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OK Giant Homers need opinions about Nicks? (1 Viewer)

MissionCoach

Footballguy
Hakeem Nicks is being touted on FFG's as having "great chance to burst into the Top 20 this year...total package....Giants best receiver"

How do you think he will do FFwise in a PPR league?

 
Have Nicks in a lot of leagues this year. Expecting a quantum leap. A little worried about all the talk on getting back to the run, but he can be had in the 4th still. I got him in the fifth not too long ago. For a guy I think is capable of 1200 plus that's not bad.

 
I like Nicks but I think Smith may still be the one you want.
based on last years numbers, yea steve smith is the safer pick but nicks is a way better value at his ADP plus the fact that we have pretty much seen smith's ceiling and Nick's upside is so tremendous that it's the type of saavy drafting that win's fantasy championships.I am a die hard Giants fan and after watching Nick's rookie year, considering he was injured the start of the season and put up the numbers he did in 6 starts (I believe), he is primed for a monsterous season. Plus the fact that the new Meadowlands Stadium is likely engineered to decrese their infamous "swirling winds" thus enhancing Eli's ability to throw the deep ball to Nicks. He's had all off season, camp, and preseason to get acclimated with all Giant's recieving routes (something he didn't have last year). If he's able to stay healthy, between his increase in playing time and rookie numbers, his projections for this season are almost mind boggling.
 
What is making everyone believe this is the year Nicks breaks out?

Doesn't the theory go that it's in the 3rd year that WRs tend to break out?

I think Nicks has talent and opportunity, but what specifically makes people think he takes a "quantum leap" this year?

 
What is making everyone believe this is the year Nicks breaks out?

Doesn't the theory go that it's in the 3rd year that WRs tend to break out?

I think Nicks has talent and opportunity, but what specifically makes people think he takes a "quantum leap" this year?
3rd year is a misnomer. Its used because most rookies take about 2 full years to first get acclimated to the long season and then the full playbook. If a guy has talent, they will shine through. I.e Randy Moss, DeSean Jackson, Calvin Johnson, Jerry Rice, etc.
 
What is making everyone believe this is the year Nicks breaks out?

Doesn't the theory go that it's in the 3rd year that WRs tend to break out?

I think Nicks has talent and opportunity, but what specifically makes people think he takes a "quantum leap" this year?
Depends on how pro ready a WR is coming in; last year I think Nicks and Crabtree fit the bill, but Maclin was pretty good as well.3rd year theory was a good one around 2004-07, but what is the recent trend?

How did Calvin do as a sophomore?

Desean?

Situation wise, I think Hakeem is a country mile in front of any Giants WR talent wise; SuperMario is going to have a big, big drop in production IMO.

Trust wise, as a route runner, clutch third down security blanket, its still SS.

Big play can bust it anytime anywhere against anyone, its the Dream.

I would not be surprised if this year Smith is steady eddy and Nicks is boom-bust-boom.

Serious talent in that kid, does a lot of things on the football field the right way.

 
What is making everyone believe this is the year Nicks breaks out?

Doesn't the theory go that it's in the 3rd year that WRs tend to break out?

I think Nicks has talent and opportunity, but what specifically makes people think he takes a "quantum leap" this year?
I said what specifically a few posts up..plus, i've never seen a team throw so many screens to a WR before. He consistently gets yardage on them too. He has tremendous playmaking ability and despite his limited exposure to the giants WR routes last year, they literally just gave him the ball because of his abilit. He ran simple routes last year and was spectacular. Look to see him to line up on differnt sides of the ball and give differnt looks and routes. The Giants will get him the ball.

