How many RB are drafted each year? (1 Viewer)

[Biabreakable]

I have been trying to determine what teams might actually take any RB in this years upcoming draft. In doing so I decided I should look at how many have been taken over the last 10 years.

2008 - 28(26) RB(2FB) drafted.

1 4 Darren McFadden RB Arkansas Oakland Raiders

1 13 Jonathan Stewart RB Oregon Carolina Panthers

1 22 Felix Jones RB Arkansas Dallas Cowboys

1 23 Rashard Mendenhall RB Illinois Pittsburgh Steelers

1 24 Chris Johnson RB East Carolina Tennessee Titans

2 44 Matt Forte RB Tulane Chicago Bears

2 55 Ray Rice RB Rutgers Baltimore Ravens

3 64 Kevin Smith RB Central Florida Detroit Lions

3 69 Jacob Hester FB Louisiana State San Diego Chargers

3 73 Jamaal Charles RB Texas Kansas City Chiefs

3 89 Steve Slaton RB West Virginia Houston Texans

4 122 Tashard Choice RB Georgia Tech Dallas Cowboys

5 139 Ryan Torain RB Arizona State Denver Broncos

5 146 Jerome Felton FB Furman Detroit Lions

5 149 Tim Hightower RB Richmond Arizona Cardinals

5 163 Owen Schmitt FB West Virginia Seattle Seahawks

5 166 Marcus Thomas RB Texas-El Paso Dallas Cowboys

6 172 Thomas Brown RB Georgia Atlanta Falcons

6 176 Jalen Parmele RB Toledo Baltimore Ravens

6 179 Xavier Omon RB Northwest Missouri State Buffalo Bills

6 183 Spencer Larsen FB Arizona Denver Broncos

6 202 Mike Hart RB Michigan Indianapolis Colts

6 204 Lex Hilliard RB Montana Miami Dolphins

7 213 Chauncey Washington RB USC Jacksonville Jaguars

7 227 Peyton Hillis RB Arkansas Denver Broncos

7 233 Justin Forsett RB California Seattle Seahawks

7 238 Cory Boyd RB South Carolina Denver Broncos

7 240 Allen Patrick RB Oklahoma Cleveland Browns

2007 - 26(19) RB(7FB) drafted.

1 7 Adrian Peterson RB Oklahoma Minnesota Vikings

1 12 Marshawn Lynch RB California Buffalo Bills

2 49 Kenny Irons RB Auburn Cincinnati Bengals

2 50 Chris Henry RB Arizona Tennessee Titans

2 52 Brian Leonard RB Rutgers St. Louis Rams

2 63 Brandon Jackson RB Nebraska Green Bay Packers

3 71 Lorenzo Booker RB Florida State Miami Dolphins

3 90 Tony Hunt RB Penn State Philadelphia Eagles

3 93 Garrett Wolfe RB Northern Illinois Chicago Bears

4 100 Michael Bush RB Louisville Oakland Raiders

4 107 Antonio Pittman RB Ohio State New Orleans Saints

4 111 Dwayne Wright RB Fresno State Buffalo Bills

4 137 Le'Ron McClain FB Alabama Baltimore Ravens

5 148 Kolby Smith RB Louisville Kansas City Chiefs

6 175 Oren O'Neal FB Arkansas State Oakland Raiders

6 181 Reagan Mauia FB Hawaii Miami Dolphins

6 186 Thomas Clayton RB Kansas State San Francisco 49ers

6 191 Korey Hall FB Boise State Green Bay Packers

6 195 Deon Anderson FB Connecticut Dallas Cowboys

6 208 Justise Hairston RB Central Connecticut State New England Patriots

7 222 Derek Schouman FB Boise State Buffalo Bills

7 228 DeShawn Wynn RB Florida Green Bay Packers

7 236 Nate Ilaoa FB Hawaii Philadelphia Eagles

7 244 Jason Snelling RB Virginia Atlanta Falcons

7 246 Kenneth Darby RB Alabama Tampa Bay Buccaneers

7 250 Ahmad Bradshaw RB Marshall New York Giants

2006 - 19(18) RB(1FB) drafted.

