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Going heavy WR in Dynasty PPR Startup Drafts (1 Viewer)

'Dez said:
'DexterDew said:
FWIW, the OP won his league this year
I think striking gold on the later round picks had as much to do with this than anything else not because he went WR heavy.Lynch round 7S-Smith round 9Pettigrew round 10Newton round 11J-Nelson round 12Sproles round 16
Agreed- he didn't win because his first 3 picks were Calvin, Marshall and Bowe, he won because his later picks were home runs.
Calvin wasn't a homerun?Marshall and Bowe didn't bust in PPR leagues but they held their own. I doubt anyone had a better first 3 picks.
Where did I say Calvin wasn't a homerun?Calvin was great, Bowe and Marshall were just okay. I looked at the link for his draft, and it's hard to tell because it looks like there were a bunch of trades. Guys who took Rodgers, Foster, Rice or McCoy in the first could have very easily had a better first 3 picks than the OP. I highly doubt anyone had better later round picks.The point remains, he didn't win his league because of his first 3 picks, or the fact that he went WR with them, he won it because some of his later picks blew up.
Marshall was the #10 PPR WR this year and 19th best non-QB this year. I would have done that pick again easily. I actually moved Bowe pretty early in the year, prior to Lynch being viable, and got back Beanie (pre-injury) who started 5 games for me and did a fair job prior to Lynch blowing up. I think the key I was trying to do in the stud-WR draft was to limit the amount of "misses" I had. Outside of Deangelo and Addai (who actually did well in 3-4 games I started him early), I avoided that and was able to hit on some guys late.As an FYI for the "best first 3 picks":The Rodgers owner traded up for an extra first, but still ended up with Rodgers, Chris Johnson, and Miles Austin. Foster owner was the other owner in the championship, and went Foster, Roddy, Vincent Jackson (but also needed to trade up for that and didn't have a pick from 2.10 to 5.02)Rice owner went Rice, Best, then Mike Williams. His WRs killed him all year.McCoy owner went McCoy, Wallace, and Moreno.
 
Marshall was the #10 PPR WR this year and 19th best non-QB this year. I would have done that pick again easily. I actually moved Bowe pretty early in the year, prior to Lynch being viable, and got back Beanie (pre-injury) who started 5 games for me and did a fair job prior to Lynch blowing up. I think the key I was trying to do in the stud-WR draft was to limit the amount of "misses" I had. Outside of Deangelo and Addai (who actually did well in 3-4 games I started him early), I avoided that and was able to hit on some guys late.As an FYI for the "best first 3 picks":The Rodgers owner traded up for an extra first, but still ended up with Rodgers, Chris Johnson, and Miles Austin. Foster owner was the other owner in the championship, and went Foster, Roddy, Vincent Jackson (but also needed to trade up for that and didn't have a pick from 2.10 to 5.02)Rice owner went Rice, Best, then Mike Williams. His WRs killed him all year.McCoy owner went McCoy, Wallace, and Moreno.
So you took Marshall as the #11 WR off the board, and he finished as WR #10. That isn't why you won the championship.Don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to put your team down or anything. You won the championship, that's great and all that really matters. I'm just saying you didn't win because of your "strategy" to go WR early, or because your early picks were so good, you won because you had some fantastic later round picks (at pretty much every position). You didn't just get decent value late, you got legit top 5 starters there. Congrats!
 
Give the guy his props - he put his team out there, as well as the strategy behind it. And he won in his first year.

Great thread!!!

And good luck to you next year.

 
by the way OP - please keep this thread going for future years. I'd like to see your first rookie drat and your year two results.