 
I like Nicks but I think Smith may still be the one you want.
based on last years numbers, yea steve smith is the safer pick but nicks is a way better value at his ADP plus the fact that we have pretty much seen smith's ceiling and Nick's upside is so tremendous that it's the type of saavy drafting that win's fantasy championships.I am a die hard Giants fan and after watching Nick's rookie year, considering he was injured the start of the season and put up the numbers he did in 6 starts (I believe), he is primed for a monsterous season. Plus the fact that the new Meadowlands Stadium is likely engineered to decrese their infamous "swirling winds" thus enhancing Eli's ability to throw the deep ball to Nicks. He's had all off season, camp, and preseason to get acclimated with all Giant's recieving routes (something he didn't have last year). If he's able to stay healthy, between his increase in playing time and rookie numbers, his projections for this season are almost mind boggling.
This type of savvy drafting? So what, people that draft Nicks will win their leagues? Everyone agrees he has upside. If he goes for 1200+ yards and 10 tds, those that draft him look great. If he goes for 900 yards and 7 tds...it's not such a savvy move getting him ahead of Garcon, TO, Malcolm Floyd, Hines Ward, etc.
 
Nicks owner here.

The thing about Nicks is he still has a tremendous amount of growth potential in terms of the craft. So far he doesn't appear to be a slow learner or limited in how much of the pro game he absorbs. That makes him a high upside guy.

But he's listed at WR15 on my DD last I checked and was at WR12 at one point a few weeks ago. To me that's too high. Is he capable of it? Sure. But that seems like a significant gamble for a guy you count on as a borderline WR1/WR2.

 
Nicks owner here.The thing about Nicks is he still has a tremendous amount of growth potential in terms of the craft. So far he doesn't appear to be a slow learner or limited in how much of the pro game he absorbs. That makes him a high upside guy.But he's listed at WR15 on my DD last I checked and was at WR12 at one point a few weeks ago. To me that's too high. Is he capable of it? Sure. But that seems like a significant gamble for a guy you count on as a borderline WR1/WR2.
Not much of a gamble when you get him at the beginning of round 9 like I did in one of my drafts..... :thumbup:Got him at the beginning of the 6th in the other one, which I can also live with.
 
I like Nicks but I think Smith may still be the one you want.
based on last years numbers, yea steve smith is the safer pick but nicks is a way better value at his ADP plus the fact that we have pretty much seen smith's ceiling and Nick's upside is so tremendous that it's the type of saavy drafting that win's fantasy championships.I am a die hard Giants fan and after watching Nick's rookie year, considering he was injured the start of the season and put up the numbers he did in 6 starts (I believe), he is primed for a monsterous season. Plus the fact that the new Meadowlands Stadium is likely engineered to decrese their infamous "swirling winds" thus enhancing Eli's ability to throw the deep ball to Nicks. He's had all off season, camp, and preseason to get acclimated with all Giant's recieving routes (something he didn't have last year). If he's able to stay healthy, between his increase in playing time and rookie numbers, his projections for this season are almost mind boggling.
This type of savvy drafting? So what, people that draft Nicks will win their leagues? Everyone agrees he has upside. If he goes for 1200+ yards and 10 tds, those that draft him look great. If he goes for 900 yards and 7 tds...it's not such a savvy move getting him ahead of Garcon, TO, Malcolm Floyd, Hines Ward, etc.
you just proved my point as last year he went for 790/6..........STARTING ONLY 6 GAMES. Throw out the fact that he had a year to better acquaint himself with the giants offense, and work with Eli more for 2010. Throw that out. Take those numbers and project them over a 16 game season. Do you have those numbers in your head? Thats strictly statistics. Now, throw in genearl development of a 1st year WR to a 2nd and then add in a HEALTHY year of getting acquainted with the Giants Offense (which he missed out on last year, as a rookie, and still produced) Mind Boggling numbers. Like I said, if he gets anywhere close to those numbers, I will be happy.

 
I think too many people aren't aware of the tremendous rookie season he had last year considering everything that was holding him back. If you look at just the numbers 790/6, yea pretty good for a rookie WR playing every game. It's amazing is you realize that Nicks was injured most the season, didn't play every game and started only 6. His snaps will increase significantly this year. I'm tired of arguing this because it just makes too much sense.

