There isn't any question that he's been mostly successful whenever he's been in the there, but there also isn't much question that the bulk of his work has come in the 4th qtr (about the same as first 3 qtrs combined). It's one thing to rip off a couple longer runs when coming in for 1-3 carries in a quarter which is what he did in those first 3 qtrs. In the 4th qtr, it's a completely different game when he comes in fresh vs. a tired defense and mostly in blowouts.I know it seems like just finding excuses to put down his good #'s, but it's not. It's not saying that he won't be able to replicate those #'s if given a larger workload. It's only that I don't look at those #'s and see them as definitive proof that he'll be able to sustain them as a #1 RB.carries yards average 1st Quarter 20 158 7.9 2nd Quarter 40 210 5.3 3rd Quarter 51 239 4.7 4th Quarter 117 650 5.6 1st Half 60 368 6.1 2nd Half 168 889 5.3I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
I don't even think it should be a question of "sustaining" his numbers. Nobody rushes for over 5 ypc as a workhorse back save either elite backs in their best career years, or guys who are on absolutely dominating running teams. It won't happen. His situation in Atlanta should bother anyone who owns him because situation is everything. It's how Portis went from averaging 5+ ypc with the Broncos to 3.8 ypc his first year (2004) in Washington.There isn't any question that he's been mostly successful whenever he's been in the there, but there also isn't much question that the bulk of his work has come in the 4th qtr (about the same as first 3 qtrs combined). It's one thing to rip off a couple longer runs when coming in for 1-3 carries in a quarter which is what he did in those first 3 qtrs. In the 4th qtr, it's a completely different game when he comes in fresh vs. a tired defense and mostly in blowouts.I know it seems like just finding excuses to put down his good #'s, but it's not. It's not saying that he won't be able to replicate those #'s if given a larger workload. It's only that I don't look at those #'s and see them as definitive proof that he'll be able to sustain them as a #1 RB.carries yards average 1st Quarter 20 158 7.9 2nd Quarter 40 210 5.3 3rd Quarter 51 239 4.7 4th Quarter 117 650 5.6 1st Half 60 368 6.1 2nd Half 168 889 5.3I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
these are the kind of numbers we need in the bandwagon thread.I see 1600 - 1800 with 16 - 20 TD as obtainable if he plays all season.
The point is that his career YPC in the fourth quarter is the same as his career YPC overall. So the notion that his high YPC is due to just playing in clean-up time (when defenses put nine guys in the box because they know a run is coming, by the way) is false. If you take away all of his fourth quarter carries, he still averaged 5.5 YPC.There isn't any question that he's been mostly successful whenever he's been in the there, but there also isn't much question that the bulk of his work has come in the 4th qtr (about the same as first 3 qtrs combined). It's one thing to rip off a couple longer runs when coming in for 1-3 carries in a quarter which is what he did in those first 3 qtrs. In the 4th qtr, it's a completely different game when he comes in fresh vs. a tired defense and mostly in blowouts.I know it seems like just finding excuses to put down his good #'s, but it's not. It's not saying that he won't be able to replicate those #'s if given a larger workload. It's only that I don't look at those #'s and see them as definitive proof that he'll be able to sustain them as a #1 RB.carries yards average 1st Quarter 20 158 7.9 2nd Quarter 40 210 5.3 3rd Quarter 51 239 4.7 4th Quarter 117 650 5.6 1st Half 60 368 6.1 2nd Half 168 889 5.3I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
Not quite... I can understand the comparision since their bodies are similar; same when people say that hes no different from L White But Jordan or White or even Jamal Lewis don't have the speed I see from Turner. Everyone that is compared to Turner was a pounder or grinder... Turner has that 5th gear that Portis and LT have.Lamont Jordan, part deux.
im assuming u meant who would win in a sprint, and to answer your question i think Norwood wins, by a sizeable margin at that.Not quite... I can understand the comparision since their bodies are similar; same when people say that hes no different from L White But Jordan or White or even Jamal Lewis don't have the speed I see from Turner. Everyone that is compared to Turner was a pounder or grinder... Turner has that 5th gear that Portis and LT have.Lamont Jordan, part deux.
I wonder who would win in a spirit... Turner or Norwood.
i saw Turner as overhyped last yr... but now people seem to be down on him; I view him as a late 2nd steal.
