What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

***Official Week 3 NFL Wagering Thread*** (1 Viewer)

K

kroyrunner89

Footballguy
Week 3 Lines:

Titans +1.5 @ Jets 37

Jaguars +3.5 @ Texans 46.5

Chiefs +9 @ Eagles 41

Browns +13 @ Ravens 38.5

Giants -6.5 @ Bucs 44

Redskins -6.5 @ Lions 38

Packers -6.5 @ Rams 41

49ers +6.5 @ Vikings 40

Falcons +4 @ Patriots 46.5

Bears -1.5 @ Seahawks 37

Saints -6 @ Bills 52

Dolphins +6 @ Chargers 44

Steelers -4 @ Bengals 37

Broncos -1 @ Raiders 36

Colts +1.5 @ Cardinals 47.5

Panthers +9 @ Cowboys 47

Good luck this week guys!

 
Last edited by a moderator:
This looks to be a busy week for me. These are a few of the lines that jumped out at me as good plays.

Titans +1.5 - I see a let down for the JETS and I like this spot for the Titans since they are 0-2 I think they will be desperate for a win. I like them to win s/u.

Buc + 6.5 - Can't decide if I will pul the trigger on this game yet. I hate backing bad teams and I feel the Bucs are one of the worst teams in the NFL. TheG-Men are coming of 2 big division wins and now playing a bad team I defintley see a let down after coming back to beat the Boys this past Sunday.

Lions + 6.5 - I think the Lions finally get a win and if not I defintley think they cover as a home dog. The skins shouldn't be laying more than a field goal to anyone at this point.

Vikings - 7 - I have been reluctant to back the Vikes the 1st 2 weeks of the season but I'm starting to beleive. Farve is playing smart right now and not forcing bad throws and turning the ball over. He is willing to take sacks and not mess the game up. I don't think the niners will be able to score more than 10 pts in this game and Gore is yet banged up again. The niners strength is the running game and the Vikes are damn good against the run.

Bears - 1.5 - I'm not big on road favorites and backing teams coming off of last minute big game wins but this spread is under a field goal and I don't think Hassleback plays this week.

Panthers + 9 - I can't believe the Cowboys are laying 9 pts to anyone. The panthers are not a bad team and the boys secondary stinks. I look for Jake and S Smith to have a big game against them. The Panthers are 0-2 and know if they go 0-3 that their chances of the post-season will be very slim. i think they keep this game close and competitive.

I will probably play all of these games s/u and I will defintley have these teams on a 6pt teaser.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
duece2626 said:
Ravens could beat the Browns by 30
Click to expand...
They could, but they wont. This spread should not be 13, more like 7-8, Browns should cover easy here, and this might be my 2nd favorite bet of the week. The Lions will win outright against the Redskins. Like i said in the week 2 thread, bets like this come around maybe once a year.
 
Cardinals look good after a short week for Indy and their D has to be exhausted after Monday Night. Now they have to chase Fitz & Boldin around.

 
I'm not sure if the Jags will have much luck stopping the Texans at all. No pass rush + Schaub and Andre = bad news

 
kroyrunner89 said:
Week 3 Lines:

Titans +1.5 @ Jets 37

Jaguars +3.5 @ Texans 46.5

Chiefs ??? @ Eagles ???

Browns +13 @ Ravens 38.5

Giants -6.5 @ Bucs 44

Redskins -6.5 @ Lions 38

Packers -6.5 @ Rams 41

49ers +7 @ Vikings 40

Falcons +4 @ Patriots 44.5

Bears -1.5 @ Seahawks 37

Saints -5 @ Bills 52.5

Dolphins +6 @ Chargers 44

Steelers -4 @ Bengals 37

Broncos PK @ Raiders 36

Good luck this week guys!
Click to expand...
Love the Texans
 
Burning Sensation said:
duece2626 said:
Ravens could beat the Browns by 30
Click to expand...
They could, but they wont. This spread should not be 13, more like 7-8, Browns should cover easy here, and this might be my 2nd favorite bet of the week. The Lions will win outright against the Redskins. Like i said in the week 2 thread, bets like this come around maybe once a year.
Click to expand...
After the games ended this weekend, I immediately thought, hey the Lions should beat the Skins outright this week, and that it'd make a great bet because Washington will likely be favoured. But 6.5 points? Wow. The Skins only scored 9 points on the Rams for crissakes and that was at home.I think Detroit is going to make the Skins miserable this week.
 