1 2 Reggie Bush RB USC New Orleans Saints

1 21 Laurence Maroney RB Minnesota New England Patriots

1 27 DeAngelo Williams RB Memphis Carolina Panthers

1 30 Joseph Addai RB Louisiana State Indianapolis Colts

2 45 LenDale White RB USC Tennessee Titans

2 60 Maurice Jones-Drew RB UCLA Jacksonville Jaguars

3 74 Brian Calhoun RB Wisconsin Detroit Lions

3 79 Jerious Norwood RB Mississippi State Atlanta Falcons

4 100 Michael Robinson RB Penn State San Francisco 49ers

4 106 Garrett Mills RB Tulsa New England Patriots

4 117 Leon Washington RB Florida State New York Jets

4 132 P.J. Daniels RB Georgia Tech Baltimore Ravens

5 145 Jerome Harrison RB Washington State Cleveland Browns

5 163 David Kirtman FB USC Seattle Seahawks

6 170 Wali Lundy RB Virginia Houston Texans

6 180 Lawrence Vickers FB Colorado Cleveland Browns

6 195 J.D. Runnels RB Oklahoma Chicago Bears

7 240 Cedric Humes RB Virginia Tech Pittsburgh Steelers

7 246 Quinton Ganther RB Utah Tennessee Titans

2005 - 24 RB drafted.

1 2 Ronnie Brown RB Auburn Miami Dolphins

1 4 Cedric Benson RB Texas Chicago Bears

1 5 Cadillac Williams RB Auburn Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2 44 J.J. Arrington RB California Arizona Cardinals

2 54 Eric Shelton RB Louisville Carolina Panthers

3 65 Frank Gore RB Miami (Fla.) San Francisco 49ers

3 73 Vernand Morency RB Oklahoma State Houston Texans

3 77 Ryan Moats RB Louisiana Tech Philadelphia Eagles

4 109 Marion Barber RB Minnesota Dallas Cowboys

4 110 Brandon Jacobs RB Southern Illinois New York Giants

4 112 Ciatrick Fason RB Florida Minnesota Vikings

4 120 Manuel White RB UCLA Washington Redskins

4 127 Alvin Pearman RB Virginia Jacksonville Jaguars

4 130 Darren Sproles RB Kansas State San Diego Chargers

5 142 Damien Nash RB Missouri Tennessee Titans

5 158 Justin Green RB Montana Baltimore Ravens

6 182 Cedric Houston RB Tennessee New York Jets

6 196 Tony Jackson RB Iowa Seattle Seahawks

6 201 DeAndra Cobb RB Michigan State Atlanta Falcons

7 221 Rick Razzano RB Mississippi Tampa Bay Buccaneers

7 222 Nehemiah Broughton RB The Citadel Washington Redskins

7 236 Lionel Gates RB Louisville Buffalo Bills

7 244 Noah Herron RB Northwestern Pittsburgh Steelers

7 251 Madison Hedgecock RB North Carolina St. Louis Rams

2004 - 18(17) RB(1FB) drafted.

1 24 Steven Jackson RB Oregon State St. Louis Rams

1 26 Chris Perry RB Michigan Cincinnati Bengals

1 30 Kevin Jones RB Virginia Tech Detroit Lions

2 41 Tatum Bell RB Oklahoma State Denver Broncos

2 43 Julius Jones RB Notre Dame Dallas Cowboys

2 55 Greg Jones RB Florida State Jacksonville Jaguars

4 119 Mewelde Moore RB Tulane Minnesota Vikings

4 128 Cedric Cobbs RB Arkansas New England Patriots

5 154 Michael Turner RB Northern Illinois San Diego Chargers

5 156 Mike Karney FB Arizona State New Orleans Saints

5 162 Thomas Tapeh RB Minnesota Philadelphia Eagles

6 191 Troy Fleming RB Tennessee Tennessee Titans

7 208 Adimchinobe Echemandu RB California Cleveland Browns

7 219 Quincy Wilson RB West Virginia Atlanta Falcons

7 228 Casey Cramer RB Dartmouth Tampa Bay Buccaneers

7 235 Derrick Ward RB Ottawa (Kans.) New York Jets

7 242 Bruce Perry RB Maryland Philadelphia Eagles

7 247 Brandon Miree RB Pittsburgh Denver Broncos

2003 - 22(15) RB(7FB) drafted.