 
'humpback said:
'jonboltz said:
Marshall was the #10 PPR WR this year and 19th best non-QB this year. I would have done that pick again easily. I actually moved Bowe pretty early in the year, prior to Lynch being viable, and got back Beanie (pre-injury) who started 5 games for me and did a fair job prior to Lynch blowing up. I think the key I was trying to do in the stud-WR draft was to limit the amount of "misses" I had. Outside of Deangelo and Addai (who actually did well in 3-4 games I started him early), I avoided that and was able to hit on some guys late.As an FYI for the "best first 3 picks":The Rodgers owner traded up for an extra first, but still ended up with Rodgers, Chris Johnson, and Miles Austin. Foster owner was the other owner in the championship, and went Foster, Roddy, Vincent Jackson (but also needed to trade up for that and didn't have a pick from 2.10 to 5.02)Rice owner went Rice, Best, then Mike Williams. His WRs killed him all year.McCoy owner went McCoy, Wallace, and Moreno.
So you took Marshall as the #11 WR off the board, and he finished as WR #10. That isn't why you won the championship.Don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to put your team down or anything. You won the championship, that's great and all that really matters. I'm just saying you didn't win because of your "strategy" to go WR early, or because your early picks were so good, you won because you had some fantastic later round picks (at pretty much every position). You didn't just get decent value late, you got legit top 5 starters there. Congrats!
Getting 2nd round production from a 10th round pick doesn't matter as much if your 2nd round pick gets 10th round production. Part of the strategy is the *attempt* to take safer picks (in my opinion, WRs) to reduce the chance that you are relying on those latter round picks. Obviously, BM in the 2nd didn't win my league, but I'll take "as projected" production from my early picks every year.
by the way OP - please keep this thread going for future years. I'd like to see your first rookie drat and your year two results.
Should be easy for the draft-- traded my first next year for Big Ben, 2nd next year for James Starks. Even with Cam's emergence, I'm happy with both those moves.
 
'humpback said:
'jonboltz said:
Marshall was the #10 PPR WR this year and 19th best non-QB this year. I would have done that pick again easily. I actually moved Bowe pretty early in the year, prior to Lynch being viable, and got back Beanie (pre-injury) who started 5 games for me and did a fair job prior to Lynch blowing up. I think the key I was trying to do in the stud-WR draft was to limit the amount of "misses" I had. Outside of Deangelo and Addai (who actually did well in 3-4 games I started him early), I avoided that and was able to hit on some guys late.As an FYI for the "best first 3 picks":The Rodgers owner traded up for an extra first, but still ended up with Rodgers, Chris Johnson, and Miles Austin. Foster owner was the other owner in the championship, and went Foster, Roddy, Vincent Jackson (but also needed to trade up for that and didn't have a pick from 2.10 to 5.02)Rice owner went Rice, Best, then Mike Williams. His WRs killed him all year.McCoy owner went McCoy, Wallace, and Moreno.
So you took Marshall as the #11 WR off the board, and he finished as WR #10. That isn't why you won the championship.Don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to put your team down or anything. You won the championship, that's great and all that really matters. I'm just saying you didn't win because of your "strategy" to go WR early, or because your early picks were so good, you won because you had some fantastic later round picks (at pretty much every position). You didn't just get decent value late, you got legit top 5 starters there. Congrats!
Getting 2nd round production from a 10th round pick doesn't matter as much if your 2nd round pick gets 10th round production. Part of the strategy is the *attempt* to take safer picks (in my opinion, WRs) to reduce the chance that you are relying on those latter round picks. Obviously, BM in the 2nd didn't win my league, but I'll take "as projected" production from my early picks every year.
I agree, but I still think it's hard to argue that your success is due to the strategy. Put it this way- if you hadn't gotten Lynch, Cam, Smith, Jordy, Sproles, etc. later in the draft, you almost certainly would not have won. If you had taken 3 different players early but still landed those guys late, you still would have had a great chance at winning. If the owners who took other players early would have landed those guys later, they would have had a great chance at winning. IMO, your success was due much more to the those later picks than it was your first 3, or your strategy to go WR early.
 
i believe his strategy was to minimize mistakes in the first three rounds, and did it with WRs (though a Top 3 QB may apply, too).

