Predict the Top 20 RBs for 2009
I wrote an article last year called Predicting the Top 20 fantasy RBs for 2008. I'll provide my results and accuracy below, but here's what I'm looking for out of you, if you're interested...
State your Top 20 RBs for 2009. I will compile a spreadsheet of everyone's choices and take the 20 RBs who were selected most. It will be interesting to see in January how your results will not only compare to the end of season rankings, but also my predictions for 2009. I will compile the data at the end of the last preseason game and post my article shortly thereafter.
If interested, please copy and paste the below Top 20 list (including tie-breaker), insert your predictions and copy your list into a new post in this thread. Your list of RBs does not have to be in any particular order. Results are based on non PPR guidelines and use FBG standard scoring method of 1 pt per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 6 pts per TD (rush/rec/passing)
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Tie Breaker - Predict the total rushing yards from the league's rushing leader in 2009:
To help you, here's a list of the Top 67 RBs in the current July 14th ADP list.
Adrian Peterson, RB 1
Maurice Jones-Drew, RB 2
Michael Turner, RB 3
Matt Forte, RB 4
Steven Jackson, RB 5
DeAngelo Williams, RB 6
LaDainian Tomlinson, RB 7
Chris Johnson, RB 8
Frank Gore, RB 9
Steve Slaton, RB 10
Brian Westbrook, RB 11
Brandon Jacobs, RB 12
Clinton Portis, RB 13
Marion Barber, RB 14
Ronnie Brown, RB 15
Kevin Smith, RB 16
Ryan Grant, RB 17
Pierre Thomas, RB 18
Marshawn Lynch, RB 19
Reggie Bush, RB 20
Darren McFadden, RB 21
Thomas Jones, RB 22
Knowshon Moreno, RB 23
Joseph Addai, RB 24
Larry Johnson, RB 25
Jonathan Stewart, RB 26
Derrick Ward, RB 27
Willie Parker, RB 28
Chris Wells, RB 29
LenDale White, RB 30
Cedric Benson, RB 31
Felix Jones, RB 32
Donald Brown, RB 33
Jamal Lewis, RB 34
Darren Sproles, RB 35
Ray Rice, RB 36
Willis McGahee, RB 37
Julius Jones, RB 38
Rashard Mendenhall, RB 39
Earnest Graham, RB 40
Tim Hightower, RB 41
LeSean McCoy, RB 42
Fred Jackson, RB 43
LeRon McClain, RB 44
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB 45
Chester Taylor, RB 46
Leon Washington, RB 47
Fred Taylor, RB 48
Jerious Norwood, RB 49
Laurence Maroney, RB 50
Ricky Williams, RB 51
Shonn Greene, RB 52
Jamaal Charles, RB 53
Michael Bush, RB 54
Sammy Morris, RB 55
Correll Buckhalter, RB 56
Justin Fargas, RB 57
Jerome Harrison, RB 58
Tashard Choice, RB 59
T.J. Duckett, RB 60
Kevin Faulk, RB 61
Edgerrin James, RB 62
Ladell Betts, RB 63
Dominic Rhodes, RB 64
Glen Coffee, RB 65
James Davis, RB 66
Mewelde Moore, RB 67
Here is David Dodds list of projected RB stats for 2009
Results from 2008
Footballguys picks for 2008 Top 20 RBs projected top 20 finish (finishing rank in parenthesis)
1, LaDainian Tomlinson (7)
2, Adrian Peterson (3)
3, Brian Westbrook (10)
4, Steven Jackson (13)