1 23 Willis McGahee RB Miami (Fla.) Buffalo Bills

1 27 Larry Johnson RB Penn State Kansas City Chiefs

3 77 Musa Smith RB Georgia Baltimore Ravens

3 85 B.J. Askew FB Michigan New York Jets

3 93 Chris Brown RB Colorado Tennessee Titans

3 96 Justin Fargas RB USC Oakland Raiders

4 99 Artose Pinner RB Kentucky Detroit Lions

4 101 Domanick Williams RB Louisiana State Houston Texans

4 105 Onterrio Smith RB Oregon Minnesota Vikings

4 108 Quentin Griffin RB Oklahoma Denver Broncos

4 115 Lee Suggs RB Virginia Tech Cleveland Browns

4 118 Jeremi Johnson FB Western Kentucky Cincinnati Bengals

4 121 Justin Griffith FB Mississippi State Atlanta Falcons

4 132 LaBrandon Toefield RB Louisiana State Jacksonville Jaguars

4 134 Ovie Mughelli FB Wake Forest Baltimore Ravens

5 165 Chris Davis FB Syracuse Seattle Seahawks

6 206 Brock Forsey RB Boise State Chicago Bears

7 218 Malaefou MacKenzie FB USC Jacksonville Jaguars

7 229 Andrew Pinnock FB South Carolina San Diego Chargers

7 235 Ahmaad Galloway RB Alabama Denver Broncos

7 247 Casey Moore RB Stanford Carolina Panthers

Tony Hollings RB Georgia Tech Houston Texans

2002 - 25(22) RB(3FB) drafted.

1 16 William Green RB Boston College Cleveland Browns

1 18 T.J. Duckett RB Michigan State Atlanta Falcons

2 34 DeShaun Foster RB UCLA Carolina Panthers

2 51 Clinton Portis RB Miami (Fla.) Denver Broncos

2 54 Maurice Morris RB Oregon Seattle Seahawks

2 56 Ladell Betts RB Iowa Washington Redskins

3 84 Lamar Gordon RB North Dakota State St. Louis Rams

3 91 Brian Westbrook RB Villanova Philadelphia Eagles

4 99 Jonathan Wells RB Ohio State Houston Texans

4 107 Omar Easy RB Penn State Kansas City Chiefs

4 119 Travis Stephens RB Tennessee Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4 129 Jamar Martin FB Ohio State Dallas Cowboys

4 135 Najeh Davenport FB Miami (Fla.) Green Bay Packers

5 136 Jarrod Baxter FB New Mexico Houston Texans

5 145 Kyle Johnson RB Syracuse Carolina Panthers

5 166 Verron Haynes RB Georgia Pittsburgh Steelers

6 185 Josh Scobey RB Kansas State Arizona Cardinals

6 197 Larry Ned RB San Diego State Oakland Raiders

6 199 Adrian Peterson RB Georgia Southern Chicago Bears

6 204 Brian Allen RB Stanford Indianapolis Colts

6 207 Chester Taylor RB Toledo Baltimore Ravens

7 214 Luke Staley RB Brigham Young Detroit Lions

7 237 Antwoine Womack RB Virginia New England Patriots

7 241 Leonard Henry RB East Carolina Miami Dolphins

7 257 Rock Cartwright RB Kansas State Washington Redskins

2001 - 18 RB drafted.

