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The Best February Mock Draft In The History Of The World, Ever.
Friday, February 17, 2006 2:49a.m. EST
M.L. Brandow, Freelance Columnist
So here we are in February and the "Oh my mock is the winner and I'm going to make all these cool trades in my mock because they sound cool and I did them in Madden" mock drafts are starting to leak out. Let me start by saying: don't ever propose big and crazy draft trades before the Combine at least. Please.... And I read a full seven round mock draft online on some website last night, and I just smacked my forehead. Honestly.... what the..... I don't even.... why? And all the.... just wow.
It's Round 2 of the Mockin', and I know one thing for a fact: the Jay Cutler Juice is starting to wear off on me. I mean seriously, I think it is. It's getting old seeing him to go to Miami, and I think it was just more than anything funny seeing him over Vince Young in my last mock. I went to www.jaycutler.com, and it just seems like all this draft hype is just getting to his head. The Legendary Vanderbilt Quarterback has a very over-inflated view of himself nowadays.
Alas, I present to you a Mock Draft not holy enough for thou, Jay Cutler. And the Lord said Yay:
1. Houston Texans - D'Brickashaw Ferguson, OT Virginia
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DE, OG, MLB, OT, WR // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $5M Under
I don't think you could sell me on the Kubiak and co. spending the top overall pick on Reggie Bush when they've already got RB Domanick Davis (who was on pace for over 2000 yards from scrimmage last year), and pro bowl return man Jerome Mathis. Ferguson fills a dire need position here for the Texans and presents the most value for them if they aren't able to trade the pick, which isn't very likely to happen now that they've opted to pick up David Carr's $8M option bonus. Ideally, the Texans would like to swap with New Orleans or perhaps trade with Tennessee to still secure Ferguson and not have to pay him an entire king's ransom.
Other Options: Trade Down, Reggie Bush, Matt Leinart, Vince Young
2. New Orleans Saints - Matt Leinart, QB USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OLB, QB, DT, TE, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $10M Under
It's safe to say that New Orleans will be taking a Quarterback here: Matt Leinart. This offense is well-built and possesses everything needed for a young pocket passer to come in and succeed. Leinart is the most NFL ready of the draft class, and unlike his yang Vince Young, does not need to ride the pine for the next two years to develop his skills on a pro level. Leinart will be the clear-cut starter from Day one, and provide (if not wins) at least something for the Saints fans to look forward to.
Other Options: AJ Hawk, Vince Young, Trade Down, Reggie Bush
3. Tennessee Titans - Vince Young, QB Texas
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: MLB, OC, DS, OT, QB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $10M Over
During Senior Bowl week you might have been able to convince me that the Jay Cutler would go to the Saints--I think everybody started drinking the Cutler Kool-Aid that week. But the buzz has started wearing off on me. While Norm Chow and the gang got to spend an entire week with the legendary Vanderbilt QB, the reality is that Vince Young is the guy that the Titans want if Leinart is indeed gone, which he is here. Young is a leader, and comes in to a team where he can get exactly what he needs to succeed in the NFL, a chance to sit on the bench for the next year, or possibly two years, and really get his mechanics and mind adjusted to the pro level. Since the Titans will still be in Cap Purgatory next year, it's likely that you will see a litle bit of Vince Young late in games that aren't winnable next season, but don't expect to see any significant playing time until at least the 2007 season.
Other Options: Trade Up, Jay Cutler, Trade Down, Winston Justice
4. New York Jets - Reggie Bush, RB USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: RB, QB, OT, DC, OG/OC // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $29M Over
Not having to trade up to still land arguably the best player in the draft? Priceless. While the Texans will continue to try and get the Jets to bite on the Reggie Bush Sweepstakes, Mangini and co. will play hardball--and win. A great situation for a team that's going to lay eggs for the next few years or so. Coincidently, when they finally get the cap under control, Mangini gets the players he wants, and Reggie Bush comes into his prime, the Jets will have a nice new stadium on the West Side of Manhattan to play in. Maybe Chad Pennington will be ready to play by then.
Other Options: Trade Up, DeAngelo Williams, Jay Cutler, Winston Justice
5. Green Bay Packers - AJ Hawk, OLB Ohio State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OG, OLB, DS, DE, OC // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $22M Under
Simply put: the Packers need an outside linebacker. Sure, a running back would be a solid pick here with Ahman Green and Najeh Davenport are both unrestricted free agents, but there is a good amount of depth at RB both in the draft and in free agency. This is a chance for a team with a huge hole to fill to be able to do so with a game-changing LB who can anchor this defense and start to give it an identity Cheeseheads won't associate with rotten Limburger. This linebacking corps has seen only one pro bowl in the last 28 years (Tim Harris 1989).
Other Options: Mario Williams, DeAngelo Williams, LenDale White, Trade Down
6. Oakland Raiders* - Mario Williams, DE N.C. State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OG, OLB, DT, DC, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $30M Over
The Raiders will continue to get younger and meaner on defense with this pick. A dominating Defensive End with an attitude problem? Couldn't pencil this pick in any easier. The next Courtney Brown or the next Julius Peppers? While the Raiders aren't getting any younger at Defensive Tackle (NT Todd Washington is entering in his 15th year and UT Warren Sapp in his 12th), pairing the 2005 Sack Champion in Derrick Burgess with this monster will generate about 30 sacks a year for the next decade. As evidenced by the Giants' and Panthers' DEs last season, you don't need anything special at DT to make a mess of the opposing Quarterback.
Other Options: Haloti Ngata, Jimmy Williams, Trade Down, DeAngelo Williams
7. San Francisco 49ers* - Michael Huff, S Texas
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OLB, DC, WR, FS, MLB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $18M Under
Whatever your favorite position on defense is, the 49ers have a big need. Thanks to some of the stingiest ownership in NFL History over the past few seasons, the 49ers are not only out of their salary cap problems, they're almost into the CFL in terms of talent level at some positions. While any defensive pick here would be solid, Huff is the best safety in this draft and can help shore up a secondary that has a slew of players that are Defensive Back 'tweeners. Just how bad was the 49ers' secondary last year? If you took all of the pass defenses of the past decade, the 2005 49ers would rank 311th (that's last place). In fact, just for kicks... can you name the last team to have fewer than 2,000 yards passing in a single season?
Other Options: Jimmy Williams, Chad Greenway, DeMeco Ryans, DeAngelo Williams
*-subject to coin clip
8. Buffalo Bills - Haloti Ngata, DT Oregon
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DT, DC, OC, DS, OT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $10M Under
Need Run-Stoppage? Enter 338 pounds of Two-Gap Offensive-Lineman-Eating Haloti Ngata. If he's here, he's definitely going to be a Bill. Everyone and their mother is saying this, and the only way they don't get him is if the Raiders take him. While the Bills' Quarterback situation is also far from settled, and it seems like JP Losman has somehow manages to piss off every media member, fan, teammate, coach and personnel executive in a 200-mile radius in just one short year. But reaching on a QB in the first round two years in a row? Doesn't sound very plausible. This has nothing to do with the draft, but don't you just feel bad for Takeo Spikes? I mean jeez...
