No one's saying Gerhart is a lock for pro success. In my view he's a 4th round value in the NFL draft. Someone who won't break the bank if he busts, but could end up a steal like Marion Barber or Brandon Jacobs. He will be highly scrutinized leading up to the draft in part because of his race and in part for the reasons you mentioned. He's not a nifty runner. He's not a flashy athlete. He doesn't make "wow" plays like Jahvid Best or CJ Spiller. As I said earlier, he's a throwback to the earlier eras of power football. He excels at hitting the crease, lowering his shoulder, and punishing the defense. Some teams will be interested in that. Some teams won't. I think it would be an error to write him off though. He's the all-time leading high school rusher in the state of California. He's putting up monster stats in one of the top college football conferences in the country. Look at the game logs:9/5 @Washington State 23 carries, 121 yards, 5.3 YPC9/12 @Wake Forest 17 carries, 82 yards, 4.8 YPC9/19 San Jose State 24 carries, 113 yards, 4.7 YPC 9/26 Washington 27 carries, 200 yards, 7.4 YPC 10/3 UCLA 29 carries, 134 yards, 4.6 YPC 10/10 @Oregon State 20 carries, 96 yards, 4.8 YPC10/17 @Arizona 28 carries, 123 yards, 4.4 YPC 10/24 Arizona State 27 carries, 125 yards, 4.6 YPC11/7 Oregon 38 carries, 223 yards, 5.9 YPC 11/14 @USC 29 carries, 178 yards, 6.1 YPCThat's pretty insane stuff. He hasn't been held below 4 YPC in a single game this season. Over the last two weeks he faced the two most athletic defenses in the conference (Oregon and USC). He rushed for 401 yards at 5.99 YPC. He's ripping the entire conference a new #####. Part of it is the offensive line (they're great) and part of it is the quarterback (Andrew Luck might be the best NFL QB prospect in the country), but at some point you have to consider the possibility that Gerhart is a legitimate NFL RB prospect. I think where I have him rated is fair. He's not in my top 10 overall and he's only the third best Pac-10 RB on my list. He's nowhere near a slam dunk for NFL success, but there's enough here to warrant some optimism. We'll see how he tests at the combine and we'll see how early a pro team is willing to roll the dice on him. Those will be important variables.