Here is the team I ended up drafting in that league, using my method. Not asking people to rate it, cause this would be the wrong forum for that. All I am doing is showing you what my method got me in that 'sample league'.
I will post all the rosters later. Maybe even the entire pre-draft notes from the league so you can see the whole process if you are interested. And the draft itself. Would anyone like to see all that?
Hasselbeck, Matt SEA 5 rnd 4
Plummer, Jake DEN 4 rnd 10
Cutler, Jay DEN 4 rnd 18
Jones, Kevin DET 8 rnd 1
Parker, Willie PIT 4 keeper round 17
Dunn, Warrick ATL 5 rnd 3
Barlow, Kevan NYJ 9 round 11
Duckett, T.J. WAS 8 rnd 12
Calhoun, Brian DET 8 rnd 14
Blaylock, Derrick NYJ 9 rnd 20
Harrison, Marvin IND 6 rnd 2
Boldin, Anquan ARI 9 keeper round 6
Kennison, Eddie KCC 3 round 7
Clayton, Michael TBB 4 round 9
Johnson, Keyshawn CAR 9 round 13
Edwards, Braylon CLE 6 round 16
Gates, Antonio SDC 3 keeper round 5
Franks, Bubba GBP 6 round 19
Rackers, Neil ARI 9 round 15
Bears, Chicago CHI 7 round 8
We start 1 QB 2 RB 3 Wr 1 TE 1 Flex 1 K 1 DST
Here is the whole league, analyzed per Step Four of the Ten-Step process (keep in mind this is all as of late June, so news since then is not reflected):Hustler 1.01, 2.10…
QB Kerry Collins-FA (2)
QB Rex Grossman-CHI (10)
QB Jake Plummer-DEN (3) overpriced
QB Alex Smith-SF (19)
RB JJ Arrington-ARZ (4)
RB Tatum Bell-DEN (7) decent value
RB Domanick Davis-HOU (1)
RB Warrick Dunn-ATL (8) aging, but productive
RB Ryan Moats-PHI (10)
RB Marcel Shipp-ARZ (18)
RB Antowain Smith-HOU (10)
WR Arnaz Battle-SF (19)
WR Laveranues Coles-NYJ (5) overpriced
WR Matt Jones-JAC (10) about right, could be a bargain if he beats Wilford out
WR Greg Lewis-PHI (15)
WR Rod Smith-DEN (10)
WR Steve Smith-CAR (6) MUST KEEP
TE Todd Heap-BAL (11) good value, hard to protect this spot
PK Shayne Graham-CIN (17)
DEF Denver (10)
Hustler’s Comments: “Hustlers preliminary keepers: Steve Smith; Dom. Davis; Warrick Dunn”
Analysis: Steve Smith is a must-keep at (6) and Dunn (8) is also a decent value. Domanick Davis at (1) is not overpriced, but why keep him for your first pick when you can keep someone else and take him with your first pick? Davis is not a keeper unless the 1st pick is traded away or another 1st round is acquired, even then he is overpriced. Other values on the team include Bell (7), and possibly Matt Jones (10). There is little else that is not either at or below value, except Arnaz Battle who is a bargain at (19) but hardly exciting.
PROJECTIONS: STEVE SMITH (6.10), TATUM BELL (7.01), WARRICK DUNN (8.10)
Hitmen 1.02, 2.09…
QB Mark Brunell-WAS (10)
QB Trent Green-KC (2)
QB Donovan McNabb-PHI (1)
RB Michael Bennett-MIN (10)
RB Corey Dillon-NE (3) A bit high maybe, but good possibility
RB Frank Gore-SF (10) Boom/Bust value
RB Greg Jones-JAC (10)
RB Thomas Jones-CHI (8) MUST PICK #1
RB Duce Staley-PIT (10)
WR Michael Clayton-TB (5) Last year’s price with no guarantees
WR Keary Colbert-CAR (10)
WR Doug Gabriel-OAK (10)
WR Brandon Lloyd-WAS (10)
WR Derrick Mason-BAL (7) Interesting if McNair goes to BAL
WR Antwaan Randle El-WAS (19)
WR Ernest Wilford-JAC (10) not a must, but great value/potential
TE Jeremy Shockey-NYG (9) Great Value
PK Jeff Reed-PIT (10)
DEF Arizona (18)
DEF San Francisco (20)
Hitmen’s Comments: “I'm not sure there's anybody on my team to keep....
