. He won’t have to wait long to hear his name next April.

Javon Kinlaw, DT, South Carolina: The 6’6”, 302-pounder has 22 starts under his belt in the SEC and led the team in sacks as a junior. His health is worth watching—he underwent hip surgery this offseason.

Julian Okwara, DE, Notre Dame: A presence in the Irish defense since his true-freshman season, Okwara broke out as a junior with seven sacks and 21 QB hurries—plus a crucial pick in a win over Michigan.

Jared Pinkney, TE, Vanderbilt: Pinkney is coming off the best statistical season by a Commodores tight end in 34 years, and the 6’4”, 260-pound All-SEC fifth-year senior will return as a focal point for the Vandy offense.
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Clemson junior RB Travis Etienne said he feels "nervous" catching the ball.

The full quote: "I feel nervous I guess. Cause the ball is coming, and I always feel like the defender is right there, so I run before I catch the ball and get spooked by my surroundings." Yikes. Last year, Etienne dropped 4-of-17 targets, resulting in a 4.6 YPT average. Etienne is a fantastic runner with high-end speed, but he'll need to sure up his hands to earn a top-20 selection in the 2020 NFL Draft.

SOURCE: Greg Brandt on Twitter

Jul 1, 2019, 7:05 PM ET
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