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Mid Week Time Killer (1 Viewer)

David Yudkin

Footballguy
Over the past 10 seasons, an average of 6 teams do no make the playoffs again the following season. Assuming that trend continues, which 6 playoffs teams from this year will be back in the playoffs next year? Which 6 teams won't make the post seasson next year? And which 6 teams will replace them?Basically:SAME:A, B, C, D, E, FOUT:G, H, I, J, K, LNEW:M, N, O, P, Q, RWe can bump this in a year and see how smart or dumb we all were . . .

 
New in bold

AFC:

New England

Denver

Baltimore

Indianapolis

Pittsburgh

Kansas City

NFC:

Green Bay

San Francisco

Seattle

Carolina

New Orleans

New York

So therefore OUT:

Houston

Cinncinati

Washington

Atlanta

Minnesota

 
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Same: NE, DEN, HOU, ATL, GB, SFOut: BAL, CIN, IND, SEA, MIN, WASIn: PIT, MIA, SD, NO, CHI, NYGI'd rather keep Indianapolis in over San Diego, but trying to keep with the spirit of the predictions.

 
As a side bar, playoff appearances in the past 10 years . . .

Code:
NE	9IND	9BAL	7GB	7SEA	7PIT	6PHI	6DEN	5SD	5NYG	5ATL	5NYJ	4CIN	4DAL	4MIN	4NO	4TEN	3KC	3WAS	3CHI	3CAR	3HOU	2JAX	2TB	2ARI	2SF	2STL	2MIA	1DET	1BUF	0CLE	0OAK	0
 
Same: San Francisco, Seattle, Green Bay, Atlanta, New England, Denver, HoustonOut: Baltimore, Minnesota, Indianapolis, Cincinatti, WashingtonIn: Giants, Chicago, Pittsburgh, San Diego, Miami

 
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Interesting. Seattle makes sense when you think about it, but probably would have been the last one that I'd have thought of if asked to guess the top 5. Probably would have guess PIT (or maybe even NYG) before them.

 
2013 playoffs by seed:NFC: GB, SF, NO, DAL, DET, ATLAFC: NE, DEN, IND, BAL, PIT, BUFOUT: MIN, SEA, WAS, CIN, HOUNEW: DET, NO, DAL, PIT, BUF

 
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Really, I could see the entire AFC staying the same because the options beyond the top 7 look pretty gross. I'll play along...Same:Patriots, Broncos, Bengals, Packers, 49ers, FalconsOut:Ravens, Colts, Texans, Seahawks, Redskins, VikingsIn:Steelers, KC, Jets, Giants, Saints, CowboysEDIT to make it a true 6 of each.

 
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Same: Patriots, Broncos, Bengals, Seahawks, 49ers, FalconsOut:Ravens, Colts, Texans, Redskins, Vikings, PackersIn:Steelers, San Diego, Jets, Giants, Saints, Lions

 
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SAME:

New England, Houston, Denver, San Francisco, Green Bay, Seattle

OUT:

Baltimore, Denver, Indianapolis, Cincinnati, Atlanta, Minesota

NEW:

Kansas City, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, New Orleans, Carolina, New York Giants

 
Interesting to note that the only change in the AFC this year was INDY in for PITT and that - for the first time ever - the Final Four of a Conference is the same for the second consecutive year.

 
Really, I could see the entire AFC staying the same because the options beyond the top 7 look pretty gross. I'll play along...Same:Patriots, Broncos, Bengals, Packers, 49ers, FalconsOut:Ravens, Colts, Texans, Seahawks, Redskins, VikingsIn:Steelers, KC, Jets, Giants, Saints, CowboysEDIT to make it a true 6 of each.
Same: Patriots, Broncos, Bengals, Seahawks, 49ers, FalconsOut:Ravens, Colts, Texans, Redskins, Vikings, PackersIn:Steelers, San Diego, Jets, Giants, Saints, Lions
You're missing an AFC S winner.
 
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Same: BAL, NE, Hou, Den, GB, SeaOut: Wash, Indy, Minn, SF, Cincy, ATLIn: Dallas, NYG, Pitt, Miami, NO, CAR

 
Really, I could see the entire AFC staying the same because the options beyond the top 7 look pretty gross. I'll play along...

