Everyone go back to your FBG 'rate my team' results (1 Viewer)

[rickyg]

How are they looking now? LOL

This is a good exercise to do at this point in the season to show us a few things:

1) The 'experts' don't really know that much more than avid fantasy football players anymore.

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

3) Don't put too much stock into any of these canned "rate my team" services.

I can't find mine, but if you can post yours so we can take a look that would be fun.

 

[meatwad1]

My rate my team always says my teams have a great shot of making the playoffs and I always do make the playoffs, so I would say they are pretty accurate.

You have to remember that they do say you need to have good or great in-season management, so if your team sucks maybe it is because you are not picking the right guys off of waivers or maybe you have not made any trades.

 

[strifetoe]

Oooh, this topic hits home for me, after I thought for SURE I was going to dominate my league No Problem

12 teamer

Eddie Lacy

Julio Jones

Jordy Nelson

Montee Ball

Ray Rice

Fred Jackson

Kendall Wright

Seattle Defense

Cam Newton

Tony Romo

Cecill Shorts

Kenny Britt

Kembrall Thompkins

Mark Ingram

Dan Carpenter

Needless to say - I haven't had the best year.

 

[Bronco Billy]

Wait. You mean predictions made before the season even started can be wrong? How is this possible?

 

[Dr. Octopus]

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

Not if you drafted well and/or have faith in the players you took.

I still have 14 of the 18 players I drafted, but that's including Aaron Dobson who I've stubbornly held onto. Injuries are starting to catch up to me, but the guys that are out injured, Jennings, Mathews and Decker, can't really be dropped yet.

 

[rickyg]

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

Not if you drafted well and/or have faith in the players you took.

I still have 14 of the 18 players I drafted, but that's including Aaron Dobson who I've stubbornly held onto. Injuries are starting to catch up to me, but the guys that are out injured, Jennings, Mathews and Decker, can't really be dropped yet.

I thought I drafted well...lol

a few Tom bradys, Ingrams, morenos, mathews, justin hunters, and kendall wrights later...not so much! My team has seen about 50% turnover thus far...but it's kind of like that every year for me anyway.

I think some of you are getting the impression that I am attacking FBG or their rate my team service. I'm really not. We all (hopefully) know that these rate my team services are BS. I posted this for amusement purposes only. It's funny to look back on your squad before week 1 when it was shiny, uninjured, bustless. full of hope and stamped with an 85% chance of making the playoffs with decent in season management now in week 6 and see the disparity from the preseason ranking and projections to reality.

 

[Shutout]

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

Not if you drafted well and/or have faith in the players you took.

I still have 14 of the 18 players I drafted, but that's including Aaron Dobson who I've stubbornly held onto. Injuries are starting to catch up to me, but the guys that are out injured, Jennings, Mathews and Decker, can't really be dropped yet.

I have the exact same dynasty team I had last year that won it going away and this year I am 2-3. So go figure. Things change year to year, month to month.

But, in regards to the "rate my team", last year, I was a "near certainty" to make playoffs with good in-season management and I won the league big. This year I was a "virtual certainty" and I think by virtual they meant "fake and not reality". LOL

 

[ConnSKINS26]

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

Not if you drafted well and/or have faith in the players you took.

I still have 14 of the 18 players I drafted, but that's including Aaron Dobson who I've stubbornly held onto. Injuries are starting to catch up to me, but the guys that are out injured, Jennings, Mathews and Decker, can't really be dropped yet.

I have the exact same dynasty team I had last year that won it going away and this year I am 2-3. So go figure. Things change year to year, month to month. But, in regards to the "rate my team", last year, I was a "near certainty" to make playoffs with good in-season management and I won the league big. This year I was a "virtual certainty" and I think by virtual they meant "fake and not reality". LOL

If your dynasty team is really that similar week5 of this year to your roster that won it all last year, then you aren't putting in the work to stay on top. Unless you were greatly exaggerating the bolded part.

 

[AuttieFootball]

FBG told me Philip Rivers shouldn't even be starting in my 12 team league. Glad I didn't listen to them.

 

[snogger]

Wait. You mean predictions made before the season even started can be wrong? How is this possible?

If it was "easy" we'd all be winning in Vegas and thus no one would be winning.

ETA 5-0 in one league 4-1 in the other FBG!!

 

[Dark Matter]

98% chance to make the playoffs prior to the first kickoff. By the time Line-up Dominator was released, I had the 2nd weakest team in a 12 teamer. Game by game predicts I will lose all but 1 game yet I sit at 4-1 with pretty much the same team I drafted with the exception of replacing JReed @ TE with Kelce. It's all a crap shoot until it isn't.