Ive put in some early plays before the lines move.

Lions +6.5 - 6 units(plan on putting at least 2 units on the moneyline when it becomes available)

Bears -1.5 - 3 units(Getting on this early before Hasselbeck is officially ruled out and the spread moves to over a field goal. I like the Bears either way however)

Saints -5.5 - 2 units (Dont like going against my Bills, but this game could get ugly quick. Mckelvin is also banged up, and you dont want to be missing one of your top corners against the Saints)

Packers -6.5 - 1 unit(I dont usually like giving that many points on the road, but i like the Packers to beat up on a bad Rams team after being embarassed at home last week.

Already taking two road teams giving points and dont want to push my luck, but i cant help but to like the Colts ML vs. the Cardinals. Might wait to see how my early games go before betting that one.

Will probably play the Browns, but i think i will wait to see if the spread moves in my favor.

 
SuperJohn96 said:
Burning Sensation said:
duece2626 said:
Ravens could beat the Browns by 30
Click to expand...
They could, but they wont. This spread should not be 13, more like 7-8, Browns should cover easy here, and this might be my 2nd favorite bet of the week. The Lions will win outright against the Redskins. Like i said in the week 2 thread, bets like this come around maybe once a year.
Click to expand...
After the games ended this weekend, I immediately thought, hey the Lions should beat the Skins outright this week, and that it'd make a great bet because Washington will likely be favoured. But 6.5 points? Wow. The Skins only scored 9 points on the Rams for crissakes and that was at home.I think Detroit is going to make the Skins miserable this week.
Click to expand...
I dont like that the Lions will be without Simms, but the Skins will be without Randy Thomas, probably their best runblocking Olineman. The Lions wont go 0-16 again, and this game seems to be the one they are most likely to win. I actually like the Lions to win easily, and think they should be the TD favorite. Lions 23, Skins 13.
 
I just can't understand this Texans line... I feel like it should be -6.5 or 7. I really like that game but I feel like I'm walking into a trap

 
kroyrunner89 said:
I just can't understand this Texans line... I feel like it should be -6.5 or 7. I really like that game but I feel like I'm walking into a trap
Click to expand...
I think it is a trap. I don't feel comfortable with the Texans laying anything over a field goal. This is a division game plus the Texans have a bad def which is never good for laying points but of course you know that. Good luck with whatever you decide.
 
Ok, any help here on hitting a slip?

Odds: 4=9, 5=15, 6=25, 7=41, 8=61, 9=101, 10=171

This guy puts out lines that completly change and let's me turn in the slip with these lines Friday night.

Leans: Titans +3, Texans -4, Lions +7, Rams +10, Vikings -7, Saints -3, Dolphins +7, Bengals +7

Debating on whether to play all 8 and mix some 4 teamers. I do like a 4-teamer of NO, MIA, HOU, DET.

NFL:

