would snyder bring back shanahan in 2014, just to avoid paying him the final year of his contract.
It's a much bigger issue than that.
Long term, Dan Snyder wants to be able to say he made a commitment, a five year commitment to a coach, gave him full operational power, and stepped aside, even as the coach was clearly trying to sabotage the issue and get his next job in line.
Short term, Dan Snyder knows if Shanahan goes, that Skins job isn't going to attract top quality candidates, not ones with more options. It would force an entire regime change and a lot of personnel change and force adjustments in terms of the offensive system in place. Is Robert Griffin the answer? You don't figure that out by rotating new O coordinators all the time. This was the situation that kept extending Alex Smith more and more rope in SF, no one was quite sure what they had because there was so much turnover year to year.
Politically, within the league administration, part of the reason coaching salaries have skyrocketed in the last 15 years is because of Dan Snyder himself. He started paying coordinators head coaching money and used his big wallet to drive up the cost of coaching all across the NFL. All you need is one person to outbid himself to start a new precedent for what the "market" holds for coaching compensation. Thus in any mediated dispute left up to the league, Snyder will lose. Won't matter what it is or why or how much cause he has, he will lose. He's paying Shanahan and that staff every cent unless they quit or there is a settlement, but there is ZERO way for Snyder to fire Shanahan, even with good reason, and expect the league to rule in his favor in any arbitration hearing. ZERO. Inside the league, the other owners were furious at Snyder for driving up coaching costs the way he did. Why would a billionaire steal towels from a hotel? If you can answer that question, it's not a hard leap to understand why Snyder is better off getting Shanahan to coach again next year.
Any future failure is Shanahan's, not Snyders, for next year.
Any success was despite Shanahan and his crony son, for next year.
Shanahan has to keep a clean coaching job for next year, and yield on the passive aggressive and "fire me" behavior because he will burn out all his bridges in the league if he keeps it up for a full year. Also he will burn his son's coaching career and those associated with Shanahan through the years.
I'm just not getting this "Snyder desperate to whack Rat Face" talk. If that was true, Shanahan wouldn't need to go through these lengths in the press to get himself clipped.
Around the league, from what I'm hearing, the reason Shanahan wants out is not to secure the Texans job for himself. He's arrogant but he's not deaf and blind, he realizes the luster on his star has waned and he doesn't carry the same cache that it did before. Kirk Cousins is pure and simple, as I've discussed before last season and this preseason, is clearly a Kyle Shanahan project. Much in the way Josh McDaniels developed Matt Cassel to the point where he helped parlay that into a head coaching job and Andy Reid, despite all his flaws, developed enough 2nd stringers to parlay into the KC job, if Cousins succeeds in the next three games, it's a feather in Kyle's cap. From what I'm hearing through league back channels, the play was to get Rick Smith to push Kyle Shanahan's name as the new head coach. McNair already knows Shanahan the younger from when he was on Kubiaks staff, he acquitted himself well there and he's more in the mold of what owners are currently looking for - Young, energetic, able to develop the quarterback position, holding offensive pedigree.
The big play was not Elder Shanahan to the Texans as a head coach, the big play was to get Kyle the job and get the Elder into a player personnel role. Sources are telling me that older Shanahan envisions himself as a future "Parcells type" a free range merc who can come in as a team president and rebuild franchises. Part of the delusion apparently is that the rigors of being a head coach ( there are a lot of commitments needed by a head coach that are simply not actual coaching related) has limited the time and energy needed to fully develop as a good personnel man.
Elder Shanahan wants out because there is no guarantee how long Rick Smith will stay with the Texans. Because he's still the GM in place means nothing, if the new head coach McNair hires wants a new GM, then Smith is gone after the draft. Part of the reason Smith isn't gone right now is the new "advisory committee" set up by the NFL, where the league instituted a ruling in 2009 that says all front office jobs must adhere to the Rooney Rule as well. Kid yourself not, what this new advisory committee is going to do is basically demand documented justification on why the franchise didn't hire a black candidate. ( Can we cease pretending that the pro Rooney Rulers out there in the league actually care about the careers of Amy Trask or trying to develop Kim Ng the way MLB did, or if Norm Chow ever gets to be a head coach, or to triumph the achievements of Ron Rivera as an example instead of Mike Tomlin? Can we stop pretending the Rooney Rule is basically a rule for the benefit of blacks in the league and that no one would be sued or fined or torn apart in the press if no one wanted to make a long distance call to interview Norm Chow?) Rick Smith is black, to jettison him now would involved a lengthy process of hiring a new GM, satisfy the new "advisory committee" and still compete with other franchises for the top level candidates.
If Rick Smith pushes Kyle Shanahan's name and he's vetted and McNair takes him, Smith keeps his job, Smith is a Shanahan guy and a Kubiak guy.
If any other major head coaching candidate gets the job, there's a good chance Smith is cleaning out his desk after the draft.
This is not about Rat Face's future coaching career, again he's arrogant and myopic at times, but he's not deaf and dumb and politically incompetent. This is about securing his son in place now because that Texas job will be gone next year, and esp with the odds of Texas getting the first pick, if the Shanahans lock in there, they would entrench for 12-15 years with the right franchise QB1.
Snyder knows this. He's not just looking to save 7 million and his own perception around the league, he's making sure he doesn't have to see a Shanahan on the sideline for 15 years throwing Teddy Bridgewater at his team.
And here's why public league insiders won't just lay this all out for you. I've said this for years and years here - The problem with the current media structure and all the podcasts, blogs, articles, news sites and instant information is that there is NOT enough legitimate NFL news to fill up all that airtime and print space for 24/7/365. It's why part of the sports media subculture focuses on nothing but scandal. It's because people ended up enjoying watching Behind The Music more than the music videos themselves. So when a guy like Sigmund Bloom goes on his podcast and warns you, warns you I say, that you should never trust anyone but guys like him for league news and updates, he's just protecting his cottage industry. The more the sports media holds a veil over your eyes, the more they can trump up controversies and spin articles and time news releases just right. It's not about the milk anymore, it's about grabbing onto those udders and massaging them all day long for all they are worth. La Canfora or Schefter could explain all of this Redskin nonsense very simply to people, but it's good for ratings. And those guys are not just insiders , they are 'information brokers', meaning they have to be political and negotiate for their information. They had to plant false stories at draft time about Team X loving Player Y, because they owe a GM for Tidbit C he gave them last season. They have to write puff pieces to keep the egos of the right people happy and information flowing. They have to sit on a story they have because the Player in question is represented by Agency X or Brand D, who just don't want that information out there, and they often get an exclusive interview in trade for it.
What you hear from public league insiders is what's best for them to tell you. It's not all the information that's really out there. Because the truth is often too simple and not enough of a headline and not enough kindling for talk radio or podcasts.
I'm the worst kind of league insider. I know lots of things and I owe no one anything and I don't work for any of these jack holes. I don't have to write a puff piece or plant something to be traded for later.
This is not just a dispute about Dan Snyder and Mike Shanahan, this is not just about RG3, this is not just about 7 million bucks. It's a much larger issue in scope.
Would Bob McNair hire Kyle Shanahan if given the opportunity to do so? That's the question people should be asking, because everything will fall into place, one way or the other, depending on that answer.