I'm trying to rebuild this team, and I'm taking a little longer range plan than I'd like.”
Analysis: Thomas Jones at (8) is a clear value and likely his surest keeper. Jeremy Shockey (9) is his next surest value. Remaining solid players are all at or overpriced. Wilford (10) and Clayton (5) have good shots at equaling or beating their prices, but can be had for much less (i.e.: sleepers, why keep?). Gore (10) is likely the third best pick; he won’t fall ten rounds and has boom potential. All remaining players carry high speculative prices (Lloyd, Randle-El, Colbert, Jones, Bennett are too wild for wildcards). The QBs are all way overpriced, as is Dillon (3).
PROJECTION: THOMAS JONES (8.09), JEREMEY SHOCKEY (9.02), FRANK GORE (10.09)
Momojuju 1.03, 2.08…
QB Jake Delhomme-CAR (4)
QB Byron Leftwhich-JAC (10)
QB Billy Volek-TEN (10)
QB Kurt Warner-ARZ (8) Good price, but cast here outshines him
RB Cedric Benson-CHI (13) Good value, questionable production this year
RB Ahman Green-GB (10)
RB Priest Holmes-KC (10)
RB Edgerrin James-AZ (1) Not a value at 1.03, but wont drop
RB Kevin Jones-DET (2) may be at price, questions abound
RB Chester Taylor-MIN (10) Great Value
RB Carnell Williams-TB (6) Must Keep
WR Drew Bennett-TEN (10)
WR Donald Driver-GB (7) right price
WR Braylon Edwards-CLE (10)
WR Terry Glenn-DAL (10)
WR Darrell Jackson-SEA (5) Nice value
WR Andre Johnson-HOU (3) priced a bit high
TE Alge Crumpler-ATL (10)
PK John Kasay-CAR (10)
DEF Carolina (10)
Momojuju’s Comments: “I'm still looking over the cast of thousands.... But I’m leaning towards keeping E James (1); C Williams (6); C Taylor (10); This will get my rbs in good shape for the season.”
Analysis: Blessed with numerous values, including Darrell Jackson (5), Carnell Williams (6), Donald Driver (7), Chester Taylor (10) and Cedric Benson (13). Top 3 picks James (1), Jones (2) and Johnson (3) could all be had for the same pick (or less for the latter two). While almost all the remaining players are ok values, they are also all unexciting and overly speculative. Unfortunately, with the keepers everyone else hangs onto, James would probably not fall to Momojuju in round 1, so he probably should be protected, even though it is not a value play.
PROJECTIONS: EDGERRIN JAMES (1.03), CARNELL WILLIAMS (6.08), CHESTER TAYLOR (10.08)
Damn Yankees 1.04, 2.07…
QB Marc Bulger-STL (2)
QB Trent Dilfer-SF (19)
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick-STL (10)
QB Eli Manning-NYG (9) Great value
QB Jamie Martin-NO (10)
RB Mike Alstott-TB (10)
RB Kevan Barlow-SF (8)
RB Cedric Houston-NYJ (10)
RB Rudi Johnson-CIN (3) MUST KEEP
RB Curtis Martin-NYJ (5)
WR Deion Branch-NE (7) Good Value
WR Tory Holt-STL (1) Slightly overpriced, and might fall to 1.04
WR TJ Houshmanzadeh-CIN (10) Good value, but better here
WR Eddie Kennison-KC (11)
WR Keenan McCardell-SD (14)
WR Donte Stallworth-NO (12) Good value but better here
TE Tony Gonzalez-KC (4) ok price, but better value elsewhere here
PK Lawrence Tynes-KC (10)
DEF Tampa (16)
DEF New York Giants (10)
Damn Yankees comments: None, so far. Has not logged into the new league board.