Other Options: Winston Justice, Jay Cutler, Jimmy Williams, Trade Down
9. Detroit Lions - Tamba Hali, DE Penn State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: QB, ILB, OT, DC, DE // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $9M Under
Okay, so the Santonio Holmes jokes are getting old, and probably not very funny to begin with unless you're Matt Millen. New Head Coach Rod Marinelli is going to want to stack that Defensive Line, and knows full well what building a Tampa-2 defense is going to entail. Hali will probably be paired with Shaun Cody or Kalimba Edwards (if Cody moves inside). Rest assured though, this will be one of the better Defensive Lines in the game by the year's end. While Millen, fresh from reading up on the latest Senior Bowl news probably wants to draft the legendary Vanderbilt Quarterback Jay Cutler here, Marinelli has a very strong personality that should be able to change Millen's mind. In fact, I'd be willing to bet that if Cutler were picked here, Millen would be fired before training camp. Maybe it'll be his last laugh.
Other Options: Jay Cutler, Jimmy Williams, Winston Justice, Trade Down
10. Arizona Cardinals - Brodrick Bunkley, DT Florida State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: SS, RB, QB, WLB, OT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $30M Under
LenDale in Glen.... what? While addressing RB with the 10th pick would be an easy write-off in the land of mock-draftdom, Denny Green already has his solution: Michael Bennett. Remember way back in 2001 when the Denny Green-led Vikings picked up Michael Bennett in the first round to be their super shifty outside runner? Well, in 2006, the Denny Green-led Cardinals are going to pick up Michael Bennett in free agency to be their super shifty outside runner. This defense lacks an inside pass rush, and Bunkley will complete a front four on the Cardinals that will be good enough to mask the deficiencies in the middle and secondary and really give this Cardinals team a chance to compete in the NFC. He'll also join his former FSU teammate in DT Darnell Dockett.
Other Options: DeAngelo Williams, Chad Greenway, Winston Justice, Vernon Davis
11. St. Louis Rams - Jimmy Williams, CB Virginia Tech
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DT, DC, WLB, OG/OC, MLB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $16M Under
Outside of being the consensus top Cornerback in the draft, Williams still plays with the hard-hitting physical mentality he had as a safety early in his football career. He can come in and star immeidately opposite one of my favorite sleepers last year in Ronald Bartell, Jr, and in a couple years, the Rams may be sporting the best pair of lockdown corners in the NFL. The Rams probably will start him at CB initially because of the greater need there, but if he struggles, they may move him over to free safety, where some draft scouts say he is more suited at the pro level. In either case, he's a big upgrade for a team that will need some major secondary help since most of their games in 2006 look to be shootouts.
Other Options: Chad Greenway, Vernon Davis, Trade Down, DeMeco Ryans
12. Cleveland Browns - Manny Lawson, DE N.C. State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OLB, NT, DE, OT, OG // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $31M Under
Anyone remember how the Browns were all over last year's workout warrior, Shawne Merriman? Welcome to the new land of hybrid defenders. Crennel needs more playmakers on defense across the board, but namely OLB. Adding Lawson, who is maybe the most physically gifted defender in this draft. At 6'6 and running a 4.5 with a 45" vertical jump, if Lawson can put on about 10-15 football pounds for the combine, Crennel might mess himself. Don't be surprised if you see another OLB go to the Browns on Day 1.
Other Options: Trade Down, Chad Greenway, DeMeco Ryans, Mathias Kiwanuka
13. Baltimore Ravens - Winston Justice, OT USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DS, ROT, ILB, DT, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $15M Under
Justice can come in and fill a big need from Day one at Right Tackle, and be groomed to eventually replace Jonathan Ogden at Left Tackle. While Running Back remains a concern for the Ravens, the smart money is on them re-signing Jamal Lewis after he tests the open market. There's a good chance that they address RB on the first day, but it likely won't be until the third round, as there is a good crop of safeties sure to be available when the Ravens pick again in the 2nd round. There are other questions on defense, namely whether that 46 defense will actually catch on or not, but the more important question is who is going to protect Kyle Boller's strongside? I mean who wants to see him break another body part in the first week of the season? If there were more Pro-Kyle Boller people like me, this world would be a better place.
Other Options: Marcus McNeill, Trade Down, Darnell Bing, LenDale White
14. Philadelphia Eagles - Chad Greenway, OLB Iowa
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OT, OLB, WR, DT, TE // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $7M Under
With 10-year veteran ORT Jon Runyan headed out via free agency and OLT Tra Thomas going into his 9th year, the Eagles suddenly have a need at what has been probably their most stable position over the Andy Reid reign. When your star offensive players all go down with season-ending injuries, it's time to upgrade. There is a very good chance that the Eagles can strike a deal with the Browns and leapfrog the Ravens to grab Winston Justice, which the Browns would love, because they can still land the guy they want and screw over their division rival and pick up an extra 4th rounder, which the Philadelphia Eagles conveniently have (two extra, actually). But there's no trading in Februady mock drafts! So, we'll just put Chad Greenway here. The Eagles could use an upgrade at OLB, and although Greenway might not start immediately over incumbent Dhani Jones, he is likely to provide some help on the Strong Side. And with a motor as high as Greenway's and Defensive Coordinator Jim Johnson's knack for suicide blitzing every 3 plays, there would certainly be a love connection here early on.
Other Options: Trade Up, DeMeco Ryans, Santonio Holmes, Vernon Davis
15. Atlanta Falcons - DeAngelo Williams, RB Memphis
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DS, OT, OG, DC, DE // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $10M Under
While Safety and Offensive Tackle are need positions for this team, neither presents a good value and/or fit here and the depth at both positions is deep enough to address later on Day 1. While Duckett finds himself on the trading block this offseason and incumbent RB Warrick Dunn nearing the end of his career, DeAngelo Williams would simply be too good to pass up at this point. Being that the running game is so pivotal in the success of the Falcons, this team is really only a few injuries away from being in the same position as the Jets were last year. Naysayers will point to Dunn's career numbers last season, and then the smart ones will point right back at Curtis Martin's career numbers in 2004. This team just can't afford to have any drop off at RB, and with Duckett likely on his way out (and there have been scant rumors of Dunn as well), suddenly picking up a game-changing all-purpose back like Williams doesn't seem so off base.
Other Options: Trade Down, Vernon Davis, Antonio Cromartie, Eric Winston
16. Miami Dolphins - Marcus McNeill, OT Auburn
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: QB, LOT, DC, OLB, WR // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $5M Over
Ronnie Brown is ecstatic to get his former teammate on the next level, and even happier that Saban didn't bite on the legendary Vanderbilt Quarterback Jay Cutler, like every draftnick this side of sports town has predicted since his godlike 6-for-19 Senior Bowl performance. McNeill's measurables are absolutely off the chart in terms of size and speed, and will tremendously upgrade the offensive line for the Dolphins. Should Chad Greenway fall to 16, Saban might have a bit of a debate on his hands.