 

[dickey moe]

Wait. You mean predictions made before the season even started can be wrong? How is this possible?

Which makes a "rate my team" feature utterly useless. It's essentially a "make the subscriber feel smart" feature.

 

[Leonidas]

I thought the rate my team thing saying I was weak at QB when I drafted Brady was funny.

But then he was something like QB28 through the first 4 weeks.

 

[dickey moe]

What's golden is the % chance of making the playoffs estimate. I'd like to see the formula they use to arrive at those numbers.

 

[rick6668]

Took Calvin in the first and Ball in the second, was a "Lock" to get in, but sitting at 1-4.

 

[Evilgrin 72]

They said all 4 of my teams were virtual locks to make the playoffs. All 4 of my teams are virtual locks to make the playoffs (4-1 across the board and leading the points standings in 3 of 4 leagues, 2nd in the other.)

So I'd say it's pretty dead on. Of course, by now everyone at FBG knows that I'm f###ing amazing at fantasy football, so I think it pre-loads the "virtual lock" prognosis the second my e-mail address goes into that field, regardless of what players I enter. I actually think they adjust the rankings pre-season based on what teams I load into "Rate My Team."

 

[Evilgrin 72]

What's golden is the % chance of making the playoffs estimate. I'd like to see the formula they use to arrive at those numbers.

10 A=(Team expected points/(top 192 players aggregate points)/12)*50/100

20 IF USERNAME = "EVILGRIN 72" THEN A=100

30 PRINT "WITH GREAT INSEASON MANAGEMENT, YOU HAVE A ";A;" % CHANCE OF MAKING THE PLAYOFFS"

 

[MattFancy]

I think if there's one thing to take away from this, it's that rankings are extremly subjective. Of course FBGs will rate your team well if you took a bunch of guys Dodds is high on. Same with Matthew Berry would like your team alot if you took a bunch of guys on his "Love" list. But that doesn't mean that each of those guys will like your team the same.

How many highly ranked guys have been underperforming this year? Just off the top of my head: Calvin, McCoy, Charles, Peterson, Marshall, Andre Johnson, Vernon Davis, Brees, Allen, Vereen, Ball, Welker, Reed, Foles. There's a ton of luck involved in this hobby. You can research until your heart's content, but at the end of the day, you have no control of those guys.

 

[Shutout]

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

Not if you drafted well and/or have faith in the players you took.

I still have 14 of the 18 players I drafted, but that's including Aaron Dobson who I've stubbornly held onto. Injuries are starting to catch up to me, but the guys that are out injured, Jennings, Mathews and Decker, can't really be dropped yet.

I have the exact same dynasty team I had last year that won it going away and this year I am 2-3. So go figure. Things change year to year, month to month. But, in regards to the "rate my team", last year, I was a "near certainty" to make playoffs with good in-season management and I won the league big. This year I was a "virtual certainty" and I think by virtual they meant "fake and not reality". LOL

If your dynasty team is really that similar week5 of this year to your roster that won it all last year, then you aren't putting in the work to stay on top. Unless you were greatly exaggerating the bolded part.

Believe me, I work my dynasty teams hard. It Is the exact same team (I have made some non-starter moves but they are not affecting the starters from last year to this year).

It is simply the difference that where Garcon and Thomas and McCoy were awesome last year, they are not this year. That is the difference in me being very hard to beat and hard to beat anyone. I am losing a ton of points right now (and had an early bye week on Thomas, the Seattle kicker...my pickup of the week got 1 point).

Point being, yes, you can and should work the roster but sometimes 2013 Brees isn't 2014 Brees.

 

[Bronco Billy]

Wait. You mean predictions made before the season even started can be wrong? How is this possible?

Which makes a "rate my team" feature utterly useless. It's essentially a "make the subscriber feel smart" feature.

I read the reviews on my teams for amusement. I assumed that no one would really take a feature like that seriously - especially when it gave percentage of likelihood of making the playoffs before the season even started.

I guess in that aspect I owe an apology to those who thought the feature had some real value.

 

[dickey moe]

What's golden is the % chance of making the playoffs estimate. I'd like to see the formula they use to arrive at those numbers.