 
I don't think opposing defenses game planned very well once Nicks returned to the field. I believe he will get much more attention this year. Double teams? Playing opposite opposing D's best shut down corners? I think Nicks will indeed scare defenses, and that might actually help Smith maintain that 100 reception pace again this year. Nicks could clear out the DB's for Smith to run underneath and crossing patterns.

I'd still take Smith, hands down in PPR formats. Nicks's PPR ADP is 53, WR#18. That is mid-WR2 territory. Mid-fourth round. That's pretty lofty for a player who has only played six NFL games. Small sample size and it's highly unlikely he could do what he did over those 6 games over a 16 game season, or he'd break nearly every record in the books. I think he is over valued, but is a swing for the fences pick, and a gamble at his current ADP.

 
Doesn't look like the D is going to be any better this year (e.g., expect shoot outs).
I don't agree with the above one bit, as I think the Giants defense is going to be much better than last years. The injuries that occurred on the '09 Giants would have decimated ANY defensive unit. Back to the original topic of Nicks, this is not a power running team right now, and have proven that recently. Manning is their ticket to winning games and scoring points on the offense. Not so much pass first as Peyton and the Colts, but Eli, Nicks, Smith and Manningham are going to be relied on heavily this year no matter the score. The fact that he can also take a simple OUT or Quick Hitch pattern 70 yards to the house gives him more than that one-dimensional deep ball look. I think he could be in for a pretty big year.
 
Thanks all for your insight (nyy45, you were posting at the relative same time as I did so I did not see your post).

I see a lot of what I've seen about Nicks already -- tremendous talent and upside, should improve if he remains healthy, projecting a relatively small sample out to 16 games, he should improve his gameplay wiht one more year in the big leagues, etc.

This may all be true, but I balance these against the fact that the Giants are lucky to have a very deep WR stable -- Smith and even Manningham (also injured last year) are talented in their own right, and Boss is also effective downfield. I just don't see Nicks having this monumental leap forward with all of the tools Manning has at his disposal.

It will come down to how he's being used on the field -- the tidbit about him being on the receiving end of a lot of screens is a great one. I know Santana Moss was enormously successful early on his career with similar utilization. Will be watching the last preseason game to see if Nicks really warrants the WR1 tag people seem willing to hang on him -- right now, while he may be incredibly talented, I just think that the situation he's in limits that upside somewhat.

 
Thanks all for your insight (nyy45, you were posting at the relative same time as I did so I did not see your post).I see a lot of what I've seen about Nicks already -- tremendous talent and upside, should improve if he remains healthy, projecting a relatively small sample out to 16 games, he should improve his gameplay wiht one more year in the big leagues, etc.This may all be true, but I balance these against the fact that the Giants are lucky to have a very deep WR stable -- Smith and even Manningham (also injured last year) are talented in their own right, and Boss is also effective downfield. I just don't see Nicks having this monumental leap forward with all of the tools Manning has at his disposal.It will come down to how he's being used on the field -- the tidbit about him being on the receiving end of a lot of screens is a great one. I know Santana Moss was enormously successful early on his career with similar utilization. Will be watching the last preseason game to see if Nicks really warrants the WR1 tag people seem willing to hang on him -- right now, while he may be incredibly talented, I just think that the situation he's in limits that upside somewhat.
I appreciate your take on Nicks and agree that it's risky to assume him a WR1, even after yesterday's game. He's a strong WR2 with WR1 upside. The risk being, are you willing to bet on that upside and take him as a WR1? I have him as a WR3 in my 14 team league, so no I did not take that risk but this is what I'm talking about when I said he could win fantasy championships. The potential of 2 or 3 WR 1's on a team, with Nicks being drafted as a WR2/3 on a team that already has a stud 1 and high 2.I was at the game yesterday and he looked great. It seemed like when the Giants went with 3 WR, Smith was in the slot (which makes sense) with Nicks and Manningham out wide. Nick's is the Giant's #1, as we saw yesterday. I don't want it to seem like I'm over hyping his performance yesterday, but I am just as high on him now as I was before preseason. Him and Manning did look a bit "off" on a few routes but connected when it mattered, and this is why I don't consider yesterday a fluke at all. Here is why Nicks' is the Giants #1: Correct me if I'm wrong, but his first few targets went incomplete and although they weren't the best balls by Manning, Nick's got his hands on them and could have come down with the ball. Eli still trusted him enough to target him in the red zone and they connected when it mattered most, with Eli targeting him despite his first few targets ending incomplete. I hope yesterday's game lent some insight to Nicks' tremendous situation with the New York Football Giants.
 