Other Options: Jay Cutler, Antonio Cromartie, DeMeco Ryans, Santonio Holmes
17. Minnesota Vikings - LenDale White, RB USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: RB, OLB, ILB, SS, OG // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $24M Under
"LenDale In MinnesotaDale!" Remember that RBs Michael Bennett and Moe Williams are Unrestricted Free Agents and the WZ Onterrio Smith (that's Whizzinator) are not likely to return. And for all the hype and holler about the other members of the "Not As Good As Reggie Bush But Still Pretty Good Running Backs" Club, White runs the same 40 time (4.50) as fellow first round prospects DeAngelo Williams and Laurence Maroney--and White is carrying an extra 30 pounds of bruising bulldozerness. The combination of White and Ciatrick Fason present the thunder and lightning combination that was never fully realized by Childress in Philadelphia. Add to that Change of Pace back Mewelde Moore, and this may be the top rushing offenses for years to come.
Other Options: Laurence Maroney, DeMeco Ryans, Trade Down, Darnell Bing
18. Dallas Cowboys - Santonio Holmes, WR Ohio State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OT, FS, OG, WR, QB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $2M Over
You'd have to be crazy to believe Bill Parcells and Jerry Jones would select an offensive lineman with this pick. Parcells is in Super Bowl-or-Bust mode this year, and no matter what happens, he's probably gone after this season. The last thing he wants is to draft a player likely to struggle his rookie year. Look for them to try to squeeze the last bit of NFL life out of Drew Bledsoe by giving him another first round receiver. A quick look down memory lane reveals a key stat: Bill Parcells doesn't believe in the 3-year rule for Receivers. Terry Glenn was drafted in 1996 in the last year of Parcells' stint on the Patriots and immediately put up 1132 yards and 6 TDs en route to a Super Bowl birth. Expect this logic to prevail again this time around in Parcells' last stint as an NFL coach (except maybe the Super Bowl birth part....)
Other Options: Chad Jackson, Trade Down, Darnell Bing, Ko Simpson
19. San Diego Chargers - Antonio Cromartie, CB Florida St.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, OT, OG, DS, DC // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $21M Under
The Chargers are in a little bit of a pickle here. If there's a run on the top three tackles, they aren't going to want to reach on a second round prospect with the 19th pick. At that, there is a great likelihood that they use this pick to shore up the secondary. San Diego is really a tough team to judge at this point, because it seems like they really want that blue-chip Offensive Tackle, but if they feel Ferguson, Justice and McNeill might be gone, they may be aggressive and move up. They have the cap room, the gutsy GM and all the necessary ammunition to really shake up the draft board and get whoever they want. Heck, I've even read a draft scenario where the Chargers get Reggie Bush. With their recent history of drafting DBs that haven't yet lived up to their potential, consider this the "last straw." If Cromartie can't come in and be that lockdown corner they've been looking for, and CBs Quentin Jammer/Jamar Fletcher don't start living up to their potential, you'll likely see them spending some serious money on free agents to solidify the secondary. At that, this could really be the year that the secondary comes together and a game-changer like Cromartie might be able to spark some life into a flat-lining secondary.
Other Options: Trade Up, Trade Down, Chad Jackson, Ko Simpson
20. Kansas City Chiefs - Claude Wroten, DT LSU
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, DC, DT, DE, QB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $22M Over.
As their cap situation indicates, the Chiefs will be massaging every bit of cap room they have to gear up for one last final last run at a championship before entering into rebuilding mode. Key veterans on this team like Left Tackle Willie Roaf, Right Guard Will Shields, Fullback Tony Richardson, perhaps even Quarterback Trent Green may be going into their last seasons. The age on this team is about to be a major factor, and this year is Ring or Rebuild. Wroten is an underrated prospect that will give the Chiefs the interior pass-rush they need to give their LBs more freedom to move around get the job done--look what Chris Hovan did for Shelton Quarles this season. Regardless of who the Chiefs take here, look for it to be a player that can immediately make plays and contribute heavily to the team's last run at a Super Bowl Title for probably a while.
Other Options: Mathias Kiwanuka, Sinorice Moss, Vernon Davis, Darnell Bing
21. New England Patriots - DeMeco Ryans, OLB Alabama
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DC, LB, SS, RB, QB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: Even
The Patriots naturally need playmaking Linebackers to make their defense run (remember when Tedy Bruschi came back from injury?). Ryans is a general on the field and a leader in the locker room. Supposing Bruschi won't be around forever, Ryans could be groomed to replace him in a few years. If this isn't isn't a Bill Belichick player, then I suppose he'll take someone else--honestly, we might as well just leave a New England-sized hole in our mocks, because this is the most impossible franchise to read. How many of you saw Corey Dillon to the Pats? How many saw Logan Mankins in the first round? These guys are nuts. I'm just going to concede defeat and quit speculating. Still, Ryans would be a solid addition to a linebacking corps that could always use more playmakers.
Other Options: Sinorice Moss, Trade Down, Tye Hill, Bobby Carpenter
22. Denver Broncos (f/WAS) - Vernon Davis, TE Maryland
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, OG/OC, TE, DT, DS // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $26M Over
This Broncos team is about to be in a world of hurt in 2007. I have to admit, after last year's Shanahan Shenanigans, I didn't see this team as a .500 ballclub, let alone an AFC Championship team. That said, you have to wonder whether the Coach/GM will make a few more wild picks, or whether he's going to make smart decisions. I suppose it's part of a show of his skill as a coach that he can deal with such a terrible GM and still compete for Super Bowls on a consistent basis, but at that, I'm just not sure what the hell he's thinking or planning on doing with two first-round picks and so little room to maneuver. Vernon Davis is probably the best player available at this point, and giving Quarterback Jake Plummer another offensive weapon would be a good idea. There are a lot of almost-needs across the board for the Broncos, positions that aren't needs now that will probably be big needs next year, but at that, I believe this team is still in Super Bowl or Bust mode, so landing a Tight End like Davis that could potentially be a No.2 receiver for this team next year would be very solid.
Other Options: Nick Mangold, Laurence Maroney, Sinorice Moss, Gabe Watson
23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Sinorice Moss, WR Miami (FL)
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, OT, DE, DC, DT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $8M Over
If it wasn't blatantly evident that the deep threat is key to the success of the West Coast Offense that Gruden runs, it will be when Joey Galloway slows down, if there's no one to take his place. Moss has all of the intangibles in leadership, smarts, etc etc that you can trace through all of the good blue-chip players on the Bucs over the last few years. Recent guys like Michael Clayton, Barrett Ruud, Carnell Williams, Alex Smith all have those same intangibles. While people knock his size, he's only a few NFL pounds lighter than Steve Smith or his older brother Santana. And NFL scouts all agree that his speed will translate to the next level. While many mocks will have the Bucs drafting a Tackle, truthbetold, it's just not a need that can't be addressed in the later few rounds. Although Galloway had a career year last year in terms of Yards (1287), catches (83), first downs (57) and catches of 20+ yards (19), just like Curtis Martin had a career year last season.... when it goes, it goes fast. When age does catch up, Galloway won't be much use, and if in 2006, his 12th year, he doesn't start to decline, rest assured he will in either his 13th or 14th, when Sinorice Moss emerges as that next big-play deep threat for the Buccaneers.
