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the hard part will be finding someone to trade with
I got lucky last year with another owner who wanted to trade down. He had the #1 overall and loved Priest Holmes. I told him the price was too steep to trade up (I had the #3) so he ended up choosing Holmes while Alexander slid to me
Slightly leaning towards LJ if I had pick #1.
LT scares me for one reason..
Phillip Rivers.. BIG unknown.. if he can't step it up teams will have 7 or 8 man fronts all game long.
Tomlinson probably hasn't seen a 7-man front since his rookie season.
I would actually agree with this, if at all possible. Since if you can weasel a pick or two out of the people with the 1.02 or 1.03 pick. If they absolutely want LJ, then say "Hey, I'm seriously considering taking LJ (or LT or SA). If you want him, I'd be willing to move down a little so you can have him. I'm not asking much. I'd be willing to for your <insert pick here> to do so." And see if they bite. In a redraft, I wouldn't go TOO nuts with what pick you want to weasel out of them. If you're lucky, maybe a 4th or 5th round pick. Plus, if you CAN find a willing buyer, you can still get one of the top 3 backs (whoever remains)...If none of that is feasible, then I'd consider what type of league. You said redraft, so any of the three would work. If it were a dynasty, or even keeper, I'd probably consider LT, LJ, then SA in that order. In a PPR league, I'd definitely go LT, then LJ, then SA. Alexander's receptions have been going down lately, and LJ had a decent number of receptions/yards last season, which is encouraging. If it's not a PPR league, then you can't go wrong with LT or LJ first, then SA.
He's had 7&8 man front his whole career. In ppr league I see LT2 as the #1. Traditional TD/yards only league I rank em : LJ,LT2, SASlightly leaning towards LJ if I had pick #1.
LT scares me for one reason..
Phillip Rivers.. BIG unknown.. if he can't step it up teams will have 7 or 8 man fronts all game long.
he's only been the starter for 1/2 season, and he was behind one of the greatest fantasy RBs of all time. It would be different if he'd been the starter for another season and not produced at near that level.and LT has NEVER had an 9 game stretch like that. In fact, he's only had one season where he scored more points (non-ppr) than LJ had last year (only 9 starts).
I love the guy, but LJ's finish last year is too much for me to ignore.
Im not sure about this yet.Watching the Herm-led Jets a lot over the last few years, its clear he makes the offense more predictable, and generally plays it close to the vest. The great balance of the Chiefs offense is part of what makes those RBs so lethal, and sets them up with opportunities to get 20+ TDs. There's no denying that the Jets offense was conservative under Herm, and the Chiefs offense was opened up under Vermeil. Is the Chiefs personnel so overwhelming that it won't matter? I am taking a wait and see attitude on that question.
#1. That's my projection. What made Priest Holmes great? Obviously he wasn't that great in Baltimore. The system he was in with the Chiefs made him a monster. It made LJ a monster. That system is no longer in place in KC. But it will be in place in DC. The guy is in his prime. The line is very good. And now Al Saunders is the OC. I would say 1900 yards and 20 TD's is not out of the realm of possibility. Not sure on the catches and yards but who cares after 1900 and 20.....
????
Suffice it to say, I would take not only the most talented but the hardest working RB in the league LaDainian Tomlinson.
http://www.signonsandiego.com/sports/colle...n11heisman.html
Ok, then 9.. Heck 10, with a safety dropping back.Slightly leaning towards LJ if I had pick #1.
LT scares me for one reason..
Phillip Rivers.. BIG unknown.. if he can't step it up teams will have 7 or 8 man fronts all game long.
Really, they may have put 7 or eight up front, but brees brought enough to keep them semi honest that the LB's had to stay in a Run/Pass defense.
to see if Rivers can keep the defense's honest.
Do you really think Herm will pass more?Consider, 2004 (not using 2005 due to the team being behind, requiring more passing)
I understand you're responding to FreeBa, but I think Blooms case may be more to the point. If Herm isn't as creative or aggressive as Vermiel the KC offense may suffer from predictability. More running doesn't mean more production, certainly not more TDs. The offense could slump a little as the D improves too. I'd take LJ #1 overall, only trade for lopsided value, and never look back.
Ok, that makes sense. Seems to me that Herm is smart enough to know how to mix it up, IIRC CurMar was pretty succesful in NY, despite having an arguably lesser cast of players around him. Not #1 FF caliber, but very good. I really don't see LJ's production dropping because of the coach. Other factors might account for a drop, most important the health of Shields and Roaf. My comment was simply in response to the original post that dropped LJ due to "I'm just not sure LJ will hold up being #1 all year and they have a new coach"
are you comparing KJ to LJ?... DET to KC?... I love it!... thats the funniest thing I have ever heard... seriously though, LJ had 336 carries in nine starts without even so much as a case of the sniffles. He is 6'1 230, I think he can handle the load, durability doesnt even enter into it. I dont think you can go wrong with any of the three, but I like LJ at this stage 2093yds 21tds in nine starts is undeniable. What you feel comfortable with is the way to go.
Seriously, I would try to trade down to the 1.03, so that you can get a better pick in the 2nd round because all three of these guys would be great.