10 A=(Team expected points/(top 192 players aggregate points)/12)*50/100

20 IF USERNAME = "EVILGRIN 72" THEN A=100

30 PRINT "WITH GREAT INSEASON MANAGEMENT, YOU HAVE A ";A;" % CHANCE OF MAKING THE PLAYOFFS"

10 PRINT "That Effing Rules"20 GOTO 10

 

[Evilgrin 72]

What's golden is the % chance of making the playoffs estimate. I'd like to see the formula they use to arrive at those numbers.

10 A=(Team expected points/(top 192 players aggregate points)/12)*50/100

20 IF USERNAME = "EVILGRIN 72" THEN A=100

30 PRINT "WITH GREAT INSEASON MANAGEMENT, YOU HAVE A ";A;" % CHANCE OF MAKING THE PLAYOFFS"

10 PRINT "That Effing Rules"20 GOTO 10

BASIC.

 

[wormburner]

3) Don't put too much stock into any of these canned "rate my team" services.

I figure they're all run by the same guy. You know the guy. He shows up at Fantasy Football Calculator to mock every off-season. He's the guy that's won all 25 of his leagues for the past 10 years. This past summer, he mocked you for drafting DeMarco in the 1st because of his injury history. He mocked you for drafting Manning in the 1st because he couldn't possibly repeat last year's performance. And now he's going to rate your team. You know the guy.

 

[OU#1]

Please note that rate-my-team is a PRESEASON tool. It is still functional as a demo, but the analysis is NOT updated to account for 2014 season-to-date happenings.

 

[cvnpoka]

Oooh, this topic hits home for me, after I thought for SURE I was going to dominate my league No Problem

12 teamer

Eddie Lacy

Julio Jones

Jordy Nelson

Montee Ball

Ray Rice

Fred Jackson

Kendall Wright

Seattle Defense

Cam Newton

Tony Romo

Cecill Shorts

Kenny Britt

Kembrall Thompkins

Mark Ingram

Dan Carpenter

Needless to say - I haven't had the best year.

why not? your team should be super good. julio and jordy are top 5. fjax is top 15. lacy has had 1 great week but put up points otherwise. ingram for 2 weeks, if you started him woulda been helpful.

lol at drafting a defense early.

regardless, this team looks good looking back and going forward.

 

[ghostguy123]

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

Not if you drafted well and/or have faith in the players you took.

I still have 14 of the 18 players I drafted, but that's including Aaron Dobson who I've stubbornly held onto. Injuries are starting to catch up to me, but the guys that are out injured, Jennings, Mathews and Decker, can't really be dropped yet.

It obviously doesnt apply to every team. Was drafting AP a bad move? Basically nobody alive would say AP was a bad top 5 pick. It turned out poorly though.

I think when you say "drafted well" you should also say "drafted lucky" or at least "didnt get unlucky".

 

[ghostguy123]

How are they looking now? LOL

This is a good exercise to do at this point in the season to show us a few things:

1) The 'experts' don't really know that much more than avid fantasy football players anymore.

This is very true, the "experts" I hear on TV shows or some certain radio shows (cough cough) are not even what I would consider to "good" in many cases.

It's easy to get by calling yourself a fantasy expert on a TV show cause you do know wayyyy more than the average person playing, but knowing more and being able to apply it are very different animals.

The experts are the people playing and winning leagues consistently in both dynasty and redraft, not the people on TV and some certain radio shows pretending like they know what they are doing.

 

[Dr. Octopus]

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

Not if you drafted well and/or have faith in the players you took.

I still have 14 of the 18 players I drafted, but that's including Aaron Dobson who I've stubbornly held onto. Injuries are starting to catch up to me, but the guys that are out injured, Jennings, Mathews and Decker, can't really be dropped yet.

It obviously doesnt apply to every team. Was drafting AP a bad move? Basically nobody alive would say AP was a bad top 5 pick. It turned out poorly though.

I think when you say "drafted well" you should also say "drafted lucky" or at least "didnt get unlucky".

Sure, I'm not claiming to be any guru or anything - but even when my team gets off to a slow start I usually don't turn over 75% of my roster after 4 weeks, hence the "have faith in the players you took" part of the sentence you bolded.

Bad luck happens, its unavoidable - I had the 5th pick where I would have taken either Calvin Johnson or Adrian Peterson, but I traded entire drafts with the guy that had the 8th pick - Peterson went 4, Calvin went 5, obviously I don't think they were "bad" picks. I ended up with Demaryius Thomas instead who up until this past week didn't do much either.

I do think people can draft well though - if they are prepared and do their homework. It doesn't mean it will automatically work out for them. Don't you see many of the same people doing well and many of the same people doing poorly, year after year in your leagues? It doesn't mean that sometimes good owners don't have bad years or bad owners don't have good years, as yes there is a lot of luck involved as well.