Other Options: Ernie Sims, Davin Joseph, Mathias Kiwanuka, Tye Hill
24. Cincinnati Bengals - Gabe Watson, DT Michigan
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DT, DS, TE, DE, DC // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $16M Under
Defense first. More offensive weapons would be very tempting here with a slew of playmakers still on the board, but the Bengals need to change their defensive philosophy from "let's try to not let them score so fast this time so our offense can rest" to "let's play defense." That all starts along the trenches, and the interior line needs some help. Add 330-pound Watson in and Odell Thurman might be the happiest Middle Linebacker in the NFL next year (and, of course, his corresponding IDP owners). Certainly this team will need to play some defense early on with Quarterback Carson Palmer's health still in question, and the invariable departure of sure-handed veteran backup Jon Kitna. Also, expect the Bengals to definitely land one of those six upper-echelon Tight Ends in this draft with either of their first two picks, because we all know when Palmer gets healthy, he's going to be pissed off and Rambo-ing for a playoff berth, so he can't have enough weapons.
Other Options: Leonard Pope, Ko Simpson, Mercedes Lewis, Darnell Bing
25. New York Giants - Tye Hill, CB Clemson
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DC, WR, OT, OLB, FS // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $3M Over
If the Giants don't pick a Defensive Back here, I'll donate $1,234,458 to the Michael Strahan for President fund. Did anyone else spend their New Year's Eve watching in Hi-Def as Raiders Quarterback Kerry Collins was still able to pass the ball effortlessly (ambiguous) late in the game, when the Giants had SEVENTEEN DEFENSIVE BACKS ON THE FIELD! Seriously, I think they had three or four DBs for every Moss and Porter that the Raiders had. And they still couldn't even break up a pass. A lot of people say that the Giants need linebackers, but until they get a cornerback who can play cornerback, it doesn't matter if there are five linebackers or -1 (like they did in the 4th Quarter in that game).
Other Options: Ashton Youboty, Darnell Bing, Donte Whitner, Jonathan Joseph
26. Chicago Bears - Leonard Pope, TE Georgia
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DC, TE, FS, OT, SLB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $17M Under
This might be a bit of a stretch for the computationally-impaired, but ponder this: 11 of the bottom 12 scoring offenses in the league are picking in the top 13 in this year's draft. The lone outlier? Da Bears and their 26th ranked offense. It took what was one of the best single-season defensive performances ever to even put this team in position to win ball games. Expect that to change very soon. Add Pope and the pencil-in acquisition of pending Steelers Free Agent Wide Receiver Antwan Randel El, and this may be one hell of an almost-Offense next year. I just wish they'd let Cedric Benson run the football more.
Other Options: Ashton Youboty, Mercedes Lewis, Eric Winston, Darnell Bing
27. Carolina Panthers - Mercedes Lewis, TE U.C.L.A.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, RB, TE, QB, DT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $1M Over
Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Mercedes Lewis Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith. Yeah, that pretty much sums up the 2006 season for the Carolina Panthers.
Other Options: Chad Jackson, Derek Hagan, Dominique Byrd, Jay Cutler
28. Jacksonville Jaguars - Ashton Youboty, CB Ohio St.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OLB, TE, DC, DE, OT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $17M Under
Jacksonville fans might remember this: http://youtube.com/watch?v=qVgYeXTBmwA&search=nfl ... Do you know what's changed since week 16 of 2003? Not enough. The Jaguars' amazing Defensive Line habitually masks the deficiencies of this secondary. Bringing in a potential lockdown Cornerback would be too good to pass up here for the Jaguars. Although there are arguably bigger needs elsewhere (Offensive Tackle namely), the Jags won't pass up an opportunity to land a player from a proven college pedigree of Pro Bowl caliber CBs.
Other Options: Mathias Kiwanuka, Eric Winston, Dominique Byrd, Mercedes Lewis
29. Denver Broncos - Nick Mangold, C Ohio St.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, OG/OC, TE, DT, DS // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $26M Over
As aforementioned, it's going to be difficult for the Broncos to not make some hard salary cap cuts and contract restructures that will put them in even worse shape in 2007. Mangold is the prototype Bronco lineman, and incumbent Center Tom Nalen is entering in his 13th year. Some might see this as a reach, but if recent history is any indication, Shanahan isn't afraid to take a little gamble. Plus, this is arguably a luxury pick for the Broncos, so reaching a bit for a player that fits so perfectly into their offense would make sense.
Other Options: Chad Jackson, Davin Joseph, Derek Hagan, Ko Simpson
30. Indianapolis Colts - Joseph Addai, RB LSU
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, RB, OLB, OG, MLB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: Even
The only real need on this team is Running Back, since the departure of RB Edgerrin James is all but certain. Addai is listed at 214 lbs and 6'0. That's exactly the measurables listed on nfl.com for Edgerrin James. Addai has a lot more in common with Edge as far as running and receiving skill sets, and will benefit greatly from a 2006 Offense that is likely to be more pass-oriented while Quarterback Peyton Manning builds up a relationship with his new feature back. Nevertheless, this team otherwise can afford to just take the best player available, because they have depth issues at Linebacker and potentially along the Offensive Line.
Other Options: Charles Spencer, Davin Joseph, Ernie Sims, Chad Jackson
31. Seattle Seahawks - Ernie Sims, OLB Florida St.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: FS, WR, OG, DE, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $21M Under
With the success of Middle Linebacker Lofa Tatupu and Weakside Linebacker LeRoy Hill, it only makes sense that the Seahawks draft the third and final piece to what will very soon be arguably the best LB corps in the NFL. Sims is a prototype Sam Backer, and when he adds a few pro football pounds is going to remind everyone of that nasty Derrick Johnson or D.J. Williams mentality. Certainly the potential loss of Left Guard Steve Hutchinson or star Running Back Shaun Alexander will impact this first round pick, but with the cap room to retain both and still make a splash in free agency (if they wanted), look for this to be more of a best player available pick, and they'll see Ernie Sims as the answer.
Other Options: Mathias Kiwanuka, Ko Simpson, Charles Spencer, Chad Jackson
32. Pittsburgh Steelers - Darnell Bing, S USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, FS, DE, OG/OC, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $1M Under
You think this team can get enough of USC Safeties? I don't. Anyone heard the Troy Polamalu Song? If not, go do a google search for it. Anyway, Bing will replace UFA Chris Hope at worst, and at best beat the tar out of him for the starting job amidst his college hero, Superman.... err... Troy Polamalu. Although I don't think there are any nicknames yet, I'd bet you there are some clever dynamic-duo-esque names out there for the Safety pair by the end of next season.
Other Options: Charles Spencer, Chad Jackson, Derek Hagan, Mercedes Lewis
Forgive me Jay Cutler, for I have sinned.