Analysis: Rudi Johnson is a must keep at (3), and Eli Manning is a great value at (9). The only other real value picks on this team include TJ Houshmanzadeh (10) and Donte Stallworth (12). Deion Branch is a good value at (7). DY’s best players are at price or overpriced by at least a round each (Holt 1, Gonzales 4, Martin 5). He has a tough choice, but I would gamble that the RB premium will allow Holt to fall to me at 1.04 and try to capture the value in Branch and Manning. Even if it fails, there will be other excellent WRs available for him later.
PROJECTIONS: RUDI JOHNSON (3.04), DEION BRANCH (7.04), ELI MANNING (9.04)
Bigger Ego Than TO 1.05, 2.06…
QB Brett Favre-GB (2)
QB Matt Hasselbeck-SEA (5) One of few QBs w/ enough value to keep
QB Kyle Orton-CHI (10)
RB Shaun Alexander-SEA (1) MUST KEEP #1
RB Mike Anderson-BAL (8)
RB Jerome Bettis-PIT (10) RETIRED
RB Jamal Lewis-BAL (4) lots of questions
WR Isaac Bruce-STL (7) aging, about the right price
WR Terrell Owens-DAL (3) MUST KEEP #2
WR Jerry Porter-OAK (10)
WR Koren Robinson-MIN (10) good values but risky
WR Brandon Stokely-IND (9)
WR Roy Williams-DET (6) OK value and Martz is working him hard
TE Randy McMichael-MIA (12)
TE Jermaine Wiggins-MIN (14)
PK David Akers-PHI (16)
PK Adam Vinatieri-IND (15)
DEF Dallas (18)
DEF Seattle (10)
DEF Tennessee (10)
Bigger Ego than TO’s Comments: None, has yet to log onto the board.
Analysis: Shaun Alexander (1) is one of the few other first round must keeps as he would never fall to fifth and makes an excellent anchor. Terrell Owens (3) is another must keep, since he would not fall that far and even with the risk is worth a 3. The last keeper should be chosen from values Matt Hasselbeck (5) and Roy Williams (6), though Porter and Robinson at 10 each aren’t bad risks for the price. Favre at (2) is too high priced. Lewis at (4) is likely and Bruce (7) are very risky. There are no other good candidates unless something breaks in camps. Between Hasselbeck and Roy, Williams is the better value.
PROJECTION: SHAUN ALEXANDER (1.05), TERRELL OWENS (3.05), ROY WILLIAMS (6.06)
Druid Pack 1.06, 2.05…
QB Daunte Culpepper-MIA (1)
QB Drew Brees-NO (7)
QB Joey Harrington-MIA (8)
QB Brad Johnson-MIN (10)
RB Travis Henry-Ten (12)
RB Willis McGahee-BUF (2) tough call, bust potential but will he fall to 1.06?
RB Mwelde Moore-MIN (10)
RB Clinton Portis-WAS (3) MUST KEEP #2
RB Fred Taylor-JAC (9) the usual suspect
WR Antonio Bryant-SF (11)
WR Nate Burleson-SEA (5) too expensive, even in new home
WR Larry Fitzgerald-ARZ (6) MUST KEEP #1
WR Joey Galloway-TB (10) GOOD VALUE
WR Justin McCareins-NYJ (10)
WR Santana Moss-WAS (13) Great value
WR Reggie Wayne-IND (4) OK value, great utility
TE Chris Cooley-WAS (15) Great value
TE Jeremy Stevens-SEA (16)
PK Jason Elam-DEN (10)
DEF Chicago (17)
Druid’s Comments: “…the Druid Pack is looking at hanging on to: 1) Clinton Portis- should be a steal in the 3rd; 2) Larry Fitzgerald-decent value in the 6th; 3) Either Santana Moss as a 13th rounder or Reggie Wayne as a 4th rounder.”
