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Fun With Defensive Statistics 4 (1 Viewer)

Jene Bramel

Footballguy
As requested, here is a relatively deep look at the percentage of team solo tackles made by cornerbacks in 2007. You can find the spreadsheet listing the percentages of ~75 players attached below.

Percentage of Team Solo Tackles Made by Cornerback 20071 Antoine Winfield 10.51%2 Fred Bennett 10.12% (7 games as starter)3 Cortland Finnegan 9.52%4 Ike Taylor 9.35%5 Cedric Griffin 9.29%6 Marcus Trufant 9.06%7 Eric Wright 9.05%8 Champ Bailey 9.03%9 Richard Marshall 8.83%10 Nick Harper 8.81%And, for frame of reference, the top 15 finishers (min 10 games) over the past five seasons.
Code:
Percentage of Team Solo Tackles Made by Cornerback 2003-20071 Antoine Winfield		2003	 11.14%2 Antoine Winfield		2006	 10.77%3 Nick Harper			 2003	 10.67%4 Antoine Winfield		2007	 10.51%5 Antoine Winfield		2005	 10.39%6 Charles Tillman		 2005	 10.29%7 Dewayne Washington	  2004	 10.22%8 Ronde Barber			2005	 10.13%9 Ronde Barber			2003	  9.64%10 Eric Warfield		  2005	  9.59%11 Ronde Barber		   2006	  9.57%12 Cortland Finnegan	  2007	  9.52%13 Nate Clements		  2005	  9.50%14 Antoine Winfield	   2004	  9.43%15 Darrent Williams	   2006	  9.36%
Some assorted thoughts and musings:1. If you thought Zach Thomas’ finishes on this list were amazing, check out the venerable Antoine Winfield. Mr. Winfield, at a stout 5’9”, 180, has finished in the top 15 in each of the past five seasons and holds four of the top five spots on the list. His five year run spans two teams and at least three different defensive schemes. Ronde Barber, who holds three of the top fifteen spots has been widely considered the best run-supporting corner in the league. But, while Winfield’s numbers probably get a small boost from his relatively poor coverage skill, this metric probably shows that Winfield remains at least as effective against the run as Barber was in his prime.

2. I’ve argued for years that the Cover-2 scheme by playbook and stat trends provides significant opportunity for an all-around corner. This metric strongly supports the argument. At least seven of the top fifteen corners on the five year list played the majority of their snaps in a scheme that utilized a lot of Cover-2. I’d argue that Darrent Williams could rightly be put in that category, maybe DeWayne Washington as well.

3. Not too many surprises in the 2007 top ten. With the exception of Eric Wright and Fred Bennett, who we’ll discuss in the next bullet, every name on the list is a willing tackler and plays the run about as well as the pass. I continually bang on Nick Harper as an inconsistent cover guy, but I admit that I’ve underrated him as an all-around player. The results of this study haven’t changed my mind that you need to be targeting not only corners with opportunity, but those that will take advantage of it.

4. Eric Wright and Fred Bennett. I adjusted Bennett’s numbers, as I did with Jon Beason and David Harris, to include only those games where he was a starter. Admittedly, that introduces all kinds of sampling error, but I still think it’s worth considering the result. While the rookie corner rule didn’t place as many players in the top ten of the yearly lists as its proponents would have you believe, I still think it’s a valid strategy. The more important question for me is what happens to these players following their rookie seasons. There’s no clear consensus in the data, unfortunately. I think both Wright and Bennett have good IDP futures. Given the high tackle opportunity that Wright was provided in 2007 and my concerns that he’s not likely to have much impact in run support, I think Bennett is probably the safer bet.

5. Regular readers of our content and listeners to our podcast already know how we feel about Richard Marshall as a talent. This will be your last and final warning. Marshall has finished in the top ten on this list in each of his first two seasons – essentially as a nickel corner. If you don’t get him rostered soon, he may become as untouchable in CB leagues as LaDainian Tomlinson by mid-2008.

PCT_TEAM_TACKLE_BY_CB.xls

 

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Nice post.

I had previously never even heard of Fred Bennet, and am nowing thinking about picking up cheaply now :lmao:

 
Happy I drafted Wright last year at a very low salary. Maybe I should look at Bennett as well and spend my cap dollars outside of the DB position (as usual)

 
Code:
Percentage of Team Solo Tackles Made by Cornerback 20071 Antoine Winfield		  10.51%2 Fred Bennett			  10.12% (7 games as starter)3 Cortland Finnegan		  9.52%4 Ike Taylor				 9.35%5 Cedric Griffin			 9.29%6 Marcus Trufant			 9.06%7 Eric Wright				9.05%8 Champ Bailey			   9.03%9 Richard Marshall		   8.83%10 Nick Harper			   8.81%
How would you compare Marshall to the top 5 on this list?Who will have the most # (not %) of CB tackles over the next several years?
 
Code:
Percentage of Team Solo Tackles Made by Cornerback 20071 Antoine Winfield		  10.51%2 Fred Bennett			  10.12% (7 games as starter)3 Cortland Finnegan		  9.52%4 Ike Taylor				 9.35%5 Cedric Griffin			 9.29%6 Marcus Trufant			 9.06%7 Eric Wright				9.05%8 Champ Bailey			   9.03%9 Richard Marshall		   8.83%10 Nick Harper			   8.81%
How would you compare Marshall to the top 5 on this list?Who will have the most # (not %) of CB tackles over the next several years?
I suppose Marshall has the best chance at a several year run. The Tampa-2 guys are subject to team and scheme change in many cases, so guys like Griffin, Hayden and Jackson are risky. I think Revis has the all-around talent to consistently make 75+ tackles, but he'll have to have someone opposite him that's at least average. Bennett is interesting, but he's got a very short track record. He could be a perennial 70 tackle guy or Shawntae Spencer. Trufant, if he stays healthy, has also been an above average tackler.
 
Do you see Winfield holding his value as a tackling beast over the next 2 years, or will Marshall surpass him via starting or not?

...or will MIN try to move him in favor of younger, less expensive CBs?

 
Do you see Winfield holding his value as a tackling beast over the next 2 years, or will Marshall surpass him via starting or not?...or will MIN try to move him in favor of younger, less expensive CBs?
As long as Winfield is healthy, he should remain a top five tackling CB regardless of scheme. Hamstring injuries are tough, but Winfield should recover and was never a "speed" corner anyway.Marshall has all the characteristics necessary to be the next Winfield, with some extra big play value to boot. He'll have a tough time keeping up with a healthy and playing to current level Winfield, though.Winfield's contract doesn't jump significantly over its final two years, so cost shouldn't be an issue if he continues to play well. Since Marcus McCauley has yet to establish himself as a clear starter, I doubt Winfield is moved until his play drops off.
 

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