what i think humpback is saying is that it was the mainly the other picks (and not his stated strategy of starting WR/WR/WR)... my retort would be "that would be true of any draft: you can't win it with just the first three picks, no matter how perfect they may be. Drafts, especially for Dynasty, are built through good/great/lucky pick in the later rounds. WHICH IS POSSIBLE FOR ANY DRAFTER AT ANY POSITION." I happen to subscribe to the opinion that WRs last longer and are a little more consistent year in and year out. And a nucleus of CAJohnson/Marshall/VJax in a start 3 WR league is pretty strong to build around. The fact he got Nelson/SSmith means he can trade one and still have four to rotate. I like it, but YMMV.

 
i believe his strategy was to minimize mistakes in the first three rounds, and did it with WRs (though a Top 3 QB may apply, too).what i think humpback is saying is that it was the mainly the other picks (and not his stated strategy of starting WR/WR/WR)... my retort would be "that would be true of any draft: you can't win it with just the first three picks, no matter how perfect they may be. Drafts, especially for Dynasty, are built through good/great/lucky pick in the later rounds. WHICH IS POSSIBLE FOR ANY DRAFTER AT ANY POSITION." I happen to subscribe to the opinion that WRs last longer and are a little more consistent year in and year out. And a nucleus of CAJohnson/Marshall/VJax in a start 3 WR league is pretty strong to build around. The fact he got Nelson/SSmith means he can trade one and still have four to rotate. I like it, but YMMV.
Agreed that this is true of any draft, which is kind of my point. It still comes down to the actual players selected, not the positions he selected. He could have just as easily picked AJ #1, Austin #2 (if he fell there), and Mike Williams #3, and that wouldn't have turned out so hot (although he still would have had a good chance to win because of his later picks). You could have replaced his 3 WR picks with plenty of players at other positions and he still would have had a great team, also due to those later picks.Again, congrats and great job, I just don't think this proves anything about this strategy being superior.
 
i believe his strategy was to minimize mistakes in the first three rounds, and did it with WRs (though a Top 3 QB may apply, too).what i think humpback is saying is that it was the mainly the other picks (and not his stated strategy of starting WR/WR/WR)... my retort would be "that would be true of any draft: you can't win it with just the first three picks, no matter how perfect they may be. Drafts, especially for Dynasty, are built through good/great/lucky pick in the later rounds. WHICH IS POSSIBLE FOR ANY DRAFTER AT ANY POSITION." I happen to subscribe to the opinion that WRs last longer and are a little more consistent year in and year out. And a nucleus of CAJohnson/Marshall/VJax in a start 3 WR league is pretty strong to build around. The fact he got Nelson/SSmith means he can trade one and still have four to rotate. I like it, but YMMV.
Agreed that this is true of any draft, which is kind of my point. It still comes down to the actual players selected, not the positions he selected. He could have just as easily picked AJ #1, Austin #2 (if he fell there), and Mike Williams #3, and that wouldn't have turned out so hot (although he still would have had a good chance to win because of his later picks). You could have replaced his 3 WR picks with plenty of players at other positions and he still would have had a great team, also due to those later picks.Again, congrats and great job, I just don't think this proves anything about this strategy being superior.
First of all, great draft. But, like Humpback, I have to say this has more to do with the players than the strategy. For one, Calvin is the ONLY WR worth anywhere near the #1 overall pick. There are only 1-3 worth a first round startup pick. So, unless your strategy is "Go Calvin Johnson early", I still don't like it.I went RB heavy in a draft I did, and ended up with:Newton/Big BenMcCoyMcFadden (Hillis/McGahee)WelkerMaclinSt. JohnsonGronkowskiI don't think your strategy does anymore to build a solid team than does mine. We simply picked the right players, a lot of which was luck.
 
Agreed. Maybe this is akin to a major golf tournament where you can lose it in the first three rounds, but you can't win it :rolleyes:

 

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