LHUCKS
Footballguy
Note: ADPs obtained from the leading fantasy league website.
1. Brandon Marshall ADP #37 - Marshall has already proven he is not a system WR with the strong numbers he put up in Miami. Since his Sopohomore year Marshall has never put up a season below 1000 yards and has only one season under 1100 yards. Add in the fact that the current version of Cutler will be the best QB Marshall has played with...1400/10 is not out of the realm of possibility. Huge value here, with very little risk IMO.
2. Hakeem Nicks ADP #40 - 1192/7 last year. Obviously a great yardage total, but after 11 TDs in just 13 games in 2010, the low 2011 TD total was IMO an aberration. You should see Nicks bounce back in the TD colum with another 70+ reception year with another healthy YPC average. He is in the prime of his career and so is his QB. Take Nicks who has top 5 WR upside with a relatively high floor.
3. Willis McGahee - ADP #58 - 1200 rushing yards and a healthy 4.8YPC in 2011. In 2012 he gets what will likely be a much improved offense with little competition for carries. 1400 total yards and 12 TDs are well within reach IMO. Not huge upside, but at the thin RB position you can do a lot worse in the middle rounds.
4. Miles Austin - ADP#59 - Coming off a down year and dealing with a preseason injury, Austin's ADP has presented a rare opportunity to grab top 5 WR upside in the 5th round. If you want PPG production Austin is a great value play. He might not play all 16, but you're drafting him for PPG value. Further, the other primary targets (Witten and Bryant) haven't exactly had stellar preseasons. Austin may be the only reliable target Romo has to begin the season with which could mean huge numbers that we know Miles is capable of putting up. One of my favorite values of the year...at any position.
5. Donald Brown - ADP#72 - 4.8 YPC over 134 carries in 2011 with an absolutely terrible supporting cast. I like what I've seen from Luck and the Colts offense and Brown is in line to be a significant beneficary of a vastly improved offense, particularly with a lack of competition during the preseason. Brown is playing for his next contract and has the personal incentive to put it all on the line. HE is not a slam dunk, but if you're looking for a guy to come out of nowhere in the middle rounds at the crucial RB position, this might be your guy. Tremendous risk/reward play here.
1. Brandon Marshall ADP #37 - Marshall has already proven he is not a system WR with the strong numbers he put up in Miami. Since his Sopohomore year Marshall has never put up a season below 1000 yards and has only one season under 1100 yards. Add in the fact that the current version of Cutler will be the best QB Marshall has played with...1400/10 is not out of the realm of possibility. Huge value here, with very little risk IMO.
2. Hakeem Nicks ADP #40 - 1192/7 last year. Obviously a great yardage total, but after 11 TDs in just 13 games in 2010, the low 2011 TD total was IMO an aberration. You should see Nicks bounce back in the TD colum with another 70+ reception year with another healthy YPC average. He is in the prime of his career and so is his QB. Take Nicks who has top 5 WR upside with a relatively high floor.
3. Willis McGahee - ADP #58 - 1200 rushing yards and a healthy 4.8YPC in 2011. In 2012 he gets what will likely be a much improved offense with little competition for carries. 1400 total yards and 12 TDs are well within reach IMO. Not huge upside, but at the thin RB position you can do a lot worse in the middle rounds.
4. Miles Austin - ADP#59 - Coming off a down year and dealing with a preseason injury, Austin's ADP has presented a rare opportunity to grab top 5 WR upside in the 5th round. If you want PPG production Austin is a great value play. He might not play all 16, but you're drafting him for PPG value. Further, the other primary targets (Witten and Bryant) haven't exactly had stellar preseasons. Austin may be the only reliable target Romo has to begin the season with which could mean huge numbers that we know Miles is capable of putting up. One of my favorite values of the year...at any position.
5. Donald Brown - ADP#72 - 4.8 YPC over 134 carries in 2011 with an absolutely terrible supporting cast. I like what I've seen from Luck and the Colts offense and Brown is in line to be a significant beneficary of a vastly improved offense, particularly with a lack of competition during the preseason. Brown is playing for his next contract and has the personal incentive to put it all on the line. HE is not a slam dunk, but if you're looking for a guy to come out of nowhere in the middle rounds at the crucial RB position, this might be your guy. Tremendous risk/reward play here.
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