NY Jets -3 vs Tennessee

Houston -4 vs Jacksonville

Philadelphia -10 vs Kansas City

NY Giants -7 vs Tampa Ba

Washington -7 vs Detroit

Green Bay -10 vs St. Louis

Minnesota -7 vs San Francisco

New England -6 vs Atlanta

New Orleans -3 vs Buffalo

San Diego -7 vs Miami

Pittsburgh -7 vs Cincinnati

Oakland -1 vs Denver -1

Indianapolis -3 vs Arizona

 
Zowned said:
Ok, any help here on hitting a slip?Odds: 4=9, 5=15, 6=25, 7=41, 8=61, 9=101, 10=171This guy puts out lines that completly change and let's me turn in the slip with these lines Friday night.Leans: Titans +3, Texans -4, Lions +7, Rams +10, Vikings -7, Saints -3, Dolphins +7, Bengals +7Debating on whether to play all 8 and mix some 4 teamers. I do like a 4-teamer of NO, MIA, HOU, DET.NFL:NY Jets -3 vs TennesseeHouston -4 vs JacksonvillePhiladelphia -10 vs Kansas CityNY Giants -7 vs Tampa BaWashington -7 vs DetroitGreen Bay -10 vs St. LouisMinnesota -7 vs San FranciscoNew England -6 vs AtlantaNew Orleans -3 vs BuffaloSan Diego -7 vs MiamiPittsburgh -7 vs CincinnatiOakland -1 vs Denver -1Indianapolis -3 vs Arizona
Click to expand...
:thumbup: Can I call your Guy?
 
I wish I could bet these lines for the actual games but they are only on the slips he gives out so have to pick 4 of them. Still, should be able to find 4. There are also college on them. NC State vs Pitt they are now a 1 1/2 pt favorite. On the slip they're getting 3 points.

 
Zowned said:
I wish I could bet these lines for the actual games but they are only on the slips he gives out so have to pick 4 of them. Still, should be able to find 4. There are also college on them. NC State vs Pitt they are now a 1 1/2 pt favorite. On the slip they're getting 3 points.
Click to expand...
Oh okay now I got ya....I have been drinking so I'm a little slow tonight. Wow hitting 4 games is tough.
 
Titans +1.5 @ Jets 37

Giants -6.5 @ Bucs 44

Falcons +4 @ Patriots 44.5
Click to expand...
I'm a little scared of taking 3 road teams, but...Titans will be really motivated to not start 0-3 - and they have a very good OL that will give the Titans opportunities to make plays on offense.

I think the Bucs are one of the 5 worst teams in the league.

I think the Falcons are underrated in general - I'd put them around #3 if I had to put out a power ranking - they are a better team right now than the Pats.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I'd be very wary of putting money on the Titans right now. They are 3-6 in their last 9 games and Rex Ryan's D always gives them fits. If not for the 3 big plays by Chris Johnson last week, one of which no one was covering him, the Titans had a tough time moving the ball. The locker room is in an uproar with Fisher pointing fingers at the players and the players pointing fingers at the coaches. If we could get pressure on Sanchez I would like the Titans in this game but we couldnt get pressure on Schaub last week and the Jets OL is better. I think the Jets win by 3-6 points. Just a couple of points of caution from a level headed Titans fan.

 
:mellow:

Keeping an eye on these games. Will probably take 3-5 of them depending:

Cle +13 (i just generally feel like no NFL team should be a double digit dog)

Det +6.5 (Sims out might keep me away though)

SF +7 (I just like SF a lot this season. Will see how Gore is later in the week)

Atl +4 (Atlanta is a better team than NE right now overall IMO, so I have them winning or at least keeping it close)

Mia +6 (what has SD shown us so far this season? I think they are still overrated and Miami looked good overall save for one fluke WR screen and a ####ty 2min drill - that SHOULD still have won the game had Ginn caught a great ball)

Oak +1.5 (hate relying on Jamarcus for anything, but Oak isnt that bad and Den is overrated and away from home)

Az -2.5 (Colts havent impressed me either week really on either side of the ball. Az has a much improved defense)

Car +9 (too many points, although a little leary of Jake still)

 
kroyrunner89 said:
Week 3 Lines:Titans +1.5 @ Jets 37Jaguars +3.5 @ Texans 46.5Chiefs ??? @ Eagles ???Browns +13 @ Ravens 38.5Giants -6.5 @ Bucs 44Redskins -6.5 @ Lions 38Packers -6.5 @ Rams 4149ers +6.5 @ Vikings 40Falcons +4 @ Patriots 46.5Bears -1.5 @ Seahawks 37Saints -6 @ Bills 52Dolphins +6 @ Chargers 44Steelers -4 @ Bengals 37Broncos -1 @ Raiders 36Colts +1.5 @ Cardinals 47.5Panthers +9 @ Cowboys 47Good luck this week guys!
Click to expand...
Lines updated, I'll do it once more once an Eagles line is up
 