 

[LittlePhatty]

1) The 'experts' don't really know that much more than avid fantasy football players anymore.

Everyone has one-click access to the same information, so it's easy to be an avid fantasy owner. The experts you refer to, I would call them the information gatherers and curators. Without them distilling all of this info into easily digestible content, it would take a lot more effort for the average person to be an "avid" player.

And when trying to predict the future, there's a thin line between being good and being crazy. Even competing fantasy sites will having very similar predictions, simply because you have to stick somewhat close to the general consensus to be taken seriously. That's why we all end up with pretty much the same ADP lists on draft day.

 

[Apple Jack]

This has been the most unpredictable season I can remember. I'm not holding anything against anybody as far as forecasting goes.

 

[Dismattle]

This has been the most unpredictable season I can remember. I'm not holding anything against anybody as far as forecasting goes.

Its made for good (interesting) Buy lows..

And

Its possible a few sell Highs should be posting soon!

 

[ImTheScientist]

How are they looking now? LOL

This is a good exercise to do at this point in the season to show us a few things:

1) The 'experts' don't really know that much more than avid fantasy football players anymore.

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

3) Don't put too much stock into any of these canned "rate my team" services.

I can't find mine, but if you can post yours so we can take a look that would be fun.

They put their projections online ... do you? I can't find rickyg's so Im not sure if you know anything.

 

[scrumptrulescent]

How are they looking now? LOL

This is a good exercise to do at this point in the season to show us a few things:

1) The 'experts' don't really know that much more than avid fantasy football players anymore.

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

3) Don't put too much stock into any of these canned "rate my team" services.

I can't find mine, but if you can post yours so we can take a look that would be fun.

They put their projections online ... do you? I can't find rickyg's so Im not sure if you know anything.

-Doubt RickyG is getting paid to do so.

-A lot of sites put their projections online, and they don't cost you a penny.

-Have any of you paying for the service here bothered to look up the accuracy of the "experts" at this site in recent years?

 

[Raback]

For me it said my RB's were my weak spot. Turns out Murray, Bradshaw and Ingram have carried my team pretty much.

 

[MattFancy]

How are they looking now? LOL

This is a good exercise to do at this point in the season to show us a few things:

1) The 'experts' don't really know that much more than avid fantasy football players anymore.

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

3) Don't put too much stock into any of these canned "rate my team" services.

I can't find mine, but if you can post yours so we can take a look that would be fun.

They put their projections online ... do you? I can't find rickyg's so Im not sure if you know anything.

-Doubt RickyG is getting paid to do so.

-A lot of sites put their projections online, and they don't cost you a penny.

-Have any of you paying for the service here bothered to look up the accuracy of the "experts" at this site in recent years?

http://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/accuracy/#overall

Looks like Dodds is in the top 10

Although looking at the accuracy report for this season, it looks like alot of guys are having a rough go at it.

 

[scrumptrulescent]

How are they looking now? LOL

This is a good exercise to do at this point in the season to show us a few things:

1) The 'experts' don't really know that much more than avid fantasy football players anymore.

2) Your team after the draft will usually look very different that the team you are going into battle with after a 1/4 of the season has passed.

3) Don't put too much stock into any of these canned "rate my team" services.

I can't find mine, but if you can post yours so we can take a look that would be fun.

They put their projections online ... do you? I can't find rickyg's so Im not sure if you know anything.

-Doubt RickyG is getting paid to do so.

-A lot of sites put their projections online, and they don't cost you a penny.

-Have any of you paying for the service here bothered to look up the accuracy of the "experts" at this site in recent years?

http://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/accuracy/#overall

Looks like Dodds is in the top 10

Although looking at the accuracy report for this season, it looks like alot of guys are having a rough go at it.

Pianowski is legit?

 

[BigBlue_RI]

Last year I got very high marks, and at mid-season, I didn't really like my team's chances. Then I made some deals, some good WW pickups, and I wound up winning it all with just ONE player in my lineup from Draft Day--Lesean McCoy. So--they turned out to be right, but it wasn't because of the guys I originally drafted save for McCoy.

I can't find mine from Sept 1, but I remember that this year, I'm getting a solid chance to make the playoffs, but not the same glowing report like the team I had last September. I currently stand at 3-2 after an 0-2 start, and have the 2nd highest scoring team in the league. Not all that confident though because I've had the fortune of some serous explosions in scoring almost weekly from different guys.