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For the fortunate souls who have the 1st overall pick... (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Franknbeans
- Start date
ImTheScientist
Footballguy
LT
M
MelvinTScupper
Guest
LJ
BlueDredSo
Footballguy
Wow, I was kind of surprised to see SA leading the vote 2-1-1. I voted for him. In my mind, he's the safest of the 3 this year. Losing Hutch won't be THAT huge. The passing game is still stellar, too. LT's got a new QB. LJ has 2 new tackles and FB. Not like I need to explain, but...ya know.
M
MelvinTScupper
Guest
More suprising that "Other" is tied for the lead.
whether Roaf plays or not the safer pick is Alexander since there are less changes to factor in. Nobody really knows what's gonna happen in KC with a new offensive coordinator and new head coach and what looks like a probability that Roaf doesn't play. That being said and being a KC homer, I'll probably sell this info at my draft and try to get LJ ASAP. Would I take LJ #1? Yes (homer) but the smart play would be Alexander due to his health history, size, team is identical to last year and coaching remains unchanged.
LT is a great player but he keeps getting nicked up and misses too much time. I want consistent performance each game over an entire season and not feast or famine.
LT is a great player but he keeps getting nicked up and misses too much time. I want consistent performance each game over an entire season and not feast or famine.
TheLastDispatch
Footballguy
You can't be serious! Are you forgetting he's on the cover of Madden?
My guess would be Portis.
Keys Myaths
Pokerguy
LT.
M
MelvinTScupper
Guest
You don't think it's a big deal that his pro-bowler on the left side has to be replaced?I couldn't argue with any of the LT/SA/LJ picks, but they all have some questions.
Franknbeans
Footballguy
Portis fans
Billy Ball Thorton
Footballguy
LJ And this may be the easiest decision I have made in 10 years.
Tom Servo
Nittany Beavers
The Shizzle
Footballguy
Rules?
Keeper/Redraft/Dynasty?
PPR or no?
I had #2 in a dynasty, and I gladly took LT.
In a redraft, I would probably take LJ or SA. In a keeper, I would take any of them, and in a dynasty, definitely LT.
Keeper/Redraft/Dynasty?
PPR or no?
I had #2 in a dynasty, and I gladly took LT.
In a redraft, I would probably take LJ or SA. In a keeper, I would take any of them, and in a dynasty, definitely LT.
I'm taking LJ. I read somewhere that 20 of Alexander's TDs last year were run off of Hutchinson's blocks (can anyone verify this?), whereas LJ seemed to be as strong a runner last year in Roaf's absence as he was when he played. I also worry more about Holmgren wanting to air it out more than I do Edwards.
shadow2k
Footballguy
Alexander:Right Side - 528/3 6.5ypcLeft Side - 419/14 4.4ypcMiddle - 357/2 4.2ypcLeft Sideline - 337/6 4.7ypcRight Sideline - 239/2 6.8ypcAlexander clearly favored running behind Hutch at the goal.LJ: R Side - 140/2 3.6ypcL Side - 282/4 4.9ypcMiddle - 680/6 5.0ypcL Sideline - 436/6 6.3ypcR Sideline - 212/2 5.9ypcLJ seemed to prefer going up the middle behind Waters/Shields. The KC line is still one of the best in the league, even without Roaf. And Turley has been impressive so far. But it's really hard to be definitive about anything when they haven't played any preseason games yet.And yes, the three games LJ started without Roaf, he did very well: 107/2 - 132/0 - 211/2. He also had 1,052 of his yards without T.Rich on the field (lone setback). The coaching deal comes up a lot, but we know Herm is going to run the ball. And Solari has been the OLC in KC for the last 9yrs, he's not changing much of anything. I'm a KC homer, so I'm obviously drafting LJ with #1. But it's more than that. He ran well without Roaf, without T.Rich, and even without a hole to run through. I've watched every down the guy has ever played in the NFL. He is a stud, and I have no qualms about taking him #1. I'd be happy with either of the other guys as well. LT has always gotten his, with bad QB's, bad WR's, and everything else...and he even plays hurt. SA has been as solid as they make them over the past few years. But I think that line will miss Hutch more than KC will miss Roaf (for the running game, not the passing game).
Great stuff, shadow2k. Thanks for sharing it.
Franknbeans
Footballguy
I'm sure there's more
Sweetness_34
Footballguy
Why would you take LT over Alexander in a dynasty??? (Unless it is a PPR, then I understand). If it is not a PPR, you have ZERO facts to select LT over Alexander. Myth: Shaun will get injured since he is oldReality/Facts:Shaun A is exactly 1 year older than LTLT has been injured 2 yrs in a row now near the end of a seasonShaun A has run the ball 1717 times in his career and has 188 catches. In one less year, LT has 1702 attempts at rushing and 342 catches. So, LT has had MORE WEAR AND TEAR on his body than Shaun despite playing one less year.
Mr. Chumley
Footballguy
Fortunate? This is my first time with the #1 and I'm wishing I had the #3. I think those guys are interchangeable. So I would like to pick who ever is left at 3 and get a slightly higher pick in round 2. Alas the guy holding the 3rd pick knows this as well and won't trade it.
That said, I'm leaning towards LJ.
That said, I'm leaning towards LJ.
Franknbeans
Footballguy
That's the only thing holding me back. Most folks automatically extrapolate his stats over a 16 game schedule but the reality is, he has yet to produce those numbers over 16 games. Granted, he hasn't had the opportunity but he could also get dinged up in game 11 because of his aggressive style. I like to know that the guy I am choosing has done it consistently for at least a couple of years straight. Isn't it funny, a few short years ago the knock on Shaun Alexander was his lack of consistency.
Colin Dowling
Footballguy
This is exactly why I think they aren't the safest picks.
Franknbeans
Footballguy
your one of those glass is half empty fellas, aren't you?
cstu
Footballguy
Actually SA is almost two year older than LT (8/30/1977 vs. 6/23/1979)I can't argue with LT getting hurt two years in a row but consider them flukes (the groin in '04 and the purposefully caused rib injury in '05SA lost his Pro Bowl LG and the Chargers drafted a top LT.I will give you the wear and tear, but will say the LT stays in amazing condition and avoids hits as much as possible, not a run through people type of back (though neither is SA).
ScottNorwood
Footballcutie
Franknbeans
Footballguy
More considerations...
Weeks 14-17, team (2005 rush defense ranking)
LT
Den (2), KC (7), @Sea (5), Ari (10)
LJ
Bal (9), @SD (1), @Oak (25), Jac (14)
SA
@Ari (10), SF (18), SD (1), @TB (6)
Weeks 14-17, team (2005 rush defense ranking)
LT
Den (2), KC (7), @Sea (5), Ari (10)
LJ
Bal (9), @SD (1), @Oak (25), Jac (14)
SA
@Ari (10), SF (18), SD (1), @TB (6)
Hairy Snowman
Footballguy
Mooo. I, for one, don't want to be inside the herd. LT2.
Godsbrother
Footballguy
KC's o-line is scaring me away from LJ. I'm having a tough time deciding between LT and SA.
Mystery Achiever
Footballguy
For an update on how this is moving, check the Omega draft analysis thread. Of the six teams drafting, it was 4 LJs, 1SA, 1 LT. (the LT pick was mine)
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