1 5 LaDainian Tomlinson RB Texas Christian San Diego Chargers

1 23 Deuce McAllister RB Mississippi New Orleans Saints

1 27 Michael Bennett RB Wisconsin Minnesota Vikings

2 38 Anthony Thomas RB Michigan Chicago Bears

2 49 LaMont Jordan RB Maryland New York Jets

2 58 Travis Henry HB Tennessee Buffalo Bills

3 65 James Jackson RB Miami (Fla.) Cleveland Browns

3 80 Kevan Barlow RB Pittsburgh San Francisco 49ers

3 82 Heath Evans RB Auburn Seattle Seahawks

3 85 Travis Minor RB Florida State Miami Dolphins

4 100 Rudi Johnson RB Auburn Cincinnati Bengals

4 108 George Layne RB Texas Christian Kansas City Chiefs

4 115 Moran Norris RB Kansas New Orleans Saints

4 121 Correll Buckhalter RB Nebraska Philadelphia Eagles

5 150 Derrick Blaylock RB Stephen F. Austin St. Kansas City Chiefs

6 174 Jameel Cook RB Illinois Tampa Bay Buccaneers

6 175 Dee Brown RB Syracuse Carolina Panthers

6 192 Dan Alexander RB Nebraska Tennessee Titans

2000 - 26(23) RB(3FB) drafted.

1 5 Jamal Lewis RB Tennessee Baltimore Ravens

1 7 Thomas Jones RB Virginia Arizona Cardinals

1 11 Ron Dayne RB Wisconsin New York Giants

1 19 Shaun Alexander RB Alabama Seattle Seahawks

1 31 Trung Canidate RB Arizona St. Louis Rams

3 63 Travis Prentice RB Miami (Ohio) Cleveland Browns

3 76 J.R. Redmond RB Arizona State New England Patriots

3 81 Reuben Droughns RB Oregon Detroit Lions

3 88 Doug Chapman RB Marshall Minnesota Vikings

4 96 Terrelle Smith FB Arizona State New Orleans Saints

4 97 Curtis Keaton RB James Madison Cincinnati Bengals

4 115 Frank Moreau RB Louisville Kansas City Chiefs

4 117 Deon Dyer FB North Carolina Miami Dolphins

5 132 Paul Smith RB Texas-El Paso San Francisco 49ers

5 144 Michael Wiley RB Ohio State Dallas Cowboys

5 153 Dante Hall RB Texas A&M Kansas City Chiefs

5 156 Sammy Morris RB Texas Tech Buffalo Bills

5 166 Chad Morton RB USC New Orleans Saints

6 170 Frank Murphy RB Kansas State Chicago Bears

6 171 Thomas Hamner RB Minnesota Philadelphia Eagles

6 189 Mike Anderson RB Utah Denver Broncos

7 213 Mike Green RB Houston Tennessee Titans

7 228 Kevin Houser FB Ohio State New Orleans Saints

7 239 Patrick Pass RB Georgia New England Patriots

7 243 Shyrone Stith RB Virginia Tech Jacksonville Jaguars

7 252 Rondell Mealey RB Louisiana State Green Bay Packers

1999 - 25(19) RB(6FB) drafted.

