Crazy Tony
Footballguy
Looking at the Matchups OFF/DEF averages articles:
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/matchupdata.php?startweek=4&stopweek=7&yr=2011
Not sure what to make of it all but some things stick out.
Cleveland averages 76 plays/game on OFF.
47 pass attempts
29 rushes.
Could be ineffectiveness, long drives, lack of big plays. At least it's opportunity.
SF's DEF allows 44 pass attempts on avg per game... 20rush attempts for 80yds. DAL is best 78yds
CHI DEF 42 pass att RUSH DEF: 19 rush 92yds game allowed
DAL, OAK SEA,TEAN all allow 39 pass attempt but
DAL 21 rush/78yds OAK 29/113yd SEA 35/110, TEN 32/160yd allowed.
Basically, if you're playing TEN that's great. 71 OFF plays your opponent gets. Hopefully it's your RB.
I've never really dug iinto these numbers.
Its' interesting because you have enough data to really see who sucks...who is good and by how much.
Most teams are not going to pass a lot against STL because they only average 15 completions on 27 tries because their RUN D is so bad. They allow 35 carries on average for 195yds per game. Holy Fantasy bonus tier!.
TEAM DEF..PASSING COMPLETIONS GAME Allowed and yardage:
CLE 12 156
BAL 14 144
STL 15 206
KC 16 219
MIA 16 223
SD 16 160
HOU 17 204
NO 17 206
NYJ 17 217
PIT 18 195
TB 18 274 d'oh! Must indicate they give up big pass plays...get burned deep? Or suck at tackling. This would be a better team to gamble on one of those deep threat BoomBust WRs than say San Diego.
CAR 19 226
CIN 19 203
OAK 19 255
WAS 19 219
TEN allows 27 completions. IF they're playing a team where WR1 gets 60% of the OFF targets during the game that's 16 targets. If he catches 50% of those that's 8 catches. Those are realistic #s.
Yahoo projections are usually done based on what they scored and some other inaccurate data and if they're palying this week or not.
They don't seem to factor it in as well. This perhaps gives you a better tool of who to start/sit or target in pickups trades whatever.
Just thought I'd share some thoughts. Anyone else notice anything interesting? ANyone take it a step farther and say...These Players these next few weeks should have good matchups...or These typically hot players...QBs...won't do much b/c they're going against such a soft RUN DEF that it could be a bit of a drop off. (Probably like ROMO week7...didn't have to do much).
http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/matchupdata.php?startweek=4&stopweek=7&yr=2011
Not sure what to make of it all but some things stick out.
Cleveland averages 76 plays/game on OFF.
47 pass attempts
29 rushes.
Could be ineffectiveness, long drives, lack of big plays. At least it's opportunity.
SF's DEF allows 44 pass attempts on avg per game... 20rush attempts for 80yds. DAL is best 78yds
CHI DEF 42 pass att RUSH DEF: 19 rush 92yds game allowed
DAL, OAK SEA,TEAN all allow 39 pass attempt but
DAL 21 rush/78yds OAK 29/113yd SEA 35/110, TEN 32/160yd allowed.
Basically, if you're playing TEN that's great. 71 OFF plays your opponent gets. Hopefully it's your RB.
I've never really dug iinto these numbers.
Its' interesting because you have enough data to really see who sucks...who is good and by how much.
Most teams are not going to pass a lot against STL because they only average 15 completions on 27 tries because their RUN D is so bad. They allow 35 carries on average for 195yds per game. Holy Fantasy bonus tier!.
TEAM DEF..PASSING COMPLETIONS GAME Allowed and yardage:
CLE 12 156
BAL 14 144
STL 15 206
KC 16 219
MIA 16 223
SD 16 160
HOU 17 204
NO 17 206
NYJ 17 217
PIT 18 195
TB 18 274 d'oh! Must indicate they give up big pass plays...get burned deep? Or suck at tackling. This would be a better team to gamble on one of those deep threat BoomBust WRs than say San Diego.
CAR 19 226
CIN 19 203
OAK 19 255
WAS 19 219
TEN allows 27 completions. IF they're playing a team where WR1 gets 60% of the OFF targets during the game that's 16 targets. If he catches 50% of those that's 8 catches. Those are realistic #s.
Yahoo projections are usually done based on what they scored and some other inaccurate data and if they're palying this week or not.
They don't seem to factor it in as well. This perhaps gives you a better tool of who to start/sit or target in pickups trades whatever.
Just thought I'd share some thoughts. Anyone else notice anything interesting? ANyone take it a step farther and say...These Players these next few weeks should have good matchups...or These typically hot players...QBs...won't do much b/c they're going against such a soft RUN DEF that it could be a bit of a drop off. (Probably like ROMO week7...didn't have to do much).