Anyone watch the Giants game? I'm starting to dislike Nicks as a player if he is indeed healthy. His body language really bothers me. I'm guessing it's par for the course to be a prima donna as receiver in the NFL but he seems to be going down that road. What do you think?

 
I saw some and Eli flat out Missed Nicks on two deep balls, one thrown out of bands and another overthrown, but I didn't notice what you are talking about. Could you provide some more detail?

Hakeem Nicks caught seven passes for 56 yards in Sunday's loss to the Titans.

Nicks' ankle didn't appear to be an issue. He did drop a ball that went for an interception -- the second time that has happened this year. But Eli Manning didn't stop going away from Nicks and he ended up with 11 targets. Nicks will find more room down the field against the Bears next week.

 
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I saw some and Eli flat out Missed Nicks on two deep balls, one thrown out of bands and another overthrown, but I didn't notice what you are talking about. Could you provide some more detail?
Yeah. I thought Nicks looked good and was close to having a big day; Manning just missed him on a couple routes. The only play I can think where he looked bad was the interception in the first quarter. The ball was way behind him and I think it was a reasonable drop, but when it caromed and was intercepted, Nicks just stood there and didn't try to make a play. It looked worse in real time than it did on the replay. I think he just didn't see the ball get deflected so drastically and was wondering what was going on. But for a second it looked like he was quitting on the play.
 
The fact that I don't know much about Nicks's personality tells me that there's nothing to worry about. No smoke, no fire

 
I was at the game yesterday and all in all Nicks looked pretty good. I didn't have the look of a dominating WR, just of a good one. His drop that was picked was a bit behind him but it could have been caught. The NYG offense really seems to click more when they run the 3 wide sets. I'm not sure why they don't run them more often. One thing that stands out when you are at the game is that NYG run a lot of plays designed to get Smith open. Nicks and Manningham just seem to get open regardless.

 
The fact that I don't know much about Nicks's personality tells me that there's nothing to worry about. No smoke, no fire
From the attitude perspective I really wouldn't worry too much, he seems like a quiet dude and I haven't noticed him sulking. Though, if you did see something yesterday it can almost be understood-it was a rough game for the Giants. The Titans roughed them up and goaded them into 6 Personal Fouls. So maybe he felt like the Titans were playing dirty or something. Though he definitely drops some balls (to be expected from a young receiver) Nicks has stud potential. Big, fast and physical. His biggest problem right now is that Eli spreads the ball around (Smith, Manningham, Boss, Bradshaw..) and teams dont respect the Giants ability to run the ball. Last week vs Indy he was double covered a lot of the game too.In short, he can't be counted on as a #1, but he is going to have some big games this year. My prediction is 65 receptions, 1050 yards, 8 TDs.Sincerely,Hakeem Nicks' FanClub
 
Well you don't want a total wet blanket either. Him getting in a fight I took as a good sign. Shows some fire in the belly!!

