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Interesting Statistic (1 Viewer)

Jeff Pasquino

Footballguy
There are currently eight teams in each conference with winning records (5-4 or better).

In the AFC, the "Top 8" square off 8 times over the course of the next 7 weeks.

In the NFC, the "Top 8" match up 12 times for the rest of the season.

There are also 8 interconference games between each set.

To put it another way, the AFC Top 8 has 56 gamesleft (8x7), and less than half of those (24) are winning team matchups (double-counting here, I understand). The NFC has 32 of 56.

The point? Well, it would seem to lean towards the NFC beating each other up, and the AFC having better records. Therefore, I would expect that 11 wins might be the requisite number in the AFC to get to the postseason, but a wildcard team in the NFC could sneak in at 9-7.

 
I kind of agree - but I think the 6th spot in the AFC may only need 10 wins. The AFC #6 spot right now is a battle between the Jets (assuming they don't quite catch the Pats), Jags, Chiefs, and others who could get on a run and get to 10 wins. I really don't see any of those teams getting to 11 wins - they are all too inconsistent to win 6 out of 7.

 

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