Analysis: Larry Fitzgerald (6) and Clinton Portis (3) are both must-keeps with obvious value. Santana Moss (13) is a clear cut awesome value, but on the same team as Portis. Joey Galloway (10) is another strong value. Highly useful but non-value priced players to choose from are McGahee (2) and Wayne (4). Players who may represent values but are speculative or risky include Taylor (9), and Cooley (15). All other things being roughly equal, apply the NFL principle of best available player…take Wayne (4), not overpriced, a slight value of about one round, diversifies away from the Washington duo.
PROJECTED KEEPERS: CLINTON PORTIS (3.06), REGGIE WAYNE (4.05), LARRY FITZGERALD (6.06),
Stuck in Traffic 1.07, 2.04…
QB Steve McNair-TEN (BAL?) (6)
QB Carson Palmer-CIN (4) iffy?
RB Tiki Barber-NYG (3) MUST KEEP #2
RB Ronnie Brown-MIA (8) MUST KEEP #1
RB Rueben Droughns-CLE (11) GOOD VALUE, BUT BETTER BETS
RB Deuce McCallister-NO (1) SHOULD BE ABLE TO GET FOR LESS
RB Patrick Pass-NE (10)
WR Reggie Brown-PHI (10)
WR Jabar Gaffney-PHI (10)
WR David Givens-TEN (17)
WR Joe Horn-NO (5) ABOUT THE RIGHT PRICE BUT IFFY
WR Chad Johnson-CIN (2) MAY BE ABLE TO GET ANYWAY
WR Ashley Lelie-DEN (7)
WR Eric Parker-SD (10)
TE Dallas Clark-IND (10)
TE Erron Kinney-TEN (10)
PK Rian Lindell-BUF (10)
PK Mike Vanderjagt-DAL (10)
DEF Indianapolis (10)
DEF Jacksonville-JAC (10)
Stuck in Traffic’s comments: No comments available.
Analysis: Barber and Brown are both simply had too cheaply not to keep. The remaining contenders are Chad Johnson (had for about what he can be drafted for), Carson Palmer (way too expensive), Deuce McCallister (too expensive this year and risky), and Joe Horn (just a shade expensive, probably can be had for a fifth in the draft). The QBs, great K and DEF are all just too easily replaced in the draft. Other things being roughly equal, take the best skill player: Johnson.
PROJECTED KEEPERS: CHAD JOHNSON (2.04), TIKI BARBER (3.07), RONNIE BROWN (8.04)
Snickersnack – 1.08, 2.03…
QB Aaron Brooks-OAK (4)
QB Gus Frerotte-STL (10)
QB David Garrard-JAC (10)
QB Peyton Manning-IND (1) Obvious talent. Price a bit high?
RB Marion Barber-DAL (10) only if camp goes his way
RB Chris Brown-TEN (10)
RB Tony Fischer-STL (10)
RB Samkon Gado-GB (10) looks to start season strong, lots of questions
RB Julius Jones-DAL (3) Strong contender for #3, many questions
RB Willie Parker-PIT (17) Best value of remaining RBs (17.08)
WR Anquan Boldin-ARZ (6) MUST KEEP #1 (6.03)
WR Keyshawn Johnson-CAR (10) when do you keep a #2 WR? Not here.
WR Eric Moulds-HOU (13) could be the change he needs,
WR Muhsin Muhammad-CHI (14)
WR Jimmy Smith-JAC (8) RETIRED
WR Javon Walker-DEN (10) WILDCARD depending on injury rehab, depth chart
TE Antonio Gates-SD (5) MUST KEEP #2 (5.08)
TE Zack Hilton-NO (10)
PK Josh Brown-SEA (10)
DEF Cincinnati
Snickersnack’s Comments: “I am leaning toward Gates, Boldin and, believe it or not, Willie Parker. I hate to toss Manning and Julius Jones back, and nothing is definite there, but it is what I am thinking for now. It gives me 4 picks in a row before I have to skip two rounds. It also means (barring some big shift in the ratio of value to players) that they should have decent keeper values in the future, especially Parker.”
Analysis: Gates (5) and Boldin (6) are clearly worth much more than their costs and rank as must keeps. Manning and Jones may actually fall to those slots, so are not values. Willie Parker (17) is the best value remaining and with a TE & WR in the mix, a RB has to be taken over the rest.