1 4 Edgerrin James RB Miami (Fla.) Indianapolis Colts

1 5 Ricky Williams HB Texas New Orleans Saints

2 39 J.J. Johnson RB Mississippi State Miami Dolphins

2 43 Rob Konrad FB Syracuse Miami Dolphins

2 44 Jimmy Kleinsasser FB North Dakota Minnesota Vikings

2 46 Kevin Faulk RB Louisiana State New England Patriots

2 49 Joe Montgomery RB Ohio State New York Giants

2 54 Mike Cloud RB Boston College Kansas City Chiefs

2 60 Jermaine Fazande RB Oklahoma San Diego Chargers

3 86 Shawn Bryson RB Tennessee Buffalo Bills

3 92 Jeff Paulk RB Arizona State Atlanta Falcons

3 95 Amos Zereoue RB West Virginia Pittsburgh Steelers

4 103 Sedrick Irvin RB Michigan State Detroit Lions

4 112 Sean Bennett RB Northwestern New York Giants

4 116 Joel Makovicka FB Nebraska Arizona Cardinals

4 127 Olandis Gary RB Georgia Denver Broncos

5 134 Cecil Collins RB McNeese State Miami Dolphins

5 135 Nicolas Luchey FB Miami (Fla.) Cincinnati Bengals

5 157 Terry Jackson RB Florida San Francisco 49ers

5 159 De'Mond Parker RB Oklahoma Green Bay Packers

6 172 Cecil Martin FB Wisconsin Philadelphia Eagles

6 206 Dennis McKinley FB Mississippi State Arizona Cardinals

7 207 Madre Hill RB Arkansas Cleveland Browns

7 233 Autry Denson RB Notre Dame Tampa Bay Buccaneers

7 253 Jim Finn RB Pennsylvania Chicago Bears

So an average of 20.1 RB are drafted each season when we take out the FB.

Average draft pick invested on RB by round:

3.1 1st round picks

2.5 2nd round picks

2.9 3rd round picks

3.5 4th round picks

1.8 5th round picks

2.6 6th round picks

3.5 7th round picks

note I counted players like Najeh Davenport and Le'Ron McClain as RB even if listed as FB.

Just thought this might be interesting for those trying to project where the 2009 RB might land. 2008 was the deepest the position has been drafted over the last 10 years. So there should be more young depth around the league than most seasons. 2005 was the 2nd highest season for RB drafted.

I will reply to this after the draft so we can see where the draft class stacks up, above or below the average season.

Thoughts welcome. I did go through each team trying to evaluate by need what round they might take a RB. But I need to try to tweak it more I think to fit historical norms. I will add that here once I am done messing with it.

 

[Jeff Tefertiller]

thank you Bia. It strikes me how the quantity and quality of backs varies from year to year.

 

[bcr8f]

Nice list. Wasn't Spencer Larsen a LB last year when drafted though?

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Good stuff Bia

 

[Biabreakable]

Nice list. Wasn't Spencer Larsen a LB last year when drafted though?