If he gets over 300 carries Turner will absolutely average more than 3.7y/c and only 7 TD's. In another thread I pointed out that nobody has had as many carries as White and done less with them since Lamar Smith(MIA) in 2001.FF people may think Lendale White had a "solid" year because all they care about are gross stats but White was a below average RB last season that got a ton of carries.Turner's floor assuming he plays all 16 games would be comparable to Lendale White's number last year1100 rushing yards, 150 rec yards and 7 TDs.And no, i'm not comparing Turner's running style/abilities to Lendale, i'm just talking numbers.I am not on the M. Turner bandwagon, but even I will say go with Turner because I'm definately not on the Ronnie Brown bandwagon.For Turner bandwagon members, what in your mind would NOT be a successful season in terms of numbers and assuming the guy plays the full season.Of course if he gets injured along the way, that won't make anyone happy. What numbers wouldn't be kind of meh, not really what I thought.Would 1050 yards and 6 Td's be on the low side for you?man oh man, i'm going to have a tough time deciding between him and ronnie brown to keep as my #2RB next season behind ADP. i have to drop one of them.
What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
can we quite this bandwagon... I got a draft coming upWhat defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
I'm wondering what two games? If he's referring to the IND and NE games, then in the first game, LT had 7 carries. Turner didn't come in until the second quarter. He averaged 4.2 YPC and had 71 yards in 3 quarters.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
Disagree there. He's saying "Well, look here, he played the #1 and #4 defenses in the NFL and he only averaged 4 yards per carry". ??? Is that supposed to be damning evidence? So if he had played only against top 4 defenses all season long he would "only" produce 1212 yards if he was given as many carries of a guy like Lendale White? Gee, that sucks. I guess.I'm wondering what two games? If he's referring to the IND and NE games, then in the first game, LT had 7 carries. Turner didn't come in until the second quarter. He averaged 4.2 YPC and had 71 yards in 3 quarters.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
Well for one, Indy and NE were the #3 and #4 defenses. And the Colts and Patriots were ranked 15th and 10th respectively against the run. And i doubt that MT will get as many carries as Lendale.Disagree there. He's saying "Well, look here, he played the #1 and #4 defenses in the NFL and he only averaged 4 yards per carry". ??? Is that supposed to be damning evidence? So if he had played only against top 4 defenses all season long he would "only" produce 1212 yards if he was given as many carries of a guy like Lendale White? Gee, that sucks. I guess.I'm wondering what two games? If he's referring to the IND and NE games, then in the first game, LT had 7 carries. Turner didn't come in until the second quarter. He averaged 4.2 YPC and had 71 yards in 3 quarters.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
I thought you had used the stat he hadn't scored a TD. What did IND/NE finish in scoring defenses?Well for one, Indy and NE were the #3 and #4 defenses. And the Colts and Patriots were ranked 15th and 10th respectively against the run. And i doubt that MT will get as many carries as Lendale.Disagree there. He's saying "Well, look here, he played the #1 and #4 defenses in the NFL and he only averaged 4 yards per carry". ??? Is that supposed to be damning evidence? So if he had played only against top 4 defenses all season long he would "only" produce 1212 yards if he was given as many carries of a guy like Lendale White? Gee, that sucks. I guess.I'm wondering what two games? If he's referring to the IND and NE games, then in the first game, LT had 7 carries. Turner didn't come in until the second quarter. He averaged 4.2 YPC and had 71 yards in 3 quarters.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
Sorry, I was saying that his "lower than average" performance in those games had little to do with the defense he was playing. More so the team situation. He played admirably, IMO, in both games, and those would be IMO some of his worse games over the course of a season as the starter.I think Turner will be excellent.Disagree there. He's saying "Well, look here, he played the #1 and #4 defenses in the NFL and he only averaged 4 yards per carry". ??? Is that supposed to be damning evidence? So if he had played only against top 4 defenses all season long he would "only" produce 1212 yards if he was given as many carries of a guy like Lendale White? Gee, that sucks. I guess.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.