Friday, February 17, 2006 2:49a.m. EST
M.L. Brandow, Freelance Columnist
So here we are in February and the "Oh my mock is the winner and I'm going to make all these cool trades in my mock because they sound cool and I did them in Madden" mock drafts are starting to leak out. Let me start by saying: don't ever propose big and crazy draft trades before the Combine at least. Please.... And I read a full seven round mock draft online on some website last night, and I just smacked my forehead. Honestly.... what the..... I don't even.... why? And all the.... just wow.
It's Round 2 of the Mockin', and I know one thing for a fact: the Jay Cutler Juice is starting to wear off on me. I mean seriously, I think it is. It's getting old seeing him to go to Miami, and I think it was just more than anything funny seeing him over Vince Young in my last mock. I went to www.jaycutler.com, and it just seems like all this draft hype is just getting to his head. The Legendary Vanderbilt Quarterback has a very over-inflated view of himself nowadays.
Alas, I present to you a Mock Draft not holy enough for thou, Jay Cutler. And the Lord said Yay:
1. Houston Texans - D'Brickashaw Ferguson, OT Virginia
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DE, OG, MLB, OT, WR // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $5M Under
I don't think you could sell me on the Kubiak and co. spending the top overall pick on Reggie Bush when they've already got RB Domanick Davis (who was on pace for over 2000 yards from scrimmage last year), and pro bowl return man Jerome Mathis. Ferguson fills a dire need position here for the Texans and presents the most value for them if they aren't able to trade the pick, which isn't very likely to happen now that they've opted to pick up David Carr's $8M option bonus. Ideally, the Texans would like to swap with New Orleans or perhaps trade with Tennessee to still secure Ferguson and not have to pay him an entire king's ransom.
Other Options: Trade Down, Reggie Bush, Matt Leinart, Vince Young
2. New Orleans Saints - Matt Leinart, QB USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OLB, QB, DT, TE, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $10M Under
It's safe to say that New Orleans will be taking a Quarterback here: Matt Leinart. This offense is well-built and possesses everything needed for a young pocket passer to come in and succeed. Leinart is the most NFL ready of the draft class, and unlike his yang Vince Young, does not need to ride the pine for the next two years to develop his skills on a pro level. Leinart will be the clear-cut starter from Day one, and provide (if not wins) at least something for the Saints fans to look forward to.
Other Options: AJ Hawk, Vince Young, Trade Down, Reggie Bush
3. Tennessee Titans - Vince Young, QB Texas
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: MLB, OC, DS, OT, QB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $10M Over
During Senior Bowl week you might have been able to convince me that the Jay Cutler would go to the Saints--I think everybody started drinking the Cutler Kool-Aid that week. But the buzz has started wearing off on me. While Norm Chow and the gang got to spend an entire week with the legendary Vanderbilt QB, the reality is that Vince Young is the guy that the Titans want if Leinart is indeed gone, which he is here. Young is a leader, and comes in to a team where he can get exactly what he needs to succeed in the NFL, a chance to sit on the bench for the next year, or possibly two years, and really get his mechanics and mind adjusted to the pro level. Since the Titans will still be in Cap Purgatory next year, it's likely that you will see a litle bit of Vince Young late in games that aren't winnable next season, but don't expect to see any significant playing time until at least the 2007 season.
Other Options: Trade Up, Jay Cutler, Trade Down, Winston Justice
4. New York Jets - Reggie Bush, RB USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: RB, QB, OT, DC, OG/OC // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $29M Over
Not having to trade up to still land arguably the best player in the draft? Priceless. While the Texans will continue to try and get the Jets to bite on the Reggie Bush Sweepstakes, Mangini and co. will play hardball--and win. A great situation for a team that's going to lay eggs for the next few years or so. Coincidently, when they finally get the cap under control, Mangini gets the players he wants, and Reggie Bush comes into his prime, the Jets will have a nice new stadium on the West Side of Manhattan to play in. Maybe Chad Pennington will be ready to play by then.
Other Options: Trade Up, DeAngelo Williams, Jay Cutler, Winston Justice
5. Green Bay Packers - AJ Hawk, OLB Ohio State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OG, OLB, DS, DE, OC // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $22M Under
Simply put: the Packers need an outside linebacker. Sure, a running back would be a solid pick here with Ahman Green and Najeh Davenport are both unrestricted free agents, but there is a good amount of depth at RB both in the draft and in free agency. This is a chance for a team with a huge hole to fill to be able to do so with a game-changing LB who can anchor this defense and start to give it an identity Cheeseheads won't associate with rotten Limburger. This linebacking corps has seen only one pro bowl in the last 28 years (Tim Harris 1989).
Other Options: Mario Williams, DeAngelo Williams, LenDale White, Trade Down
6. Oakland Raiders* - Mario Williams, DE N.C. State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OG, OLB, DT, DC, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $30M Over
The Raiders will continue to get younger and meaner on defense with this pick. A dominating Defensive End with an attitude problem? Couldn't pencil this pick in any easier. The next Courtney Brown or the next Julius Peppers? While the Raiders aren't getting any younger at Defensive Tackle (NT Todd Washington is entering in his 15th year and UT Warren Sapp in his 12th), pairing the 2005 Sack Champion in Derrick Burgess with this monster will generate about 30 sacks a year for the next decade. As evidenced by the Giants' and Panthers' DEs last season, you don't need anything special at DT to make a mess of the opposing Quarterback.
Other Options: Haloti Ngata, Jimmy Williams, Trade Down, DeAngelo Williams
7. San Francisco 49ers* - Michael Huff, S Texas
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OLB, DC, WR, FS, MLB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $18M Under
Whatever your favorite position on defense is, the 49ers have a big need. Thanks to some of the stingiest ownership in NFL History over the past few seasons, the 49ers are not only out of their salary cap problems, they're almost into the CFL in terms of talent level at some positions. While any defensive pick here would be solid, Huff is the best safety in this draft and can help shore up a secondary that has a slew of players that are Defensive Back 'tweeners. Just how bad was the 49ers' secondary last year? If you took all of the pass defenses of the past decade, the 2005 49ers would rank 311th (that's last place). In fact, just for kicks... can you name the last team to have fewer than 2,000 yards passing in a single season?
Other Options: Jimmy Williams, Chad Greenway, DeMeco Ryans, DeAngelo Williams
*-subject to coin clip
8. Buffalo Bills - Haloti Ngata, DT Oregon
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DT, DC, OC, DS, OT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $10M Under
Need Run-Stoppage? Enter 338 pounds of Two-Gap Offensive-Lineman-Eating Haloti Ngata. If he's here, he's definitely going to be a Bill. Everyone and their mother is saying this, and the only way they don't get him is if the Raiders take him. While the Bills' Quarterback situation is also far from settled, and it seems like JP Losman has somehow manages to piss off every media member, fan, teammate, coach and personnel executive in a 200-mile radius in just one short year. But reaching on a QB in the first round two years in a row? Doesn't sound very plausible. This has nothing to do with the draft, but don't you just feel bad for Takeo Spikes? I mean jeez...
