Shrug.Fair enough. I don't remember seeing many strong safeties covering WR, even those WR3 in the slot, and getting the bulk of their tackles that way. My guess would be that the strong safeties that you upgraded because of their usefulness in the passing game and ended up as hits performed well because of high tackle numbers in run defense and many of the safeties who ended up as misses from the sit side did so for the same reason.I'll definitely take it into consideration, but unless it's a guy like Archuleta or Roy Williams, they don't do a ton against running games.
As for upgrades against passing teams, when teams pass more, they are obviously going to get more chances at picks, which are big points, but also they'll have the ocassional sack, plus they'll still get theirs making stops in the pass game on short routes.
I agree with you to a point, but especially with free safeties, they get hurt when teams pound the ball.
So yes, I agree, there are the guys that do better when teams run, but there aren't a ton of guys like Archuleta (who still gets dinged up way too often for my tastes - nothing worse than an IDP listed as questionable) or Roy Williams who do that.
That being said, I'm sitting at .500 at DBs, so maybe I could have some room to improve .
The Jag report you referenced is incorrect. Hayward has been the RDE all season.Week 1 (Hayward at RE):Hayward is left defensive end.
"Spicer's assignment this Sunday against the Baltimore Ravens will be typically daunting. He will face left tackle Jonathan Ogden, who some say is destined for the Pro Football Hall of Fame."
Taylor is against a rookie, but they still have done pretty well, I'm sure Taylor will get similar treatment to Freeney, which will hurt him.
And Corey Ivy should be starting alongside Travis Fisher. If I'm mistaken, and Groce is starting, well, I'm wrong. I readily admit it, and give myself a thumbs down for the oops.
Checking up on our experiment. I saw your column this week and appreciate your willingness to consider other ideas. I'm not sure how you determine hits and misses, but here are the stats for the five I chose to contrast our different theories of safety values based on rush matchups.My startsIf you'd like, with respect to strong safeties and passing matchups, we'll do a little experiment this week.
Top rushing attacks include IND, SEA, SD, and BUF. I'd suggest to you that Adrian Wilson against Shaun Alexander and Kerry Rhodes against LT2 have better than average games this week and will be among the highest scoring safeties this week because they'll have tackled those backs many times. On the other hand, I'd venture to guess that SF will be passing relatively more than running this week against the Giants and that Gibril Wilson may have another subpar game. You mentioned Ifeanyi Ohalete and Kevin Kaesviharn and Mike Doss in your column. I'll argue that if the Ravens run 27 times against the Bengals, Kaesviharn will have a "start" quality game. I'll argue that if the Pats rush the ball less than 24 times, Doss will have a "sit" quality game.
Should be a good test for both of our ideas on who to start. We can meet back and debate why each player did/didn't perform to our expectations.