4. Bengals(6-10): Palmer is hurt. They suck without him.

Their D sucks. He won't be full strength and it will be a most disappointing year in Cincy. Cee.
3. Cleveland(8-8): I think they make a ton of strides under Crunell. This team is going places. Only the development of Fryman will keep them at bay this year. But I'm a lovin' that D. This team plays hard and with arrows in their socks. Watch out in 2010!
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1. Chiefs(11-5): What is not to like here? Huh? Dominant running game, solid passing game, improving offense. This team can play with the big boys, and they are a big boy, and they can play with the other big boys, and they are a big boy. Whoooo!
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4. Bills(3-13): Horrible draft. I don't like much about this team. Blah.
3. New Yorke(6-10): Love their draft, but just too much uncertainty here. QB situation especially. RB too. Their D can be top 10 and maybe even better. I love how they helped the o-line first. This team really isn't far from being a contender for true. Lets go pink.
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2. Seattle(9-7): Super bowl losers generally don't make the playoffs the next year. This team will be resiliant, but 9 wins is what I will to give themselves. Losing Hutch...whoa.
1. Arizona(10-6): Warner stays healthy. This team shocks the world. Results baby. Results. Yeah yeah yeah. Don't you miss out. They've already sold out season tickets according to the hot stove.
I like your analysis overall but these are the picks that really stuck out to me as questionable.- I agree with you that Palmer is going to miss time but that offense still has a LOT of weapons and a good OL, CLE made some progress this offseason but they'll still need to make a lot more.
- So it's the same atrocious KC defense with a possibly more vanilla offense under the new coaching scheme? Even if they were returning the same coaches that made that offense so spectacular most of that offense is ancient. Sounds like a recipe for disaster to me. I think next year we'll be talking about how they should have started rebuilding this year.
- BUF wasn't as bad as they played last year. NYJ, despite better QB play, may actually be worse this year than they played last year after they lost most of their OL. I like their draft but we're still talking about rookies.
- The ARZ love is getting a little ahead of itself everywhere. They still can't stop anyone and have one of the worst OL's in the NFL. Add a concusion/TO-prone immobile old QB and a rookie QB behind that line and I just don't see them winning a division this year regardless who they have playing the skill positions. ARZ may have made a few strides to get closer to SEA but they have several more strides to go.
All fair points. No matter what I go on to say, let me first let you know that I think you're a man after a bread sammich and that is to be respected. Laof! I respect that. and you should do to. Heres my thinking:-Cincy and Baltimore have improved. Pit is Pit. Cincy lost their franchise QB and they have a bad taste in their gullets after the way last season ended. The offense is very very good, but without Palmer, I see them being only slightly above average. Their D on the other hand was #22 last year. I don't see how a slightly above average offense can make up for that, especially in an improved division.
BTW, here is their non conference schedule for next year: KC, NE, TB, Car, Atl, SD, NO, Oak, Indy, Den. Thats not easy, girlfriend.
-KC's defense was #16 last year imo, and I see them iimproving this year imo. They drafted defensive players with their first 2 and 3 out their first 4 picks imo. Thats not bad imo. Their offense will not slow down at all imo.
-Rookie o-linemen don't take that long to develop. Those 2 should be able to plug and play the #####. This team was in the playoffs IIRC 2 years ago. Pennington, when healthy, is good NFL QB. Buffalo is just blah. I can't even talk about them they are so blah. Whenever I start to talk about them I just say blah. BLAH!
-Arizona plays in a horrible division. Edge is a great pass blocker. And they have the sun on their side. The last team to have that won the super bowl 3 straight years. You do the math, son.