I am not familar with him. This is still kind of a mess. But what I was thinking about before looking at this.1. Lions. Not likely. Perhaps a speed back to compliment Smith in round 3-52. Rams. Not likely. Too many other holes to fill.3. Cheifs. I don't see them drafting a RB unless Johnson is being let go.What could the Cheifs get for Johnson in trade?4. Seahawks. Big need at RB here. Round 2 or round 3? Who?5. Cleveland. The Browns have an extra 2nd round pick (18) but no 3rd. Jamal Lewis will be 30. What RB might still be there at pick 104(their 4th round pick).6. Bengals. With Benson as the starter they really need a RB at some point. the Bengals have 4 picks in the top 100. I think one of those picks will be a RB.7. Raiders. Pretty deep at the position assuming McFad is back healthy. Doubt a RB is taken early by the Raiders if at all.8. Jaguars. With Fred now gone I expect Greg Jones to get an expanded role. A 3rd RB could come through the draft.9. Green Bay. May still be looking for an upgrade but not a priority with Grant and Jackson still being young. They do have an extra 3rd round pick though and have drafted WR when it wasn't a need before.10. SF. Could use a backup to Gore. Don't see a pick at RB until at least rd 3.11. Bills. Seem set with Lynch and Jackson. But the Bills have 2 1st round picks and 2 4th round picks. If a RB they like is there at pick 28 or 42 would they take him?12. Denver. This team has needs all over the place. Including RB. I doubt one of their 1st day picks will be a RB but they have 2 3rd round picks. Perhaps a RB there or at pick 114?13. Redskins. With Portis the starter and known backup Betts behind him this is one of the most settled backfields in the league. The Skins only have 2 picks before round 5. Likely the earliest they would look at a RB if at all.14. Saints. Been rumored to possibly consider Wells at pick 14. Doubt the Saints do this with their only pick before round 4 if at all.15. Texans. Would a RB like Green be taken by the Texans in round 3 to compliment Slaton? Or perhaps one of their 4th round picks?x16. Chargers. Have no 2nd round pick. Have a lot of money tied up on LT and Sproles. With the Chargers having 3 4th round picks, that looks like a good time to add RB depth.x17. Jets. Jets could use a RB to take over for Thomas Jones. This is one of the 1st teams I see possibly taking a RB in round 1. If not a later round RB is even more likely.x18. Bronco's again.x19. Bucs. With Grahm, Ward and possibly Carnell Williams I don't see a big need for RB here. bucs have 3 7th round picks so some RB here or in round 6 is all I really expect.x20. Lions again.x21. Eagles. Could use a replacement or compliment to Westbrook. Lost Buckhalter to Denver. Maybe their 2nd or 3rd pick? If not then the Eagles have 4 5th round picks. So a RB is pretty much a lock by round 5.x22. Vikings. With AD and Chester this is one of the most settled backfields in the league. With no 4th round pick and other needs I don't see the Vikings drafting a RB before round 7.x23. Patriots. The Pats definitly have a need at RB. They did bring in Fred Taylor. But Taylor is 33 years old. Not likely to be a Dillon resurgance. Maroney has played well at times but he cannot be counted on as their feature RB. Perhaps most importantly Kevin Faulk is now 33 and they need a understudy. Patriots pick at 23 is a possibility, or with any of their picks in the 2nd round (34) (47) (58). At this point I see the Pats as the most likely team to draft a RB. What if the pick is Donald Brown? x24. Falcons. With Turner and Norwood this backfield is pretty set.x25. Dolphins. Tuna did not bring back Riwi. Brown cannot be counted on alone. A Parcells back likely this year. They have 2 picks in the 2nd round.x26. Ravens. They added Rice and Le'Ron McClain last year when they already had McGahee. All 3 RB had over 100 carries. I don't think there is room for a RB here.x27. Colts. Addai does not look like a feature RB. So the Colts could go RB round 1 depending on who is still there. I think several of these rookie RB would be an upgrade for them.x28. Bills again.x29. Giants. Has depth with Jacobs, Bradshaw, Ware.A later pick for depth probable from round 3 on.x30. Titans. I think there are enough RB here that another one is unlikely.x31. Cardinals. Badly need a RB to replace Edge.x32. Steelers. Not likely to take a RB with FWP, Mendenhall and MM to call on.Of the teams with no pick in the 1st round.Chicago. Has other needs. Possibly their 4th round pick or one of their 2 5ths.Dallas. With Barber, Felix Jones and Choice I don't see a pick being needed here.Carolina. They don't have enough carries for Williams and Stewart as it is. Very doubtful they take anything other than special teams.So possible pick investment in RB?1st 5 - jets-eagles-patriots-colts-cardinals2nd 11 - seahawks-browns-bengals-jets-eagles-patriots-colts-cardinals-cheifs-dolphins-jaguars3rd 19 - seahawks-browns-bengals-jets-eagles-patriots-colts-cardinals-cheifs-dolphins-bills-broncos-lions-giants-texans-49ers-Packers-jaguars4th 26 - seahawks-browns-bengals-jets-eagles-patriots-colts-cardinals-cheifs-dolphins-bills-broncos-lions-giants-texans-49ers-Packers-jaguars-Vikings-chargers-saints-bills-bears5th 26 - seahawks-browns-bengals-jets-eagles-patriots-colts-cardinals-cheifs-dolphins-bills-broncos-lions-giants-texans-49ers-Packers-jaguars-Vikings-chargers-saints-bills-rams- redskins-bears6th 26 - seahawks-browns-bengals-jets-eagles-patriots-colts-cardinals-cheifs-dolphins-bills-broncos-lions-giants-texans-49ers-Packers-jaguars-Vikings-chargers-saints-bills-rams- redskins-bears7th 26- seahawks-browns-bengals-jets-eagles-patriots-colts-cardinals-cheifs-dolphins-bills-broncos-lions-giants-texans-49ers-Packers-jaguars-Vikings-chargers-saints-bills-rams- redskins-bearsI doubt this many will be drafted as that would be equal to last years record of 26 RB. Some of these teams will not get their guy. So if I eliminate the possibilities assuming this is an average RB draft class by subtracting the average number of RB taken by round from that list it would look more like. Total backs taken by round and the teams it might be1st 3 -jets-patriots-cardinals2nd 6 -eagles-colts-seahawks-3rd 9 -browns-bengals-broncos4th 13 -texans-49ers-dolphins-lions5th 15 -jaguars-chargers6th 18 -cheifs-saints-rams-7th 23 Packers-Vikings-bills-bears-giantsNow I know this is totaly subjective and just a judgement call on my part what teams might take a RB and how high? I am sure this will be wrong. There are many more possibilities than there will be matches. But each time a team makes a pick then they could likely be crossed off the list. A couple teams might take 2 RB as some did last year but I doubt many.Now if we use the NFL.com rankings for where they are drafted you might have something like this:1st 3 -jets-patriots-cardinals - Moreno/Wells/D. Brown2nd 6 -eagles-colts-seahawks- McCoy/S. Greene/A. Brown3rd 9 -browns-bengals-broncos - Jennings/Peerman/Ringer4th 13 -texans-49ers-dolphins-lions - Coffee/K.Sheets/Bernard Scott 5th 15 -jaguars-chargers -Gartrell Johnson/James Davis6th 18 -cheifs-saints-rams- Tyrell Sutton/J.Johnson/Lucky7th 23 Packers-Vikings-bills-bears-giants Kimble/Chris Ogbannaya/FB or whoever else you like.How do people like these possible matchings?

