Forecasting Yardage Bonuses (1 Viewer)

[iammojay]

I'm in an auction league with .5 PPR, 10 rush/rec yards per point, 20 pass yards per point.  6 point rush/rec TDs and 4 point pass TDs.
At 100 yards rush/rec and 300 yards passing, there's a 3 point bonus.  For every 50 yards after that, there's an additional 2 point bonus.  So, a QB with a 450 yard day earns a 9 point bonus on top of the normal 22.5 points for yardage.

Since it's an auction league, precision is quite valuable, but I don't know where to start.  I could comb through 2018 game histories or just fudge the numbers up on the players with the most yardage, but I feel like there has to be a better way.  Does anybody have a good method to include these bonuses in the projections?

 

[Gally]

Obviously the players with the most yards are the most likely to go over those plateaus.  I would look at historical performances and see which players have the most 300/100 yd days and then give them asterisks in my lists.  No need to get over complicated when it is basically just a guess anyway. 

 

[wlwiles]

I play in one league with bonus scoring.  In short, it makes the studs worth even more.  A guy like Brees or Mahomes who is gonna throw for 300 almost every week bumps up even higher above the Prescott/Cousins/Wentz type QBs.  It also helps to offset the guys that had a great yardage game but didn't find the end zone, so Julio going for 110/0 gets half of a TD essentially in a 3 pt bonus league. 

But as far as predicting it, I don't really give it a lot of thought, except that I go for a QB earlier in this league than any others I play in.  A guy like Brees is easy to target in this draft because he's not a consensus top 5 QB like the Mahomes/Luck grouping this year, but he's gonna throw for 300 yards 12 out of 16 games so the bonus is a lock.