I used other stats besides TDs. But anyway, the Patriots were tied for 3rd in rushing TDs allowed and the Colts were tied for 9th.I thought you had used the stat he hadn't scored a TD. What did IND/NE finish in scoring defenses?Well for one, Indy and NE were the #3 and #4 defenses. And the Colts and Patriots were ranked 15th and 10th respectively against the run. And i doubt that MT will get as many carries as Lendale.Disagree there. He's saying "Well, look here, he played the #1 and #4 defenses in the NFL and he only averaged 4 yards per carry". ??? Is that supposed to be damning evidence? So if he had played only against top 4 defenses all season long he would "only" produce 1212 yards if he was given as many carries of a guy like Lendale White? Gee, that sucks. I guess.I'm wondering what two games? If he's referring to the IND and NE games, then in the first game, LT had 7 carries. Turner didn't come in until the second quarter. He averaged 4.2 YPC and had 71 yards in 3 quarters.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
So he only averaged 4y/c against two teams that were near the top in almost every defensive category and in the top half of the league in every defensive category. And he averaged more y/c in the first half of games than in the second halves of games. Got it.I used other stats besides TDs. But anyway, the Patriots were tied for 3rd in rushing TDs allowed and the Colts were tied for 9th.I thought you had used the stat he hadn't scored a TD. What did IND/NE finish in scoring defenses?Well for one, Indy and NE were the #3 and #4 defenses. And the Colts and Patriots were ranked 15th and 10th respectively against the run. And i doubt that MT will get as many carries as Lendale.Disagree there. He's saying "Well, look here, he played the #1 and #4 defenses in the NFL and he only averaged 4 yards per carry". ??? Is that supposed to be damning evidence? So if he had played only against top 4 defenses all season long he would "only" produce 1212 yards if he was given as many carries of a guy like Lendale White? Gee, that sucks. I guess.I'm wondering what two games? If he's referring to the IND and NE games, then in the first game, LT had 7 carries. Turner didn't come in until the second quarter. He averaged 4.2 YPC and had 71 yards in 3 quarters.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
So he only averaged 4y/c against two teams that were near the top in almost every defensive category and in the top half of the league in every defensive category. And he averaged more y/c in the first half of games than in the second halves of games. Got it.I used other stats besides TDs. But anyway, the Patriots were tied for 3rd in rushing TDs allowed and the Colts were tied for 9th.I thought you had used the stat he hadn't scored a TD. What did IND/NE finish in scoring defenses?Well for one, Indy and NE were the #3 and #4 defenses. And the Colts and Patriots were ranked 15th and 10th respectively against the run. And i doubt that MT will get as many carries as Lendale.Disagree there. He's saying "Well, look here, he played the #1 and #4 defenses in the NFL and he only averaged 4 yards per carry". ??? Is that supposed to be damning evidence? So if he had played only against top 4 defenses all season long he would "only" produce 1212 yards if he was given as many carries of a guy like Lendale White? Gee, that sucks. I guess.I'm wondering what two games? If he's referring to the IND and NE games, then in the first game, LT had 7 carries. Turner didn't come in until the second quarter. He averaged 4.2 YPC and had 71 yards in 3 quarters.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
carries yards average 1st Quarter 20 158 7.9 2nd Quarter 40 210 5.3 3rd Quarter 51 239 4.7 4th Quarter 117 650 5.6 1st Half 60 368 6.1 2nd Half 168 889 5.3
I wish that he would have had more*. *Assuming of course it wasn't against NE/IND defenses.carries yards average 1st Quarter 20 158 7.9 2nd Quarter 40 210 5.3 3rd Quarter 51 239 4.7 4th Quarter 117 650 5.6 1st Half 60 368 6.1 2nd Half 168 889 5.3So you just ignore the discrepancy between the number of carries between the first and second half he had?So he only averaged 4y/c against two teams that were near the top in almost every defensive category and in the top half of the league in every defensive category. And he averaged more y/c in the first half of games than in the second halves of games. Got it.I used other stats besides TDs. But anyway, the Patriots were tied for 3rd in rushing TDs allowed and the Colts were tied for 9th.I thought you had used the stat he hadn't scored a TD. What did IND/NE finish in scoring defenses?Well for one, Indy and NE were the #3 and #4 defenses. And the Colts and Patriots were ranked 15th and 10th respectively against the run. And i doubt that MT will get as many carries as Lendale.Disagree there. He's saying "Well, look here, he played the #1 and #4 defenses in the NFL and he only averaged 4 yards per carry". ??? Is that supposed to be damning evidence? So if he had played only against top 4 defenses all season long he would "only" produce 1212 yards if he was given as many carries of a guy like Lendale White? Gee, that sucks. I guess.I'm wondering what two games? If he's referring to the IND and NE games, then in the first game, LT had 7 carries. Turner didn't come in until the second quarter. He averaged 4.2 YPC and had 71 yards in 3 quarters.Either way, I don't think the defenses that had anything to do with it.What defenses were those carries against?I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
