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I Was Wrong about Player _______ (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Neil Beaufort Zod
- Start date
Judge Smails
Footballguy
I was right on several things, including which big name QB’s would not be worth tier 1 draft picks. But man I missed on dead zone RB’s. Jacobs. Sanders. And more.
TheWinz
Footballguy
I was The Amazing Kreskin this year! My redraft from the 7 spot:
1.07 - WR Justin Jefferson
2.06 - TE Travis Kelce
3.07 - QB Josh Allen
4.06 - WR Jaylen Waddle
5.07 - RB Josh Jacobs
6.06 - WR Amon-Ra St. Brown
7.07 - RB Tony Pollard
8.06 - RB Rhamondre Stevenson
9.07 - RB Kenneth Walker
10.06 - WR Tyler Lockett
11.07 - RB Jamaal Williams
12.06 - WR Zay Jones
13.07 - RB Jerick McKinnon
14.06 - TE Evan Engram
15.07 - PK Brett Maher
16.06 - QB Geno Smith
In all seriousness, the only guys I drafted from above were Pollard & Walker.
1.07 - WR Justin Jefferson
2.06 - TE Travis Kelce
3.07 - QB Josh Allen
4.06 - WR Jaylen Waddle
5.07 - RB Josh Jacobs
6.06 - WR Amon-Ra St. Brown
7.07 - RB Tony Pollard
8.06 - RB Rhamondre Stevenson
9.07 - RB Kenneth Walker
10.06 - WR Tyler Lockett
11.07 - RB Jamaal Williams
12.06 - WR Zay Jones
13.07 - RB Jerick McKinnon
14.06 - TE Evan Engram
15.07 - PK Brett Maher
16.06 - QB Geno Smith
In all seriousness, the only guys I drafted from above were Pollard & Walker.
FairWarning
Footballguy
CMC and Henry. I don’t like to take hurt RB’s or ones with a lot of mileage. The people who drafted them I’m sure did well. I’m fading Henry next season also.
LionOfGosforth
Footballguy
So did 99% of people who cared enough to think about it. Now next year, when everyone hops on the Jacobs train as a high first rounder, McDaniels will go pass happy with Adams, Waller and Renfrow while employing a platoon of RBs.
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Kyle Pitts.
Aside from the injury, he just didn't justify the sky high hopes I had.
Aside from the injury, he just didn't justify the sky high hopes I had.
LionOfGosforth
Footballguy
Dalvin Cook - he wasn't bad, just not very consistent. I'm sure his EOS stats will look ok, and he didn't miss time for once, but far too many single digit games in non-ppr to be worth a 1st
Javonte Williams - yes, I know he got hurt. But their usage of him with Gordon was absolutely stupefying for 4-5 games. Shame we didn't see what could have been.
Kyle Pitts - enough said, cut him around week 6 and picked up Schultz
Javonte Williams - yes, I know he got hurt. But their usage of him with Gordon was absolutely stupefying for 4-5 games. Shame we didn't see what could have been.
Kyle Pitts - enough said, cut him around week 6 and picked up Schultz
zamboni
Footballguy
As with this past offseason, Pitts is probably going to be among the most polarizing players this coming offseason.
Pitts supporters will probably point to weak QB play, a very run heavy offensive scheme, and an emerging WR talent in Drake London to siphon off targets. Detractors will probably point to the fact that if he's truly a supreme talent, he would perform regardless of the QB/offensive scheme. IMO the truth is probably somewhere in between and one has to expect better QB production next year. But my concern is that he just didn't have a handful of below-average weeks, but was practically non-existent all year - even early on when London was first getting acclimated to the pro game.
fightingillini
Footballguy
I missed big on Jacobs, M Sanders, Allen Robinson and Renfrow.
zamboni
Footballguy
Good call. Another lesson learned not to focus too much on TDs, which can swing wildly year to year.
ETA: and not to listen to players who tell you not to draft them on fantasy teams.
Scoresman
Footballguy
Derrick Henry - All the indicators were that he was on the decline. High usage, deteriorating YPC, etc. Then he just kept on rolling. What's crazy is that he did all this on one of the league's worst offenses. One of these years I'll be right. But who know how to predict that.
Jonathan Taylor - He was my clear number one. He was the previous year number one back on a middle level offense. I figured with Matt Ryan, it was at least a side-grade so being able to repeat a top 5 season was likely. Still not sure what happened in Indy and what was so different this year vs. last year to make it all fall apart there.
