You'd think McFadden punched some of your guys kids. This is the Thomas Jones/Fred Taylor/Cedric Benson affect. He burned you, probably multiple times. In dynasty this is the time to go get him and in redraft he's chapped so many asses that people will fail to see that he's going to a team that wants him instead of a team whose coaching staff tried to fit square peg in a round hole twice and didn't draft him on top of the injuries. He will get another chance and you all can cry and whine about it all you want and you can be pissed off if he succeeds or celebrate and call him a bum if he fails but that 2nd chance does merrit a look.
If you look at guys like Thomas Jones or Cedric Benson, their "second chances" came after 3 seasons, not 6 seasons, and ironically they both played on the same Bears team for a couple seasons. They were both younger than McFadden is now when they switched from the team that drafted them. 2008 was a long time ago and McFadden has never stayed healthy for more than 13 games in a single season. It's not really a second chance at this point, it's a seventh chance.
If you are a team looking for a solid RB, you would be much better off trying to find it in the draft than in a seventh year vet that can't stay healthy and has only averaged 3.3 ypc over the last two seasons. I mean seriously, even Felix Jones has a higher ypc over the last two seasons, and I honestly don't think McFadden is much better than Felix Jones at this point, who has declined to a 3rd string player. My guess is McFadden may be out of the league after the 2014 season or third string on some team like the Bengals.
How many RBs have there been that switched teams after 6 seasons and had a monster season in year 7? Curtis Martin is one player that comes to mind, but year 7 was his fourth season with the Jets and he was a far more durable player than McFadden. Charlie Garner is another example in seasons 6 and 7 with the 49ers. And Dillon did it in year 8 with the Patriots. But I don't see McFadden in the same class as any of those guys at this point.
It's easier to sound like you know what you're talking about if you just make things up.
In fact, Thomas Jones did not have a 1,000+ yard rushing season until his
6th season, his second on the Bears. DMC already had his 1,100 yard season during his 3rd year in the league. Although technically that was Jones' 3rd chance, as he played for the Cards and Bucs before. TJones also had seasons averaging 3.3 and 3.4 ypc (DMC was at 3.3 the last two seasons, but was at 5.2 and 5.4 for two seasons in his career... TJones
never broke the 5.0 ypc mark in his career).
Turning to Benson... he never had more than 1,000 yards until his
5th season. He had seasons of 3.4 and 3.5 ypc before that... and likewise never went over 5.0 in his entire career.
So, the first point you made is entirely false. Your second point, on age... DMC turned 26 in August, meaning he turned 21 right before the start of his rookie season (fairly young for a rook). TJones was, actually, 27 years old during his first 1,000 yard season referenced above during his 6th year in the league. DMC will turn 27 in August before the season starts. Benson, likewise, turned 27 during his 5th season, referenced above, when he broke 1,000 yards for the first time.
So, 0 for 2 now on your facts... you might want to put in an application at Fox News -- your assessment of DMC certainly seems "fair and balanced."
Rather than bigger RBs like Jones and Benson, a more apt comparison might be one Reggie Bush -- who struggled to stay healthy during his first 5 years on the Saints (missed ~40% of his games), never rushing for more than 1,000 yards. His YPC was pretty low, at 3.6 3.7 and 3.8 during his first 3 years. Then, during his
6th season, at age 26, on his second chance with a new team, he stayed healthy for 15 games, and ran for over 1,000 yards on 5.0 ypc.
So, in fact, a high octane but injury prone RB who has been at times both electric and terrible
can change teams after 5-6 years in the league and still put up decent numbers. If any FBGs out there are going to listen to this sort of analysis and make dynasty moves based on such input, it would do you well to double check the data. The fact that this sort of wildly inaccurate, emotionally driven post can garner multiple likes when it's clearly wrong does not bode very well for the quality of analysis in the Sharkpool.
There's no certainty of course that DMC will bounce back where ever he lands next year. But his value is incredibly low and if you can buy and hope for a bounce, it's a decent play. If you already have him, he's clearly a hold.