Other Options: Winston Justice, Jay Cutler, Jimmy Williams, Trade Down
9. Detroit Lions - Tamba Hali, DE Penn State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: QB, ILB, OT, DC, DE // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $9M Under
Okay, so the Santonio Holmes jokes are getting old, and probably not very funny to begin with unless you're Matt Millen. New Head Coach Rod Marinelli is going to want to stack that Defensive Line, and knows full well what building a Tampa-2 defense is going to entail. Hali will probably be paired with Shaun Cody or Kalimba Edwards (if Cody moves inside). Rest assured though, this will be one of the better Defensive Lines in the game by the year's end. While Millen, fresh from reading up on the latest Senior Bowl news probably wants to draft the legendary Vanderbilt Quarterback Jay Cutler here, Marinelli has a very strong personality that should be able to change Millen's mind. In fact, I'd be willing to bet that if Cutler were picked here, Millen would be fired before training camp. Maybe it'll be his last laugh.
Other Options: Jay Cutler, Jimmy Williams, Winston Justice, Trade Down
10. Arizona Cardinals - Brodrick Bunkley, DT Florida State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: SS, RB, QB, WLB, OT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $30M Under
LenDale in Glen.... what? While addressing RB with the 10th pick would be an easy write-off in the land of mock-draftdom, Denny Green already has his solution: Michael Bennett. Remember way back in 2001 when the Denny Green-led Vikings picked up Michael Bennett in the first round to be their super shifty outside runner? Well, in 2006, the Denny Green-led Cardinals are going to pick up Michael Bennett in free agency to be their super shifty outside runner. This defense lacks an inside pass rush, and Bunkley will complete a front four on the Cardinals that will be good enough to mask the deficiencies in the middle and secondary and really give this Cardinals team a chance to compete in the NFC. He'll also join his former FSU teammate in DT Darnell Dockett.
Other Options: DeAngelo Williams, Chad Greenway, Winston Justice, Vernon Davis
11. St. Louis Rams - Jimmy Williams, CB Virginia Tech
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DT, DC, WLB, OG/OC, MLB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $16M Under
Outside of being the consensus top Cornerback in the draft, Williams still plays with the hard-hitting physical mentality he had as a safety early in his football career. He can come in and star immeidately opposite one of my favorite sleepers last year in Ronald Bartell, Jr, and in a couple years, the Rams may be sporting the best pair of lockdown corners in the NFL. The Rams probably will start him at CB initially because of the greater need there, but if he struggles, they may move him over to free safety, where some draft scouts say he is more suited at the pro level. In either case, he's a big upgrade for a team that will need some major secondary help since most of their games in 2006 look to be shootouts.
Other Options: Chad Greenway, Vernon Davis, Trade Down, DeMeco Ryans
12. Cleveland Browns - Manny Lawson, DE N.C. State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OLB, NT, DE, OT, OG // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $31M Under
Anyone remember how the Browns were all over last year's workout warrior, Shawne Merriman? Welcome to the new land of hybrid defenders. Crennel needs more playmakers on defense across the board, but namely OLB. Adding Lawson, who is maybe the most physically gifted defender in this draft. At 6'6 and running a 4.5 with a 45" vertical jump, if Lawson can put on about 10-15 football pounds for the combine, Crennel might mess himself. Don't be surprised if you see another OLB go to the Browns on Day 1.
Other Options: Trade Down, Chad Greenway, DeMeco Ryans, Mathias Kiwanuka
13. Baltimore Ravens - Winston Justice, OT USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DS, ROT, ILB, DT, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $15M Under
Justice can come in and fill a big need from Day one at Right Tackle, and be groomed to eventually replace Jonathan Ogden at Left Tackle. While Running Back remains a concern for the Ravens, the smart money is on them re-signing Jamal Lewis after he tests the open market. There's a good chance that they address RB on the first day, but it likely won't be until the third round, as there is a good crop of safeties sure to be available when the Ravens pick again in the 2nd round. There are other questions on defense, namely whether that 46 defense will actually catch on or not, but the more important question is who is going to protect Kyle Boller's strongside? I mean who wants to see him break another body part in the first week of the season? If there were more Pro-Kyle Boller people like me, this world would be a better place.
Other Options: Marcus McNeill, Trade Down, Darnell Bing, LenDale White
14. Philadelphia Eagles - Chad Greenway, OLB Iowa
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OT, OLB, WR, DT, TE // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $7M Under
With 10-year veteran ORT Jon Runyan headed out via free agency and OLT Tra Thomas going into his 9th year, the Eagles suddenly have a need at what has been probably their most stable position over the Andy Reid reign. When your star offensive players all go down with season-ending injuries, it's time to upgrade. There is a very good chance that the Eagles can strike a deal with the Browns and leapfrog the Ravens to grab Winston Justice, which the Browns would love, because they can still land the guy they want and screw over their division rival and pick up an extra 4th rounder, which the Philadelphia Eagles conveniently have (two extra, actually). But there's no trading in Februady mock drafts! So, we'll just put Chad Greenway here. The Eagles could use an upgrade at OLB, and although Greenway might not start immediately over incumbent Dhani Jones, he is likely to provide some help on the Strong Side. And with a motor as high as Greenway's and Defensive Coordinator Jim Johnson's knack for suicide blitzing every 3 plays, there would certainly be a love connection here early on.
Other Options: Trade Up, DeMeco Ryans, Santonio Holmes, Vernon Davis
15. Atlanta Falcons - DeAngelo Williams, RB Memphis
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DS, OT, OG, DC, DE // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $10M Under
While Safety and Offensive Tackle are need positions for this team, neither presents a good value and/or fit here and the depth at both positions is deep enough to address later on Day 1. While Duckett finds himself on the trading block this offseason and incumbent RB Warrick Dunn nearing the end of his career, DeAngelo Williams would simply be too good to pass up at this point. Being that the running game is so pivotal in the success of the Falcons, this team is really only a few injuries away from being in the same position as the Jets were last year. Naysayers will point to Dunn's career numbers last season, and then the smart ones will point right back at Curtis Martin's career numbers in 2004. This team just can't afford to have any drop off at RB, and with Duckett likely on his way out (and there have been scant rumors of Dunn as well), suddenly picking up a game-changing all-purpose back like Williams doesn't seem so off base.
Other Options: Trade Down, Vernon Davis, Antonio Cromartie, Eric Winston
16. Miami Dolphins - Marcus McNeill, OT Auburn
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: QB, LOT, DC, OLB, WR // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $5M Over
Ronnie Brown is ecstatic to get his former teammate on the next level, and even happier that Saban didn't bite on the legendary Vanderbilt Quarterback Jay Cutler, like every draftnick this side of sports town has predicted since his godlike 6-for-19 Senior Bowl performance. McNeill's measurables are absolutely off the chart in terms of size and speed, and will tremendously upgrade the offensive line for the Dolphins. Should Chad Greenway fall to 16, Saban might have a bit of a debate on his hands.