 
I like Nicks but I think Smith may still be the one you want.
based on last years numbers, yea steve smith is the safer pick but nicks is a way better value at his ADP plus the fact that we have pretty much seen smith's ceiling and Nick's upside is so tremendous that it's the type of saavy drafting that win's fantasy championships.I am a die hard Giants fan and after watching Nick's rookie year, considering he was injured the start of the season and put up the numbers he did in 6 starts (I believe), he is primed for a monsterous season. Plus the fact that the new Meadowlands Stadium is likely engineered to decrese their infamous "swirling winds" thus enhancing Eli's ability to throw the deep ball to Nicks. He's had all off season, camp, and preseason to get acclimated with all Giant's recieving routes (something he didn't have last year). If he's able to stay healthy, between his increase in playing time and rookie numbers, his projections for this season are almost mind boggling.
Hit the nail on the head on this one..
 
I like Nicks but I think Smith may still be the one you want.
based on last years numbers, yea steve smith is the safer pick but nicks is a way better value at his ADP plus the fact that we have pretty much seen smith's ceiling and Nick's upside is so tremendous that it's the type of saavy drafting that win's fantasy championships.I am a die hard Giants fan and after watching Nick's rookie year, considering he was injured the start of the season and put up the numbers he did in 6 starts (I believe), he is primed for a monsterous season. Plus the fact that the new Meadowlands Stadium is likely engineered to decrese their infamous "swirling winds" thus enhancing Eli's ability to throw the deep ball to Nicks. He's had all off season, camp, and preseason to get acclimated with all Giant's recieving routes (something he didn't have last year). If he's able to stay healthy, between his increase in playing time and rookie numbers, his projections for this season are almost mind boggling.
Hit the nail on the head on this one..
Right except for the new stadium not having swirling winds. During the Giants first practice there, the one Hixon got hurt at, Tuck pointed out that the goal post flags on each end were blowing in towards the field at the same time.
 
I like Nicks but I think Smith may still be the one you want.
based on last years numbers, yea steve smith is the safer pick but nicks is a way better value at his ADP plus the fact that we have pretty much seen smith's ceiling and Nick's upside is so tremendous that it's the type of saavy drafting that win's fantasy championships.I am a die hard Giants fan and after watching Nick's rookie year, considering he was injured the start of the season and put up the numbers he did in 6 starts (I believe), he is primed for a monsterous season. Plus the fact that the new Meadowlands Stadium is likely engineered to decrese their infamous "swirling winds" thus enhancing Eli's ability to throw the deep ball to Nicks. He's had all off season, camp, and preseason to get acclimated with all Giant's recieving routes (something he didn't have last year). If he's able to stay healthy, between his increase in playing time and rookie numbers, his projections for this season are almost mind boggling.
Hit the nail on the head on this one..
Right except for the new stadium not having swirling winds. During the Giants first practice there, the one Hixon got hurt at, Tuck pointed out that the goal post flags on each end were blowing in towards the field at the same time.
Yea forget about the whole wind thing im not an engineer although ive been to all 3 games and 2 jets game and the winds are definitly not as bad as they were in the old stadium
 
I just acquired Randy Moss and the Nicks owner always goes for big names... Would you consider getting Nicks for Moss or Andre Johnson is a steal?

 
I just acquired Randy Moss and the Nicks owner always goes for big names... Would you consider getting Nicks for Moss or Andre Johnson is a steal?
No. I have both Nicks Andre.. & Fitz and needless to say so far Nicks has been my number 1..and I am a huge Andre fan
 
Not too concerned with the wind/cold from a Nicks standpoint. This is the guy the Giants pegged as the replacement to Plax. He can run the same routes and play to Eli's strengths just as well(if not better) than Plax(back shoulder fade, fly pattern, quick slant).

The one thing I have noticed is he has much better YAC ability than Plax ever had. The WR bubble screens have been impressive and he seems to be able to use his blockers well in space. If the weather and wind turn late in the season, I still think he can be a valuable commodity relying on the short passes and YAC, as opposed to the down field vertical routes.

 
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