5, Joseph Addai (39)
6, Marion Barber (16)
7, Clinton Portis (8)
8, Frank Gore (14)
9, Marshawn Lynch (15)
10, Larry Johnson (29)
11, Maurice Jones-Drew (9)
12, Brandon Jacobs (12)
13, Jamal Lewis (25)
14, Ryan Grant (22)
15, Michael Turner (2)
16, Reggie Bush (36)
17, Willie Parker (40)
18, Willis McGahee (32)
19, Edgerrin James (52)
20, Earnest Graham (44)
Correct: 11
Incorrect: 9
The nine RBs who finished in the Top 20 not on their list
1 DeAngelo Williams
4 Matt Forte
5 Thomas Jones
6 Steve Slaton
11 Chris Johnson
17 Ronnie Brown
18 Kevin Smith
19 LenDale White
20 Le'Ron McClain
My picks for 2008 Top 20 RBs (finishing rank in parenthesis)
LaDainian Tomlinson (7)
Clinton Portis (8)
Larry Johnson (29)
Marshawn Lynch (15)
Jamal Lewis (25)
Adrian Peterson (3)
Joseph Addai (39)
Steven Jackson (13)
Edgerrin James (52)
Michael Turner (2)
Frank Gore (14)
Willis McGahee (32)
LenDale White (19)
Brian Westbrook (10)
Ryan Grant (22)
Marion Barber III (16)
Earnest Graham (44)
Darren McFadden (45)
Maurice Jones-Drew (9)
Kevin Smith (18)
Correct: 12
Incorrect: 8
The eight RBs who finished in the Top 20 not on my list
1 DeAngelo Williams
4 Matt Forte
5 Thomas Jones
6 Steve Slaton
11 Chris Johnson
12 Brandon Jacobs
17 Ronnie Brown
20 Le'Ron McClain
Not too bad. At least I predicted over 50% (60% to be exact) and I bested the Footballguys projections just slightly. Maybe we can provide a 2010 subscription or an entry to the 2010 Staff vs. Message Board Survivor League to the member who predicts the most RBs in the 2009 RB Top 20. Be sure to include your tie-breaker
Don't be afraid to go out on a limb with some of your predictions. Who will be this year's Steve Slaton or Le'Ron McClain? History suggests at least two will be a surprise. Who will it be?
I wrote an article last year called Predicting the Top 20 fantasy RBs for 2008. I'll provide my results and accuracy below, but here's what I'm looking for out of you, if you're interested...
State your Top 20 RBs for 2009. I will compile a spreadsheet of everyone's choices and take the 20 RBs who were selected most. It will be interesting to see in January how your results will not only compare to the end of season rankings, but also my predictions for 2009. I will compile the data at the end of the last preseason game and post my article shortly thereafter.
If interested, please copy and paste the below Top 20 list (including tie-breaker), insert your predictions and copy your list into a new post in this thread. Your list of RBs does not have to be in any particular order. Results are based on non PPR guidelines and use FBG standard scoring method of 1 pt per 10 yards rushing/receiving, 6 pts per TD (rush/rec/passing)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
Tie Breaker - Predict the total rushing yards from the league's rushing leader in 2009:
To help you, here's a list of the Top 67 RBs in the current July 14th ADP list.