Same:

Patriots, Broncos, Bengals, Packers, 49ers, Falcons

Out:

Ravens, Colts, Texans, Seahawks, Redskins, Vikings

In:

Steelers, KC, Jets, Giants, Saints, Cowboys

EDIT to make it a true 6 of each.
This Jets' fan says :no:
 
SAME:AFC: NE, DEN, IND, HOUNFC: SF, SEA NEW: AFC: PIT, SDCNFC: NYG, CHI, NO, CAROUT: AFC: BAL, CINNFC: WASH, GB, MIN, ATLThe AFC is really difficult to pick 2 new teams IMO. NFC has a lot of good teams that could make the jump.

 
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Interesting.. A lot of KC love in here. I know Reid is a plus but it's hard to believe they will have a QB in place (FA or rookie) that will get them to the playoffs next year.

 
Interesting.. A lot of KC love in here. I know Reid is a plus but it's hard to believe they will have a QB in place (FA or rookie) that will get them to the playoffs next year.
Yeah, I can see the pitt-miami-sd selections in the AFC but that one looks like a stretch.
 
I think AFC will largely remain the same, with my only expected change to be PIT (or maybe CLE) replacing BAL. I'd think the Top 4 NFC teams (SF GB SEA ATL) will also remain, w/ NYG replacing WAS and NO replacing MIN. ..BUT, with the 6 new team restraint, I'd go this:SAME: NE, DEN, CINCY, HOU, SF, GBIN: PIT or CLE, MIA, NYG, NO, CHI, STL (why not, lol)OUT: BAL, IND, WAS, MIN, SEA, ATL

 
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Same = NE, GB, SEA, DEN, SF, ATL, Cincy, HousOut = Minn, Wash, Balt, Indy, New - Pitt, Miami, Dallas, N.O.

 
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Same: NE, DEN, HOU, GB, SF, SEA<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252);"><br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252);">Out: BAL, IND, CIN, MIN, WAS, ATL<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252);"><br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252);">In: PIT, KC, MIA, NO, DAL, CAR
 
Same: NE, DEN, HOU, GB, SF, SEA<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252);"><br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252);">Out: BAL, IND, CIN, MIN, WAS, ATL<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252);"><br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252);">In: PIT, KC, MIA, NO, DAL, CAR
Hipple?
 
Sorry about no AFCS as I yanked Texans on the edit to make it 6/6. I really have no idea then. I guess change me to...Same:Patriots, Broncos, Texans, Packers, 49ers, BengalsOut:Ravens, Colts, Falcons, Seahawks, Redskins, VikingsIn:Steelers, KC, Bears, Giants, Saints, CowboysI'm buying on the Jets because I think Revis coming back changes their whole team and 8-8 is good enough to get in. I'm leaving them out now though and KCC in. I think they will either have Vick or Geno next year and in that division a real coach and a real QB is already good enough for 8 or 9 wins in a weak AFC.

 
I'm going to look either like Nostradamus or an idiot. More likely the latter.

AFC:

New England

Denver

Houston

Pittsburgh

San Diego

Tennessee

NFC:

Seattle

Green Bay

Carolina

NY Giants

Atlanta

Chicago

Out:

Baltimore

Indianapolis

Cincinnati

San Francisco

Washington

Minnesota

 
AFC IN: New England, Denver, Houston, Cincy, Pittsburgh, San DiegoAFC Out: Baltimore, IndyVery tough to pick the AFC, because I think there are a lot of "haves and have nots". I could see Baltimore and Indy knocking one of those others out, but I can't really see anyone else making a run at this time.NFC IN: Green Bay, Seattle, New Orleans, Dallas, Carolina, St. LouisNFC Out: San Fran, Minny, WashingtonI picked five out (close to six) with a greater shake up in the NFC.

 
As another footnote, 31 of the 80 division winners repeated from one season to the next (just under 40%). This year was an anomally, as 6 of the 8 division winners from 2011 did so again in 2012. The highest in any other of the past 10 years was 4 repeat division winners. Compare that to 2010 --> 2011 when the Patriots were the only team to win their division again. Then again, the Pats have won the AFC East 9 of the past 10 years (and tied for first the year they didn't win).Division titles the past 10 years:

Code:
NE	9IND	7GB	5SEA	5SD	5BAL	4PIT	4PHI	4DEN	3NYG	3ATL	3NO	3CHI	3CAR	3CIN	2DAL	2MIN	2KC	2HOU	2ARI	2SF	2TEN	1WAS	1TB	1STL	1MIA	1NYJ	0JAX	0DET	0BUF	0CLE	0OAK	0
 

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