Update: decided to hit the slips for 10 each...a 4-teamer, 5-teamer, 7-teamer, 10-teamer

4: Detroit +7, New Orleans -3, Miami +7, Cincinnati +7

5: Detroit +7, New Orleans -3, Miami +7, Cincinnati +7, NY Giants -7

7: Detroit +7, New Orleans -3, Miami +7, Cincinnati +7, NY Giants -7, San Francisco +7, Arizona +3

10: Detroit +7, New Orleans -3, Miami +7, Cincinnati +7, NY Giants -7, San Francisco +7, Arizona +3, NC State +3, Rice +10, Purdue +10

Will be an interesting hedge opportunity if I somehow hit 9/10 and come down to the Ari/Ind game since I'd be getting to hedge and getting a hell of a middle opportunity.

Hit 10: +2320

Hit 7: +610

Hit 5: +200

Hit 4: +50

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Those doubting that Baltimore will cover, they covered (double digit spread) against KC. Not sure what the spread was last week but, they won on the road. Now they face one of the worst (sorry Cleveland fans) team in the league at home. If the Ravens don't throw a single pass, they still cover IMHO.

 
(unwelcomed)GUEST said:
Those doubting that Baltimore will cover, they covered (double digit spread) against KC. Not sure what the spread was last week but, they won on the road. Now they face one of the worst (sorry Cleveland fans) team in the league at home. If the Ravens don't throw a single pass, they still cover IMHO.
Click to expand...
Well keep in mind that they were tied with the Chiefs (Being led by Thigpen) with 2:30 to go in the game and somehow pulled off the miracle cover. I'm concerned with their defense, even if it is the Browns. The way it's been playing, they shouldn't be laying 13 to anyone. This is a stay away game for me, since a backdoor cover or a blowout win both seem like they have equal chance of happening.
 
2-2-1 last week.

Week 3 Lines:

Titans +1.5 @ Jets 37

Browns +13 @ Ravens 38.5

Packers -6.5 @ Rams 41

Bears -1.5 @ Seahawks 37

Saints -6 @ Bills 52

 
kroyrunner89 said:
(unwelcomed)GUEST said:
Those doubting that Baltimore will cover, they covered (double digit spread) against KC. Not sure what the spread was last week but, they won on the road. Now they face one of the worst (sorry Cleveland fans) team in the league at home. If the Ravens don't throw a single pass, they still cover IMHO.
Click to expand...
Well keep in mind that they were tied with the Chiefs (Being led by Thigpen) with 2:30 to go in the game and somehow pulled off the miracle cover. I'm concerned with their defense, even if it is the Browns. The way it's been playing, they shouldn't be laying 13 to anyone. This is a stay away game for me, since a backdoor cover or a blowout win both seem like they have equal chance of happening.
Click to expand...
Some trends for the balt/cle get together...The Brownies are 2-4 ats being a double-digit dog; 0-6 straight up.The Brownies are currently on a 0-8 run ats while the Baltimores are currently running at 13-3 ats.
 
Under Harbaugh, Ravens are 10-0 vs. non-playoff teams with an average victory margin of 17 points. I do not think the Browns are a playoff team this year.

It's become pretty clear in Baltimore this week that the Ravens' D (who only gave up 188 yards vs. KC, with 14 pts coming off a blocked punt and an INT return) are very angry about all the talk saying they're no good anymore, with Rex Ryan leaving, and that they've been surpassed by their own offense.

Ravens are always tough at home. And with the Defense viewing this as a statement game, I'm not shying away from continuing to ride with Baltimore, who has been tremendous ATS since Harbaugh came in. I also love the Giants at Tampa