 

[Crippler]

Looking at these lists, I think taking a RB from round 5 or later is kind of a waste of time. Not sure of success rate at other positions from that point on but I rather take my chances with OL or anything but RB after the 4th is done.

 

[Biabreakable]

Looking at these lists, I think taking a RB from round 5 or later is kind of a waste of time. Not sure of success rate at other positions from that point on but I rather take my chances with OL or anything but RB after the 4th is done.

I agree those are the dregs and very few have had successful careers. The success rate falls each round but there have been quality players drafted as late as the 6th round. Situation is key and a lower pick who has success might not maintain it long as they will always be threatened by more talented compitition.

 

[Donnybrook]

Now if we use the NFL.com rankings for where they are drafted you might have something like this:1st 3 -jets-patriots-cardinals - Moreno/Wells/D. Brown2nd 6 -eagles-colts-seahawks- McCoy/S. Greene/A. Brown3rd 9 -browns-bengals-broncos - Jennings/Peerman/Ringer4th 13 -texans-49ers-dolphins-lions - Coffee/K.Sheets/Bernard Scott 5th 15 -jaguars-chargers -Gartrell Johnson/James Davis6th 18 -cheifs-saints-rams- Tyrell Sutton/J.Johnson/Lucky7th 23 Packers-Vikings-bills-bears-giants Kimble/Chris Ogbannaya/FB or whoever else you like.How do people like these possible matchings?

Interesting. I think the need for RBs is greater this year with the wealth of 30 plus RBs in the NFL. I also get the impression that there are many good second day RB prospects. Maybe it will be year like 2003 when 8 RBs went in the 4th round.

 

[Despyzer]

x16. Chargers. Have no 2nd round pick. Have a lot of money tied up on LT and Sproles. With the Chargers having 3 4th round picks, that looks like a good time to add RB depth.

If any of the top 3 RBs are sitting there, I wouldn't completely rule out the Chargers spending a 1st on one.

 

[Sigmund Bloom]

x16. Chargers. Have no 2nd round pick. Have a lot of money tied up on LT and Sproles. With the Chargers having 3 4th round picks, that looks like a good time to add RB depth.

If any of the top 3 RBs are sitting there, I wouldn't completely rule out the Chargers spending a 1st on one.

AJ Smith went to see Wells, Moreno, and Donald Brown in person. Chargers are definitely a candidate to take a first round back.

 

[Biabreakable]

x16. Chargers. Have no 2nd round pick. Have a lot of money tied up on LT and Sproles. With the Chargers having 3 4th round picks, that looks like a good time to add RB depth.