PROJECTION: ANTONIO GATES (5.08), ANQUAN BOLDIN (6.03), AND WILLIE PARKER (17.08).
Party Chiefs – 1.09, 2.02…
QB Tom Brady-NE (5) Strong enough value AND talent to merit a keep here
QB Kyle Boller-BAL (10)
QB David Carr-HOU (6)
QB Josh McCown-DET (10)
RB Deshaun Foster-CAR (8)
RB Lamont Jordan-OAK (3) MUST KEEP #2 (3.09)
RB Ladainian Tomlinson-SD (1) MUST KEEP #1 (1.09)
RB Michael Turner-SD (14)
RB Ricky Williams-MIA (12) SUSPENDED
RB Jonathan Wells-HOU (10)
WR Bobby Engram-SEA (15)
WR Lee Evans-BUF (9) Good Value at a 9th rounder
WR Marvin Harrison-IND (2) Some value, but how far will he drop?
WR Joe Jurevicious-CLE (10)
WR Amani Toomer-NYG (13)
WR Hines Ward-PIT (4) Good value, but is he worth a keep over the others?
TE LJ Smith-PHI (10)
PK Mike Nugent-NYJ (10)
PK Neil Rackers-ARZ (10) Best kicker, but kickers are never keepers.
DEF New England (10)
Chief’s Comments: “I have really only decided on two keepers for now. 1.) LT; 2.) The other LJ; I think I would be crazy to not keep LT and Jordan will be a first rounder this year at a 3rd round cost. How do I not do that? After that... I am just not decided yet. I have some thoughts, but no decisions just yet.”
Analysis: Tomlinson can not be risked without control of the first pick, therefore one of the few must-keepers that cost a 1st round pick. would not fall to the 3rd, so he is excellent value and another must keep. Remaining big names are Harrison (2) and Ward (4), neither of whom is exactly a value pick, but not overpriced either. Best remaining values include Lee Evans (9), who is very under-priced and should improve with time, and Tom Brady (5), who is under-priced enough to justify using a slot on the deep QB position. Values with speculative elements include Foster (8) & Jurevicious (10). Taking Brady gives 3 very consistent top players and leaves the first three even rounded high picks (even.02) to get receivers.
PROJECTION: LADAINIAN TOMLINSON (1.09), LAMONT JORDAN (3.09), AND TOM BRADY (5.09)
Comeback Kids 1.10, 2.01…
QB Drew Bledsoe-DAL (12) Great value, but hard to protect this position over others
QB JP Losman-BUF (10)
QB Ben Roethlisberger-PIT (7)
QB Mike Vick-ATL (5)
RB Dee Brown-KC (10)
RB Zack Crockett-OAK (10)
RB TJ Duckett-ATL (16)
RB Marshall Faulk-STL (10)
RB Steven Jackson-STL (4) MUST KEEP #2
RB Larry Johnson-KC (8) MUST KEEP #1
RB Brian Westbrook-PHI (10) boom potential in PPR, but better choices here
WR Plaxico Burress-NYG (9) same
WR Chris Chambers-MIA (11) Fantastic Value
WR Kevin Curtis-STL (10)
WR Randy Moss-OAK (2) Worth it
TE Heath Miller-PIT (15)
TE Jason Witten-DAL (6)
PK Jay Feely-NYG (10)
DEF Atlanta (14)
DEF Detroit (10)
Comeback Kids Comments: none yet.
Analysis: Larry Johnson is a runaway must-keep at (8). How’d we let him get away with that? Randy Moss (2), Steven Jackson (4), and Chris Chambers (11) all represent great value. CK is blessed to be able to take the best and leave the rest. While Westbrook (10), Burress (9) and Bledsoe (12) are all good values too, there is no need to dip for them. He might be able to leave Moss and get better with the 2, and keep a different WR, but the value gained with LJ and SJ allow him the luxury of playing it safe.
PROJECTION: RANDY MOSS (2.01), STEVEN JACKSON (4.01), LARRY JOHNSON (8.01)