Other Options: Jay Cutler, Antonio Cromartie, DeMeco Ryans, Santonio Holmes
17. Minnesota Vikings - LenDale White, RB USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: RB, OLB, ILB, SS, OG // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $24M Under
"LenDale In MinnesotaDale!" Remember that RBs Michael Bennett and Moe Williams are Unrestricted Free Agents and the WZ Onterrio Smith (that's Whizzinator) are not likely to return. And for all the hype and holler about the other members of the "Not As Good As Reggie Bush But Still Pretty Good Running Backs" Club, White runs the same 40 time (4.50) as fellow first round prospects DeAngelo Williams and Laurence Maroney--and White is carrying an extra 30 pounds of bruising bulldozerness. The combination of White and Ciatrick Fason present the thunder and lightning combination that was never fully realized by Childress in Philadelphia. Add to that Change of Pace back Mewelde Moore, and this may be the top rushing offenses for years to come.
Other Options: Laurence Maroney, DeMeco Ryans, Trade Down, Darnell Bing
18. Dallas Cowboys - Santonio Holmes, WR Ohio State
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OT, FS, OG, WR, QB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $2M Over
You'd have to be crazy to believe Bill Parcells and Jerry Jones would select an offensive lineman with this pick. Parcells is in Super Bowl-or-Bust mode this year, and no matter what happens, he's probably gone after this season. The last thing he wants is to draft a player likely to struggle his rookie year. Look for them to try to squeeze the last bit of NFL life out of Drew Bledsoe by giving him another first round receiver. A quick look down memory lane reveals a key stat: Bill Parcells doesn't believe in the 3-year rule for Receivers. Terry Glenn was drafted in 1996 in the last year of Parcells' stint on the Patriots and immediately put up 1132 yards and 6 TDs en route to a Super Bowl birth. Expect this logic to prevail again this time around in Parcells' last stint as an NFL coach (except maybe the Super Bowl birth part....)
Other Options: Chad Jackson, Trade Down, Darnell Bing, Ko Simpson
19. San Diego Chargers - Antonio Cromartie, CB Florida St.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, OT, OG, DS, DC // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $21M Under
The Chargers are in a little bit of a pickle here. If there's a run on the top three tackles, they aren't going to want to reach on a second round prospect with the 19th pick. At that, there is a great likelihood that they use this pick to shore up the secondary. San Diego is really a tough team to judge at this point, because it seems like they really want that blue-chip Offensive Tackle, but if they feel Ferguson, Justice and McNeill might be gone, they may be aggressive and move up. They have the cap room, the gutsy GM and all the necessary ammunition to really shake up the draft board and get whoever they want. Heck, I've even read a draft scenario where the Chargers get Reggie Bush. With their recent history of drafting DBs that haven't yet lived up to their potential, consider this the "last straw." If Cromartie can't come in and be that lockdown corner they've been looking for, and CBs Quentin Jammer/Jamar Fletcher don't start living up to their potential, you'll likely see them spending some serious money on free agents to solidify the secondary. At that, this could really be the year that the secondary comes together and a game-changer like Cromartie might be able to spark some life into a flat-lining secondary.
Other Options: Trade Up, Trade Down, Chad Jackson, Ko Simpson
20. Kansas City Chiefs - Claude Wroten, DT LSU
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, DC, DT, DE, QB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $22M Over.
As their cap situation indicates, the Chiefs will be massaging every bit of cap room they have to gear up for one last final last run at a championship before entering into rebuilding mode. Key veterans on this team like Left Tackle Willie Roaf, Right Guard Will Shields, Fullback Tony Richardson, perhaps even Quarterback Trent Green may be going into their last seasons. The age on this team is about to be a major factor, and this year is Ring or Rebuild. Wroten is an underrated prospect that will give the Chiefs the interior pass-rush they need to give their LBs more freedom to move around get the job done--look what Chris Hovan did for Shelton Quarles this season. Regardless of who the Chiefs take here, look for it to be a player that can immediately make plays and contribute heavily to the team's last run at a Super Bowl Title for probably a while.
Other Options: Mathias Kiwanuka, Sinorice Moss, Vernon Davis, Darnell Bing
21. New England Patriots - DeMeco Ryans, OLB Alabama
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DC, LB, SS, RB, QB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: Even
The Patriots naturally need playmaking Linebackers to make their defense run (remember when Tedy Bruschi came back from injury?). Ryans is a general on the field and a leader in the locker room. Supposing Bruschi won't be around forever, Ryans could be groomed to replace him in a few years. If this isn't isn't a Bill Belichick player, then I suppose he'll take someone else--honestly, we might as well just leave a New England-sized hole in our mocks, because this is the most impossible franchise to read. How many of you saw Corey Dillon to the Pats? How many saw Logan Mankins in the first round? These guys are nuts. I'm just going to concede defeat and quit speculating. Still, Ryans would be a solid addition to a linebacking corps that could always use more playmakers.
Other Options: Sinorice Moss, Trade Down, Tye Hill, Bobby Carpenter
22. Denver Broncos (f/WAS) - Vernon Davis, TE Maryland
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, OG/OC, TE, DT, DS // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $26M Over
This Broncos team is about to be in a world of hurt in 2007. I have to admit, after last year's Shanahan Shenanigans, I didn't see this team as a .500 ballclub, let alone an AFC Championship team. That said, you have to wonder whether the Coach/GM will make a few more wild picks, or whether he's going to make smart decisions. I suppose it's part of a show of his skill as a coach that he can deal with such a terrible GM and still compete for Super Bowls on a consistent basis, but at that, I'm just not sure what the hell he's thinking or planning on doing with two first-round picks and so little room to maneuver. Vernon Davis is probably the best player available at this point, and giving Quarterback Jake Plummer another offensive weapon would be a good idea. There are a lot of almost-needs across the board for the Broncos, positions that aren't needs now that will probably be big needs next year, but at that, I believe this team is still in Super Bowl or Bust mode, so landing a Tight End like Davis that could potentially be a No.2 receiver for this team next year would be very solid.
Other Options: Nick Mangold, Laurence Maroney, Sinorice Moss, Gabe Watson
23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Sinorice Moss, WR Miami (FL)
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, OT, DE, DC, DT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $8M Over
If it wasn't blatantly evident that the deep threat is key to the success of the West Coast Offense that Gruden runs, it will be when Joey Galloway slows down, if there's no one to take his place. Moss has all of the intangibles in leadership, smarts, etc etc that you can trace through all of the good blue-chip players on the Bucs over the last few years. Recent guys like Michael Clayton, Barrett Ruud, Carnell Williams, Alex Smith all have those same intangibles. While people knock his size, he's only a few NFL pounds lighter than Steve Smith or his older brother Santana. And NFL scouts all agree that his speed will translate to the next level. While many mocks will have the Bucs drafting a Tackle, truthbetold, it's just not a need that can't be addressed in the later few rounds. Although Galloway had a career year last year in terms of Yards (1287), catches (83), first downs (57) and catches of 20+ yards (19), just like Curtis Martin had a career year last season.... when it goes, it goes fast. When age does catch up, Galloway won't be much use, and if in 2006, his 12th year, he doesn't start to decline, rest assured he will in either his 13th or 14th, when Sinorice Moss emerges as that next big-play deep threat for the Buccaneers.