 
Seems like the Ravens have a lot going for them... that might not be a bad play. Good luck with it guys, I'm not going to jump on board it but I'll be watching and pulling for ya

 
kroyrunner89 said:
Week 3 Lines:Titans +1.5 @ Jets 37Jaguars +3.5 @ Texans 46.5Chiefs +9 @ Eagles 41Browns +13 @ Ravens 38.5Giants -6.5 @ Bucs 44Redskins -6.5 @ Lions 38Packers -6.5 @ Rams 4149ers +6.5 @ Vikings 40Falcons +4 @ Patriots 46.5Bears -1.5 @ Seahawks 37Saints -6 @ Bills 52Dolphins +6 @ Chargers 44Steelers -4 @ Bengals 37Broncos -1 @ Raiders 36Colts +1.5 @ Cardinals 47.5Panthers +9 @ Cowboys 47Good luck this week guys!
Click to expand...
Titans over Jets straight up, I'd even tease to -2.5 pts, Titans aren't going 0-3 and Jets aren't going 3-0HOU/JAX over 46.5, neither one's played much D this season and neither should be much of a surpriseLions +6.5, not brave enough to take them straight up but I'm brave enough to tease it down to 3.5 I think this is when they get off the schnideBills +6, Saints aren't usually the same away from home and Buffalo's not as bad as this line suggestsFins/Chargers over 44, Bolts can pile up the points and can't stop anyone, not even a team void of big play makers like MiamiBengals +4, this could come down to a GW FG, Steelers aren't that good and if the Bengals O plays like last week I think they're the better teamRaiders +1, Denver can't go 3-0 can they?Carolina +9, Dallas is not that good and while Carolina is full of holes they aren't that bad either, Dallas should win but more than a TD favorite? No. Over 47 too.
 
Mr. Black said:
This looks to be a busy week for me. These are a few of the lines that jumped out at me as good plays.

Titans +1.5 - I see a let down for the JETS and I like this spot for the Titans since they are 0-2 I think they will be desperate for a win. I like them to win s/u.

Buc + 6.5 - Can't decide if I will pul the trigger on this game yet. I hate backing bad teams and I feel the Bucs are one of the worst teams in the NFL. TheG-Men are coming of 2 big division wins and now playing a bad team I defintley see a let down after coming back to beat the Boys this past Sunday.

Lions + 6.5 - I think the Lions finally get a win and if not I defintley think they cover as a home dog. The skins shouldn't be laying more than a field goal to anyone at this point.

Vikings - 7 - I have been reluctant to back the Vikes the 1st 2 weeks of the season but I'm starting to beleive. Farve is playing smart right now and not forcing bad throws and turning the ball over. He is willing to take sacks and not mess the game up. I don't think the niners will be able to score more than 10 pts in this game and Gore is yet banged up again. The niners strength is the running game and the Vikes are damn good against the run.

Bears - 1.5 - I'm not big on road favorites and backing teams coming off of last minute big game wins but this spread is under a field goal and I don't think Hassleback plays this week.

Panthers + 9 - I can't believe the Cowboys are laying 9 pts to anyone. The panthers are not a bad team and the boys secondary stinks. I look for Jake and S Smith to have a big game against them. The Panthers are 0-2 and know if they go 0-3 that their chances of the post-season will be very slim. i think they keep this game close and competitive.

I will probably play all of these games s/u and I will defintley have these teams on a 6pt teaser.
Click to expand...
Official PlaysTitans +3 (-120)

Lions +7 (-130) *Bought .5

Panthers +8.5

Buccaneers +7 (-125) *Bought .5

Vikings -7

Bears -2

 
Last edited by a moderator:
MAC_32 said:
HOU/JAX over 46.5, neither one's played much D this season and neither should be much of a surprise
Click to expand...
Not true for Jacksonville. Jax D only allowed 14 points at Indy and 24 points to Arizona. (The other seven was a blocked kick return).
 
Anyone know of a sports info site that has matchups with the following info:

- Normal team stats and box score links

- Total Plays

- 3rd down efficiency

- Plays per point

- injuries with previous week's lineup

I've seen different sites with some of these but can't seem to find one site with all of them. Also, feel free to include any wagering info I'm forgetting about. Thanks in advance for any help you can give me.

 
abrecher said:
MAC_32 said:
HOU/JAX over 46.5, neither one's played much D this season and neither should be much of a surprise
Click to expand...
Not true for Jacksonville. Jax D only allowed 14 points at Indy and 24 points to Arizona. (The other seven was a blocked kick return).
Click to expand...
But they're giving up 7.87 yards per pass attempt on d (tied for 3rd worst in the league), which some something i fully expect houston to exploit
 
Last edited by a moderator:
I like some of the dogs this week but I feel like the Lions-Skins is a trap game - I know the Skins are woeful, but too much public 'sexy pick' love for the Lions. How could you back either team with confidence?

