5pt pass TDs isn't enough to force me to change my default 16 team draft strategy which is to be the 16th player to select a starting QB. Also one of the last to select a TE. Load up on those RBs and WRs because with 16 teams it's going to get cold at those positions fast and we do not want to be caught out there underdressed. The wire will always be picked to the bone.
Jefferson at #1, two of Ridley/Mixon/Gibbs/Etienne/Cooper in that order at the 2/3 turn
Will it though? For WRs in particular, I really tend to doubt it.
Each team only has to start 2. There aren't 48 RBs worthy of being every-week starters, so let's say 10 of the 16 roster a WR in the flex. And with only 4 bench spots, no one is going to keep more than 1, maaaybe 2 in reserve - call it 1.5 on average. That makes (32+10+18) = 60 WRs on rosters. Here's some guys with ADPs between WR60-70 at present: Marvin Mims, Gallup, DPJ, Chark, Van Jefferson, K.J. Osborn, Rashid Shaheed ... a lot of these guys are every-down receivers or close to it. I wouldn't be thrilled about starting them, but as emergency options go, I've seen way worse,
The more I ponder this format, the more I'm tempted to punt WR2
completely, and I mean "triple-digit picks" completely. The full-PPR is going to lure a lot of folks into stockpiling WR early, but VBD and positional scarcity argue for just the opposite - and even (J.Jeff + random WW dude) is gonna keep you competitive at the position. I think my going-in strategy would be JJ 1.01, and then RB-RB, RB-QB, RB-TE in some order at your next three turns depending on what's left at what position each time ... only then maybe I evaluate the WRs left on the board and go from there. I might even grab a RB5 before my WR2 if there are still top-40 guys out there and feel pretty confident that by October I'll be able to flip him for a way better WR2.