Other Options: Ernie Sims, Davin Joseph, Mathias Kiwanuka, Tye Hill
24. Cincinnati Bengals - Gabe Watson, DT Michigan
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DT, DS, TE, DE, DC // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $16M Under
Defense first. More offensive weapons would be very tempting here with a slew of playmakers still on the board, but the Bengals need to change their defensive philosophy from "let's try to not let them score so fast this time so our offense can rest" to "let's play defense." That all starts along the trenches, and the interior line needs some help. Add 330-pound Watson in and Odell Thurman might be the happiest Middle Linebacker in the NFL next year (and, of course, his corresponding IDP owners). Certainly this team will need to play some defense early on with Quarterback Carson Palmer's health still in question, and the invariable departure of sure-handed veteran backup Jon Kitna. Also, expect the Bengals to definitely land one of those six upper-echelon Tight Ends in this draft with either of their first two picks, because we all know when Palmer gets healthy, he's going to be pissed off and Rambo-ing for a playoff berth, so he can't have enough weapons.
Other Options: Leonard Pope, Ko Simpson, Mercedes Lewis, Darnell Bing
25. New York Giants - Tye Hill, CB Clemson
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DC, WR, OT, OLB, FS // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $3M Over
If the Giants don't pick a Defensive Back here, I'll donate $1,234,458 to the Michael Strahan for President fund. Did anyone else spend their New Year's Eve watching in Hi-Def as Raiders Quarterback Kerry Collins was still able to pass the ball effortlessly (ambiguous) late in the game, when the Giants had SEVENTEEN DEFENSIVE BACKS ON THE FIELD! Seriously, I think they had three or four DBs for every Moss and Porter that the Raiders had. And they still couldn't even break up a pass. A lot of people say that the Giants need linebackers, but until they get a cornerback who can play cornerback, it doesn't matter if there are five linebackers or -1 (like they did in the 4th Quarter in that game).
Other Options: Ashton Youboty, Darnell Bing, Donte Whitner, Jonathan Joseph
26. Chicago Bears - Leonard Pope, TE Georgia
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: DC, TE, FS, OT, SLB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $17M Under
This might be a bit of a stretch for the computationally-impaired, but ponder this: 11 of the bottom 12 scoring offenses in the league are picking in the top 13 in this year's draft. The lone outlier? Da Bears and their 26th ranked offense. It took what was one of the best single-season defensive performances ever to even put this team in position to win ball games. Expect that to change very soon. Add Pope and the pencil-in acquisition of pending Steelers Free Agent Wide Receiver Antwan Randel El, and this may be one hell of an almost-Offense next year. I just wish they'd let Cedric Benson run the football more.
Other Options: Ashton Youboty, Mercedes Lewis, Eric Winston, Darnell Bing
27. Carolina Panthers - Mercedes Lewis, TE U.C.L.A.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, RB, TE, QB, DT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $1M Over
Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Mercedes Lewis Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith Steve Smith. Yeah, that pretty much sums up the 2006 season for the Carolina Panthers.
Other Options: Chad Jackson, Derek Hagan, Dominique Byrd, Jay Cutler
28. Jacksonville Jaguars - Ashton Youboty, CB Ohio St.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: OLB, TE, DC, DE, OT // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $17M Under
Jacksonville fans might remember this: http://youtube.com/watch?v=qVgYeXTBmwA&search=nfl ... Do you know what's changed since week 16 of 2003? Not enough. The Jaguars' amazing Defensive Line habitually masks the deficiencies of this secondary. Bringing in a potential lockdown Cornerback would be too good to pass up here for the Jaguars. Although there are arguably bigger needs elsewhere (Offensive Tackle namely), the Jags won't pass up an opportunity to land a player from a proven college pedigree of Pro Bowl caliber CBs.
Other Options: Mathias Kiwanuka, Eric Winston, Dominique Byrd, Mercedes Lewis
29. Denver Broncos - Nick Mangold, C Ohio St.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, OG/OC, TE, DT, DS // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $26M Over
As aforementioned, it's going to be difficult for the Broncos to not make some hard salary cap cuts and contract restructures that will put them in even worse shape in 2007. Mangold is the prototype Bronco lineman, and incumbent Center Tom Nalen is entering in his 13th year. Some might see this as a reach, but if recent history is any indication, Shanahan isn't afraid to take a little gamble. Plus, this is arguably a luxury pick for the Broncos, so reaching a bit for a player that fits so perfectly into their offense would make sense.
Other Options: Chad Jackson, Davin Joseph, Derek Hagan, Ko Simpson
30. Indianapolis Colts - Joseph Addai, RB LSU
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, RB, OLB, OG, MLB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: Even
The only real need on this team is Running Back, since the departure of RB Edgerrin James is all but certain. Addai is listed at 214 lbs and 6'0. That's exactly the measurables listed on nfl.com for Edgerrin James. Addai has a lot more in common with Edge as far as running and receiving skill sets, and will benefit greatly from a 2006 Offense that is likely to be more pass-oriented while Quarterback Peyton Manning builds up a relationship with his new feature back. Nevertheless, this team otherwise can afford to just take the best player available, because they have depth issues at Linebacker and potentially along the Offensive Line.
Other Options: Charles Spencer, Davin Joseph, Ernie Sims, Chad Jackson
31. Seattle Seahawks - Ernie Sims, OLB Florida St.
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: FS, WR, OG, DE, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $21M Under
With the success of Middle Linebacker Lofa Tatupu and Weakside Linebacker LeRoy Hill, it only makes sense that the Seahawks draft the third and final piece to what will very soon be arguably the best LB corps in the NFL. Sims is a prototype Sam Backer, and when he adds a few pro football pounds is going to remind everyone of that nasty Derrick Johnson or D.J. Williams mentality. Certainly the potential loss of Left Guard Steve Hutchinson or star Running Back Shaun Alexander will impact this first round pick, but with the cap room to retain both and still make a splash in free agency (if they wanted), look for this to be more of a best player available pick, and they'll see Ernie Sims as the answer.
Other Options: Mathias Kiwanuka, Ko Simpson, Charles Spencer, Chad Jackson
32. Pittsburgh Steelers - Darnell Bing, S USC
Scouts Inc. Team Needs: WR, FS, DE, OG/OC, RB // AskTheCommish.com Salary Cap Status: $1M Under
You think this team can get enough of USC Safeties? I don't. Anyone heard the Troy Polamalu Song? If not, go do a google search for it. Anyway, Bing will replace UFA Chris Hope at worst, and at best beat the tar out of him for the starting job amidst his college hero, Superman.... err... Troy Polamalu. Although I don't think there are any nicknames yet, I'd bet you there are some clever dynamic-duo-esque names out there for the Safety pair by the end of next season.
Other Options: Charles Spencer, Chad Jackson, Derek Hagan, Mercedes Lewis
Forgive me Jay Cutler, for I have sinned.
I don't believe you!!! 
Jimmy Williams and Winston seem to be the most probable options at this point. Cutler is silliness....never gonna happen.