If any of the top 3 RBs are sitting there, I wouldn't completely rule out the Chargers spending a 1st on one.

AJ Smith went to see Wells, Moreno, and Donald Brown in person. Chargers are definitely a candidate to take a first round back.

I have read that too and yes I think it could happen. However I give my reasoning why I do not think RB will be their 1st round pick and why they might wait until round 4 to address the need.

 

[Biabreakable]

So an average of 20.1 RB are drafted each season when we take out the FB.Average draft pick invested on RB by round:3.1 1st round picks2.5 2nd round picks2.9 3rd round picks3.5 4th round picks1.8 5th round picks2.6 6th round picks3.5 7th round picksnote I counted players like Najeh Davenport and Le'Ron McClain as RB even if listed as FB.Just thought this might be interesting for those trying to project where the 2009 RB might land. 2008 was the deepest the position has been drafted over the last 10 years. So there should be more young depth around the league than most seasons. 2005 was the 2nd highest season for RB drafted.I will reply to this after the draft so we can see where the draft class stacks up, above or below the average season.Thoughts welcome. I did go through each team trying to evaluate by need what round they might take a RB. But I need to try to tweak it more I think to fit historical norms. I will add that here once I am done messing with it.

I had forgotten about this until I was looking for something else.So lets see how 2009 stacks up.

Moreno, Knowshon RB 5'11" 217 Georgia Pick 12, Round 1 (12) BroncosBrown, Donald RB 5'10" 210 Connecticut Pick 27, Round 1 (27) Colts Wells, Chris RB 6'1" 235 Ohio State Pick 31, Round 1 (31) CardinalsMcCoy, LeSean RB 5'10" 198 Pittsburgh Pick 21, Round 2 (53) Eagles Greene, Shonn RB 5'11" 227 Iowa Pick 1, Round 3 (65) Jets Coffee, Glen RB 6'0" 209 Alabama Pick 10, Round 3 (74) 49ers Goodson, Mike RB 6'0" 208 Texas A&M Pick 11, Round 4 (111) Panthers Brown, Andre RB 6'0" 224 North Carolina State Pick 29, Round 4 (129) Giants Johnson, Gartrell RB 5'10" 219 Colorado State Pick 34, Round 4 (134) Chargers Ringer, Javon RB 5'9" 205 Michigan State Pick 37, Round 5 (173) Titans Peerman, Cedric RB 5'10" 216 Virginia Pick 12, Round 6 (185) Ravens Brown, Aaron RB 6'1" 196 TCU Pick 19, Round 6 (192) Lions Davis, James RB 5'11" 218 Clemson Pick 22, Round 6 (195) Browns Scott, Bernard RB 5'10" 200 Abilene Christian Pick 36, Round 6 (209) Bengals Stephens-Howling, LaRod RB 5'7" 180 Pittsburgh Pick 31, Round 7 (240) Cardinals Ogbonnaya, Chris RB 6'0" 220 Texas Pick 2, Round 7 (211) Rams Williams, Javarris RB 5'10" 223 Tennessee State Pick 3, Round 7 (212) Chiefs Jennings, Rashad RB 6'1" 231 Liberty Pick 41, Round 7 (250) Jaguars

17 total RB taken (I eliminated FBs) so this draft was 3 less RB taken than average.1st round 32nd round 13rd round 34th round 35th round 16th round 47th round 41.5 less in the 2nd round than average..8 less in the 5th round than average1.4 more in the 6th round than averageEverything else was pretty much the same.Based on this I would say the 2009 RB crop was 3 players weaker than average and that lack of another 2nd round pick (where a falling talent is usualy taken) is the most key difference. Teams saw 4 RB worth taking on the 1st day compared to 5.6 which is the average. So this draft is 1-2 elite prospects light.I dunno why in the 5th round RBs are not very popular.The lack of another 2nd rounder was made up in round 6. Huge difference.So while I do like Moreno better than most prospects over the past 10 years I would have to say this group as a whole looks below average.