 
MAC_32 said:
kroyrunner89 said:
Week 3 Lines:Titans +1.5 @ Jets 37Jaguars +3.5 @ Texans 46.5Chiefs +9 @ Eagles 41Browns +13 @ Ravens 38.5Giants -6.5 @ Bucs 44Redskins -6.5 @ Lions 38Packers -6.5 @ Rams 4149ers +6.5 @ Vikings 40Falcons +4 @ Patriots 46.5Bears -1.5 @ Seahawks 37Saints -6 @ Bills 52Dolphins +6 @ Chargers 44Steelers -4 @ Bengals 37Broncos -1 @ Raiders 36Colts +1.5 @ Cardinals 47.5Panthers +9 @ Cowboys 47Good luck this week guys!
Click to expand...
Titans over Jets straight up, I'd even tease to -2.5 pts, Titans aren't going 0-3 and Jets aren't going 3-0HOU/JAX over 46.5, neither one's played much D this season and neither should be much of a surpriseLions +6.5, not brave enough to take them straight up but I'm brave enough to tease it down to 3.5 I think this is when they get off the schnideBills +6, Saints aren't usually the same away from home and Buffalo's not as bad as this line suggestsFins/Chargers over 44, Bolts can pile up the points and can't stop anyone, not even a team void of big play makers like MiamiBengals +4, this could come down to a GW FG, Steelers aren't that good and if the Bengals O plays like last week I think they're the better teamRaiders +1, Denver can't go 3-0 can they?Carolina +9, Dallas is not that good and while Carolina is full of holes they aren't that bad either, Dallas should win but more than a TD favorite? No. Over 47 too.
Click to expand...
:hifive: Saints put up 48 in Philly
 
kroyrunner89 said:
abrecher said:
MAC_32 said:
HOU/JAX over 46.5, neither one's played much D this season and neither should be much of a surprise
Click to expand...
Not true for Jacksonville. Jax D only allowed 14 points at Indy and 24 points to Arizona. (The other seven was a blocked kick return).
Click to expand...
But they're giving up 7.87 yards per pass attempt on d (tied for 3rd worst in the league), which some something i fully expect houston to exploit
Click to expand...
Keep in mind that Houston is giving up 6.3 yards per rush so I'm certain Jacksonville will exploit THAT. If Jacksonville can pull what Miami did on Monday Night, they cover this game.
 
Groundpounder said:
kroyrunner89 said:
abrecher said:
MAC_32 said:
HOU/JAX over 46.5, neither one's played much D this season and neither should be much of a surprise
Click to expand...
Not true for Jacksonville. Jax D only allowed 14 points at Indy and 24 points to Arizona. (The other seven was a blocked kick return).
Click to expand...
But they're giving up 7.87 yards per pass attempt on d (tied for 3rd worst in the league), which some something i fully expect houston to exploit
Click to expand...
Keep in mind that Houston is giving up 6.3 yards per rush so I'm certain Jacksonville will exploit THAT. If Jacksonville can pull what Miami did on Monday Night, they cover this game.
Click to expand...
Oh I thought we were talking about the over, not who would cover. Yeah, Houston's terrible run defense so far is another reason to like the over
 
Last edited by a moderator:
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

socrates
Early 2026 Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings
2
Replies
52
Views
13K
Max Power
Max Power
Scoresman
2024 SoS Analysis - Why this metric is not very useful
Replies
1
Views
570
TheWinz
TheWinz
D
***OFFICIAL 2025 OFFENSE/DEFENSE CONTEST PLAYOFF EDITION*** FINAL STANDINGS
Replies
32
Views
860
TheWinz
TheWinz

Users who are viewing this thread

Total: 1 (members: 0, guests: 1)
Back
Top