Jonathan Taylor - He was my clear number one. He was the previous year number one back on a middle level offense. I figured with Matt Ryan, it was at least a side-grade so being able to repeat a top 5 season was likely. Still not sure what happened in Indy and what was so different this year vs. last year to make it all fall apart there.
jdoggydogg
Footballguy
Kyle Pitts
I'm still convinced he could be an unstoppable talent in the NFL, but I underestimated how bad the Atlanta passing game would be.
Kadarius Toney
When I watched that Dallas game last year, I was certain that he'd be a top 10 WR as soon as this year. But his combination of injuries + what appears to be some personality problems seem to point to a "what could have been" situation for his career.
Jalen Hurts
Hurts was so awful as a passer last year, I thought he'd end up as just another Mike Vick.
Isaiah Likely
Watching his college tape in the preseason, I thought he'd make an immediate impact on Baltimore - I mean, look at that awful WR corps. Likely might get used a lot more next year, but his lack of participation in this offense tells me the guy has a lot of learning to do.
Mike Evans
I drafted him as my #1 WR this season, and as we all know, that didn't work out well. Still like the talent, but I did not see this O-line being this bad all year. Brady had no time to throw, which neutralized Evans.
I'm still convinced he could be an unstoppable talent in the NFL, but I underestimated how bad the Atlanta passing game would be.
Kadarius Toney
When I watched that Dallas game last year, I was certain that he'd be a top 10 WR as soon as this year. But his combination of injuries + what appears to be some personality problems seem to point to a "what could have been" situation for his career.
Jalen Hurts
Hurts was so awful as a passer last year, I thought he'd end up as just another Mike Vick.
Isaiah Likely
Watching his college tape in the preseason, I thought he'd make an immediate impact on Baltimore - I mean, look at that awful WR corps. Likely might get used a lot more next year, but his lack of participation in this offense tells me the guy has a lot of learning to do.
Mike Evans
I drafted him as my #1 WR this season, and as we all know, that didn't work out well. Still like the talent, but I did not see this O-line being this bad all year. Brady had no time to throw, which neutralized Evans.
The injury was actually a blessing fantasy wise as you no longer had to start or roster him (redraft)
Allen Robinson was by far my biggest miss. I was all in in him being a top 10 WR and even took him as my WR1 a couple times going RB heavy (CMC/Barkley/Javonte in one league). Big miss for sure.
Kyle Pitts was a "everyone thinks he can't miss" and last year was still good even with a slight disappointment stink from expectations. I didn't like his situation but figured last year would be the floor so took the plunge (also because I figured A-Rob would make up for my lack of top end WR's .....ooops). Big miss co.pounded by A-Rob crashing as well
Kyle Pitts was a "everyone thinks he can't miss" and last year was still good even with a slight disappointment stink from expectations. I didn't like his situation but figured last year would be the floor so took the plunge (also because I figured A-Rob would make up for my lack of top end WR's .....ooops). Big miss co.pounded by A-Rob crashing as well
Mister CIA
Footballguy
When wondering who the true buy-lows are, this guy is on my radar. Dionte vs mid-2nd rounder. Thoughts?
On one end of the spectrum I overestimated Allen Robinson. I realize Stafford struggled,got injured and The Rams O-line was a mess,but Kupp still put up quality numbers before being injured.
On the other end of the spectrum I underestimated Daniel Jones. He finally got good coaching around him and is figuring things out. If he gets a legit number #1 receiver and The Giants continue to improve their O-line,assuming he stays with them,he's a fantasy diamond going forward.
On the other end of the spectrum I underestimated Daniel Jones. He finally got good coaching around him and is figuring things out. If he gets a legit number #1 receiver and The Giants continue to improve their O-line,assuming he stays with them,he's a fantasy diamond going forward.
Down Under
Footballguy
The Gut Check No. 571: From the Gut
Matt Waldman has studied the film and the data, but it's time for a real gut check.www.footballguys.com
Read too much Waldman stuff this year. Amazing I made the playoffs with Thomas, Dobbins, and Carr. Was extremely fortunately to drop from the early 2nd to late 2nd and get Chubb to pair with Diggs. That covered a a lot of mistakes.
Ouch, that is painful to read from Waldman.
Mister CIA
Footballguy
Calling it now. Swift will break out in season three, same as DeAngelo Williams.
jabarony
Footballguy
Eventually you'll be right!
zamboni
Footballguy
Season 4, but I can totally see it as his ADP plummets.
FairWarning
Footballguy
True, but I treat the first few rounds as safe picks. I think it’s easier to lose on high risk top picks than win with them.
joey
Footballguy
I’m interested in hearing opinions on this as well. Perhaps ask it in the Dynasty Value thread?