Adrian Peterson, RB 1
Maurice Jones-Drew, RB 2
Michael Turner, RB 3
Matt Forte, RB 4
Steven Jackson, RB 5
DeAngelo Williams, RB 6
LaDainian Tomlinson, RB 7
Chris Johnson, RB 8
Frank Gore, RB 9
Steve Slaton, RB 10
Brian Westbrook, RB 11
Brandon Jacobs, RB 12
Clinton Portis, RB 13
Marion Barber, RB 14
Ronnie Brown, RB 15
Kevin Smith, RB 16
Ryan Grant, RB 17
Pierre Thomas, RB 18
Marshawn Lynch, RB 19
Reggie Bush, RB 20
Darren McFadden, RB 21
Thomas Jones, RB 22
Knowshon Moreno, RB 23
Joseph Addai, RB 24
Larry Johnson, RB 25
Jonathan Stewart, RB 26
Derrick Ward, RB 27
Willie Parker, RB 28
Chris Wells, RB 29
LenDale White, RB 30
Cedric Benson, RB 31
Felix Jones, RB 32
Donald Brown, RB 33
Jamal Lewis, RB 34
Darren Sproles, RB 35
Ray Rice, RB 36
Willis McGahee, RB 37
Julius Jones, RB 38
Rashard Mendenhall, RB 39
Earnest Graham, RB 40
Tim Hightower, RB 41
LeSean McCoy, RB 42
Fred Jackson, RB 43
LeRon McClain, RB 44
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB 45
Chester Taylor, RB 46
Leon Washington, RB 47
Fred Taylor, RB 48
Jerious Norwood, RB 49
Laurence Maroney, RB 50
Ricky Williams, RB 51
Shonn Greene, RB 52
Jamaal Charles, RB 53
Michael Bush, RB 54
Sammy Morris, RB 55
Correll Buckhalter, RB 56
Justin Fargas, RB 57
Jerome Harrison, RB 58
Tashard Choice, RB 59
T.J. Duckett, RB 60
Kevin Faulk, RB 61
Edgerrin James, RB 62
Ladell Betts, RB 63
Dominic Rhodes, RB 64
Glen Coffee, RB 65
James Davis, RB 66
Mewelde Moore, RB 67
Here is David Dodds list of projected RB stats for 2009
Results from 2008
Footballguys picks for 2008 Top 20 RBs projected top 20 finish (finishing rank in parenthesis)
1, LaDainian Tomlinson (7)
2, Adrian Peterson (3)
3, Brian Westbrook (10)
4, Steven Jackson (13)
5, Joseph Addai (39)
6, Marion Barber (16)
7, Clinton Portis (8)
8, Frank Gore (14)
9, Marshawn Lynch (15)
10, Larry Johnson (29)
11, Maurice Jones-Drew (9)
12, Brandon Jacobs (12)
13, Jamal Lewis (25)
14, Ryan Grant (22)
15, Michael Turner (2)
16, Reggie Bush (36)
17, Willie Parker (40)
18, Willis McGahee (32)
19, Edgerrin James (52)
20, Earnest Graham (44)
Correct: 11
Incorrect: 9
The nine RBs who finished in the Top 20 not on their list
1 DeAngelo Williams
4 Matt Forte
5 Thomas Jones
6 Steve Slaton
11 Chris Johnson
17 Ronnie Brown
18 Kevin Smith
19 LenDale White
20 Le'Ron McClain
My picks for 2008 Top 20 RBs (finishing rank in parenthesis)
LaDainian Tomlinson (7)
Clinton Portis (8)
Larry Johnson (29)
Marshawn Lynch (15)
Jamal Lewis (25)
Adrian Peterson (3)
Joseph Addai (39)
Steven Jackson (13)
Edgerrin James (52)
Michael Turner (2)
Frank Gore (14)
Willis McGahee (32)
LenDale White (19)
Brian Westbrook (10)
Ryan Grant (22)
Marion Barber III (16)
Earnest Graham (44)
Darren McFadden (45)
Maurice Jones-Drew (9)
Kevin Smith (18)
Correct: 12
Incorrect: 8
The eight RBs who finished in the Top 20 not on my list
1 DeAngelo Williams
4 Matt Forte
5 Thomas Jones
6 Steve Slaton
11 Chris Johnson
12 Brandon Jacobs
17 Ronnie Brown
20 Le'Ron McClain
Not too bad. At least I predicted over 50% (60% to be exact) and I bested the Footballguys projections just slightly. Maybe we can provide a 2010 subscription or an entry to the 2010 Staff vs. Message Board Survivor League to the member who predicts the most RBs in the 2009 RB Top 20. Be sure to include your tie-breaker
Don't be afraid to go out on a limb with some of your predictions. Who will be this year's Steve Slaton or Le'Ron McClain? History suggests at least two will be a surprise. Who will it be?
Last edited by a moderator:
Let's try C. Johnson, yes and yes on the other 2. True talent wins out and I'll stand by my projections. 