I'm not sure what negative conclusion can be drawn from the difference in number of carries between quarters or halves. If, for instance his first half carries were at a 3.2YPC, and his second half were 6.1YPC - then I might say that there is a correlation between his success and the situation.In this case though, there isn't a single quarter where his carriers were at a subpar NFL clip. I mean, 4.7YPC in the _third_ quarter is his worst. And I highly doubt that supports the point you are trying to prove with this data.Fact is, that Turner had more carries in the 4th because he was the backup to LT, so LT was going to play MOST of the game. However, there's nothing to indicate his success is attributable to those 2nd half, 4th quarter carries. His 1st quarter carries have the highest YPC.So you just ignore the discrepancy between the number of carries between the first and second half he had?Code:carries yards average 1st Quarter 20 158 7.9 2nd Quarter 40 210 5.3 3rd Quarter 51 239 4.7 4th Quarter 117 650 5.6 1st Half 60 368 6.1 2nd Half 168 889 5.3
I tend to look at the talent of the guy more than just the numbers. But, one point is that you could look at the 4th quarter numbers with the hypothesis that he came in fresh against a tired defense and that is why he played well or you could say that when teams were doing nothing but trying to stop the run, Turner still had success as they ran out the clock.I watch Turner and I see a talented player. I have said this a few times and I see a rich mans Lamont Jordan.There isn't any question that he's been mostly successful whenever he's been in the there, but there also isn't much question that the bulk of his work has come in the 4th qtr (about the same as first 3 qtrs combined). It's one thing to rip off a couple longer runs when coming in for 1-3 carries in a quarter which is what he did in those first 3 qtrs. In the 4th qtr, it's a completely different game when he comes in fresh vs. a tired defense and mostly in blowouts.I know it seems like just finding excuses to put down his good #'s, but it's not. It's not saying that he won't be able to replicate those #'s if given a larger workload. It's only that I don't look at those #'s and see them as definitive proof that he'll be able to sustain them as a #1 RB.carries yards average 1st Quarter 20 158 7.9 2nd Quarter 40 210 5.3 3rd Quarter 51 239 4.7 4th Quarter 117 650 5.6 1st Half 60 368 6.1 2nd Half 168 889 5.3I dont see it. He was given the opportunity to basically play the entire game twice this year and he had 34 carries, 136 yards and 0 TDs. The times when he was successful was when he came in during the 4th quarter when he was fresh and the defense was beat up. In a draft, whether it be redraft or dynasty, i would let someone else draft him as he has a lot of hype which will increase his ADP to where it doesnt belong.
a 50 yard run I would bet on Turnerim assuming u meant who would win in a sprint, and to answer your question i think Norwood wins, by a sizeable margin at that.Not quite... I can understand the comparision since their bodies are similar; same when people say that hes no different from L White But Jordan or White or even Jamal Lewis don't have the speed I see from Turner. Everyone that is compared to Turner was a pounder or grinder... Turner has that 5th gear that Portis and LT have.Lamont Jordan, part deux.
I wonder who would win in a spirit... Turner or Norwood.
i saw Turner as overhyped last yr... but now people seem to be down on him; I view him as a late 2nd steal.
i wouldn'ta 50 yard run I would bet on Turnerim assuming u meant who would win in a sprint, and to answer your question i think Norwood wins, by a sizeable margin at that.Not quite... I can understand the comparision since their bodies are similar; same when people say that hes no different from L White But Jordan or White or even Jamal Lewis don't have the speed I see from Turner. Everyone that is compared to Turner was a pounder or grinder... Turner has that 5th gear that Portis and LT have.Lamont Jordan, part deux.
I wonder who would win in a spirit... Turner or Norwood.
i saw Turner as overhyped last yr... but now people seem to be down on him; I view him as a late 2nd steal.